looks a mess yes and it was not easy but the blueprint is live trial and error
Attempting to map this was not easy. And making sense of it on anytime frame under a 4 hour is a myth.
but for now we can wait to see how it plays out
Update on TXARBCBA:TXARD After my last publication, TXAR has been forming wave 1, Right at the moment im publishing this we are seeing the extension of the wave 3 of a lesser degree, it is all going as I planed. Any doubts in the comments
TXAR FInished Correction?BCBA:TXARD TXAR had my attention a long time ago, I'm almost sure the correction has finished. I have a lot of reason to think that, in the first place, when talking about Elliot Wave Patterns the corrections usually tend to finish on the 4th wave of less degree (as marked with the red rectangle), second I think that the count of fifth wave is completed, third if you see the candles they have a lot of wick on the lower part indicating the lower force to the bearish, forth the RSI is indicating overselling and last but not least the price is under the EMA indicating a good time for buying. Thanks for watching, any doubts comment down below!!
Long
Possible ending of the correction.BCBA:TXARD I have to possible counts, the first one and suposly more probable is that what we are seeing is a zig zag, on the other hand we can have a WXY. If what we are having is a Zig Zag It is probable that the correction will finish on the red rectangle, because it is commonly seen correction waves finishing on the wave 4 of the less degree, plus the fibonnacci extension and correction is around there. I'm thinking on the WXY correction possibility because the first part of the correction is not completely clear whether it is a 5 wave impulse or an ABC, although this possibility is way more unprovable.
Any thought or doubts you can share on the comments!!
Txar 3 wave or CBCBA:TXAR The correction finished earlier than I expected, although my expectation for the impulse are the same. Now that the correction could be over we have 2 scenarios, the first one is that the correction is over so our 3th wave should go at least to the 1 mark of the fibbonacci, the other could be that we are seeing a flat or a complex correction, however because it is the first correction it is more probable to be a zig zag that is sharper whether than anything else.
Long
Correction of previous idea txarBCBA:TXAR new Count of Elliot since the market showed me another way as I expected
The Four Different Sideways TrendsIn the modern Market Structure, stocks, indexes and industry indexes move sideways or trend moving horizontally most of the time. Understanding this phenomenon and how to use it to your advantage is important to learn.
There are 4 different types of price moving sideways:
1. The consolidation is a very narrow price range, often less than 5% but can be wider. The consolidation trend usually lasts a few days to a few weeks. The price action is very tight and small. Pro traders dominate consolidations usually. Price pings between a narrow price range low and high. Price is a penny spread or few pennies at most. This means the candlesticks are very very small and tightly compacted.
Consolidations are relatively easy to identify on a stock chart. These pattern create a liquidity shift which an HFT AI algo discovers and triggers its automated orders to drive price up or down based on the positions the pro traders are holding.
Consolidations create fast paced momentum and velocity runs that you can take advantage of IF you learn to enter the position BEFORE HFTs and then the smaller funds, retail day traders and gamblers drive price upward. You and pro traders ride the run until you see a Pro trader exit candle pattern to close the position.
2. The Platform Position sideways trend is also very precise with consistent highs and lows. These are the realm of the Dark Pools hidden accumulation and if you are trying to day trade a platform then it will whipsaw and cause losses. The width is too narrow for day trading. The platform is about 10% of the price in width. Platforms form after a market has had a correction and numerous stocks are building bottoms. Once the bottom completes and the Dark Pools recognize that the stock price is below fundamental levels the Dark Pool raise their buy zone price range to a new level. Often HFTs gap up a stock and then Dark Pools resume their hidden accumulation at that higher level. The goal is to enter just before the HFT gap up to the new fundamental level for swing or day trading.
Platforms offer low risk and the position can be held for weeks or months generating excellent income with minimal time for busy trades who do not have the time to swing trade. Platforms are also good for swing traders if they time their entry correctly.
3. Sideways trends are a mix of retail investors and retail day traders, smaller funds managers and sometimes Dark Pools hidden within the wider sideways trend. These trends with the wider mix of market participants have inconsistent highs and lows which often times causes retail day traders losses as they do not understand the dynamics of the wide sideways trend. These sideways trends are more than 10% and as wide as 20% of the stock price.
4. The Trading Range is the hardest to trade and often causes the most losses as frequently the trading range is so wide it is not easily recognized on the daily charts but is visible and obvious on a weekly chart. The inconsistent highs and lows within the very wide trading range cause problems and losses for most day and swing retail traders.
The size differential of each sideways trend tells you WHO is in control of price and how to trade it for maximum profits, lower risk, and to make trading fun rather than harder.
Education
SPY Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-05-25SPY Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-05-25)
Model Summaries
Grok/xAI Report
Technicals: SPY at $579.11, below short-term EMAs (10/50 on 5-min), above 200-period EMA, RSI oversold on 5-min, MACD bearish. Daily chart neutral to slightly bearish. Sentiment: Rising VIX (22.29), max pain at $580. Trade: Buy 2025-05-30 577 put at $5.12, profit target ~3-point move, 20% stop loss, confidence 65%.
Claude/Anthropic Report
Technicals: 5-min and daily charts bearish but RSI oversold intraday. Volume selling peaked. Sentiment: Max pain $580, heavy OI at 575/570 puts, futures up. Trade: Buy 2025-05-30 581 calls at ~$4.91, profit targets 25–50%, 30% stop loss, confidence 65%.
Llama/Meta Report
Technicals: Moderately bearish on 5-min EMAs and MACD, daily neutral. Sentiment: Elevated VIX, max pain at $580. Trade: Buy 2025-05-30 579 put at $5.95, 20% profit target, 10% stop loss, confidence 70%.
DeepSeek Report
Technicals: Mixed signals—5-min oversold vs. daily bearish. Sentiment: Stuck between support $576.86 and max pain $580. Trade: No recommendation (confidence 45%).
Gemini/Google Report
Technicals: Daily and 5-min bearish, price under key EMAs. Futures suggest gap up to $581–581.50. Sentiment: Rising VIX, max pain at $580. Trade: Fade the open—buy 2025-05-30 578 puts at ~$2.20, target $3.00, stop ~$1.60, confidence 65%. Agreement and Disagreement
Agreement
Short-term bearish bias: Most see SPY below intraday EMAs and bearish MACD. Elevated volatility: All cite VIX rising above 20 as a risk factor and opportunity. Max pain magnet: Models note $580 as a gravitational level.
Disagreement
Directional tilt: Claude is moderately bullish (buy calls), others lean bearish or neutral. Trade entry strike: Puts at 577, 578, 579 vs. calls at 581. Risk parameters: Profit targets and stop losses vary widely (10–50% of premium). Conclusion and Recommendation
Overall Market Direction Consensus: Moderately Bearish. SPY is below key short-term EMAs, MACD on multiple timeframes is negative, and although oversold conditions could spark a bounce, the preponderance of models favors downside.
Recommended Trade
Strategy: Buy a single-leg naked put Instrument: SPY weekly put expiring 2025-05-30 Strike: 577.00 (ask $5.12) Premium: $5.12 Entry Timing: At market open, assuming SPY does not gap significantly below $579 or above $581. Profit Target: 40% gain (premium ~$7.17) Stop Loss: 25% premium loss (premium ~$3.84) Size: 1 contract Confidence Level: 65%
Key Risks and Considerations
SPY could bounce strongly from oversold levels or pre-market futures strength, invalidating the bearish setup. Theta decay accelerates late in the week; monitor time decay. VIX spikes could amplify premium and widen bid-ask spreads.
TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format)
{ "instrument": "SPY", "direction": "put", "strike": 577.0, "expiry": "2025-05-30", "confidence": 0.65, "profit_target": 7.17, "stop_loss": 3.84, "size": 1, "entry_price": 5.12, "entry_timing": "open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-05-25 21:27:17 UTC-04:00" } 📊 TRADE DETAILS 📊 🎯 Instrument: SPY 🔀 Direction: PUT (SHORT) 🎯 Strike: 577.00 💵 Entry Price: 5.12 🎯 Profit Target: 7.17 🛑 Stop Loss: 3.84 📅 Expiry: 2025-05-30 📏 Size: 1 📈 Confidence: 65% ⏰ Entry Timing: open 🕒 Signal Time: 2025-05-25 21:27:49 EDT
Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
Short
Balanceo de cartera por monedas / carry trade #Sistema de BandasThe following chart shows how the portfolio could be balanced, taking into account exchange rate sensitivity and different levels of preference for both currencies.
RATIO TXAR USD VS. MERVAL USDFrom the graph it is interpreted that the relative price of TXAR is at its lowest compared to the Merval shares as a whole.
Which would suggest to us that it is behind schedule, this is just a ratio looking at other indicators, the stock still has a lot to go down, compared for example vs. The inflation of the last 5 years is much higher.
XP INC CED EACH 2 REPR 1 | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# XP INC CED EACH 2 REPR 1
Double Formation | A+ Set Up
* Wedge Structure | Double Bottom Alignment | Subdivision 1
* 012345 Main Structure On Hold | Support=0 | Subdivision 2
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
London(Upwards) - NYC(Downwards)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Sell
Short
Sea Limited Cedear each 32 REP 1 ADRKey Indicators on Trade Set Up in General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
# Sea Limited Cedear each 32 REP 1 ADR
- Rising Wedge & Falling Wedge
* Retracement
* Angle 1 & 2
Active Sessions on Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
London(Upwards) - NYC(Downwards)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management on Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
Long
Is EEM completing a bullish Bat pattern?EEM is trending lower but emerging markets such as China have great growth companies. A bullish Bat pattern could be finishing to develop and we should watch for a buy in the 8700-9000 area.
Long
$BHIP ArgentinaThis Argentine Bank is going above the Ichimoku Cloud in 1W TF. Looks really bulllish as the rest of the Argentine Index.
Long
SPY: Continuity of the upward trendContinuity of the uptrend on SPY as you can see on the chart once the resistance line is broken forcefully by a large green candle and followed by a large green volume.
Long
YPF SOCIEDAD ANONIMA in dayYPF SOCIEDAD ANONIMA I do not recommend buying stocks now. The market reaches the Fibonacci extension level and the highest level in pitfork
Short
YPF SOCIEDAD ANONIMA will be in sidewaysThe chart pattern shows the stock will continue to be in sideways .
Long
GLong
m2 BCRA and MEP correlation ?Correlation between PESO m2 BCRA and MEP measured by AAPL/AAPLD on BYMA
HSBC Europe Sun Storm Investment Trading Desk & NexGen Wealth Management Service Present's: SSITD & NexGen Portfolio of the Week Series
Focus: Worldwide
By Sun Storm Investment Research & NexGen Wealth Management Service
A Profit & Solutions Strategy & Research
Trading | Investment | Stocks | ETF | Mutual Funds | Crypto | Bonds | Options | Dividend | Futures |
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Disclaimer: Sun Storm Investment and NexGen are not registered financial advisors, so please do your own research before trading & investing anything. This is information is for only research purposes not for actual trading & investing decision.
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