In-depth trading ideas

Discover detailed market analysis from traders. See how others approach this instrument, compare different strategies, and discover perspectives that can shape your own view.

USDOLLAR - The Diagonal Is Almost Complete The US Dollar has been tracing a contracting diagonal since the 2022 top. Each leg has shrunk - wave (1) bigger than (3), wave (3) bigger than the projected (5). Textbook contraction. We're now finishing wave (4) into the 0.382–0.5 retracement and the upper diagonal trendline. Wave (5) is the final leg down, targeting the lower trendline around 12,400. Diagonals are terminal patterns. Once wave (5) completes, the reversal is sharp - the move most won't be positioned for. Dollar weakness into

Has the Dollar Peaked?The dollar index sits at roughly 101.2 on Monday, barely moved from Friday but still riding the tailwinds of a more-than-one-year high it touched last week. The greenback is up over 2% in the past month and nearly 4.6% over the past year. For a currency that practically every major bank expected to weaken this year, that's not a drift. That's a reversal — and it leaves one question hanging over every trading desk right now: is this rally done, or just getting its breath back? Start with how we

Usdollar high before spike down Through some technical analysis, pattern recognition, and quarterly cycle coming up. I believe we are either seeing the current usdollar high before a spike down, or to see a spike down lower before price makes new recent highs. Either way usdollar will spike down is me belief. I'm using time and price levels to determine this. Typically quarterly breaks of the year gives you good highs and lows for the next cycle. Let us see how it plays out.

The Dollar Is Winning the Safe Haven Race — And Gold Is Losing Since the outbreak of hostilities in Iran, only the US dollar provided genuine safe-haven protection for global equities. Interestingly, gold, the Swiss franc, the Japanese yen, and government bonds all failed to deliver. This dollar dominance is not an anomaly but a pattern — the same dynamic played out during the Ukraine war in 2022, when inflation concerns overrode traditional flight-to-safety mechanics. Geopolitical shocks that carry inflationary consequences now systematically undermine the

USD Bulls Taking Control We’re interested in buying USD pairs this coming week. The dollar respected both the weekly 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and the monthly 50% Fibonacci level, which adds strong higher-timeframe confluence to the bullish bias. Our main plan is to look for buying opportunities on pullbacks, as long as additional confluences and confirming candle formations are present. While aggressive entries can already be taken this week, the downside is that stop losses would likely need to be wide, resulting

USDOLLAR H1 | Bullish Continuation The price is falling towards our buy entry level at 12.58, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2 Fibonacci retracement. Our stop loss is set at 12.54, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit is set at 12.67, which is a pullback resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd fxcm.com CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to le

USDOLLAR H1 | Potential Bullish Reversal The price is falling towards our buy entry level at 12.51, which is a pullback support. Our stop loss is set at 12.46, which is a swing low support. Our take profit is set at 12.59, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd fxcm.com CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money

Up coming USDOLLAR major pivot I think we are approaching a major pivoting point of usdollar. At the very least a pivotal point for a few days. It is about to hit a major trendline that stopped movement earlier last week, it will also be hitting its 25 fractal retracement zone. If it does break this zone. I have one more zone in consideration. and it will definitely have some reaction to price. there is a trendline going back from 2022 that it will hit, and although i decided to hide it because the chart looks messy enough. i

Probable Push Down USDOLLAR I am not sure, but I'd like to guess that this is the pivot point for the usdollar to go down further. It is hitting the .50 mark from the weekly high/low. Also, it is gradually declining to further trend lines which is a sign of a continued trend. This area has a high probability to push the usdollar down for these reasons.

US DOLLAR H4 | Bullish Reversal Off Pullback Support The price has bounced off our buy entry level at 12.52, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Our stop loss is set at 12.47, which is a swing low support. Our take profit is set at 12.59, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd fxcm.com CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 6

Usdollar turning bullish I speculate we are seeing a market shift turning the usdollar bullish. We have some signs of this especially the 9am mountain standard time rally made. It broke out of structure of my previous drawings and now entering a new chapter of its life cycle. Yes this could be a pullback but the structure appears differently than what a pullback would suggest. It does have one major trend line to break until a total confirmation of a shift is confirmed, but I believe any long positions of usdollar is a

USDOllAR RETRACE (further down expected)The USDOLLAR has been pivoting off trendlines made years ago. This morning I wake up to see it jump up to hit exactly the midpoint. While concerning at first glance I suspect this is just the markets way to get its last premium dollar before we head further down. What also support this idea is how we touched and closed under previous trend lines, we touched the 4h 21 ema, and we touched the rsi ma. All these are just confirmation that this was a retrace to get a premium price before a further pu

USDOLLAR H4 | Bullish Reversal The price is reacting off the pivot and could bounce off our buy entry level at 12.67, which is a swing low support. Our stop loss is set at 12.64, there is a support level at 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Our take profit is set at 12.71. a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd fxcm.com CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 6

USDOLLAR H4 | Bullish Bounce Off The price has bounced off our buy entry level at 12.707, which is an overlap support that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Our stop loss is set at 12.686, which is a pullback support. Our take profit is set at 12.73, whichis a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk), Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly du

USDOLLAR H4 | Bullish Bounce?The price is falling towards our buy entry whcih is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Our stop loss is set at 12.71, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit is set at 12.77, which is an overlap resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited (

USDOLLAR H4 | Bearish Reversal Off Key Level The price has rejected off our sell entry level at 12.77, which is an overlap resistance. Our stop loss is set at 12.80, which is an overlap resistance that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit is set at 12.73, which is an overlap support that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited (

USDOLLAR H4 | Bullish Bounce The price is falling towards our buy entry level at 12.73, which is a pullback support. Our stop loss is set at 12.71, which is a pullback support. Our take profit is set at 12.77, which is an overlap resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited (

USDOLLAR Looking Up Hi The USDOLLAR has the potential to rise to 12,755 with two price targets. It also has the potential to dip slightly for a bullish pullback due to the 12,736 resistance level. Happy Trading, Not financial advice.

USDOLLAR H4 | Bullish Bounce Off?The price is falling towards our buy entry level at 12.72, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Our stop loss is set at 12.70, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit is set at 12.76, which is a multi swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited (

USDOLLAR H1 | Bullish Bounce Off Overlap Support The price is falling towards our buy entry, which is an overlap support that aligns with he 50% Fibonacci retracement. Our stop loss is set at 12.72, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit is set at 12.70, which is an overlap support. High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited (

USDOLLAR H1 | Bullish Breakout Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price has bounced off our buy entry, which is a pullback support. Our stop-loss is set at 12.694, which corresponds to a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit is set at 12.730, which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement as a pullback resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited (

USDOLLAR H4 | Bullish Reversal Off 127.2% Fib Support Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price has bounced off our buy entry level at 12.67, a pullback support that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit is set at 12.72, a pullback support that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci retracement. Our stop loss is set at 12.65, which is an overlap support. High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited ( fxcm.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd ( fxcm.com/eu ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing mone

The Dollar’s Climb: A Trend With More Fuel in the Tank?The USDOLLAR daily chart is in a clear uptrend, defined by a sequence of higher troughs and higher peaks. The EMAs are aligned in a bullish formation with strong angle and separation, and the RSI remains above 50 - signalling positive underlying momentum for the greenback. Market participants positioned themselves well early on, with the first higher peak after a higher trough forming at point 1, even before Fed Chair Jerome Powell pushed back - in unusually blunt terms - against a December rat