Bitcoin Cash (BCH) Technical Analysis | 4H Breakout Setup4H Analysis | BCHUSDT (Bitcoin Cash)
๐ Hello TradingView Community!
Hello everyone! Hope you're having a great trading week. ๐ฑ๐
Today we're taking a look at Bitcoin Cash (BCH), one of the oldest cryptocurrencies in the market that often attracts attention whenever liquidity flows back into the altcoin market.
๐ Fundamental Overview
๐น Bitcoin Cash was created in 2017 as a fork of Bitcoin with the goal of providing faster transactions and lower network fees.
๐น In the current market environment, investors are not only watching Bitcoin but also established altcoins with strong market recognition. BCH remains one of those assets that could benefit if fresh capital rotates into the crypto market.
๐น However, macroeconomic conditions, central bank policies, interest rates, and overall capital inflows into digital assets continue to be the primary drivers of BCH's long-term direction. ๐๐ฐ
๐ Technical Analysis (4H)
On the 4-hour timeframe, BCH is trading inside a compression (consolidation) pattern. ๐
๐ The dynamic support and resistance lines define the current trading range, suggesting that price is approaching a decisive breakout point.
โ
Bullish Scenario
๐ If the price closes and holds above the dynamic resistance, it could confirm a bullish breakout and activate potential long opportunities after confirmation.
โ Bearish Scenario
๐ On the other hand, if price breaks below the key support level, selling pressure may increase, opening the door for a deeper bearish move and potential short setups.
โณ For now, price remains inside the compression zone, making patience the preferred strategy until a confirmed breakout occurs.
๐ณ๏ธ Poll
What do you expect next for BCH?
๐ข Bullish breakout above resistance ๐
๐ด Bearish breakdown below support ๐
๐ก More sideways consolidation โณ
Share your opinion in the comments! ๐
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer
This analysis reflects my personal technical perspective based on price action and market structure. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Always apply proper risk management and conduct your own research before trading.
๐ท๏ธ Tags
BCHUSDT BitcoinCash CryptoAnalysis TechnicalAnalysis PriceAction SupportAndResistance BreakoutTrading CryptoTrading Altcoins TradingView ForexCity
In-depth trading ideas
๏ปฟBCH 8H โ Rising Trendline Holding Below Horizontal ResistanceBCH on the 8H timeframe is currently trading around 187.9 after pulling back from the early July high near 252 and finding support on the rising trendline near 207โ209 on August 1, with price now consolidating between the trendline below and the 215โ220 horizontal resistance zone that has capped the structure through the post-spike consolidation.
The chart shows a rising trendline originating from the late June low near 182โ184, connecting the June 29 higher low near 190 and the August 1 touch near 207โ209 before price recovered. That trendline has been the macro support floor across the entire visible chart, with the July 10 high near 252 representing the peak before a sustained decline brought price back toward it. The 215โ220 horizontal zone has been a consistent pivot throughout July and early August, with price crossing through it in both directions multiple times without establishing a clean hold above. A secondary reference level near 211โ213 sits just below as an additional support layer. Price bounced from the trendline near 207โ209 on August 1 and has been consolidating in the 211โ220 zone since, with the trendline continuing to climb beneath.
The rising trendline has now been tested twice, once in early July near 190 and again on August 1 near 207โ209, with both touches producing a recovery, keeping the macro upward structure intact despite the sharp decline from the July high.
Key Levels To Watch
โ 248.0โ252.0 July high, major resistance above
โ 232.0โ236.0 Prior consolidation zone, resistance
โ 224.0โ226.0 Minor resistance, post-spike reference
โ 215.0โ220.0 Horizontal pivot, current resistance zone
โ 211.0โ213.0 Secondary support, mid-range reference
โ 207.0โ209.0 Rising trendline, dynamic support (climbing)
โ Below 199.0 Trendline breakdown, macro structure at risk
A confirmed 8H close above 215โ220 and follow-through toward 224โ226 would confirm the trendline bounce as a structural recovery, reopening the path toward the prior consolidation zone near 232โ236 and potentially the July high above.
A loss of the rising trendline near 207โ209 on a confirmed 8H close would break the macro support floor that has held every significant low since late June, exposing price to a move toward 199 and potentially the June low near 182โ184 on an extended breakdown.
Second trendline touch held and price consolidating below horizontal resistance. Break above 215โ220 โ recovery open toward 224โ232. Lose trendline near 207โ209 โ macro structure broken, downside toward 199 and below. Bias bullish above rising trendline. Shift only on confirmed close below 207โ209.
$BCH/USDT ANALYSISBitcoin Cash remains in a long-term bearish trend after breaking down from a large rising wedge. The sharp decline has already met its projected downside target, and price is now moving sideways, suggesting a period of accumulation rather than a confirmed trend reversal.
๐ Current Price: ~215 USDT
๐ข Major Support: 180 USDT
๐ด Immediate Resistance: 240โ250 USDT
Bullish Scenario
If BCH breaks above the current consolidation range with strong volume, it could begin a recovery toward higher resistance levels.
๐ฏ Target 1: 250 USDT
๐ฏ Target 2: 300 USDT
๐ฏ Major Target: 360 USDT
Bearish Scenario
If the 180 USDT support fails, sellers could regain control and push BCH toward fresh lows.
๐ Key Support: 180 USDT
โ ๏ธ Invalidation: Daily close below 180 USDT
Market Outlook: Neutral. The rising wedge breakdown played out as expected, and BCH is now consolidating near a major support area. A breakout above 240โ250 USDT would be the first sign that bullish momentum is returning.
#BCHUSDT ANALYSIS (1D Timeframe)BCHUSDT is trading inside a descending channel, indicating that the broader trend remains bearish. Price recently faced rejection near the upper channel resistance and is now drifting back toward the middle of the channel.
๐ Current Price: ~212 USDT
๐ข Key Support: 180โ190 USDT
๐ด Key Resistance: 224โ245 USDT
Bullish Scenario
A daily close above the descending channel resistance would invalidate the bearish structure and could trigger a stronger recovery.
๐ฏ Breakout Target: 224.49 USDT
๐ฏ Extended Target: 245โ260 USDT if bullish momentum continues.
Bearish Scenario
As long as BCH remains below the channel resistance, sellers retain control.
๐ Downside Target: 190 USDT
๐ Major Support: 180 USDT
โ ๏ธ Invalidation: A daily close above 245 USDT would invalidate the bearish outlook.
Market Outlook: Bearish to Neutral. BCH remains trapped inside a descending channel. Until buyers reclaim the upper trendline, the probability favors continued consolidation or another move toward the lower support zone.
Bitcoin Cash (BCH): Accumulation Zone Before the Next Bull CycleBitcoin Cash is approaching a major long-term support area while trading inside what could become a new accumulation range.
The focus should not be on predicting the exact bottom, but on observing how price behaves inside the highlighted box. If BCH spends time building a base in this region, history suggests it could be preparing for a new bullish cycle.
The key confirmation will come only after:
Price stabilizes inside the accumulation zone.
A bullish market structure develops.
The long-term descending trendline is broken.
A breakout above the downtrend would be a strong technical signal that accumulation has ended and a new uptrend may be beginning.
For now, I see this area as an opportunity to gradually accumulate, rather than chase higher prices after confirmation.
Patience is essential. Markets often spend months building a foundation before the next major move.
Watch the box. If accumulation develops here and the long-term downtrend breaks, BCH could be entering a new bull cycle.
This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
BCHโs Trap Is Almost Ready - Will Bulls Take Control Next?Yello Paradisers! Are you prepared for a potential sharp move on #BCH, or are you still underestimating whatโs quietly building behind the scenes? At first glance, this structure might seem like a simple and healthy pullback. But when we strip away emotions and analyse the chart objectively, a completely different narrative emerges. This is not random price action โ this is a high-risk, high-opportunity zone where discipline matters far more than opinions.
๐#BCH has recently printed a classic Selling Climax, followed by a Climactic Action candle backed by ultra-high volume. This is a textbook probability that accumulation may be developing. Historically, this type of behaviour often appears when smart money starts positioning before a larger move. To inexperienced traders, it may look like noise. But for experienced traders, this kind of volume reaction carries serious weight.
๐#BCH swept the Selling Climax with an Automatic Rally structure and then aggressively breaking above the Automatic Rally trend-line with strong momentum. This is a key probability. It suggests weak hands are being forced out of the market while stronger participants continue accumulating positions with confidence.
๐#BCH breaks above the upper trigger line of selling climax with a strong momentum candle adding more confluence for the bullish probability. If the prices sustain this momentum, the next upside path can open toward 251, which is currently acting as a major structural resistance level.
๐#BCH The broader structure has now shifted toward the bullish side. During the retracement, prices tested the four-hour order block, while momentum gradually began turning upward again.
๐A clear RSI divergence is also visible, adding further confirmation to the bullish probability. As long as prices holds momentum inside the order block and fair value gap zone, the structure remains constructive. The first major resistance level to monitor is 238. A decisive break and sustained acceptance above this area would strengthen the probability of further continuation toward 251.
๐If #BCH fails to hold bullish momentum and a momentum candle closes below 208, the current bullish probability becomes invalid. In that case, we could see further downside pressure.
That is why Paradisers, we are playing it safe right now. If you want to be consistently profitable, you need to be extremely patient and always wait only for the best, highest probability trading opportunities only on confirmations.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success๐ด
BCH 4H โ Rising Trendline Test After Pullback From HighsBCH on the 4H timeframe is currently trading around 223.3 after pushing from the rising trendline near 190 in late June all the way to a high near 252 on July 10 before sellers pushed price back through the 225.0 horizontal level, with the rising trendline now climbing into the 217โ220 area and approaching as the next key test.
The chart shows a rising trendline originating from the late June low near 182โ184, connecting the June 29 higher low near 190 and continuing to climb steeply through the entire visible structure. Price broke above the 225.0 horizontal level in early July on a sustained rally that reached 252 before rolling over. The selloff from that high has been steady, pulling price back through 238, 233, and now below 225.0 which had previously acted as a consistent pivot across the left side of the chart and is now being lost. The rising trendline is currently climbing into the 217โ220 zone and is the only remaining upward structure beneath current price, with no meaningful horizontal support between the 225.0 broken level and the trendline below.
Price has lost the 225.0 horizontal level and is now approaching the rising trendline with momentum still pointing lower, making the trendline test the most important level to watch on this chart.
Key Levels To Watch
โ 250.0โ252.0 โ July high, major resistance above
โ 243.0โ246.0 โ Prior consolidation zone, resistance
โ 233.0โ235.0 โ Mid-range resistance zone
โ 225.0โ227.0 โ Broken horizontal support, now resistance
โ 221.0โ223.0 โ Current price, minor support
โ 217.0โ220.0 โ Rising trendline, dynamic support (climbing)
โ Below 210.0 โ Trendline breakdown, extended downside
A hold at the rising trendline near 217โ220 and a recovery back above 225.0โ227.0 would confirm the trendline as active support and reopen the path toward 233โ235 and potentially a retest of the July high near 250โ252 on continuation.
A confirmed 4H close below the rising trendline near 217โ220 would break the only upward structure on this chart, removing the trendline that has defined every significant low since late June and opening downside toward 210 and below with no clear support in between.
Pullback from July high now pressing into rising trendline, key test approaching. Hold 217โ220 trendline and reclaim 225.0 โ recovery resumes, eyes on 233โ252. Lose trendline โ structure broken, downside toward 210 and below. Bias bullish above rising trendline. Shift only on confirmed close below 217โ220.
$BCH: Buyers Stepped In and Price Didn't Move. PDL Is NextSET:BCH 15m look.
Price is in a range on the lower timeframes and on the higher ones too. We have two levels right now, the previous day high and the previous day low. Price already came into PDL and got an aggressive reversal from there, one that couldn't break structure. It all ended in a plain sweep around 237.48 and a return to 0.5. Same thing the second time.
Right now we've got signs of weakness and price is going to check the level near PDL once more. For a better RR a good entry would be the zone near SIBI (236.25) with invalidation above 238.22. Invalidation means a hold above, specifically. Price holds above 238.22 and the scenario is dead.
Taker delta flipped positive locally but price is barely reacting. If buyers can't push price up hard and we get absorption near SIBI, the scenario with another visit to PDL stays live.
BCH Ready for Its Next Expansion?Yello Paradisers, Are traders waiting for confirmation while #BCH is already displaying a textbook Wyckoff accumulation before its next expansion?
๐#BCHUSDT has completed a high-quality Wyckoff Accumulation. After the Selling Climax (SC) and Automatic Rally (AR) in Phase A, price spent several weeks in Phase B absorbing supply, followed by a successful Spring that trapped late sellers and confirmed strong demand.
๐The breakout above the range established a clear Break of Structure (BOS), and every retracement since has formed a Last Point of Support (LPS) a classic sign that smart money is defending higher prices and accumulation is transitioning into Phase D.
๐The $234.9-$220 demand zone is now the key support area. As long as #BCH holds above this region, the bullish Wyckoff structure remains valid and favors continuation toward higher levels.
๐The first obstacle is the $250-$252 resistance. A decisive breakout above this level would likely accelerate momentum toward the $289.3 internal resistance, with the major Wyckoff markup target near $327.5 if buying pressure remains strong.
๐Healthy pullbacks into the demand zone should be viewed as normal retests rather than signs of weakness. However, a decisive close below $201.8 would weaken the bullish outlook, while a break below $181.6 would invalidate the current accumulation scenario.
๐For now, the combination of a Spring, BOS, multiple LPS formations, and sustained trading above the accumulation range strongly suggests that smart money accumulation is complete and BCH may be entering the early stages of its markup phase.
๐ Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success๐ด
The key is whether it can rise beyond Zone 3
Hello.
Nice to meet you, fellow traders.
If you "follow" me, you can always get new information quickly.
Have a great day today.
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I believe that BTC is the only one that has survived among Bitcoin-based tokens.
Therefore, if you trade Bitcoin-based tokens, you must trade by increasing the quantity corresponding to your profits.
In other words, you need a trading strategy that can protect your original investment capital even if the price plummets.
-
Looking at the BCH chart, it can be broadly divided into four sections.
Among these, the most important section is Section 2.
This is because there is a possibility of a significant upward trend when the price rises above Section 2 and maintains that level.
Therefore, you should consider Section 2 and below as areas for medium-to-long-term investment and observe the situation with patience.
For Bitcoin-based cryptocurrencies other than BTC, it is advisable to adopt a trading strategy that increases the quantity corresponding to the profits, or, if possible, secures cash profits.
In other words, this refers to a method similar to trading in the stock market, where you sell 100% to realize a profit when the price rises to a reasonable level.
However, if you do not follow this approach and proceed with medium-to-long-term investment, it is essential to recover your principal by retaining a quantity corresponding to the profits.
To do this, you should engage in day trading and sell only the quantity corresponding to your principal when the price rises and shows signs of falling. At this point, while calculating the transaction fee rate at 0.4% is considered ideal, you can simply sell at a minimum of 0.1%.
It is advisable to set the stop-loss at 0.4% or more above the purchase price if possible.
If you buy and the price falls without holding above 0.4%, it is best to cut your losses.
However, if you bought when the price showed signs of support near the HA-Low or DOM(-60) indicators, there is no need to strictly cut your losses.
This is because a decline from the HA-Low or DOM(-60) indicators can lead to a stepwise downtrend.
A stepwise downtrend eventually forms a bottom and reverses into an upward trend.
However, if your investment weighting is set too high, you must cut your losses on a portion to secure cash.
This is because doing so allows you to buy again when the price meets the HA-Low or DOM(-60) indicators once more. -
When prices rise above a certain level, there are times when you buy unconditionally, feeling as though you must buy immediately.
While this should technically be considered the peak, this phenomenon becomes more pronounced when the cryptocurrency market enters a bull market.
Therefore, in such situations, you must engage in day trading to focus on recovering your principal.
For your main purchase, simply hold the quantity made when the HA-Low or DOM (-60) indicators are encountered.
Then, when it seems unlikely to rise further, you can sell to recover your principal.
If you wish to generate cash profit, you can sell accordingly.
Unlike the stock market, the cryptocurrency market allows for free trading in fractional units, making the barrier to entry low.
Therefore, even if you sell a large quantity to generate cash profit, there is the advantage of being able to increase your holdings at any time.
In that case, there is no need to conduct this type of tradingโthat is, accumulating the quantity corresponding to your profitsโfor every coin (token).
You should use this when trading coins you intend to invest in for the medium to long term, such as BTC, ETH, and BNB.
-
BCH is currently exhibiting a stair-step downtrend.
To transition from a stair-step downtrend to an uptrend, the price must rise above the previous HA-Low indicator level and maintain that level.
In other words, it must rise above 460.1 and hold.
Therefore, until then, it is advisable to engage in day trading to increase your holdings based on your profits.
However, it is not easy to increase your holdings solely based on your profits.
This is because the remaining quantity is small.
Therefore, a selling strategy is necessary.
Once the price rises above a certain levelโthat is, if it has increased by more than 0.4%โset a stop-loss around the 0.4% mark and wait. Then, when you encounter the DOM (60) or HA-High indicators, sell a portion or sell an amount equivalent to your principal purchase, and then release the stop-loss.
Since the average purchase price of the remaining quantity after recovering the principal is 0, it will always remain in a profitable state until the coins (tokens) disappear.
Because this remaining quantity can confuse the average price in the investment history provided by the exchange, you should store it separately in another wallet or ignore the average price provided by the exchange thereafter.
-
The circles marked on the chart correspond to important support and resistance zones.
Among them, points 1 through 4 correspond to buying times, while points 5 and 6 correspond to selling times.
However, since there is a possibility of a full-scale uptrend if the price rises above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart and maintains that level, it is ambiguous to consider section 4 as a buying time.
Therefore, you must respond according to the situation.
Therefore, we need to consider how to proceed with buying around zones 1 through 3 to increase our holdings and close our main position.
However, since a stair-step downtrend may continue, it is necessary to trade while securing cash.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you a successful trade.
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Bitcoin Cash is currently in a bearish cycle (3D)A large and time-consuming Diametric pattern has been completed on Bitcoin Cash. Following the completion of Wave G, which marked the final leg of the pattern, the price entered a corrective phase that currently appears to be forming a Diamond Diametric structure.
There is a possibility that the price will rebound from the green zone and move toward the red box. However, once it reaches that area, a stronger decline could follow.
The medium-term outlook for Bitcoin Cash remains bearish, and the current recovery is likely part of a larger corrective structure rather than the start of a sustained bullish trend.
If you have a symbol you want analyzed, first hit the like button and then comment its name so I can review it for you.
Do you also think Bitcoin Cash is bullish?
Bitcoin CashโBCHUSDT 4X LONG with 1,520% profits potentialBitcoin Cash was really stable on its last bullish cycle, it went on from late 2023 through early 2024 then nothing more. 2025 saw only mild bullish action. No new all-time high nor anything out of the ordinary.
This time it will be much different. We will have a bull market like in the past but many times better, think 2017, 2021, etc. A new all-time high is possible long-term, keep this in mind. The targets for this trade show only a medium size wave lasting 1 year, the complete bull market on this project can last 3 years or more.
The correction was quite straight forward and fast, it produced the lowest prices since September 2023 and here we have our new entry.
This is a strong chart setup but there can be some fluctuations before the start of the next wave. It can start within a few days or within two weeks at the most, or, if the consolidation period expands, 2-3 months. My main view is that we will see strong bullish action in the coming weeks, marketwide.
_____
LONG BCHUSDT
Leverage: 4X
Potential: 1520%
Allocation: 5%
Entry zone: $180 - $205
Targets:
1) $262
2) $304
3) $342
4) $374
5) $431
6) $487
7) $567
8) $666
9) $782
10) $852
11) $965
Stop-loss: Close weekly below $178
_____
Thank you for reading. Your continued support is highly appreciated. I hope you find the content useful and great timing on these trades. I am wishing you tons of luck, good health, wealth and success.
Namaste.
Satoshi Frame | BCH Builds 4H Consolidation Box๐ฆ Welcome Yo SatoshiFrame Tradingview Channel.
โณ๏ธ Lets dive into a Bitcoin Cash analysis.
โฐ๏ธ Bitcoin Cash is building a 4-hour consolidation box after its recent decline, and a breakout from this box could trigger the next price move.
๐ If buyers manage to break above 203 USD, the chance of breaking 252.5 USD increases, and clearing that resistance could lead to a solid recovery in price.
โ ๏ธ If buyers fail to break 203 USD, sellers could regain control, and if the weekly support at 186.7 USD breaks, price could move down to the next support levels.
๐งฎ The RSI oscillator currently sits at 56 and doesn't have a clear overbought level since the trend is bearish, while it has an oversold level around 41.06.
โ ๏ธ Risk management and capital management are essential in trading. Always trade based on your own strategy and risk tolerance. Every trading decision and its outcome are entirely your own responsibility.
$BCH 2H๐ข Bitcoin Cash (BCH) is showing signs of breaking its descending trendline on the 2H timeframe. ๐
This could present a solid opportunity to consider a long entry. โ
๐ฏ The marked take-profit zone is a relatively safe area to secure profits.
โ ๏ธ However, it's better to wait for the **2-hour candle to close** first. If the breakout is confirmed and the price reacts well, you can then consider entering the trade.
BCHUSDT post-flush base: targeting $230 reclaimThe Macro Picture ๐บ๏ธ
Bitcoin Cash has now spent over a month grinding inside a tight structural base after the descending leg from $440 finally exhausted itself near the macro lows. The flush deeper into the sub-$200 zone failed to produce sustained downside extension, and price has stabilized in the $190โ$215 corridor with bulls absorbing every wick into the lower bound. RSI has carved a clean multi-touch bullish divergence โ climbing from sub-20 to near 30 even as price tested marginal new lows โ the textbook momentum signature of a trend exhausting itself ahead of a structural rotation. The path of least resistance is gradually shifting from extension lower toward post-flush reclaim, and the only thing missing is the trigger that confirms the rotation.
The Setup โ๏ธ
The Floor: The $200 former floor is now the active battleground. Bulls keep defending this level on closing basis even after the deeper wicks below, converting it from a broken support reference back into a contested demand shelf. Holding above $200 on closes is the first signal that the base has resolved its lowest test.
The Trigger: The $215 mid-range pivot is the immediate ceiling that gates the next structural leg. A clean daily close above this level confirms the base has resolved bullish, shorts begin to cover, and momentum traders flip directional bias โ the moment the corridor breaks open and the path of least resistance shifts vertical.
The Reaction: RSI's lift from sub-20 to 30 while price has ground sideways is the cleanest multi-touch bullish divergence of the entire descending cycle. Momentum is no longer confirming the downside, and that exhaustion footprint typically precedes the reversal trigger by sessions, not weeks.
The Roadmap: Primary target on a confirmed $215 reclaim sits at $230 โ the failed breakout shelf where the prior bounce got rejected, and the first overhead supply test where reclaim sellers will defend their positioning. Beyond that, the $266.3 broken floor becomes the next structural ceiling for any extended reversal. Invalidation: a sustained daily close below the recent base lows would invalidate this post-flush base thesis and reopen the path toward the $160 deeper-extension level.
BCHUSDT: local squeeze with $280 destinationThe Macro Picture ๐บ๏ธ
After nearly three weeks of compression near the structural floor, Bitcoin Cash is showing the textbook footprint of a market transitioning from capitulation into accumulation. The descending leg from the $440 distribution range that defined May has fully exhausted itself at $190, and bulls have now defended this local sweep low across multiple sessions without allowing extension into the $160 deeper-extension territory. RSI has lifted from its sub-20 cycle low back through 30, building a clean multi-touch bullish divergence as price has refused to extend lower. This is the high-confluence base where the descending cycle resolves, and the longer the squeeze persists at the floor, the more energy gets stored for the eventual release.
The Setup โ๏ธ
The Floor: The $190 local sweep low has now held across multiple defense tests. Each rejection from this level converts it from "transit zone" to "confirmed demand", and every session that closes above strengthens the structural case that the descending phase is complete.
The Squeeze: Price is coiled between the defended $190 floor and the $215 mid-range pivot, exactly the kind of tight compression that resolves with directional momentum rather than further chop. Tight range plus exhausted RSI builds the asymmetric setup where the eventual breakout direction collects all the stored energy.
The Trigger: The $215 mid-range pivot is the immediate ceiling that gates the next structural leg. A clean daily close above this level confirms the squeeze has resolved bullish, shorts begin to cover, and momentum traders flip directional bias โ the moment the path of least resistance shifts from sideways inside the floor to vertical reclaim of broken supply.
The Roadmap: Primary target on a confirmed $215 reclaim sits at $280 โ the former sweep low that capped the prior leg down, and the first overhead supply test where reclaim sellers will defend their positioning. Beyond that, $300 broken floor becomes the structural ceiling for any extended reversal. Invalidation: a sustained daily close below $190 would invalidate this base-building thesis and reopen the path toward the $160 deeper-extension level.
BCHUSDT at macro floor: accumulation toward $280 reclaimThe Macro Picture ๐บ๏ธ
The $200 macro floor that was framed five sessions ago has now passed its first real defense test. Instead of extending into the $160 deeper-extension territory, price has carved a tight consolidation between $200 and $215 โ the textbook signature of a market transitioning from capitulation into accumulation. The descending leg from $440 has lost its velocity, RSI has curled up from its sub-20 extreme back through 25, and every session that closes above $200 strengthens the floor as confirmed demand rather than transit. This is the build-up phase that precedes the next structural move, and the path of least resistance is shifting upward by default the longer the floor holds.
The Setup โ๏ธ
The Macro Floor: $200 is the confirmed demand zone that bulls have now defended across multiple sessions of testing. Every wick into the $195โ$200 band gets absorbed rather than extended, validating this as the high-confluence floor where the descending cycle resolves rather than continues lower.
The Squeeze: The $200โ$215 range is the compression chamber where bulls and bears are trading liquidity inside the macro floor. Tight range plus exhausted RSI creates the asymmetric setup where a break of the $215 range top releases the stored energy as directional momentum โ the longer the squeeze persists, the cleaner the eventual breakout.
The Reaction: RSI has lifted from sub-20 back through 25 while price has refused to extend lower โ the bullish divergence is now confirmed structurally. This is the exact exhaustion signature where bearish momentum unwinds even before price breaks higher, and it's the strongest tell that the next leg is asymmetric to the upside.
The Roadmap: Primary target on a confirmed $215 break sits at $280 โ the broken sweep low and first overhead supply test where reclaim sellers will defend their positioning. Beyond that, the $300 broken floor becomes the structural ceiling for any extended reversal. Invalidation: a sustained daily close below $195 would invalidate this base-building thesis and reopen the path toward the $160 deeper-extension level.
BCH 4H โ Lower Channel Boundary at New LowsBCH on the 4H timeframe is currently trading around 204.7 inside a steep descending parallel channel that has been guiding price lower since the May highs near 380.
Price has been making lower highs and lower lows consistently inside the channel, with every
recovery attempt capped by the descending resistance and every bounce from the lower boundary quickly sold. The sell-off from 380 to current levels represents a drop of nearly 46% in under a month.
Price is now pressing directly on the lower channel boundary near 186.5โ200, which is the lowest level on this chart, while the horizontal support floor near 200โ205 is also being tested simultaneously.
Key Levels To Watch
380 โ Prior high, major resistance above
310โ320 โ Prior range, key resistance zone
268โ280 โ Prior support zone, now resistance
248โ256 โ Prior consolidation zone, now resistance
230โ238 โ Descending resistance trendline, overhead ceiling
214โ222 โ Prior support, now resistance
200โ205 โ Horizontal floor, current test
186.5โ192 โ Lower channel boundary, final structural floor
Below 186.5 โ Channel breakdown, no support visible
The descending channel has defined this entire move since May and the lower boundary has now been approached for the third time, with each previous test producing only a small bounce before the downtrend continued.
A hold above the lower channel boundary near 186.5โ192 would be the minimum requirement for any meaningful bounce, with the first target being the mid-channel area near 230โ248.
A confirmed close below 186.5 and breakdown of the lower channel boundary would push price into new low territory with no visible structural support below.
This is the last support inside the descending channel.
Hold 186.5โ200 โ channel bounce possible, eyes on 230โ248 mid-channel.
Lose 186.5 โ channel breaks down, new lows with no support below.
Fully bearish inside descending channel.
Structure only shifts on confirmed break above descending resistance.
Bch may touch 190-194I use these circles to gauge the moves in coins that move within a certain range and to determine the extent of the fall. I believe bch will fall down yo 190-194 range. This is the zone that will be respected. I warned about the drop in the price of bch earlier, when people were bullish on this.






















