When a Record Crop Isn't Bearish
Every month, the USDA's World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates report does one thing: balance a ledger. On one side sits total supply (what was left over from last year, what this year's harvest produced, and what was imported). On the other side sits total use (what processors crushed, wh
Mini Soybean Futures (Sep 2028)
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Contract highlights
Soybeans: three weeks of topping, short below 1300Soybeans rallied from the 1165 August low to 1335'2 in mid September, about 15% in five weeks. Then the market stalled. For three weeks it went sideways between roughly 1295 and 1335, with three failed pushes at the highs. Today's wide range down bar broke through the floor of that box, and the dail
ZS1! (Soybean Futures) – Daily – 9/17/26ZS1! (Soybean Futures) – Daily – 9/17/26
Setup: Short entered @ 1319, SL @ 1364 (risk ~45c)
Thesis: Momentum fade within an otherwise intact uptrend —
this is a counter-trend/exhaustion trade.
Bullish structure still intact (the risk to this short):
- Ascending channel since ~Apr/May '26, price
ZS1!China is expected to purchase 12 million metric tons of soybeans from the United States, following the meeting in South Korea that took place several months ago. After Trump’s statements, the markets surged sharply, but I believe China has not made—and will not make—any public statements on the matt
Soybeans — Producer hedging caps this. What if it doesn't?Producer hedges in soybeans are sitting above 600K contracts right now. That level usually tracks price down.
But if it doesn't this time — price just keeps grinding to fresh highs anyway.
Back in 2020 something similar happened. Hedging was heavy, and price broke higher regardless. What was actua
Will Super El Niño Reshape Soybean Futures?Global weather concerns and insatiable Chinese demand rapidly spike corn, wheat, and soybean prices. Meteorologists from DW News confirm that a historically strong El Niño pattern will disrupt global agriculture. The United Nations warns that climate change exacerbates these erratic weather events.
SOYBEANS Short SignalSoybeans MTF Conf2.0 Short Idea. I don't trade soybeans, so I will not be trading this, but I thought I would share the TDA
Technicals:
Price inside Monthly supply + Daly confirmation 2.0.
Fundamentals/Sentiment:
COT short correlation by banks/insitutions adding into shorts and closing longs.
No i
SOYBEAN FUTURES DXY & REAL YIELD IMPLICATIONS
DXY 100.90, real yield 2.255% — both still restrictive for the broader commodity complex (BCOM 125.72). Hawkish Warsh Fed is a structural headwind, but soybean's demand-side story (crush/biodiesel) is currently strong enough to decouple from the DXY-driven bearish macro
SOYBEAN Futures ...Up dateCommercials became materially more bullish.
Funds became materially more bearish.
Price stopped falling.
That divergence is often seen near important turning points.
The 1102–1117 zone now looks increasingly like a potential Wyckoff Spring/Test area, while 1170 remains the key BOS level. A daily a
SOYBEAN FUTURES ....SOYBEAN FUTURES –
Price: 1117.0
Weekly 55 EMA: 1116.0
Weekly 200 EMA: 1152.0
DXY: 99.87
US 10Y Real Yield: 2.198%
Bloomberg Commodity Index: 130.48
The macro environment has become significantly less supportive for grains than a month ago:
Headwinds
DXY approaching 100.00
Real Yield back near 2.20%
See all ideas
Summarizing what the indicators are suggesting.
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
A representation of what an asset is worth today and what the market thinks it will be worth in the future.
Displays a symbol's price movements over previous years to identify recurring trends.
Frequently asked questions
The current price of Mini Soybean Futures (Sep 2028) is 1211'0 USX / BUA — it has risen 0.12% in the past 24 hours. Watch Mini Soybean Futures (Sep 2028) price in more detail on the chart.
Track more important stats on the Mini Soybean Futures (Sep 2028) chart.
The nearest expiration date for Mini Soybean Futures (Sep 2028) is Sep 14, 2028.
Traders prefer to sell futures contracts when they've already made money on the investment, but still have plenty of time left before the expiration date. Thus, many consider it a good option to sell Mini Soybean Futures (Sep 2028) before Sep 14, 2028.
Buying or selling futures contracts depends on many factors: season, underlying commodity, your own trading strategy. So mostly it's up to you, but if you look for some certain calculations to take into account, you can study technical analysis for Mini Soybean Futures (Sep 2028). Today its technical rating is sell, but remember that market conditions change all the time, so it's always crucial to do your own research. See more of Mini Soybean Futures (Sep 2028) technicals for a more comprehensive analysis.









