DOGEUSD: 1W MA50 test ahead. $1.50 long term target.DOGE remains neutral on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 53.547, MACD = -0.006, ADX = 24.245) despite the recent surge on 1D, as it hasn't crossed over its 1W MA50 yet. Once it does, it will be the first time since October 2025 to do so and technically the new Bull Cycle can look towards its long term target. With the majority of its 12 year Channel Up traded inside the 0.618 - 0 range, we naturally expect the next target to be contained within it. The 1.618 Fibonacci extension on the 0.382 Fib of the Channel (TP = 1.5000) can be in our opinion the next Cycle High.
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In-depth trading ideas
DOGECOIN - BUY OPPORTUNITYTHE KING OF MEMECOINS: DOGECOIN!
If there is one memecoin that needs no introduction, we all know it's DOGECOIN!
Looking at the chart, I have identified a potential Buy Area where price has demonstrated signs of support. Buyers have managed to defend this area relatively strongly, and if this support continues to hold, we could potentially see price begin its move towards the Profit Area and subsequent Swing Target.
MARKET OUTLOOK
The Buy Area remains critical. Price has shown signs of strong support, and as long as the bulls continue to defend this area, the potential for a bullish move remains on the table.
A break above nearby resistance could provide further momentum towards our target areas.
With DOGECOIN, retail sentiment can play a significant role in driving price action. Should bullish momentum begin to build, we could potentially see increased market participation as FOMO kicks in, something we have witnessed during previous market cycles.
However, past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
We can draw certain observations from historical market behaviour and use them to develop our own thesis.
Markets move through different phases of accumulation, expansion, distribution and correction. Understanding these cycles, alongside price action and market sentiment, can help us identify potential opportunities.
MY PERSONAL OUTLOOK
I see a potential LONG opportunity for DOGECOIN towards the identified Profit Area and Swing Target, provided the bullish thesis remains valid and the Buy Area continues to hold.
Personally, when it comes to crypto, I prefer SPOT TRADING. I buy and hold the underlying coins towards my intended target areas rather than exposing myself to the additional risks associated with leveraged trading.
As always, this is simply my personal market outlook and analysis. Price can move against the anticipated direction, and no setup is guaranteed.
Stay patient. Stay disciplined. Manage your risk.
Trade Safe, Habibis!
DISCLAIMER: All opinions, views, market biases and analysis shared on my TradingView page are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial or investment advice. The content is intended as general market commentary to assist you in developing your own independent thesis, analysis and trading decisions. Always conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly.
DOGE | Week Chart | 2026** T.A explained **
A Range = two or more consecutive color candles.
There are two types of ranges - accumulation and distribution.
DISTRIBUTION RANGES DEFINED: BackSide (BS) Candle - First distribution candle in a distribution range. Expectation = strong reaction to price. long wicks reaching to or away from level.
FrontSide (FS) Candle - Last distribution candle in a distribution range. Expectation = reversal, create a trend in the opposite direction. Distribution candles are used as support.
ACCUMULATION RANGES DEFINED:
Inverse BS (Inv.BS) - First Accumulation candle in an accumulation range. Expectation. = strong reaction to price. long wicks reaching to or away from level.
Inverse FS (Inv.FS) - Last accumulation candle in an accumulation range. Expectation = reversal, create a trend in the opposite direction. Accumulation candles are used as resistance.
Horizontal Ray tool on BS & FS levels are default support levels when dashed lines, tested when dotted lines and resistance when solid lines.
Horizontal Ray tool on Inverse BS & Inverse FS levels default as resistance and shown with a dashed line, tested when 1x dotted line, and support when solid line.
The inverse is true for the Inv. BS Inv. FS levels, they are resistance as dashed lines, tested as dotted and support as solid lines.
Monthly timeframe is color pink
weekly grey
daily is red
4hr is orange
1hr is yellow
15min is blue
5min is green if they are shown.
strength favors the higher timeframe.
Beware reactionOn June 19, I made a prediction on X, and now we all can see how accurate and safe it is.
No matter which cryptocurrency you’re trading, if USDT’s dominance remains above 7.2% for 8+ hours, it will confirm that the downtrend is continuing. A failure to hold above that level will signal a final bullish rally before the bear market resumes. If the bullish rally is the case, I would take profits on Dogecoin at the 0.143, 0.163, and 0.23 levels. Hovever, my base case is 0.0324 and probably 0.0094.
As you may know, bonds is a key driver for many collateral markets, thus it has a negative correlation. It is called Cross-market analysis, one of the safest approaches in trading systems. My base case is the one you see on the 10-year yields screenshot, i.e. - a simple one, regular.
However, I see two more possible scenarios for the price structure of U.S. Treasuries may take:
1) An Ending Diagonal - the swings within this structure will likely be accompanied by a strengthening of the Japanese yen, a slow increase in raw commodity prices and metals, also a possible rise in cryptocurrency prices - in the near term. I.e, if this would be the case - bonds will pull back from the current values to the lower trend-line of the triangle: ~4.185%.
2) What really matters is the alternative waves count interpretation: the pattern above may turn out to be a Zigzag, rather than an impulse. In that case, the target will reach above 7.66%. This case means an aggressive downward for all the collateral markets.
There is a video on youtube. In the second part, I describe how I identified 2 probable bearish targets for Dogecoin price. I've been pointing to these targets since 2022 how I found them. I think achieving these goals will largely depend on the shape that U.S. Treasury bonds will take.
DOGE SEASON SOON ! Dogecoin is once again entering the kind of long term zone that historically appeared near the end of its major cycle resets. The exact chart pattern is different in every cycle, but the sequence is remarkably familiar: speculative expansion, prolonged decline, loss of attention, compression near a historical base, and momentum pushed into an extreme lower region.
The RSI comparison is the part I find most important. Around the 2015 cycle bottom, the two week RSI reached roughly 42. Around the 2020 bottom it fell near 39. Around the 2022 bottom it reached roughly 38. During the current 2026 decline, RSI briefly fell near 36 before recovering toward 41. In other words, momentum has already been pushed beyond the stress levels seen around several previous DOGE cycle bottoms.
Price structure tells a similar story. The 2015 cycle finished through a long compression after the first speculative boom. The 2020 cycle formed a broad horizontal accumulation before the 2021 expansion. The current market is developing inside a descending channel after the 2024 and 2025 advance, with price moving back toward the same broad region that has acted as the foundation of the post 2022 structure.
The important point is not that DOGE must reproduce the exact geometry of 2015 or 2020. It probably will not. What matters is the location. DOGE is no longer trading after a fresh speculative breakout with momentum near extreme highs. It has already spent a long period removing excess, destroying enthusiasm and forcing holders through another full psychological reset.
This is exactly why the current environment is interesting. Near the highs, Dogecoin attracts attention because everyone expects continuation. Near major lows, the opposite happens. The price becomes cheaper, momentum becomes historically depressed and the market gradually stops caring. Previous major opportunities appeared much closer to the second condition than the first.
The 2022 cycle floor near $0.05 remains the major historical reference underneath the current structure, while DOGE is currently trading around $0.08. It does not need to revisit the exact 2022 low for this reset to be complete. A mature structure can establish a higher cycle floor while reproducing even deeper momentum exhaustion.
My view remains constructive. DOGE is displaying bottom level momentum while still operating above its previous major cycle floor. That is a much more attractive combination than the market had near the speculative highs.
For the broader market, DOGE also matters beyond DOGE itself. It remains one of the cleanest long term gauges of speculative risk appetite in crypto. If this base continues to mature and DOGE eventually leaves the descending structure, I would treat it as another meaningful sign that the speculative side of the market is beginning to wake up again.market currently sees a memecoin that has spent years going nowhere.
I see something different: three historical cycle resets behind us, a fourth momentum washout developing now, and another long term base being tested while almost nobody is interested.
DOGEUSD: Fibonacci Support Compression Prior to Next Bullish Exp📊 Structural & Technical Analysis (DOGEUSD)
Dogecoin (DOGEUSD) is displaying a highly constructive technical structure on the 4-hour (4H) timeframe . Following a sharp bullish impulse move, the price action has naturally transitioned into a healthy market consolidation phase. Instead of experiencing heavy distribution, the asset is actively compressing and building a solid higher-low base directly above key historical value shelves .
Looking strictly at the precise Fibonacci structural blueprint on the chart:
1. Support Validation: The live price action is successfully consolidating around the $0.0977 zone, finding acute dynamic buyers right above the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement floor ($0.0952) . This compression pattern highlights strong institutional accumulation before the next momentum leg.
2. Market Order Flow: The broader market structure remains structurally biased to the upside. The current tightening within local price territory acts as a volatility coiling phase, designed to absorb near-term liquidity before expanding toward overhead supply targets .
3. Risk Management: Invalidation parameters are strictly defined with a defensive stop loss floor locked down at $0.0900 . Anchored safely beneath the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement shelf, this level protects core trading capital from false expansion spikes .
🛠️ My Trading Plan (Bullish Continuation Play):
• Entry Zone: Around $0.0977 (Trading the live structural support hold and accumulation baseline) .
• Invalidation (Stop Loss): $0.0900 (Placed mechanically below the 0.5 Fib node to lock an optimal Risk-to-Reward framework) .
• Target 1 (TP1): $0.1000 (Immediate horizontal resistance shelf and near-term psychological milestone) .
• Target 2 (TP2): $0.1100 (Primary swing target and key technical supply boundary - Highly Recommended) .
• Target 3 (TP3): $0.1200 (Full mathematical extension targeting major liquidity pools) .
What is your technical perspective on Dogecoin as it compresses above its core Fibonacci support grid? Let me know in the comments section below, and don't forget to support this analysis with a boost!
*DISCLAIMER: This post is for educational and technical analysis purposes only. It does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always practice strict risk management.*
DOGEUSD: Long Signal | AlQasim EliteA new Long trading setup generated for DOGEUSD via the AlQasim Elite strategy.
📌 Trade Parameters:
• Pair: DOGEUSD
• Signal Type: LONG ENTRY 🟢
• Entry Price: 0.10
• Target: 0.16 🎯
• Stop Loss: 0.07 🛡️
📝 Rationale:
• Structural Breakout within an established uptrend.
⚠️ Risk Management:
• Position Size: 20%
• Recommended Risk: ~2% per trade.
DOGE next Cycle Top within $1.00 - $2.00 based on Super Cycles.This is a slight update/ modification on our main Dogecoin (DOGEUSD) roadmap, which we published last time in late July.
The market remains within a Bear Cycle, its 4th historically, as the price hasn't yet broken above its 1W MA50 (red trend-line) to confirm the start of the new Bull Cycle. This is what has happened on all previous Bear Cycles, after which a long accumulation Channel (green) started that led to the eventual parabolic rally that closed the Cycle by forming the Top.
The current potential bottom could be closer to the end of the year and the 4-year Support Zone, whose upper level is around $0.0580.
On the long-term, DOGE has significant upside ahead as it is currently on the 2nd part of Super Cycle 2 and that's where historically the strongest rally of the pattern takes place.
After at least 1000 days are completed from the Cycle 3 Top, the market is expected (as it has done on previous Cycles) to initiate the final parabolic rally.
Based on the previous Tops, this should hit at least the 0.618 Channel Fibonacci level, which by mid-2028 could reach $2.00. As you notice, the majority of Dogecoin's historic price action has been within the 0 - 0.618 Fibonacci range with three Cycle Tops forming there. The only exception that broke above was the May 2021 Top.
Since however the last Cycle Top was lower than the previous one, if this descending rate holds, we may see this time a Top on the 0.5 Fib. This is why our main Target for the next Bull Cycle is $1.00.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Twice Rejected at 0.0895. The Anchor Is Catching Up.Neutral / long-biased above 0.0856
Doge sat between 0.0687 and 0.0725 for five weeks. Three sessions in late August took it to just above 0.1000. That is a 43% expansion off the base, and almost none of it built volume.
Two weeks have passed since. Price has gone nowhere. That is not failure. It is the market deciding whether 0.0800 to 0.0900 is a price it accepts, having never traded there before 20 August.
Where structure sits
Price 0.08786, +2.02% on the session
Swing AVWAP 0.0856, rising
Deviation +2.67%
PDH 0.0885
PDL 0.0840
POC 0.0700
Supply band 0.0885 to 0.0900
Bias BULLISH
Two levels do all the work here
The first is the 0.0885 to 0.0900 band. It is the prior-day high, and it is the last stretch of real traded volume before the profile empties. Price has been sent back from it twice at nearly the same price. 27 August topped at 0.0899. 3 September topped at 0.0897. Both closed back inside the range within two bars. Equal highs at a volume shelf are supply being respected, not supply being worked through.
The second is 0.0856, the swing AVWAP. That is the average price paid by everyone who bought the expansion. On 20 August it sat at 0.0785, far under the market. It has risen every session since and is now inside the range. On 4 September price traded through it to 0.0848 and closed back above on the next bar. Cost basis was tested once and it held.
Compression
Highs: 0.1008, 0.0959, 0.0899, 0.0897.
Lows: 0.0835, 0.0812, 0.0815, 0.0848.
The anchor: 0.0785, rising without a down session, now 0.0856.
The first leg spanned 20%. The current one spans under 6%. The ceiling has stopped falling and the cost basis is climbing straight into it. Ranges that tighten into cost basis resolve. They do not drift.
What I am watching
Upside: two 4H closes above 0.0900, not a wick. That clears the only shelf holding this back. Above it the profile is close to empty all the way to the 22 August high, because that ground was covered in one session and never revisited on volume. Thin tape does not slow a move.
Downside: loss of 0.0856 puts price under the average cost of the expansion for the first time since 20 August. Below sits 0.0840, then the 0.0812 shelf that has held twice. Under 0.0812 the profile is hollow back to 0.0725, and the only real acceptance in this chart is the POC at 0.0700.
Constructive while the anchor rises and price keeps closing above it.
Not constructive the moment 0.0856 stops holding.
Chart: Institutional Volume Map.
DOGE JUST HIT A HISTORICAL EXTREME.13 years of data.
RSI is at an all time low.
DOGE is sitting on its long term cycle floor.
And against NVIDIA, relative valuation is back near the same type of extreme zone that preceded previous major DOGE expansions.
The market sees weakness.
I see one of the most asymmetric DOGE setups in its history.
Fear is obvious. Opportunity is not.
DOGE: The Dogecoin Return#Dogecoin has been among the most traded assets recently. As a market leader, bullish sentiment around it could positively influence the broader market.
Currently forming a major triangle structure that could set the stage for a long-term upward move. On the LTF, the initial target is the $0.20 range.
Goals RationaleThe bullish reaction to cryptocurrency dominance has, technically speaking, reached the minimum expected level. In other words, a reversal could occur from these levels. This is my base case scenario.
However, structurally, there is a possibility that the bullish rally will continue all the way to the peak of Wave 1. We’re waiting for confirmation.
I’ll reiterate my targets for DOGE: 0.0324 - the minimum anticipated target, and 0.0085 - the structurally likely target.
If the bullish-pullback rally continues, DOGE could reach the 0.16–0.23 range. This will largely depend on confirmation from the US02Y chart.
It makes sense to consider a bull market scenario and its targets if USDt stable-coin dominance falls below the peak of Wave 1, i.e., 5.713%.
DOGE: Multi-Year Correction May Be Entering Its Final PhaseDogecoin has spent years correcting the move that took it from virtually nothing to its 2021 peak. But what if this prolonged correction is now approaching its final stage?
The weekly structure suggests DOGE may be developing a large-scale triangle, with price currently returning to the 0.786–0.886 retracement region. If this interpretation is correct, the current weakness may not be the beginning of another major decline, but part of the process of completing a much larger corrective structure.
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A Correction Measured in Years
DOGE's major impulsive structure began from the 2015 low and eventually produced the historic advance into the 2021 peak.
From there, the market entered a prolonged correction.
What makes the current structure interesting is its duration. This is no longer a conventional short-term pullback. DOGE has been consolidating for years, and the internal price action increasingly resembles a complex corrective formation rather than a simple five-wave decline.
The possibility I am tracking is a large-scale triangle developing from the 2021 high.
If this interpretation is correct, DOGE could still have some work to do before the correction is complete.
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The Zone DOGE Is Approaching
Price is currently moving back toward the 0.786–0.886 Fibonacci retracement region, an area that deserves attention because it coincides with the lower boundary of the current structure.
The market does not necessarily need to reverse immediately from here.
In fact, the triangle scenario allows for another decline before the structure is considered complete. A move toward the $0.048984 region would therefore not automatically invalidate the larger bullish thesis.
Instead, it could become the next important piece of the corrective structure.
This is where the distinction between short-term weakness and long-term structure becomes important.
DOGE can continue falling while the broader bullish scenario remains intact.
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The Triangle Scenario
Under the primary interpretation, DOGE could continue developing a large triangle before the market finally resolves to the upside.
That would mean more consolidation, more volatility and potentially another move lower before the correction reaches completion.
The projected structure points toward a possible triangle completion around 2027–2028.
That may sound far away, but the timeframe is consistent with the scale of the correction being analyzed. A multi-year correction following a multi-year impulse should not necessarily be expected to resolve within a few months.
The bigger question is what happens after the triangle.
That is where the setup becomes much more interesting.
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The Bigger Wave
Once the corrective structure is complete, the next major move could be a Wave 3 to the upside.
The initial projection shown on the chart reaches toward the $0.16 area, but the significance of the move would extend beyond that first target.
A genuine Wave 3 would represent a much larger impulsive phase rather than simply another relief rally.
In other words, the current correction could ultimately become the foundation for the next major expansion in DOGE.
This is also why I am more interested in the structure than in trying to predict the next few weekly candles.
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What Would Change the Thesis?
The bullish triangle interpretation has a clearly defined line in the sand.
A sustained break below $0.048984 would significantly weaken this scenario and suggest that the correction is taking a different form.
Below that level, the chart opens the door to deeper corrective targets, including approximately $0.023238 and $0.007990, with the much lower $0.002747 region representing another major historical support area.
These are not my primary targets at this stage. They represent levels to watch if the current structure fails.
That distinction is important because Elliott Wave analysis is not about forcing a count onto the market. The structure must continue to validate itself through price action.
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DOGE May Need More Time
The most interesting part of this setup is that the bullish case does not require DOGE to rally immediately.
Quite the opposite.
The market may still need to spend considerable time completing the corrective structure before the larger trend can resume.
If $0.048984 continues to hold as the critical invalidation level, the triangle interpretation remains viable. From there, continued consolidation could eventually lead to the larger upside resolution projected on the chart.
So while DOGE may not be ready for its next major move yet, the long-term structure is becoming increasingly interesting.
The correction may not be the story. It may be the preparation for the next one.
(DOGE) dogecoinHypothetically, Dogecoin while listed to Coinbase has never been in the black. If the chart is true and the choice to list Dogecoin happened at the peak of it's price popularity, Coinbase is synonymous with listing companies at their peak leaving new investors to have to wait until troublesome bottoms years later to actually find interest in investing in the company. Dogecoin has never been able to maintain it's price through all the different years of volatility and is the original memecoin, valueless? Obviously, if you were looking at the Robinhood Dogecoin chart the story would be very different. Dogecoin is what kind of made Robinhood a cryptocurrency household name.
Dogecoin Wave Analysis – 12 August 2026
Dogecoin: ⬇️ Sell
– Dogecoin reversed from resistance zone
– Likely to fall to support level 0.0675
Dogecoin cryptocurrency recently reversed down from the resistance zone between the resistance level 0.0725 (upper boundary of the sideways price range inside which the price has been moving from July) and the upper daily Bollinger Band.
This resistance zone was furthers strengthened by the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from the start of July.
Given the clear daily downtrend, Dogecoin cryptocurrency can be expected to fall to the next support level 0.0675, lower border of the active sideways price range.






















