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XAUUSD Short: Rejected From 4,440 Resistance — Correction Ahead?Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook based on the current XAUUSD (4H) chart structure. XAUUSD previously traded inside a descending channel before breaking above its upper boundary and shifting bullish. Price then formed a range and rallied toward the 4,440 Supply Zone, where sellers rejected the move.
Currently, XAUUSD is trading below the 4,440 Supply Zone while holding above the 4,250 Demand Zone and rising demand line. The latest rejection from resistance suggests that a short-term correction may develop.
As long as XAUUSD remains below the 4,440 Supply Zone and respects the descending supply line, the bearish correction scenario remains valid. A rejection from current levels could push price toward the 4,250 Demand Zone (TP1). However, a breakout and close above 4,440 would weaken the bearish outlook and increase the risk of further upside. Manage your risk! 
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3 Short-term setup after trendline breakoutThis analysis covers three low-risk setups I use after a trendline or channel breakout. Two are bullish entry strategies, and the third is a sell setup used when the breakout fails. All three rely on waiting for confirmation—such as a retest or a fake breakout—to reduce the risk of false signals.
Let me walk you through the three setups I use most often after a trendline or channel breakout. These are designed to reduce risk by waiting for confirmation before entering a trade.
Learn this : The key to low-risk trading is patience . Entering immediately after a breakout often leads to getting stopped out by a fake move. Waiting for a retest or a clear confirmation signal improves the probability of success and gives you a tighter stop-loss.
Setup 1 – Buy on Retest Using Fibonacci (Higher Reward)
After a breakout occurs and price retests the broken level, a short-term pump usually follows. I draw a Fibonacci retracement on that short-term pump and look for entries at the 0.38 or 0.618 retracement levels.
If the market is bullish on the higher timeframe, I use the 0.38 level for entry.
If the market is bearish or ranging on the daily timeframe, I use the 0.618 level for entry.
The stop-loss is placed below the low of the short-term pump. This setup offers a good balance between risk and reward because the entry is at a discount and the stop-loss is clearly defined.
Learn this: The Fibonacci retracement tool is useful for identifying potential pullback levels within a trend. In a strong trend, price often pulls back to the 0.38 level. In a weaker or ranging market, the pullback tends to go deeper to the 0.618 level.
Setup 2 – Buy on Breakout of Previous High (Lower Risk, Lower Reward)
The second setup is also a buy, but it typically offers lower risk and sometimes lower reward. It involves identifying the previous high of the broken channel or trendline. Once price breaks above that high, I enter a long position.
This is a more conservative entry because the breakout above the previous high provides additional confirmation that the trend is continuing. The stop-loss is placed as 40% of gain to reach that high.
Learn this: Trading breakouts of previous highs is a classic trend-following strategy. It is lower risk because the market has already shown strength by clearing a key level. The reward may be smaller if the move is already extended, but the probability of success is often higher.
Setup 3 – Sell When Breakout Fails (Fake Breakout Strategy)
The third setup is used when the breakout fails and price moves back into the channel or below the trendline. In this case, I enter a sell position to capture the downside move. This setup can also help cover losses from any buy positions that were stopped out.
This is a counter-trend trade that takes advantage of false breakouts. It requires quick execution and a tight stop-loss above the failed breakout level.
Learn this: Fake breakouts are common in the market. They occur when price briefly breaks a key level but fails to sustain the move and reverses. These reversals can be sharp, offering a good opportunity for a short trade with a clearly defined risk level.
Final Thought
These three setups give you a complete framework for trading breakouts. They cover both directions and ensure you are always prepared, whether the breakout succeeds or fails. The key to making them work is discipline—waiting for the confirmation signal before entering and sticking to your stop-loss levels. 
Education
GOLD - The local uptrend continuesFX:XAUUSD is bouncing off the 4,313 support level of the trading range formed within the local bullish trend. The situation remains challenging, but the market still has room for further upside
The dollar remains stagnant but continues to look weak. A decline in the Dollar Index could support further upside and the ongoing local bullish trend in gold.
The fundamental and geopolitical backdrop remains unstable.
Globally, gold remains in a bearish trend.
Locally, the market is in a bullish distribution phase, with a 4,313–4,435 range forming within it.
Gold is currently correcting within the range ahead of a potential move higher.
There are not many major events scheduled for the coming week. Attention will be focused on the FOMC meeting, initial jobless claims, and PMI data
Resistance level: 4,435
Support levels: 4,356, 4,313
A long squeeze around the local 4,356 support zone could shift the balance of power in favor of buyers and trigger a continuation of the local uptrend toward the upper boundary of the trading range
Best regards,
R. Linda Long 
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BTCUSDT at Critical Support — Possible Upside Target at 64,500$Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook based on the current BTCUSDT (3H) chart structure. BTCUSDT previously formed a Double Bottom before breaking above the 62,300 Support Zone and moving higher. Price then developed a broad range between the 62,300 Buyer Zone and 64,500 Seller Zone, while respecting the ascending support line. Currently, BTCUSDT is trading below the 64,500 Seller Zone while approaching the 62,300 Buyer Zone and rising support line. The recent decline suggests a short-term pullback, but buyers may defend this area. As long as BTCUSDT remains above the 62,300 Buyer Zone and ascending support line, the bullish scenario remains valid. A rebound from current levels could push price back toward the 64,500 Seller Zone (TP1). However, a breakdown below 62,300 and the ascending support line would weaken the bullish outlook and increase the risk of further downside. Please share this idea with your friends and click "Boost" 🚀 Long 
ETHUSDT - Consolidation Before Distribution BINANCE:ETHUSDT is attempting to hold above the 1,850 support level in the medium term, which was previously broken resistance. The reaction to support is weakening, while the broader market remains in a bearish trend
Bitcoin remains stagnant and range-bound. Globally, the market remains in a bearish trend, with no fundamental support in sight.
A decline in the market leader could trigger further downside in Ethereum. The altcoin is consolidating within a symmetrical triangle. The market is building a pre-breakdown base near the lower boundary of the current range, suggesting that a downside breakout may be approaching
Resistance levels: 1,989, 1,927
Support levels: 1,866, 1,854, 1,820
The weak reaction to support indicates that selling pressure may be intensifying. I do not rule out a local liquidity sweep (short squeeze) before the downtrend resumes.
A close below the 1,866–1,854 zone could accelerate the further decline
Best regards,
R. Linda 
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GOLD - The Hunt for Liquidity Ahead of a Rally ICMARKETS:XAUUSD is testing the 4,313 support level as part of a correction. Against the backdrop of a stagnant Dollar Index, the market still has room for further upside
The Dollar Index remains stagnant, but an unstable fundamental and geopolitical backdrop is putting pressure on the dollar and providing support for gold.
Price is correcting after the recent rally, but the fundamental backdrop — including easing rate expectations and geopolitical risks — remains favorable. Buyers are expected to step in on dips.
The key event will be the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment and inflation expectations data, due later on Friday.
Drivers:
Downside: conflict escalation, rising yields, stronger dollar.
Upside: dip-buying, weaker dollar, easing geopolitical risks
Resistance levels: 4,356, 4,435
Support levels: 4,313, 4,300
Gold maintains its local bullish trend. Within the counter-trend correction, the market is retesting the key liquidity zone at 4,313–4,300 and is bouncing off support.
A close above 4,356 could strengthen the bullish momentum
Best regards,
R. Linda Long 
DXY: Twenty-Year Channel Still Intact at 99.64This channel goes back to 2008. Every major low since then, 2011, 2014, 2018, 2021, has respected the lower boundary, and every major high, 2017, 2022, 2025, has respected the upper one. Twenty years of the same structure containing price is a rare thing to find on any chart, let alone the world's reserve currency index.
The 2025 high near 114 tagged the upper channel boundary directly before rolling over into the current decline. That's not a coincidence at this point, it's the fourth time in the channel's history that the upper line has capped a major advance.
Price is now at 99.64, sitting roughly mid-channel, well above the lower boundary and well below the upper one. That's a wide berth in either direction, this isn't a level under immediate pressure the way most charts on this feed get flagged, it's a multi-decade structure that still has room before either boundary comes back into play.
Under Continuation Acceleration Protocol, a channel with this much history functions as the broadest possible regime gate. Everything DXY does on shorter timeframes, and by extension every risk-asset chart that correlates with dollar strength or weakness, is happening inside this structure until it actually breaks. It hasn't yet.
Worth being direct about what this isn't: a trade setup. There's no gate two zone at 99.64, no immediate confluence, just a reminder of the larger container everything else on this feed is operating inside of.
What would change the picture: a monthly close outside either boundary, something that hasn't happened in twenty years. Until then, every DXY move is noise inside a structure that's held since before most of the assets on this feed existed.
Marcus Aurelius wrote that time is a river of passing events, and strong is its current. This channel has been the riverbed for two decades. Nothing on the shorter charts changes that until the river actually leaves it. 
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BTCUSDT: Downward momentum, Bearish channelBTCUSDT is trading around 63,520 USDT and continues to move within a bearish channel, indicating that sellers remain in control of the short-term structure.
Notably, the macroeconomic outlook has become less negative: the US PPI for July remained flat, causing the probability of a Fed rate hike in September to drop to around 32–35%.
On the 1-hour (H1) chart, the 63,800–64,200 USDT zone acts as strong resistance, converging with the EMA and the upper boundary of the bearish channel.
If BTC attempts to rebound but faces rejection at this level, I lean towards the scenario where the price pulls back to the 62,700 USDT zone. Short 
BTCUSDT Short: Supply Holds — $62,700 Becomes the Key TargetHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook based on the current BTCUSDT (1H) chart structure. BTCUSDT previously traded inside a descending channel before breaking above the 64,500 Supply Zone. After forming a range, price was rejected near the upper boundary and returned below resistance, signaling renewed selling pressure.
Currently, BTCUSDT is trading below the 64,500 Supply Zone while holding above the 62,700 Demand Zone. The latest rejection and descending channel suggest that sellers may remain in control.
As long as BTCUSDT remains below the 64,500 Supply Zone and respects the descending channel, the bearish scenario remains valid. A continuation lower could push price toward the 62,700 Demand Zone (TP1). However, a breakout above 64,500 would weaken the bearish outlook and increase the risk of a move toward higher levels. Manage your risk! Short 
XAUUSD: Retest Scenario — $4,450 Resistance in FocusHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current XAUUSD setup.
Market Analysis
XAUUSD previously traded inside a broad wedge before breaking above the resistance line and shifting bullish. After the breakout, price formed an upward channel and continued higher toward the 4,450 Resistance Zone.
Currently, XAUUSD is trading below the 4,450 Resistance Zone while holding above the 4,350 Support Zone and the rising channel support. The latest pullback appears to be a retest of support, keeping the bullish structure intact.
My Scenario & Strategy
As long as XAUUSD remains above the 4,350 Support Zone and respects the rising channel, the bullish scenario remains valid. A rebound from current levels could push price toward the 4,450 Resistance Zone (TP1).
However, a breakdown below 4,350 would weaken the bullish outlook and increase the risk of a deeper correction.
That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk. Long 
BTCUSDT: Retest Support Can Opens the Path Toward 64,600$Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current BTCUSDT setup.
Market Analysis
BTCUSDT previously formed a Head and Shoulders pattern before recovering above the 62,700 Support Zone. Price then moved higher and recently broke above the descending triangle resistance line, signaling a potential bullish shift.
Currently, BTCUSDT is trading below the 64,600 Resistance Zone while holding above the 62,700 Support Zone and the rising trendline. The recent breakout suggests that buyers are attempting to regain control.
My Scenario & Strategy
As long as BTCUSDT remains above the 62,700 Support Zone and respects the rising trendline, the bullish scenario remains valid. A continuation higher could push price toward the 64,600 Resistance Zone (TP1).
However, if BTCUSDT breaks back below 62,700, the bullish outlook would weaken and increase the risk of a deeper correction.
That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk. Long 
