AUDCAD - Resistance Comes Back Into Focus!AUDCAD continued its bullish momentum after rejecting the blue support area, with buyers successfully pushing price higher toward the next key technical resistance.
Price is now approaching the red resistance and supply area, which has previously acted as an important barrier for the market and is worth monitoring closely.
โญAs price approaches this resistance zone, we can start looking for sell setups on lower timeframes, particularly if price shows signs of rejection from the current area.
โญHowever, if buyers manage to break above the current resistance zone, it would indicate that bullish momentum remains strong and increase the probability of further upside.
The upcoming reaction may reveal whether sellers are ready to slow the current recovery, or if buyers have enough momentum to continue pushing higher.
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer: This analysis reflects my personal market view and is not financial advice.
Rayan Nasser
#AUDCAD #AUD #CAD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #Trading #MarketStructure
Australian Dollar/Canadian Dollar
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In-depth trading ideas
๏ปฟAUD/CAD Liquidity Grab Alert | High Probability Bullish Setup๐ฆ
๐ฐ AUD/CAD "AUSSIE vs LOONIE" โ BULLISH HEIST IN MOTION ๐จ๐
Forex Market Trade Opportunity Guide | Day/Swing Trade ๐ฅ
๐ฐ THE HEIST PLAN โ BULLISH JOB ๐ข
๐ Entry: Open entry accepted at ANY price level (Thief OG style โ no fixed door, we're breaking in from any angle ๐ช)
๐ฆ Vault Target (Final): @ 1.00000
๐ Vault Target 1 (Partial Escape): @ 0.99200
๐ Police Force Alert: Heavy resistance + overbought conditions + liquidity trap risk sitting just below the 1.00000 handle โ trend-change risk is real here, so grab your loot in tranches, don't get greedy ๐
๐ช Escape Hatch (Stop Loss): @ 0.97600
โ ๏ธ Note: Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG's), i'am not recommended to set only my TP. its your own choice you can make money then take money at your own risk.
โ ๏ธ Note: Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG's), i'am not recommended to set only my SL. its your own choice you can make money then take money at your own risk.
๐ CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH ๐
๐ต AUD/USD โ approx $0.7000-0.7010: Direct AUD strength gauge. If Aussie legs up here too, it confirms broad AUD demand feeding the AUD/CAD heist, not just a CAD weakness story.
๐ต USD/CAD โ approx $1.4030-1.4080: Inverse-style tell. A softer USD/CAD (CAD strength) works against our bullish plan; a firmer USD/CAD (CAD weakness) supports the vault run.
๐ต DXY (US Dollar Index) โ approx 100.7-101.0: Broad dollar strength pressures CAD indirectly since CAD sits in the DXY basket (~9.1% weight) โ rising DXY can drag CAD down too, aiding our thesis.
๐ต WTI Crude Oil โ approx $82/barrel: CAD is a petro-currency. Strength in oil usually cushions CAD; oil weakness removes support from the Loonie and helps our bullish AUD/CAD case.
๐ FUNDAMENTAL & ECONOMIC FACTORS (Neutral โ Market Facts Only) ๐
๐๏ธ RBA (Australia): Cash rate sitting at 4.10%, following a run of hikes through early 2026 on sticky inflation and tight labor conditions. Next scheduled decision: 11 August 2026.
๐๏ธ BoC (Canada): Held its overnight rate at 2.25% on 15 July 2026 โ sixth consecutive hold. Bank flagged improving growth but ongoing risk from Middle East-linked oil price volatility and US trade policy. Next decision: 2 September 2026.
๐ Rate Differential: AUD (4.10%) vs CAD (2.25%) โ a notably wide gap that keeps AUD carry-appeal in focus, purely as a market fact, not a directional call.
๐ข๏ธ Oil/Geopolitics: Middle East tensions have kept crude elevated this year, a swing factor for CAD in either direction depending on how prices move next.
๐ค AI capex build-out cited by BoC as a supportive global growth factor.
๐
Watch the calendar: upcoming Australian employment/CPI prints and Canadian CPI/jobs data are the next scheduled catalysts that could move this pair sharply either way.
๐จ RISK FACTORS THAT COULD BUST THE JOB ๐จ
๐บ A hawkish surprise from the BoC in September could give CAD sudden strength
๐บ A dovish RBA tone shift on softer Aussie data could cap AUD upside
๐บ Sharp oil price swings (geopolitical shock either direction) could flip CAD sentiment fast
๐บ Police Force zone near 1.00000 is a known liquidity magnet โ false breakouts are common here
๐ฏ THIEF TRADER MOTIVATION ๐ฌ
"A true Thief doesn't chase every vault โ he studies the blueprint, waits for the window, and strikes with precision. Patience is the best crowbar in this business." ๐๏ธ๐ฅ
"Every red candle is just the police shining a light โ smart thieves adapt the plan, they don't abandon the mission." ๐จ๐ช
๐ฃ CALLS TO ACTION FOR THE CREW ๐ฅ
๐ Boost this idea if you're riding with the Thief OG's on this heist!
๐ฌ Drop a comment โ bullish, bearish, or just here for the vibes?
๐ Follow Thief Trader so you never miss the next job briefing!
โ๏ธ DISCLAIMER
Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG's), i'am not recommended to set only my TP/SL. its your own choice you can make money then take money at your own risk.
#AUDCAD #ForexTrading #AussieVsLoonie #ThiefTrader #ThiefOGs #ForexSignals #DayTrading #SwingTrading #PriceAction #TradingViewIdeas #RBA #BankOfCanada #ForexCommunity
Rising towards 127.2% Fib resistance?AUD/CAD is rising toward the pivot, which is an overlap resistance that is slightly above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and could reverse toward the 1st support, which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.98819
1st Support: 0.98367
1st Resistance: 0.99398
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Bearish reversal setup?AUD/CAD is rising to the resistance level, which is an overlap resistance and could reverse from this level to our take-profit.
Entry: 0.9842
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 0.98701
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.98018
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (โVantage Global Limitedโ, โweโ) by a third-party provider (โEverest Fortune Groupโ). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUD/CAD BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are targeting the 0.981 level area with our short trade on AUD/CAD which is based on the fact that the pair is overbought on the BB band scale and is also approaching a resistance line above thus going us a good entry option.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
โ
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AUDCAD Will Fall! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUDCAD is reacting from a horizontal supply area after sweeping buy-side liquidity. Expect sellers to defend this premium zone and push price toward the imbalance below. Time Frame 4H.
Sell!
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Bearish drop off?AUD/CAD is rising towards the resistance level, which is an overlap resistance and could drop from this level to our take-profit.
Entry: 0.98160
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 0.98502
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.97685
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (โVantage Global Limitedโ, โweโ) by a third-party provider (โEverest Fortune Groupโ). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUDCAD My Opinion! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the AUDCAD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 0.9870
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 0.9841
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
โโโโโโโโโโโ
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUD/CAD BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG
Hello, Friends!
We are going long on the AUD/CAD with the target of 0.980 level, because the pair is oversold and will soon hit the support line below. We deduced the oversold condition from the price being near to the lower BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is red and gives us a counter-signal.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
โ
LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEASโ
AUDCAD - Support Holding the Trend?AUDCAD is currently sitting around a strong support zone marked in blue, an area that has repeatedly attracted buyers in recent months. ๐
๐ As long as this support zone continues to hold, we will be looking for trend-following long setups, anticipating another move toward the upper boundary of the current range.
A breakdown below this support would weaken the bullish outlook, but until then, buyers remain in control of this key area.
As always, rather than buying blindly into support, we will wait for bullish confirmation before considering any long positions.
Will buyers defend this support once again and fuel the next bullish leg? ๐ค
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
๐ Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! ๐
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
AUD/CAD | Breakout & Retest Strategy | Bulls vs Bears๐ฅ AUD/CAD "AUSSIE vs LOONIE" โ THE HEIST IS ON! ๐ฆ๐ฐ๐ | Forex Trade Opportunity Guide (Day/Swing Setup)
๐ญ THE HEIST PLAN โ Dual Vault Strategy (Bullish & Bearish)
Thief OG's, this vault has two doors โ we're watching both ๐๐
๐ข BULLISH RAID
๐ช Entry: Enter only AFTER breakout & retest confirmation โ no rushing the vault door
๐ Vault Target (TP): 1.00000
๐จ Escape Hatch (SL): 0.97600
๐ด BEARISH RAID
๐ช Entry: Enter only AFTER breakdown & retest confirmation
๐ Vault Target (TP): 0.96800
๐จ Escape Hatch (SL): 0.98600
โ ๏ธ Police Alert: Strong resistance zone overhead is showing signs of overbought conditions + a potential bull trap + possible trend-change signals. Thieves who overstay near the vault risk getting caught โ bank your profits before the sirens hit ๐๐
๐ Note: Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG's) i'am not recommended to set only my TP. its your own choice you can make money then take money at your own risk.
๐ Note: Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG's) i'am not recommended to set only my SL. its your own choice you can make money then take money at your own risk.
๐บ๏ธ CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH (Getaway Routes)
๐ต AUD/USD
The Aussie leg of our heist. AUD/CAD tends to move with AUD strength/weakness against the broader dollar bloc โ if AUD/USD pushes higher on risk appetite, it often lifts AUD/CAD alongside it.
๐ต USD/CAD
The Loonie side of the vault. USD/CAD and AUD/CAD share the CAD leg โ when Canadian Dollar weakens broadly (USD/CAD rises), it can add bullish pressure to AUD/CAD too, since CAD is the common denominator.
๐ข๏ธ WTI Crude Oil
Canada is a major oil exporter, so CAD strength is often tied to crude prices. Elevated oil (currently supported by Middle East supply-risk headlines) can act as a tailwind for CAD strength โ which would work against our AUD/CAD bulls and in favor of the bears.
๐ NEUTRAL FUNDAMENTALS & ECONOMIC FACTORS (Live Market Data โ Not Slanted Either Direction)
๐ฆ RBA (Australia): Cash rate currently held at 4.35%. Next Board decision is 11 August 2026. Market pricing leans toward a hold, though a split remains among major bank economists โ some flag August as a live risk for one more hike depending on incoming inflation data.
๐ฆ BoC (Canada): Just held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight meeting (decision dated 15 July 2026), with the Bank Rate at 2.5% and deposit rate at 2.20%. Canadian CPI has pushed up to around 3.2%, largely gasoline/energy-driven. Policymakers noted they're looking through the near-term oil shock but stand ready to act if price pressures broaden. Next BoC decision: 2 September 2026.
๐ข๏ธ Oil / Geopolitical: Crude prices remain elevated on renewed US-Iran tensions and Strait of Hormuz shipping-risk headlines, which is a live swing factor for CAD given Canada's status as a major oil exporter.
๐ Growth backdrop: Canadian growth has shown signs of resuming in Q2 after a choppy stretch; Australian labour market and inflation data remain the key swing factors ahead of the RBA's August decision.
โ ๏ธ RISK FACTORS THAT COULD FLIP THIS THESIS
๐ธ A surprise RBA rate move (hike or dovish hold) in August could sharply reprice AUD
๐ธ A spike or sudden de-escalation in Middle East oil-supply risk could swing CAD hard in either direction
๐ธ Broader risk-on/risk-off sentiment shifts (equities, commodities) can override technical levels
๐ธ Low-liquidity session gaps around breakout/retest zones can trigger false signals
๐ฌ Thief Trader Wisdom:
"A real thief doesn't chase the vault โ he waits for the door to open itself." ๐
"Patience is the best crew member you'll ever recruit." ๐ฐ๏ธ๐ฐ
๐ฅ Join the Crew, Thief OG's!
๐ฅ Boost this idea if the heist plan is clean
๐ฌ Drop your thoughts in the comments โ bulls or bears, which door are you walking through?
โ Follow Thief Trader for the next job
AUDCAD Will Go Lower From Resistance! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDCAD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.983.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.978 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
AUD-CAD Free Signal! Sell!
Hello, Traders!
AUDCAD rejecting the horizontal supply area after a liquidity sweep into premium pricing. Sellers are defending this zone, favoring a bearish continuation toward the next downside objective.
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Stop Loss: 0.9854
Take Profit: 0.9832
Entry: 0.9843
Time Frame: 4H
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Sell!
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AUD/CAD Daily OutlookAUD/CAD has rejected the daily resistance zone near 0.9880 signalling renewed bearish pressure. Price may look to test (and reject) 0.9842, where sellers could target the lower daily support area around 0.9750 to 0.9760 over the coming sessions. A sustained recovery above 0.9842 would weaken this bearish outlook and could bring the upper resistance zone back into focus.
AUDCAD Short Term Buy IdeaH1 - Downtrend line breakout.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Until the two strong support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further after pullbacks.
If you enjoy this idea, donโt forget to LIKE ๐, FOLLOW โ
, SHARE ๐, and COMMENT โ! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! ๐
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AUDCAD LongAfter tapping into the Lazy Trader Mini CHOCH Demand Zone, AUDCAD is building momentum for a potential push back to the highs! ๐ฏ
Entry: ~0.8562
Stop Loss: ~0.8456 (placed safely below recent structural lows)
Target: ~0.8833 (targeting liquidity near the unmitigated BOS supply level)
RR Ratio: ~2.5+ ๐ฅ
Price is consolidating nicely above the entry zone. Will the bulls keep control and drive this up to target, or will supply push back? ๐
Whatโs your take on AUD/CADโBullish or Bearish? Letโs hear it below! ๐
#AUDCAD #ForexTrading #SmartMoneyConcepts #SMC #TradingView #ForexSetup #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #ForexSignals #TraderLife #ChartAnalysis #RiskReward #ForeignExchange #FxTrader
AUD/CAD BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD/CAD pair is in the downtrend because previous weekโs candle is red, while the price is obviously rising on the 4H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 0.977 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
โ
LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEASโ






















