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SPCX Long Wedge breakout in 15 min chart. new IPO, no daily history data.
New IPO, high IV, sell put
Collect premium with small Delta, and big Theta
and wait for a pullback to buy at 150, near IPO price.
Entry 178
no Stop
Target 200
Risk management is much more important than a good entry point.
I am not a PRO trader. About 25% of my trades had been stopped quickly.
SellToOpen 2026-07-17 Put P150, 6.0 ( delta= -0.21, Theta=0.22)
If SPCX will drop and stay below 150,
this strategy is same as limit buy at 144.0
If assigned, short term trading becomes long term investment.
No Stop, Buy and hold, prepare to Sell OTM Calls. 
Long
XRP – Waiting for the Next ImpulseXRP has been bullish, trading within the rising blue wedge and consistently respecting its upward structure. 📈
After the latest rally, price entered a correction phase and is now approaching an important confluence zone.
Currently, XRP is retesting the lower bound of the blue wedge, which intersects with a strong demand zone marked in green.
This combination of dynamic support and horizontal demand creates an area where buyers may step back into the market.
As long as this intersection holds, we will be looking for longs. 🐂
However, while the broader structure remains bullish, the correction is not fully over yet.
For the bulls to confirm control and start the next impulse movement, a break above the red channel is needed.
Such a breakout would signal that the correction has ended and that momentum is shifting back in favor of the buyers.
Will XRP use this demand zone as a launchpad for the next bullish leg? 🚀
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr 
Long
XAUUSD Long: Will 4,300 Support Hold for a Rally to Supply 2?Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook based on the current XAUUSD (1h) chart structure. XAUUSD previously traded below a descending resistance line before breaking below a consolidation range and extending its bearish move. After breaking down from a consolidation range, price hit a local bottom and reversed into a steady ascending channel. Currently, the market is undergoing a brief pullback where buyers are looking to step back in.
XAUUSD is now trading between the 4,300 Demand Zone and the 4,370 Supply Zone. The recent breakout and retest of the channel's lower support line indicate that the bearish momentum has faded, setting up a potential bounce.
As long as price holds above the 4,300 Demand Zone, the bullish scenario remains valid. A successful bounce from current levels could push XAUUSD back toward 4,370 and eventually the 4,410 target (Supply 2). Manage your risk! 
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LTCUSD: The Death of a Legacy Narrative. Multi-Year Inverted HVF📉 🪙 🥶 📉
📉 🪙 🥶 📉
📉 🪙 🥶 📉
1. The Macro Structure:
An Inverted Volatility Trap.
When an asset fails to make higher macro highs over multiple market cycles, it’s not consolidation—it’s long-term distribution.
The Geometry: Looking at the weekly chart, the price action has carved out a massive Inverted Hunt Volatility Funnel bounded by declining peaks (Low 1, Low 2, L3) and a vulnerable ascending support trendline (High 1, High 2, H3).
The Resolution: The final compression at L3/H3 has resolved decisively to the downside.
The structural trendline that held up this asset for years has snapped!
And the support block has completely flipped into a ceiling of aggressive overhead supply.
2. The Fundamental Reality: Extractive Cycles & Dead Utility
The "silver to gold" pitch worked in 2017 when transaction throughput was a novel bottleneck. In today's agentic economy, legacy proof-of-work alts with zero smart contract utility or ecosystem velocity face a structural liquidity vacuum.
As capital concentrates strictly in institutional infrastructure and high-throughput utility networks, old-school tokens are treated as pure liquidity exits for insiders and early miners.
The market doesn't value nostalgia; it values execution.
When the broader market hums and an asset prints structural multi-year breakdowns, the trend is telling you everything you need to know.
3. Downside Extension Coordinates & Log Targets
The price has cleanly broken through local support at 71.79 and has already sliced below Log Target 1 at 54.84.
The path of least resistance is an aggressive vacuum down into lower macro historical blocks:Current Position: $45.10
Log Target 2: 31.71
Log Target 3 (The Cycle Capitulation Block): $5.56
While the crowd stays emotionally married to old forum threads and dead catchphrases, we map out the structural distribution and compound capital on the cascade.
Let them catch the falling knife.
1. The Death of the Utility Myth (The Unpolite Truth)
Let’s stop being polite about what a move to $5 actually represents.
Litecoin is the original altcoin—the silver standard.
If the pioneer of alternative networks completely round-trips back to single digits after nearly fifteen years of existence, it confirms the quiet reality that the market is finally waking up to: The entire altcoin ecosystem has largely functioned as a multi-year, extractive mechanism for insider enrichment.
For a decade, these networks sold retail on the dream of decentralised utility, peer-to-peer micro-transactions, and digital silver.
But the data doesn't lie.
They didn't build lasting micro-economies; the founders, VCs, and early insiders simply used retail as exit liquidity to print billions of dollars for themselves while delivering zero structural value.
A $5 print is the ultimate market verdict, rendering a decade of tech white-papers as nothing more than sophisticated marketing decks for top-tier bullshit artists.
2. The Bitcoin Shadow: A Deep Macro Bear Market
A cascade of this magnitude also sends a glaring, undeniable signal across the entire global crypto landscape: Bitcoin itself would be anchored deep, deep in a structural macro bear market.
Bitcoin may be the "Gold" of the ecosystem, but it does not trade in a vacuum.
For an OG asset like Litecoin to completely drain its liquidity pool down to single digits, the tide across the entire space has to be completely out.
It implies a widespread systemic drain—where regulatory tightening, macroeconomic liquidity constraints, and total retail exhaustion force capital to brutally repatriate out of risk assets entirely.
When the structural floor of the original Altcoin cracks like this, it isn’t a isolated local event; it's a structural warning sign that the entire asset class is undergoing a generational, painful purging.
#Litecoin #LTCUSD #CryptoAnalysis #ShortSetup #PriceAction #MacroDistribution #BearMarket #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis 
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MESU June 16: Watch 7606 pullback, then 7650 and 7695MESU analysis for Tuesday, June 16
We’ve now rolled from the M contract into the U contract, so today’s focus is on MESU.
MESU has been consolidating overnight around 7630, and I still lean bullish for today as long as the key support structure holds.
On the 4H chart, the main support level for me is 7582. If bulls want to stay in control, then I do not want to see price lose that level. Just above it, I can also see a fair value gap around 7600, which may act as support on a pullback.
The first upside target I’m watching is the yesterday high at 7650. If bulls can push through that level, then the next target for me is the all-time high around 7695.
On the 1H chart, 7606 stands out as the key near-term pullback level. If price retraces first, I want to see how it reacts there.
On the 15M chart, the fair value gap and order block align in the green zone, so that is the main setup area I’m watching for confirmation.
Key levels
7606 = near-term pullback level
7582 = must-hold support
7650 = first upside target
7695 = all-time high / second target
Green zone = FVG + order block reaction area
Plan for today
Stay constructive while price holds support
Watch for pullback into 7606 / green zone
If buyers confirm there, watch 7650 first
If bulls stay strong, watch 7695 next
Reassess if price loses 7582
Not financial advice. No confirmation, no trade.
If you want, I can also make these more shorter and punchier for faster posting, or keep them in this style by default. CME_MINI:MESU2026 
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RSKD: When fraudsters work overtime and Riskified profits from iWhile most investors debate artificial intelligence, Riskified( NYSE:RSKD ) is already using it where mistakes cost real money. The company helps the world's largest online retailers distinguish genuine buyers from fraudsters, analyzing billions of dollars in transactions in real time. The bigger e-commerce gets, the more expensive every mistake becomes.
Fundamentals
The latest quarter showed the business continues to gain momentum. Revenue grew 7 percent year over year to 88.3 million dollars, while gross merchandise volume (GMV) reached 37.2 billion dollars, up 9 percent. Billings growth outpaced revenue growth, typically indicating sustained positive momentum in coming quarters.
Profitability looks particularly compelling. Non-GAAP gross profit rose to 46.3 million dollars with a margin of 52.5 percent. Adjusted EBITDA surged 370 percent to 6.2 million dollars, while earnings per share came in at 0.05 dollars, beating market expectations. The balance sheet holds 276.3 million dollars in cash and investments with virtually no debt. Free cash flow for the quarter was 9 million dollars.
Management is so confident in the business outlook that it continues aggressive share buybacks. In the first quarter alone, 6.2 million shares were repurchased for 27.5 million dollars at an average price of 4.44 dollars. In June, the board additionally approved 75 million dollars for the buyback program. When a company actively buys its own shares, it usually signals that leadership considers the current valuation attractive.
Riskified continues to expand its product ecosystem. In the first quarter, it launched ARIA, an AI-powered risk intelligence analyst that enables clients to get plain-language explanations of suspicious transactions without diving into complex analytics. The company also strengthened its integration with Shopify through Dispute Resolve and expanded collaboration with travel giant Amadeus via the Outpayce platform.
The quality of the customer base deserves special attention. The number of merchants using more than one Riskified product grew 50 percent year over year, and their contribution now exceeds 30 percent of total revenue. This is an important metric, as expanding existing customers is typically significantly cheaper than acquiring new ones.
Technicals
On the weekly chart, price broke out of a descending wedge that had been containing quotes and successfully completed a retest of the breakout zone. The stock is now holding above key moving averages, confirming a shift in the medium-term market structure. Yesterday's close, June 15, was 4.95 dollars. Rising volume after the breakout shows institutional participation, while trend indicators remain bullish. As long as price stays above the retest zone, the primary scenario remains continuation toward the 7.50 dollar area, which is the next major target for buyers.
The market still values Riskified as a small fintech company, but the numbers are starting to tell a different story. The company is already generating profit, building cash flow, actively buying back shares, and expanding its presence in the fast-growing AI payments protection segment. Sometimes the most interesting stories begin not when everyone is talking about them, but when most haven't yet noticed that the business has already started operating more efficiently.
And if fraudsters aren't planning to leave the internet, Riskified's workload will only grow. 
Long
Tron to accelerate into the next bull market 3 x cup and handle Bullish on TRX Tron because it has performed relatively well during the bear market against its piers
Its price is sitting over a trend line which if you extrapolate and assume the bullish cycle lasts about the same 3 years. It takes us to the Cup and handle target.
The cup-and-handle pattern shown is based on several assumptions, using a line of best fit across the key support and resistance levels. The spike lows have been treated as valid data points, while the spike highs have been discounted due to the lower volume traded at those levels compared to the lows.
This analysis produces a target around the whole number "1" together with a possible wedge continuation pattern enroute
In a bull market, I would expect TRX to outperform and potentially deliver more than a 3x return. However, a 3x gain is still a respectable outcome for a top-10 cryptocurrency that has remained relatively strong throughout the bear market. Could it go much higher? Absolutely. But it's important to remain realistic and manage risk appropriately.
Personally, I'd be happy to bank a 3x return rather than endure excessive drawdowns chasing larger gains. As long as price remains above the dotted trend line, this appears to be a reasonable strategy for potentially tripling your investment. This isn't financial advice—just a practical approach based on risk versus reward.
The timeframe for this setup is approximately three years. If TRX experiences a strong move earlier than expected, there may be an opportunity to take profits and rotate that capital into another token that tends to perform later in the bull cycle. In that scenario, you could potentially achieve a 3x return on TRX and then another 2x–3x elsewhere.
That would result in an overall return of 6x–9x during the cycle, while starting from a relatively conservative position. Of course, "safe" is a relative term in cryptocurrency, which remains a high-risk asset class, but the goal is to maximize returns while minimizing unnecessary risk. 
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