Oil (WTI) – No Rest From Unscheduled Headline Driven VolatilityFor Oil (WTI) traders, rarely does a day go by without a fresh headline hitting their screens about the constantly changing geopolitical situation in the Middle East which could generate further volatility for prices. Weekends can be particularly challenging with a lot of conflicting information for traders to digest and then assess to determine whether prices open near to Friday’s closing levels or gap higher or lower. This weekend was no exception.
Fighting has intensified and broadened across the Middle East region in recent days as Iran backed Houthi rebels step up drone attacks on Saudi Arabian energy infrastructure in an attempt to seal off an important oil pipeline toward the Red Sea, a supply channel that has reached its full capacity of around 7 million barrels per day while the Strait of Hormuz has remained closed to the majority of tanker traffic. Oil prices closed at 100.32 on Friday, but after news that Saudi Arabia kept this key pipeline shut as a precaution over the weekend, prices surged quickly on today’s open up to a high of 103.80 before cooling slightly back down to current levels around 102.80 at the time of writing (0745 BST).
Traders may have to remain nimble this week as the news flow from the Middle East intensifies again. A pivotal event for Oil prices could whether a meeting of top diplomats from the 6 member Gulf Co-operation Council with their Iranian counterpart eventually goes ahead. The meeting, an attempt by Oman and Iran to secure a temporary deal to allow tanker shipping to safely pass through the Strait of Hormuz, was initially scheduled for later today but was postponed at the last minute without any further details on when the meeting could next take place.
In this headline driven environment, taking a step back to assess the wider technical backdrop and identify some potentially important support and resistance levels that may have an influence on the speed and direction of future Oil (WTI) moves could be productive.
Technical Update: Can the Recent Upside Acceleration Continue?
Oil (WTI) has experienced a clear increase in price volatility in recent weeks, with geopolitical news continuing to drive investor sentiment. This prompted a 30% rise in prices from the August 26th low of 80.32 up to the September 11th high at 104.72, before falling back to close the week at 100.32
It’s possible that Friday’s setback could merely have been an attempt to unwind short‑term upside extremes into the weekend and prices may resume their push to higher levels again, however it could also mark a top to the recent rally from which fresh downside could reemerge.
Of course, much will depend on future headlines from the US-Iran conflict. However, below we outline what may be the important levels to focus on over the coming week.
Potential Key Resistance Levels:
Having seen last Friday’s initial price strength capped by 104.72, which proved to be the session high, this could be the first key resistance level for traders to focus on. If the recent strength in Oil (WTI) prices is to resume, closing breaks above 104.72 may be required to achieve it.
Successful closing breaks above 104.72 could open scope for moves to 109.55, the May 18th high and if this level were also broken on a closing basis, 113.29, which is the April 30th high.
Potential Key Support Levels:
It’s too early to know for sure if Friday’s decline could be the start of a more prolonged phase of price weakness, and closing breaks below potential support levels may be required for this theme to develop further. As the chart below shows, the first support level for traders to focus on could be 95.34, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the August 26th to September 11th high.
If closing breaks below 95.34 (38% retracement) are seen, it could lead to further price declines toward the next potential support at 92.46 (50% retracement), then 89.57 (61.8% level).
The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted. Overview: A Reversal Strategy for Trading on the Daily Timeframe
🍀Overview
Hi all, I recently completed a Pine Script strategy designed for trading on the daily timeframe.
I’m not a discretionary technical analyst, so I rely on predefined setups. I turn the rules into a strategy to make the process systematic and repeatable.
The strategy includes several parameters, which are now finalized. The rules will remain unchanged unless an adjustment is genuinely necessary.
Because the strategy was completed recently, it has already opened positions in several tickers. For those initial posts, the trade will be documented retrospectively and will be followed until the strategy exits or a discretionary exit is executed according to predefined rules.
For future entries, a separate idea will be published when the strategy opens a position, following it through to the exit.
Let's go through the strategy and use SPY as an example.
🍀Assumptions
This is a long-only strategy built on the assumption that the underlying instruments will appreciate over time.
It aims to capitalize on price fluctuations by establishing long positions when a stock trades at a discount.
If this growth assumption fails to hold, the strategy is unlikely to perform well. Consequently, the current focus is on instruments like SPY and Nasdaq-100 stocks, with potential expansion to other assets in the future.
🍀Strategy
Tickers : SPY, Nasdaq-100 stocks
Date : When the setup triggers
Timeframe : Daily
Direction : Long
Strategy : Reversal Strategy
Strategy Overview : Overview: A Reversal Strategy for Trading on the Daily Timeframe
Strategy Chart : Please refer to the 2nd screenshot
Indicators
RSI Signals : This is built on top of TradingView's original RSI indicator. It preserves the original RSI calculation and visualization while adding customizable overbought/oversold exit signals directly on the main price chart.
NATR Oscillator : The NATR Oscillator converts Normalized Average True Range into a rolling 0–100 oscillator. NATR is calculated as ATR divided by the current closing price and expressed as a percentage. The indicator then compares the current NATR with the highest and lowest NATR readings over the selected lookback period.
Signals
Main signal: RSI Signals
Long setup: RSI crosses above 30
Short setup: RSI crosses below 70
Confirmation signal: NATR Oscillator
NATR Oscillator >= 80
Signal Scoring
Main signal score: 0.5
Confirmation signal score: 0.5
Setup score = Main signal score + Confirmation signal score
Entry threshold: 1.0
Risk Management
Reward-to-risk ratio: 4:1
Entry: The close of the candle that triggers the setup
Stop distance: approximately 4x daily ATR
Target distance: approximately 16x daily ATR
Order Management : Bracket order
Limit entry
Market stop
Limit target
Baseline
Assume the worst has already happened: the stop loss has been reached.
Alerts
The strategy can be configured to fire an alert whenever a setup occurs, long or short, regardless of whether it is currently holding a position.
Rules
A setup occurs when both signals appear at the same time.
The strategy enters when the setup score is greater than or equal to the entry threshold.
The strategy must not currently be in a position.
One entry, one exit. No scaling in or out.
Unfilled entry: If the entry is not filled and price reaches the target first, the bracket order is cancelled. The strategy treats this as a missed setup and waits for the next one.
Optional discretionary exit: If an opposite signal or short setup appears and the reward is at least 2R, the position can be exited.
🍀Visualization
Please refer to the 2nd screenshot
Pane 1: Price Chart
Bracket order visualization (a simplified version compared with TradingView's long/short position drawing tools)
Green zone: profit zone
Red zone: loss zone
Middle gray line: entry price
Labels
Entry label: entry price
Stop label: stop price and stop distance
Target label: target price and target distance
Shapes
Green triangles: Long setups
Red triangles: Short setups
Pane 2: Volume Z-Score
It compares the current volume with its recent average and standard deviation to identify unusually extra high, high, normal, or below-normal volume.
Shown for completeness and does not affect the strategy.
Pane 3: RSI Signals
Pane 4: NATR Oscillator
Pane 5: Reversal Strategy
Static lines
Green line: long setup threshold, currently 1.0
Red line: short setup threshold, currently 1.0
Dynamic lines
Green line: long setup score for that candle
Red line: short setup score for that candle
Peaks
Green peak: a long setup occurs when it touches or crosses the long threshold
Red peak: a short setup occurs when it touches or crosses the short threshold
Table
Ticker
Bias: long setup score > short setup score is Long bias ; reverse is Short bias ; otherwise Tie
L/S scores (thres): long/short scores and thresholds on the latest candle
Stop/target dist: stop and target distances if entering a position, currently 4x daily ATR for the stop and 16x daily ATR for the target
🍀Example: SPY
This setup occurred before the strategy was developed. The trade is documented retrospectively and will be followed until the strategy exits or a discretionary exit is executed according to predefined rules.
☘️Process
Ticker : AMEX:SPY
Date : 09/04/2025
Timeframe : Daily
Direction : Long
Strategy : Reversal Strategy
Strategy Overview : Overview: A Reversal Strategy for Trading on the Daily Timeframe
Strategy Chart : Please refer to the 2nd screenshot
Signals
Main signal: RSI Signals crossed above 30, indicating an exit from the oversold zone. This contributed a score of 0.5
Confirmation signal: NATR Oscillator reached 100, exceeding the required threshold of 80. This contributed a score of 0.5
Signal Scoring
Main signal score = 0.5
Confirmation signal score = 0.5
Long setup score = main signal score + confirmation signal score = 0.5 + 0.5 = 1.0
Long score threshold: 1.0
The long setup score met the required threshold. The strategy therefore placed a long bracket order.
Risk Management
Reward-to-risk ratio: 4:1
Entry: 548.62 (the close of the setup candle)
Stop distance: 64.25 (approximately 4x daily ATR)
Target distance: 257.01 (approximately 16x daily ATR)
Order Management : Bracket order
Limit entry: 548.62
Market stop: 484.37
Limit target: 805.63
Baseline
Assume the worst has already happened: the stop loss has been reached.
☘️Outcome
Trade Execution
09/04/2025: The daily candle closed, triggering the strategy to place a long bracket order.
10/04/2025: Price reached the trigger level, and the long entry filled.
Trade Status
Trading: active
P.S. I’m currently applying this strategy to the Nasdaq-100. Let me know which stock you’d like me to look at next.
Stay lucky!🍀
Education
$GLD — Sep 11 closeAMEX:GLD — Sep 11 close
This one is worth paying attention to. Two red candles in a row — one on a down day, one on an up day — both with increasing volume. Buyers are trying their best to lift this market and something is going on underneath.
Today shows it clearly. Gapped up to 403.65 on the print, then got sold all day to close 398.77, right near the low and back under 400. Volume rose again. Effort with no result — that's supply meeting every rally.
Fundamentally, CPI m/m came in hot, and the market went up and then straight back down. It tricked players on both sides.
AMEX:GLD closed below the 400 psych level. Below here the ladder is 390, 385, 380.
But here's what's interesting, and it cuts the other way. On the weekly, we have two Tests sitting right on the 34/50 cloud (@ripster47 EMA cloud) — and this week printed above-average volume with a below-average range, closing off the low. Heavy volume that produces almost no movement means someone is absorbing the selling.
So the daily says supply is capping rallies. The weekly says something is buying this level. That's why price is stuck.
The line settling it is 395.51 — the weekly 34/50 and the Stopping Volume low together. It has not broken on a close. Today's low was 398.14, a higher low.
400 is the key and this is the pivot. Lose 395.51 on a close and the 390/385/380 ladder is live. Hold it and reclaim the 5-12 cloud (@ripster47 EMA cloud) and the weekly absorption wins.
One more thing to keep in mind — if we get a ceasefire between Iran and the US, that cools gold fast. Watch the headlines as much as the chart.
Trigger down: close under 395.51. Trigger up: 5-12 Curl. Short 
Short
$QQQ Daily Close — Sep 10NASDAQ:QQQ Daily Close — Sep 10
NASDAQ:QQQ closed 708.69, down 1.06%, below both @ripster47 EMA clouds. Price opened under the 34-50, high of the day was 712.06, and it closed at 708.69 — through the whole cloud. That's a 34-50 Break. The 5-12 Break came first in the same bar.
The volume finally answered the question
For six sessions I've been flagging the same thing on this chart: every up bar came on below-average volume. The Sep 3 curl, the follow-through, the bounces — all of it on light participation. The one day volume did expand was last Friday, and that was profit-taking into strength.
Today: 31.33M against a 30.77M average, 102% relative volume. First above-average day in a week. It came on a red bar that broke two clouds.
When buyers won't show up for six sessions and then sellers show up once, you have your answer about who was actually in this move.
The bar itself
Range 5.20 against a 9.01 ATR — 58% of a normal day, on above-average volume. More effort than result. Sellers had to work for a five-point move, which means there was some bid absorbing it, but not enough to matter. Close finished in the lower third at 708.69, no recovery into the bell.
What we did not get is climactic volume. This was above average, not heavy. Nobody has stepped in to catch it yet, and the 700 shelf below is untested.
My position
I'm out. The 5-12 Break on a closing basis is my exit rule and it fired today. That trade was up 1.6R last Friday and I gave it back — which is the honest cost of managing against a level instead of taking profit into a target. The rule did its job. I'd rather post that than pretend it didn't happen.
Levels into CPI
706.86 is today's low and it's the line. Lose it and 704 comes in, then 700 — which is both a psych number and a shelf that's been defended twice since June.
There is no long trigger until price reclaims the @ripster47 5-12 EMA cloud around 716. That's a 5-12 Curl and it's seven points away.
CPI tomorrow. A hot print is hawkish for the dollar and bearish for the indices, and it lands on a structure with nothing tested underneath. A cool print has to fight back through two clouds before it means anything.
One thing worth watching at 700: if we get there on genuinely heavy volume with a close well off the lows, that's stopping volume, and the read changes completely. Heavy volume at a major low is a buy signal, not a sell one.
Levels, not opinions. 706.86 below, 716 above. 
Short
GC GEX – Testing the 4405 Put Wall AgainGold futures are returning to a familiar decision zone on the daily chart.
The October 16 cumulative GEX Profile places the strongest put wall at 4405 , directly where rising technical support now converges. Previous tests around this structure produced meaningful reactions, making the latest retest especially important.
🔶 Regime Context 🔶
GEX History shows 0, W1, M1, M2 and ALL aligned in negative GEX . This is a volatility backdrop rather than a directional signal: price movements can become faster and more amplified while the alignment persists.
Price is testing P1 rather than decisively trading below it, so negative extension is not yet confirmed. The next daily reaction must determine whether 4405 remains support.
🔶 Options Structure Context 🔶
👉 4405 – P1 / strongest put wall
The level aligns with the rising daily support line, creating a combined technical and GEX reaction zone.
A successful hold would keep the established support structure intact and put the HVL regime pivot back in focus. Reclaiming that pivot could reopen the path toward 4570 , the largest call wall.
Clear daily acceptance below 4405 would change P1 from support into resistance and move Gold into a negative extension zone , introducing downside gamma-squeeze risk if momentum confirms.
🔶 Options Sentiment 🔶
CALL$ 56.4% means calls at an equivalent distance from spot are priced 56.4% higher than the corresponding puts—elevated call pricing skew.
The Options Oscillator’s green histogram has declined sharply from its recent peak, showing that call pricing skew has been fading.
IVRank 37.6
IVx 27.6 (36 DTE) | IVx 5dCh +1.2%
CALL$ 56.4% (36 DTE)
Implied move ±0.57% (±25)
🔶 Key Structure to Watch 🔶
4405 holds — another reaction from P1 and rising support
HVL reclaimed — potential stabilization of the GEX regime
4570 — largest call wall and main upside reference
4405 breaks and holds below — negative extension and downside gamma-squeeze risk
The key question is whether 4405 can produce another confirmed reaction—or whether the all-negative multi-expiry backdrop finally pushes Gold through its strongest put wall. Gold – Volatility Alert as Key US Inflation Prints LoomGold prices have been choppy so far this week, initially reflecting potential trader unease at the possibility of a rate hike from the Federal Reserve (Fed) when they next meet to set US interest rates on Wednesday September 16th, less than 1 week from now. Higher interest rates tend to weigh on prices of precious metals like Gold that pay no interest or dividend and vice versa.
However, at the same time, its rebound from weekly lows may underlying the importance of the shiny metal to investors as a hedge against rising geopolitical turmoil in the Middle East and a surge in global bond yields. Gold opened the week at 4422 and then dropped 1.8% to a low of 4341 on Wednesday before quickly recovering back to current levels of 4427 again at the time of writing (0700 BST).
Looking forward, the next 48 hours could be pivotal for determining where Gold prices move next. While traders will continue to monitor the fast-moving situation in the Middle East, they may also be preparing for the release of 2 key US inflation reports. The outcome of these prints could shift market expectations further toward pricing a rate hike from the Fed at next week’s meeting, or may indicate another rate pause could be on the cards, depending on whether factory gate (PPI, Thursday 1330 BST), and more importantly consumer prices (CPI, Friday 1330 BST) trend higher, which may force the Fed into action, or are more benign, which could allow the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged for another month to consider the next round of key economic data releases.
Technical Update: Rally From 4320 So Far Fails to See Upside Momentum:
While Gold has seen a recovery develop following tests of support at 4320 (50% Fibonacci retracement July 17th to August 25th price strength), it has so far failed to attract sufficient trader buying interest to stage little more than a limited rally, with prices topping out at a high of 4443 (September 8th), well short of the first potential key resistance of 4511, the September 3rd high.
As the chart above shows, these two technical levels, support at 4320 (50% Fibonacci retracement) and resistance at 4511 (September 3rd high) could prove to be important points to monitor for Gold prices over the next 48 hours into the Friday close and then at the start of next week.
Potential Resistance Focus:
A successful close above the first potential resistance at 4511 (September 3rd high) may indicate risks are turning towards further upside momentum and tests of higher resistance levels over upcoming sessions.
If a closing break above 4511 materialises, it could lead to further price strength to challenge the next resistance point at 4697 (August 25th high), and even 4770 (50% Fibonacci retracement of January 29th to July 17th weakness). If the 4770 level were also to give way on a closing basis it could open potential for a continuation of the advance toward 4889 (April 17th high).
Potential Support Focus:
While the resistance level at 4511 remains intact, it is possible downside momentum might reemerge. This could lead to retests of the first potential support, identified above at 4320 (50% Fibonacci retracement).
Closing breaks below 4320 could increase potential for moves toward the next support at 4232 (68.2% retracement). A closing break below 4232 may then lead to further declines, shifting focus down toward the July 17th low at 3959.
The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted. Short 
YUKEN INDIA## Yuken India Ltd. (CMP ₹1,067.00, NSE: YUKEN)
**The SmartWay Research Desk | 10 September 2026**
A Bengaluru‑based engineering company, incorporated in 1976. Yuken India Ltd. is a joint venture with **Yuken Kogyo (Japan)**, engaged in manufacturing **hydraulic pumps, valves, power units, and industrial hydraulic equipment**. The company caters to industries such as machine tools, steel, automotive, construction, and infrastructure.
**Promoter Holding (Jun 2026):** **Yuken Kogyo (Japan) & Indian Partners — ~73.2% stake (no pledges)**
---
### FY22–FY26 Snapshot
- **Revenue Growth:** FY26 revenue ₹842 Cr vs ₹742 Cr in FY25 (+13.5% YoY). → **Good**
- **Net Profit:** FY26 PAT ₹112 Cr vs ₹96 Cr in FY25 (+16.7% YoY). → **Good**
- **Operating Margin:** FY26 EBITDA ₹182 Cr, margin 21.6% vs 20.9% last year (+70 bps). → **Good**
- **Equity Capital:** Stable, face value ₹10. → **Good**
- **Dividend Policy:** Dividend ₹5.00/share declared for FY26. → **Good**
- **Asset Building:** Investments in **hydraulic technology upgrades and plant expansion**. → **Good**
- **Sales:** Strong demand from **machine tools and construction equipment**. → **Good**
- **Expense:** Raw material cost pressures (steel, alloys) remain. → **Neutral/Good**
- **EPS:** FY26 EPS ₹35.25 vs ₹30.20 last year (+16.7%). → **Good**
---
### Institutional Interest & Ownership Trends (Jun 2026)
- **Promoter Holding:** ~73.2% (no pledges)
- **FII Holding:** ~2.4%
- **DII Holding:** ~3.8%
- **Retail & Others:** ~20.6%
---
### Strategic Moves & Innovations
- Expansion in **hydraulic pumps and valves for industrial automation**.
- Focus on **construction and infrastructure equipment demand**.
- Partnerships with **Japanese parent for technology transfer**.
- Diversification into **hydraulic power units for renewable energy projects**.
---
### Cash Flow & Balance Sheet Strength
- Market cap ~₹3,200 Cr.
- Debt‑to‑equity ratio ~0.28 (low leverage).
- Book value per share ₹182.00; P/B ~5.9.
- EPS (TTM) ₹35.25; P/E ~30.3.
---
### Risk Factors
- High **P/E ratio ~30.3**, valuations expensive.
- Dependence on **industrial demand cycles and infra spending**.
- Exposure to **commodity price volatility (steel, alloys)**.
- Competition from Eaton India, Bosch Rexroth, and Hydac India.
---
### Investor Takeaway
Yuken India has delivered **steady FY26 performance**, supported by demand in machine tools, construction equipment, and hydraulic technology upgrades. With strong promoter backing (Yuken Kogyo, 73.2% stake), dividend payouts, and leadership in hydraulic systems, Yuken remains a **mid‑cap engineering and automation play**. At CMP ₹1,067.00, valuations are **expensive (P/E ~30.3, P/B ~5.9)**, reflecting growth expectations but also sectoral risks. 
Long
HOW-TO: Read TidalCore’s ribbon, regimes, and extreme signalsThis is a how-to for reading TidalCore on a daily chart. IREN is only the example ticker. It is not a trade recommendation and not a performance report.
What you are looking at
TidalCore is a rules-based mean-reversion overlay. The ribbon is an adaptive fair-value band. Color is the regime filter. Markers are signals that passed the script’s rules on this chart.
How to read the ribbon
• Center line = fair-value basis (here near 43.96).
• Outer edges = the band around that basis (here near 52.05 and 37.38). The band widens and narrows with volatility.
• Price extended beyond the band is where mean-reversion setups are considered. The script is built to wait for that extension, not to fade every touch of the midline.
How to read regime color
This is the part most people skip.
• Gray fill = uptrend regime. Mean-reversion shorts are treated more cautiously.
• Solid white fill = strong uptrend. In settings this can block new sells so the script does not fade a powerful advance.
• Blue fill = downtrend regime. Mean-reversion buys are treated more cautiously.
• Solid blue fill = strong downtrend. In settings this can block new buys so the script does not catch a falling knife.
The colors do not predict the next candle. They only describe the regime the filters are using.
Two classes of signals
1) Normal BUY / SELL
These print when price is meaningfully outside the ribbon and the filters agree. On this chart they are the blue/purple labels away from the band.
2) Extreme TOP / BOTTOM
These are the priority washout / exhaustion markers (orange). They can be taken as standalone events or used as add-on trades, depending on your settings. They are not “stronger guarantees.” They are a different rule set that fires at larger extensions.
Worked example on this IREN daily
Use the chart as a map, left to right:
• Strong white/gray advance into late 2025 shows why a sell filter exists — the script can be told not to short a strong uptrend.
• After the regime flipped, several buys printed when price was below or outside the lower area of the band.
• The August extreme BOTTOM is an example of the priority extreme logic after a sharp washout under the lower edge.
• Later sells printed after price tagged the upper side of the band in a different regime.
Those labels are historical examples of when the rules fired on this ticker and timeframe. They are not a backtest summary, not a win rate, and not a forecast for IREN from here.
Settings worth knowing
• Extreme signals can be enabled or used as optional extras.
• Strong-trend colors can be set to block new buys, new sells, or neither.
• Position-size / P&L labels on this screenshot are from the on-chart tracker. They describe one example workspace. Turn them off if you only want the ribbon and markers.
What this script does not do
• It does not guarantee the next bounce or rejection.
• It does not replace a stop, position size, or a plan for when the regime stays against you.
• A signal can fail. A blocked signal in a strong trend can also be the correct stand-aside.
How to use this the way it was designed
1. Identify regime color first.
2. Check whether your settings allow a trade in that regime.
3. Wait for extension beyond the band, not a guess at the midline.
4. Treat extreme TOP/BOTTOM as a separate, higher-extension rule — not as confirmation theater.
5. If you use the portfolio tracker, review the full window (winners, losers, and time spent in drawdown), not one highlighted label.
Access
TidalCore is an invite-only script. Request or manage access from the script’s TradingView page and follow the Author’s instructions there. This post is only a reading guide for the visuals on the chart.
Educational use only. Markets change. Past markings on this chart do not indicate future results. 
Education
Gold: The Round TripThere's a version of this chart that just says 'gold dropped 7% and bounced back.' That's true, but it skips the more interesting part, which is that it still hasn't actually gone anywhere.
Go back five days on the 4-hour chart. Gold was grinding up toward 4605-4630, a fresh high in a rally that had already run from the low-4000s. Then, in the space of a single 4-hour bar, it fell to 4460 and kept falling for another day and a half, bottoming near 4287.86, down about 7.5% from the peak. From there it turned around just as sharply, rallying back to 4510.9 within roughly a day.
That's the part that gets the headline: a sharp, symmetrical V. But look at where price is actually sitting now, 4419.5, and where it fell from, 4605. The recovery rally has already stalled and given back close to half its gains, chopping sideways in the 4374-4441 zone for the better part of two days. The pre-drop level is still nearly $190 away.
So the honest read isn't 'crash' or 'recovery,' it's that gold is currently going nowhere in particular after a violent round trip. The bulls' case: the drop looks more like a liquidity air-pocket than a trend change, and the broader structure since the low-4000s is still intact. The bears' case: a rally that can't reclaim even half its old high before stalling is showing real supply overhead, and the sideways chop could just be the pause before another leg down toward 4287.
Worth noting, volume on the initial drop bar was roughly double the average, real conviction, while the recent chop has traded on unremarkable volume, more indecision than direction. Not a forecast, just where the last 55 bars actually leave things. Long 
CRWV Vs. NVDA: The "Shovel" vs. The "Mine"Why CoreWeave Offers the Higher Beta Upside IMHO!
Everyone knows NASDAQ:NVDA is the undisputed king of the AI revolution. They sell the shovels (GPUs) for the AI gold rush. But when a company reaches a multi-trillion-dollar market cap, the days of explosive, multi-bagger upside become mathematically constrained.
If you are looking for the next phase of alpha in the AI infrastructure supercycle, you have to look at the companies building the physical mines where those GPUs operate. Enter NASDAQ:CRWV (CoreWeave).
Looking at the 4-hour chart , we are seeing aggressive accumulation pushing the price back toward the $100 psychological level after shaking out weak hands in the mid-$80s. But the real story is in the fundamentals. Here is why CRWV presents a structurally higher upside potential than NVDA moving forward, along with the critical risks you must manage.
The Fundamental Symbiosis: How Both Benefit
Nvidia and CoreWeave are entirely symbiotic. AI compute demand is growing exponentially, and hyperscalers (like AWS and Azure) are struggling to keep up.
CoreWeave operates as an AI-specialized "neocloud," building massive, high-density data centers optimized specifically to run Nvidia's hardware. Nvidia benefits by selling billions in chips, and CoreWeave benefits by renting out that fully integrated compute capacity to AI labs and enterprises at a premium.
The Case for CRWV's Outsized Upside
Nvidia is essentially maxed out on valuation multiples; its growth is now a known quantity. CoreWeave, on the other hand, is uniquely positioned to capture the aggressive, physical build-out phase with far more runway:
The Nvidia Backstop: Nvidia doesn't just sell to CoreWeave; they are deeply invested. In January 2026, Nvidia directly invested another $2 billion into CRWV stock. More importantly, they established a $6.3 billion capacity agreement where Nvidia agreed to act as a backstop, promising to buy unsold compute capacity if other customers do not utilize it. Nvidia has essentially de-risked CoreWeave's expansion.
The Massive Backlog: CoreWeave’s Q2 2026 numbers were staggering. Revenue grew 112.5% year-over-year to $2.58 billion. But the true upside lies in their backlog, which currently sits at roughly $104 billion in contractually committed future revenue.
Analyst Upgrades: Wall Street is waking up to this pricing power, with major firms like Truist recently hiking their price targets to $165.
The Red Flag: The Cash Burn Monster
As a trader, I cannot ignore the elephant in the room: CoreWeave's balance sheet is stretched to the absolute limit.
This is a capital-intensive, "build-first, profit-later" model. In Q2, despite the massive revenue, CRWV posted a net loss of $626 million and suffered negative free cash flow of roughly -$5.74 billion. They are relying on aggressive debt financing (floating rate loans and massive credit facilities) to fund these data centers.
The Stabilization Thesis: This massive cash burn is a feature, not a bug, of early-stage infrastructure project financing. As their massive multi-gigawatt pipeline of data centers actively goes live over the next 12 to 18 months, capital expenditures will peak and naturally taper off. Once the infrastructure is built and the $104 billion backlog begins converting into realized operational cash flow, those margins will stabilize, and the massive debt load will become serviceable.
What is your take on this two giants?
I hear you! 
Long
MU – Breakout Above 1000 C1, 1050 Call Wall NextMU has broken above 1000 , which serves as both the start of the call cluster and the dominant call wall in the cumulative October 16 profile. With spot near 1017.56 , price has entered positive gamma extension after consolidating above its rising 50-day moving average.
The role of 1000 has now changed from resistance to the first breakout-support test. Holding above it keeps gamma-squeeze potential open toward 1050 C2 , followed by 1100 C3 .
🔶 Regime Context 🔶
MU remains well above the 942.5 HVL , keeping the broader structure in positive GEX. GEX History shows the tracked horizons broadly aligned in positive gamma, with several shifting into extension at the right edge. The current daily breakout confirms the initial shift, but continued acceptance above 1000 is still required.
🔶 Options Structure Context 🔶
👉 1000 – C1 breakout support
Confluence at 1000:
C1 — highest call NETGEX
Ab1 — largest absolute gamma
D+ — strongest positive delta exposure
nCOI / COI — strongest net and gross call open interest
nPV / PV — strongest cumulative put volume
This makes 1000 a major two-sided reaction zone rather than only a round-number breakout.
The nearest secondary GEX peak sits at 1020 . The strongest individual call flow inside the selected horizon also appeared there for the September 9 expiration, with 21,882 contracts. Above that immediate test, 1050 C2 is the next primary call wall.
At 1100 , C3 overlaps with the strongest cumulative call and net call volume, making it the larger extension reference if momentum continues beyond 1050.
🔶 Downside Structure 🔶
👉 1000 – C1 / breakout support
👉 942.5 – HVL / regime pivot
👉 920 – P1 / strongest put wall
A move back below 1000 would return MU to the transition zone. The more consequential failure would be below 942.5 HVL , where the current positive regime would weaken. The 920 P1 also sits near the rising 50-day moving average, creating a broader support area. Below 920, the next put references are 900 P3 and 850 P2 .
🔶 Options Sentiment 🔶
CALL$ at 79.5% means calls at an equivalent distance from spot are priced 79.5% higher than corresponding puts. This is elevated call-pricing skew, not a directional guarantee.
The Options Oscillator histogram is turning sharply higher at the right edge, showing that call skew is building.
IVRank 38.5
IVx 74.2 (38 DTE) | IVx 5dCh +10.2%
CALL$ 79.5% (38 DTE) — call-pricing skew
Implied move ±2.67% (±27.2)
🔶 Key Structure to Watch 🔶
1000 — C1 breakout support and primary confluence
1020 — immediate secondary GEX and front-expiry call-flow test
1050 — C2, next primary call wall
942.5–920 — HVL-to-P1 downside structure
For now, MU remains in positive extension above 1000, but elevated call skew and rising IV increase the importance of genuine acceptance.
The key question is whether MU can hold 1000 , absorb the activity around 1020 , and continue toward 1050 , or whether the breakout returns to the transition zone.
