XAUUSDHello Traders! ๐
What are your thoughts on Gold?
Gold has finally broken above the descending trendline after spending several weeks consolidating around the major 4,000 support zone. With a daily close above this dynamic resistance, bullish momentum has strengthened, shifting the focus toward higher resistance levels.
The repeated defense of the demand zone highlights strong buying interest, suggesting that buyers have regained control in the short term. As long as price continues to hold above the breakout level, the bullish scenario remains favored.
From a technical perspective, the 50% Fibonacci retracement at 4,358 represents the first upside target. If buying momentum continues, price could extend its advance toward the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at 4,457, which is the next major resistance area and a level where increased selling pressure may emerge.
As long as Gold holds above the broken trendline and the 4,000 support zone, the short-term bullish bias remains intact. A sustained breakout above the Fibonacci resistance levels could open the door for a continuation of the rally toward higher price levels.
If you found this analysis helpful, please support it with a like and share your thoughts in the comments! Good luck with your trades!โค๏ธ
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Trading Roadmap ยท Wave Analysis ยท Lesson 01Lesson 1 - Wave Analysis Foundations: The Rhythm Behind Every Market
Difficulty: (BeginnerโIntermediate)
Markets do not move randomly. They move in patterns, cycles, and rhythms that repeat across every timeframe and every asset. Wave Analysis is the framework that reads that rhythm โ and once you see it, price action starts making sense in a way it never did before. Welcome to Course 02.
๐ต RECAP โ WHAT YOU LEARNED IN COURSE 01
Across 12 lessons in Classical Technical Analysis, you learned how to read the chart, identify trends, draw support and resistance, recognize candle and chart patterns, interpret volume, and use Moving Averages.
Course 02 takes all of that and adds a new dimension: structure . Wave Analysis teaches you to see the underlying architecture of every price move โ the pattern beneath the noise.
๐ต WHY WAVE ANALYSIS MATTERS
Most traders react to what price just did. Wave Analysis helps you understand where price is in the bigger structure โ and that context can dramatically change how you trade.
With wave analysis you can:
Identify whether the current move is likely a continuation or a correction
Estimate where a trend might slow down, reverse, or extend
Combine price action, S/R, and momentum with clearer structural context
Avoid entering trades right before a natural corrective phase
๐ณ Pro Tip: Wave Analysis is not about predicting the future with certainty. It is about mapping the possibilities and preparing for the most likely ones.
๐ต 1. THE CORE IDEA โ TWO TYPES OF MOVES
The market moves in two directions :
With the trend โ impulsive moves in the dominant direction
Against the trend โ corrective moves that pause or partially reverse
Every trend, on every timeframe, is built from these two types of moves alternating.
๐ณ Pro Tip: Learn to identify whether the current move is impulsive or corrective before doing anything else. That single distinction shapes every decision.
๐ต 2. THE 5-WAVE / 3-WAVE CYCLE
Classical wave theory describes a complete market cycle as 8 waves total :
5 waves in the direction of the larger trend โ labeled 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
3 waves against it as a correction โ labeled A, B, C
In an uptrend:
Waves 1, 3, 5 push higher (impulsive)
Waves 2, 4 pull back inside the trend (corrective)
Waves A, B, C form the correction after the 5-wave move completes
The reverse structure applies in a downtrend.
๐ณ Pro Tip: The 5-wave move is the trend. The 3-wave move is the correction. Learn to see them separately and everything else in wave analysis becomes easier.
๐ต 3. FRACTAL NATURE โ WAVES WITHIN WAVES
This is what makes wave analysis powerful and challenging at the same time.
Every wave is itself made of smaller waves. And every group of waves is part of a larger wave on a higher timeframe.
Example: Wave 3 on the daily chart may itself be made of a full 5-wave impulse when you look at the 1H chart. And that daily 5-wave sequence may be Wave 3 of a weekly move.
๐ณ Pro Tip: The fractal nature means you must always know which degree (timeframe scale) you are counting. Losing track of degree is the number one cause of wrong counts.
๐ต 4. THE OVERLAP TEST โ HOW TO TELL THEM APART
Learning to tell an impulsive move from a corrective one is the foundation of every wave count.
Impulsive moves typically:
Travel in the direction of the higher-timeframe trend
Are strong, decisive, with clear expansion
Show 5 sub-waves internally with no overlap (Wave 4 low above Wave 1 high in an uptrend)
Corrective moves typically:
Travel against the higher-timeframe trend
Move slower, in overlapping / choppy structure
Show 3 sub-waves internally with clear overlap between waves
๐ณ Pro Tip: Overlap is your biggest clue. Clean impulses rarely overlap. Corrections overlap constantly.
๐ต 5. WAVE DEGREES โ THE HIERARCHY
Waves come in different sizes, called degrees . From smallest to largest:
Sub-minuette / Minuette โ intraday scale
Minute / Minor โ swing scale
Intermediate / Primary โ position scale
Cycle / Supercycle โ long-term scale
You do not need to memorize every degree name. What matters is knowing that a Wave 3 on one scale might be a Wave A on the next scale up.
๐ณ Pro Tip: Always label the timeframe you are counting on. Never mix degrees in the same analysis.
๐ต 6. HOW WAVE ANALYSIS FITS WITH EVERYTHING ELSE
Wave Analysis is not a replacement for classical TA โ it is a lens you overlay on top of it.
Ways to combine:
Use S/R levels to anticipate where waves might end
Use volume to confirm whether a wave is impulsive or fading
Use Fibonacci to measure the depth of Wave 2 and Wave 4 retracements
Use Moving Averages as dynamic context for impulse strength
๐ต 7. COMMON BEGINNER MISTAKES
Counting waves without identifying the higher-timeframe trend first
Forcing a 5-wave count on a corrective structure
Mixing multiple degrees in the same analysis
Ignoring overlap โ a strong impulse should not overlap
Treating wave counts as fixed predictions rather than working scenarios
Skipping the fundamentals โ trend, S/R, structure โ and jumping straight into wave labels
๐ต 8. YOUR WAVE ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK
Before labeling any wave count, ask:
What is the higher-timeframe trend?
Is the current move impulsive or corrective?
Does the internal structure show 5 sub-waves or 3?
On which degree am I counting?
๐ต QUICK SELF-CHECK
Explain the difference between impulsive and corrective moves
Draw a full 5-3 wave cycle on paper
Identify at least one impulse and one correction on any live chart
Explain what "wave degree" means
Recognize why counting on multiple degrees at once causes errors
๐ต WHAT IS NEXT
Lesson 2 โ Impulse Waves (5-Wave Structure): we zoom into the impulse side of the cycle. What makes each of the 5 waves unique, how to identify them in real time, and how the rules of the 5-wave structure filter out invalid counts early.
Drop a comment: what confuses you most about wave analysis so far โ degrees, corrections, or spotting impulses?
Full Trading Roadmap | Wave Analysis Course
This is the first lesson of Course 02. New lessons will be added here as they are published.
Best Regards, BigBeluga ๐ณ
GOLD - A false breakout of resistance within a bearish trendICMARKETS:XAUUSD has broken out of its short-term descending channel within the current distribution phase and is now testing the 4134 liquidity zone while printing fresh intermediate highs. Despite the technical recovery, the broader fundamental backdrop remains weak
Gold remains caught between geopolitical support and pressure from hawkish Federal Reserve expectations and elevated real yields. Analysts note that a sustainable recovery would likely require lower oil prices, declining bond yields, and softer expectations for further monetary tightening. Until then, the upside potential is expected to remain limited.
At the moment, oil prices continue to rise, while the U.S. dollar has strengthened for a fifth consecutive session, maintaining its broader bullish trend.
Bullish drivers: Geopolitical de-escalation, Falling oil prices, A weaker U.S. dollar, Softer expectations for Fed rate hikes
Bearish drivers: Escalation of geopolitical tensions, Rising oil prices, Hawkish Fed rhetoric, Continued U.S. dollar strength
Resistance levels: 4124, 4134, 4195
Support levels: 4103, 4067, 4028
Technically, the market is testing a key liquidity pool within the current distribution phase and may be forming a short squeeze. If bears manage to keep price below the 4124โ4134 resistance zone, it could trigger another leg lower in line with the broader daily bearish trend
Best regards,
R. Linda
Gold 4H | Market Structure & Trendline Break Analysis Analysis โ Gold (XAUUSD) 4H | Market Structure, Trendline & Candle-by-Candle Explanation
Educational Purpose Only: This analysis is shared for learning Smart Money Concepts (SMC), price action, liquidity, and market structure. It is not financial advice or a guaranteed trading signal.
The chart begins with a strong bearish trend where consecutive bearish candles form lower highs and lower lows. These candles demonstrate that sellers remain in complete control of the market. Every bearish impulse closes below previous support, confirming sustained downside momentum rather than a temporary correction.
The first bullish retracement consists of several medium-sized bullish candles. Although buyers briefly regain control, the recovery lacks enough momentum to break the previous major lower high. This teaches that not every bullish move represents a trend reversal. Many rallies inside a downtrend are simply corrective pullbacks before sellers become active again.
The first Bullish Market Structure Shift (BMS) highlights the initial sign that selling pressure is weakening. Price successfully breaks a minor swing high, showing buyers are beginning to defend lower prices. However, professional traders still wait for additional confirmation before assuming the trend has completely changed.
The first Change of Character (CHoCH) confirms that short-term order flow has shifted. This level explains how institutions often reverse momentum after collecting liquidity. A CHoCH alone is not enough for an entryโit becomes more reliable when combined with higher lows, liquidity sweeps, and strong bullish candles.
The candles that follow create a Higher Low (HL). Notice that bearish candles become smaller while bullish candles close stronger. This shift indicates that sellers are losing momentum and buyers are gradually taking control of the market.
Price then rallies toward the Lower High (LH). Even though bullish momentum increases, the market still respects the larger bearish trendline. This demonstrates that higher-timeframe resistance continues to influence price despite short-term buying strength.
After rejecting the lower high, another sequence of bearish candles develops. These candles form lower highs and continue respecting the internal bearish structure. The market fails to create a new higher high, confirming that sellers remain active beneath trendline resistance.
During the middle section of the chart, price enters a consolidation phase. Candle bodies become smaller while upper and lower wicks increase. This usually represents institutional accumulation or distribution where large participants build positions before the next impulsive move.
Another CHoCH appears after buyers reclaim short-term structure. This indicates improving bullish order flow. Consecutive bullish candles begin closing above previous candle highs, suggesting stronger buying participation compared to earlier pullbacks.
The market then forms another Higher Low, confirming that buyers are defending demand instead of allowing new bearish lows. Professional traders often monitor these areas because successful higher lows increase the probability of bullish continuation.
Near the right side of the chart, price creates another Bullish Market Structure Shift (BMS) after breaking internal resistance. This is important because it demonstrates that buyers are no longer creating only temporary ralliesโthey are now changing market structure itself.
The recent bullish candles are larger than previous bullish candles, showing increased buying momentum. Consecutive strong closes indicate aggressive participation from buyers rather than weak retail buying. These candles suggest that demand is strengthening.
Price is now approaching the long-term descending trendline. This trendline represents dynamic resistance that has controlled price for several weeks. Professional traders usually avoid assuming a breakout before confirmation. Instead, they observe whether price can close decisively above the trendline.
The projected pullback shown on the chart illustrates a common educational scenario. If price breaks above resistance, it may return to retest the breakout level. Such retests often remove weak buyers while giving institutions an opportunity to add positions before another bullish expansion.
The 4,112 area acts as a breakout confirmation level. Holding above this level strengthens the bullish outlook because previous resistance may begin acting as new support.
The 4,204 level represents the next major resistance where price may temporarily pause as sellers defend previous supply. Strong bullish candles closing above this level would improve the probability of further upside.
The 4,374 level is the primary bullish objective shown on this educational chart. It represents a higher-timeframe liquidity target where institutional sell orders and profit-taking may appear. Price often reacts around such areas before deciding whether to continue or reverse.
Overall, every candle contributes to the broader market narrative. Large bearish candles reveal institutional selling pressure, while strong bullish candles demonstrate increasing buyer confidence. Small-bodied candles and long wicks indicate indecision and liquidity collection. Rather than focusing on one candle in isolation, professional traders analyze the relationship between candle structure, trend direction, liquidity, higher highs, higher lows, lower highs, BOS, CHoCH, and major support and resistance zones before making any trading decision.
The main educational lesson from this chart is that successful trading comes from understanding market structure, waiting for confirmation, respecting higher-timeframe trendlines, and managing risk with discipline instead of predicting every market move.
GOLD Price Update โ Clean & Clear ExplanationGold has staged an impressive bullish breakout after weeks of consolidation, signaling that buyers have regained control of the market. The move higher is being supported by a weaker U.S. dollar, softer Treasury yields, and renewed safe-haven demand, all of which have increased buying interest in gold.
Technically, price has broken above a key resistance range and is now holding above it, turning previous resistance into fresh support. This confirms a bullish continuation pattern and suggests that the market could extend its rally if buyers continue defending the breakout zone.
As long as gold remains above the highlighted support area, the bullish trend remains valid. The next upside targets are around 4200, followed by 4250 if momentum continues to build. However, a break back below the support zone would signal weakening bullish momentum and could lead to a short-term correction before the next directional move.
This analysis is shared for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
OIL: Well Positioned To Raise Further and Very Risky-That's Why!OIL: Well Positioned To Raise Further and Very Risky-That's Why!
Today OIL is well positioned to rise further and the trend on the 4 hour is clearly bullish.
If the price follows this setup OIL should reach 88.5 and 92 soon
However the risk that carries this trade is very high.
You may watch the video for further details!
Thank you! ๐
โ ๏ธPS: Do your own analysis and use your own strategy to join the trade.
โค๏ธ If this analysis helps your trading day, please support it with a like or comment โค๏ธ
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Reversal Detected )HANZO MARKET LIQUIDITY REPORT
Gold
Timeframe: 30min (Volume Basis)
Scale: Higher Timeframe Context / Deep Volume analysis
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Market Observation
This analysis is focusing on structural behavior, liquidity zones, Volume analysis
and key areas of interest within the current range.
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
Market Bias
Full liquidity Map
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ฅBearish Reversal
Key Volume Zone : 4117 Area
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
Structure Factors:
โข Higher timeframe Volume reaction level
โข High-volume / Hidden
โข Range Defend structure
โข Volume Stacking
โข Quarter Volume
#GBPNZD: +700 Pips Selling Opportunity! Get Ready ๐บFollowing the extended bullish impulse, the price has successfully begun to drop and a change in its character has already occurred. Now weโre looking for a straight bearish impulse in the market.
๐บThe entry and exit points are clearly marked alongside the take-profit horizontal line. These levels are key for future price trends and will dictate its direction in the near future. If you agree with our analysis, please like and comment. You can also follow us.
Good luck and as always, trade safely!
Team Setupsfx_โค๏ธ๐
XAU/USD: THE 3,960 RESISTANCE REJECTION!๐ช ๐
Sailing back toward the 4,200 resistance wall! Are you blindly chasing this relief rally, or preparing to short the next high-confluence rejection? ๐ค
Gold has staged a swift recovery up to 4,118.66, but the macro descending structure remains in complete control. On this 4-hour OANDA chart, spot gold is rallying inside a giant multi-month Wedge pattern toward a major overhead resistance ceiling. ๐๐ฅ
Look closely at the purple trajectory mapping out the upcoming path. The algorithm is currently driving price upward to retest the major horizontal resistance and the descending trendline around 4,180 - 4,200 to sweep remaining liquidity. Once those retail buy orders are fully absorbed into institutional short books, a sharp markdown flush is primed to unfold. ๐ชค๐
The projected blueprint shows an initial rejection down toward the 4,080 level, followed by a deceptive reflex bounce and a full-scale liquidation flush straight toward the 3,960 support target. ๐ฏ๐น
Technical patience remains your ultimate advantage in this environment. Buying directly into a heavily defended macro resistance block is an incredibly high-risk game. Professional desks wait for the rally to hit key overhead supply zones before aligning their capital with the primary institutional flow. ๐งโโ๏ธโก
๐ Trade Parameters:
๐ Short Zone: 4,180 - 4,200 ๐งฑ
๐ Stop-Loss: 4h close above 4,230 โ
๐ฐ Take-Profit: 3,960 ๐ฉธ
The retail crowd is getting excited over this short-term pump, completely ignoring the massive sell wall waiting right at 4,200. Stay disciplined, keep your risk strictly managed, and let the algorithm do the heavy lifting for you.
Don't let the intraday noise distract you from the structural flow. We will see you down at the 3,960 support floor! ๐๐
EURUSD - Daily CLS - Model 1Hi Friends, New CLS Range has been created and Im looking for Long Model 1 trade setup. As always after the manipulation in to the Key Level, below the CLS range and reaction, we need to see a confirmation switch from the manipulation phase - CIOD (change in order flow) in the the expansion.
โณ Stay patient and enter only after candle close.
๐ฏ Target: 50% of the CLS range.
Overall Im still bullish on Dollar, but it needs to make a pullback to the discount zone first ๐ฅ CLS Model 1 Video Explanation ๐ Bullish CLS Strategy Structure โ ๏ธ Risk Control is Key to Long Term Success
๐ Always place a proper stop loss
๐ Manage your risk per trade
๐ Stay disciplined & avoid emotional tradingโจ
๐Take the Trade only if you understand logic behind itโจ
๐ Protect Capital First
๐Boost | ๐ Share | ๐ฌ Comment | โ
Follow for more CLS setups
Adapt useful, Reject useless and add what is specifically yours.
David Perk โจ
Gold Technical Analysis: Breakout Opens Path Toward 4,200$Hello traders! Hereโs my technical outlook based on the current XAUUSD (1H) chart structure. XAUUSD previously traded inside a descending channel before forming a Double Bottom, where buyers regained control and triggered a recovery. Price later broke above a second descending channel, confirming strengthening bullish momentum. Currently, XAUUSD is trading above the 4,100 Buyer Zone while remaining below the 4,200 Seller Zone. The recent breakout and successful retest of support suggest buyers remain in control. As long as XAUUSD holds above the 4,100 Buyer Zone, the bullish scenario remains valid. A continuation higher could push price toward the 4,200 Seller Zone (TP1). However, a move back below the 4,100 Buyer Zone would weaken the bullish outlook. Please share this idea with your friends and click "Boost" ๐
Dogecoin Liquidity SetupDogecoin is currently trading above key daily support at $0.07 while holding above internal weekly resistance near $0.073.
These two levels have effectively created a local trading range, with price consolidating over the past several sessions. This period of sideways movement has allowed liquidity to build beneath the range, while the major swing low remains untouched, suggesting that the market may still be seeking additional liquidity before making its next significant move.
From a technical perspective, a temporary move below the current range would not necessarily be bearish. Instead, it could form a liquidity sweep that extends toward the protected swing low, triggering sell-side liquidity before quickly reversing higher. This type of price action is commonly known as a Swing Failure Pattern (SFP), where the market briefly breaks support to trap sellers before reclaiming the level and shifting momentum back to the upside.
The broader structure continues to favour this scenario as long as the higher-timeframe swing low remains intact. With liquidity also resting above the current range, the market has an incentive to rotate higher once downside liquidity has been collected.
A confirmed SFP would provide a strong technical signal that buyers have regained control, increasing the probability of a rally toward overhead liquidity and higher resistance levels while maintaining the broader bullish market structure.
Bulls Hold the Advantage... But Are Running Out of Easy WinsSince last Friday's low around 3960, Gold has rallied exactly 2,000 pips.
Even more impressive, since Tuesday's spike low around 4000, the market has gained roughly 1,600 pips in just two sessions.
That is a significant move in a very short period of time.
In yesterday's analysis, I explained why I believed the breakout above the descending trendline had shifted control back to the bulls. I also mentioned that the path toward 4200 had become increasingly realistic and that, rather than chasing price, traders should focus on buying pullbacks.
The 4100 area was my first support, while 4080 remained my preferred buying zone.
The market respected the first level.
Gold briefly tested the 4100 area, buyers immediately stepped back in, and the rally extended toward a fresh local high at 4166.
So far, everything looks exactly as a healthy bullish trend should.
But markets evolve.
And good traders evolve with them.
Why I'm Becoming More Cautious
Despite remaining constructive on Gold, there are a couple of details that deserve attention.
The first one is purely based on price action.
Personally, I would have preferred to see a deeper correction yesterday before the market pushed toward 4166.
Healthy trends need healthy pullbacks.
Without them, rallies become increasingly vulnerable to profit-taking and emotional buying.
The second observation comes from the lower timeframes.
The 1-hour chart is starting to resemble a small Head & Shoulders pattern.
No, it is not confirmed.
And no, I am not suddenly bearish.
But ignoring developing structures simply because they don't fit our bias is one of the quickest ways to become emotionally attached to a trade.
There is also a psychological aspect.
Only a few days ago, almost everyone was convinced Gold was heading to new yearly lows.
Now, after a rally of nearly 2,000 pips, many of those same traders have suddenly become aggressively bullish.
Markets have a funny way of making the majority feel comfortable... usually at the wrong time.
That alone doesn't make me bearish.
It simply makes me more cautious.
Trading View
Structurally, I still believe buyers have the upper hand.
However, with Gold currently trading in the middle of its short-term range, I don't see an attractive trade at current levels.
If the price breaks below 4110, the developing Head & Shoulders pattern would become increasingly relevant, opening the door for a deeper correction toward my preferred 4080 support zone.
That area is now the key battlefield.
If buyers defend 4080 and produce a convincing reversal, I will continue to favor the bullish scenario and still consider 4200 a realistic objective.
However, if Gold breaks back below 4080, the picture changes significantly.
The entire recovery from last week's lows would start looking more like a dead cat bounce than the beginning of a sustainable reversal, putting the yearly lows back into focus.
I don't like analyses that say, "if it doesn't go up, it will go down."
But I do believe every trader should understand both sides of the market before committing to one.
For now, my outlook remains bullish.
But for bulls, holding 4080 has become an absolute necessity. ๐
XAUUSD โ Bullish Breakout & Trend Reversal Setup๐ XAUUSD โ Bullish Breakout & Trend Reversal Setup
๐ Market Overview
Gold is showing early signs of a bullish reversal after defending a strong support zone within a descending channel. Price is now approaching the upper trendline while attempting to break above the cloud resistance, indicating that buying momentum is gradually strengthening.
A confirmed breakout above the descending trendline could mark the beginning of a fresh bullish expansion.
๐ Market Structure Insight
* Market Bias: Bullish
* Momentum: Improving
* Current Phase: Descending channel breakout attempt
As long as price continues holding above the lower support structure, buyers remain in control and upside continuation becomes increasingly likely.
๐ Trading Scenarios
โ
Bullish Scenario (Primary Bias)
Conditions:
* Price breaks and closes above the descending trendline.
* Buyers maintain control above the cloud resistance.
* Higher highs and higher lows continue to develop.
Trade Plan:
Look for buying opportunities after a confirmed breakout and successful retest of the trendline or nearby support.
๐ฏ Target 1: 4,190
๐ฏ Target 2: 4,295
โ Bearish Invalidation Scenario
Conditions:
* Price fails to break the trendline.
* Strong rejection below resistance.
* Breakdown beneath the key support zone.
Trade Plan:
A confirmed move below support would invalidate the bullish outlook and could shift momentum back in favor of sellers.
๐ฏ Key Support Zone: 3,944 โ 3,964
๐ Key Levels to Monitor
๐ข Immediate Resistance: 4,190
๐ข Major Resistance: 4,295
๐ด Primary Support: 3,964
๐ด Major Support: 3,944
โ ๏ธ Trading Perspective
The current technical structure suggests that Gold is approaching a decisive breakout point. A sustained move above the descending trendline and cloud resistance would confirm a bullish reversal, while failure at resistance may result in another corrective decline.
๐ง Professional Insight
This setup is supported by:
* Descending channel resistance nearing breakout
* Strong demand zone holding recent lows
* Improving cloud structure
* Potential higher-low formation
* Increasing bullish momentum
The highest-probability long opportunities typically appear after a confirmed breakout and successful retest, rather than entering before confirmation
๐ก๏ธ Risk Management
* Risk only 1โ2% per trade.
* Place stop loss below the recent swing low or support zone.
* Wait for breakout confirmation before entering.
* Avoid chasing extended bullish candles.
* Respect invalidation levels and always protect capital.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
XAUUSD: ABC Pullback May Prepare the Next Bullish Wave
Gold is still holding a constructive bullish structure after the strong recovery from the lower base. From Kellyโs view, the market has already created an impulsive move higher, and the current pullback may simply be an ABC correction before price attempts another upside continuation.
The key idea is simple: gold may correct first, but the bullish structure remains active while price holds above the trendline and the main buy zone.
โก Market structure
The chart shows gold recovering strongly from the 3,960 area, then building higher lows along the rising trendline. Price pushed into the 4,130โ4,140 region before slowing down, which is normal after a strong bullish leg.
Gold is now trading around 4,118, close to the short-term support area. The first reaction zone sits around 4,100โ4,105, where a small buy scalping setup may appear.
The more important zone is the 4,068โ4,075 area. This is marked as the possible end of the ABC correction. If buyers defend this zone, gold may start a new upward wave towards the upper trendline and the 4,150โ4,160 target area.
โค Key levels
โ 4,100โ4,105: buy scalping zone and short-term reaction area
โ 4,068โ4,075: main buy zone and possible ABC completion
โ 4,118โ4,123: current price reaction area
โ 4,130โ4,140: nearest resistance zone
โ 4,150โ4,160: upside target and trendline target area
โ Below 4,068: area where the bullish setup starts to weaken
โ Elliott Wave view
From an Elliott Wave perspective, gold appears to have completed a short bullish wave sequence from the lower base. After that, the current movement may be forming an ABC correction.
Wave A is the first pullback from the recent high.
Wave B may form a small rebound around the 4,100 zone.
Wave C may complete around 4,068โ4,075 if price continues to correct deeper.
If wave C ends inside this buy zone and a bullish confirmation candle appears, gold may begin the next continuation phase. The next target would be 4,130โ4,140 first, then 4,150โ4,160 if momentum expands.
โธ Trading scenario
Preferred scenario: wait for gold to complete the ABC correction around the buy zone before looking for continuation.
Entry zone: 4,068โ4,075 if bullish confirmation appears
Scalping entry zone: 4,100โ4,105 only if price reacts strongly
Stop loss: below the confirmed wave C low or below 4,060
Take profit 1: 4,130โ4,140
Take profit 2: 4,150โ4,160
Take profit 3: higher trendline area if bullish momentum continues
Alternative scenario: if gold breaks below 4,068 with strong bearish pressure, the ABC bullish setup weakens. In that case, price may need to form a deeper base before the next recovery becomes reliable.
โ Kellyโs view
For Kelly, this is a bullish continuation structure, but the market needs a healthy correction before the next strong move. Buying directly after a strong push is not the cleanest plan.
The better setup is to wait for gold to pull back into support, then watch whether buyers defend the ABC completion zone.
Gold is correcting inside a bullish structure.
If the buy zone holds, the next upside wave may continue towards 4,150โ4,160.
Share your view below.
EURUSD: Sellside Raid, Bullish NextEURUSD has completed a clean sell-side liquidity sweep and is showing signs of accumulation. With liquidity now injected below the lows, the higher probability path favors expansion toward the next buy-side liquidity pools.
The best trades often begin after everyone else gets stopped out.
Market Structure
โข Sell-side liquidity has been swept.
โข Strong reaction from the discount zone.
โข Bullish displacement suggests buyers are stepping in.
โข Focus now shifts to higher-timeframe buy-side liquidity.
Trade Idea
๐ข Wait for a confirmation or shallow retracement into the demand/FVG.
๐ฏ TP1: Internal buy-side liquidity.
๐ฏ TP2: Previous swing high.
๐ฏ Final Target: Major external buy-side liquidity.
Execution Plan
โ
Enter only after bullish confirmation.
โ
Keep risk below the liquidity sweep low.
โ
Scale profits as price reaches each liquidity objective.
โ Don't chase green candles. Let price come to you.
Liquidity first. Expansion second. Patience gets paid.
Not financial advice. Trade your own plan.
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Reversal Detected )HANZO MARKET LIQUIDITY REPORT
Gold
Timeframe: 30min (Volume Basis)
Scale: Higher Timeframe Context / Deep Volume analysis
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Market Observation
This analysis is focusing on structural behavior, liquidity zones, Volume analysis
and key areas of interest within the current range.
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Market Bias
Full liquidity Map
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๐ฅBullish Reversal
Key Volume Zone : 4045 Area
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Structure Factors:
โข Higher timeframe Volume reaction level
โข High-volume / Hidden
โข Range Defend structure
โข Volume Stacking
โข Quarter Volume
XAUUSD: Retracing Into 4,100 FVG Before Next Leg Toward 4,180Gold is giving a clean textbook pullback right now and honestly I like the structure forming here. After that liquidity sweep down near 3,966 flushed out the late sellers, price reversed sharply, broke structure at 4,040, and hasn't looked back since. That's a classic trap and reverse setup, exactly what smart money loves to do before a real move.
Right now price is pulling into the FVG sitting at 4,100 to 4,120, and this is the zone I'm watching closely. That gap never got filled on the way up, so a retest here makes complete sense before the trend continues. If buyers step in with some kind of reaction, a rejection wick, a quick bounce, anything showing real intent, that's my confirmation this leg isn't finished yet.
One thing worth respecting is the liquidity resting above 4,136 to 4,160. Wouldn't be surprised if price wicks into that zone first to grab some stops before the actual continuation plays out, or even taps it briefly on the way through. Either way my overall bias stays bullish as long as price holds above the FVG.
Invalidation is simple. If H1 closes back below 4,000 to 4,020, that breaks the bullish structure completely and the whole long thesis is off the table. No point holding below that level hoping for a recovery.
Main target sits up at 4,160 to 4,180 if this continuation plays out the way structure is suggesting.
Buy zone I'm watching: 4,100 to 4,120
Sell zone (scalp only, needs confirmation): 4,136 to 4,160
Invalidation level: below 4,000 to 4,020
This kind of retest into an FVG after a strong impulsive move is one of my favorite setups because it usually gives a clear reaction if the bias is real.
Anyone else watching this FVG retest, or are you already positioned on gold right now?
Silver (XAGUSD) 1H chart...Silver (XAGUSD) 1H chart:
Price has rallied strongly after breaking the downtrend.
It is now testing the 59.80โ60.00 resistance area.
A rejection from this resistance could lead to a pullback toward the marked support zones.
๐ XAGUSD Trade Setup
Bias: SELL (while price remains below 60.00)
๐ Entry Zone: 59.60โ59.90
๐ฏ Take Profit Levels
TP1: 57.30
TP2: 56.90
TP3: 55.30
๐ก๏ธ Stop Loss: 61.00 (above the resistance zone)
Alternative Scenario: If Silver closes convincingly above 60.00โ60.60, the bearish setup is weakened and the next upside target could be around 61.00โ61.50.
#XAUUSD: +1400 Pips Buying Opportunity! Things Have Changed ๐บGoldโs recent surge has shifted our bullish outlook. In our previous analysis, we overlooked the possibility of a price change altering the trend and completely reversing it. This explains why our sell entry failed so badly.
๐บHowever, with our confirmed view, we believe the price is likely to remain bullish until it reaches $4280. This is a crucial level for further confirmation. Will the price continue its bullish momentum or will bears take control?
๐บWe have two entry points to choose from so please be wise and manage your risk carefully.
Good luck and trade safely.โค๏ธ๐ง
Team SetupsFX_๐
BTC - Make or Break ZoneBitcoin (BTC) is currently trading around a major decision zone, making this a potential make-or-break area for its next directional move. ๐
Price is now testing the blue resistance zone, located roughly between $65,000 and $67,000, while also trading within the short-term rising blue channel.
๐ If BTC manages to break and close above the $65Kโ$67K resistance, bullish momentum would likely strengthen, opening the door for a move toward the red supply zone around $72Kโ$74K.
On the other hand, if the rising blue channel is broken to the downside, it would signal that buyers are losing momentum, increasing the probability of a fresh bearish impulse toward the major support zone around $58Kโ$60K.
As always, rather than anticipating the breakout in either direction, we will wait for price confirmation before considering any positions.
Will buyers reclaim the resistance, or will sellers take control once again? ๐ค
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
๐ Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! ๐
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
XAUUSD | Buy-Side Liquidity OutlookGold is approaching a key buy-side liquidity objective while maintaining a constructive market structure. A confirmed bullish continuation could target external liquidity above recent highs, whereas rejection from premium pricing may trigger a corrective move toward institutional demand. Traders should wait for market structure confirmation before execution.
GBPUSD Buy Opportunity | Bullish Continuation Toward 1.35600The chart shows a strong impulsive bullish move that created a Higher High (HH) around 1.35600.
After reaching the high, price entered a corrective phase, forming a series of Higher Lows (HL) while retracing into a major demand area.
Despite the pullback, the overall higher-timeframe bullish structure remains intact as long as the demand zone holds.
Break of Structure (BOS)
A clear Bullish BOS is visible after price broke above previous resistance, confirming institutional buying pressure.
The current decline appears to be a healthy retracement rather than a complete trend reversal.
Demand Zone
Demand Zone: 1.33555 โ 1.33400
Price is currently reacting inside this institutional demand zone.
Multiple candle rejections indicate buyers are defending this area.
This zone is the key decision point for the next bullish expansion.
Supply Zones
Major Supply: 1.35450 โ 1.35600
Intermediate Supply Zones: Around 1.34800 and 1.34500, which may act as temporary resistance during the rally.
Bullish Scenario
If buyers maintain control above the demand zone:
Price is likely to establish a higher low.
A bullish Break of Structure on the lower timeframe would confirm continuation.
Expected upside targets:
Target 1: 1.34450
Target 2: 1.34800
Target 3: 1.35200
Final Target: 1.35600 (major supply zone)
Trading Plan
Bias: Bullish
Entry: Buy on bullish confirmation within the demand zone.
Stop Loss: Below 1.33400
Take Profit: Scale out at 1.34450, 1.34800, 1.35200, and 1.35600.






















