YPF: Argentina Energy Anchor & Macro BreakoutThe Setup:
YPF S.A. ( NYSE:YPF ) is Argentina's majority state-owned oil and gas major and acts as the energy anchor of the overarching Argentina "Milei reform trade." The broader Argentine market index ( BCBA:IMV ) is pushing to all-time highs and attempting to break out of a 1-year base , which provides a massive macro tailwind. When the index officially breaks out, it tends to drag structural leaders like NYSE:YPF right along with it into a sustained uptrend.
Reasoning:
Argentina Ma
In-depth trading ideas
$YPF: Sell Argentine stocks, and sell shortGM gents, it seems that Argentine stock market peaked, the signs were there for a few months and it only got worse since the Buenos Aires province election that showed a devastating victory by the opposition to Milei's "libertarian" crusade.
Back in August 2022, it became clear NYSE:YPF would surge for 10 quarters in a row, and the time for this trend expired, odds of a reversal or long term consolidation are very high since December 2024.
Now the monthly has traced a big distribution patter
YPF (NYSE: YPF) Lead Argentine Stock RallyThe U.S.-listed shares of YPF SA (YPF) shot up 24.3% toward a one-month high in premarket trading Monday, as investors in the Argentina-based oil and gas company cheered the election of right-wing populist Javier Milei as the new president of Argentina.
The stock's rally was part of a broad gains in share of other Argentina-based companies, as the Global X MSCI Argentina ETF soared 12.2%, to put it on track to open at the highest price seen during regular-session hours since Sept. 5.
Technica
An Entry Against the Trend YPFI noticed a repeating pattern and tried to annotate this pattern using 1,2,3,4, and pattern completion 5 (white)
An entry here on this Monthly chart would be chasing this potential rise based on pattern completion
Risky entry against the trend, still possibly valid although, hard to pull off
$YPF YPF Triangle. 4 good support.$YPF Triangle. 4 good support. So far, we have seen two triangle patterns: one from an uptrend and bullish market move and one from a downtrend with a decidedly bearish look. Symmetrical triangles, on the other hand, are thought of as continuation patterns developed in markets that are, for the most part, aimless in direction. The market seems listless in its direction. The supply and demand, therefore, seem to be one and the same.
During this period of indecision, the highs and the lows seem
A technical approach to YPFEven when YPF is considered for many investors linked with a non market friendly goverment, we can see a clearly and non random ressitance and support trend lines. From 1994 to April 2020 YPF was under 11 usd only for 2 months. It´s time to buy. Target? 15 usd in one year.






















