GBPJPY: Returning to a Key Resistance ZoneGBPJPY is recovering toward an important resistance area that previously triggered a sharp sell-off and sent price significantly lower. This zone has already shown clear supply, so a fresh rejection remains worth watching if sellers return.
The current structure suggests that, if price reaches this resistance and shows bearish rejection, another downside move may follow. A successful bearish reaction could bring GBPJPY back toward 212.700, a reasonable target based on previous price action.
This is only my personal view on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setup and trade with solid risk management.
Good luck!
British Pound / Japanese Yen
No trades
No trades
In-depth trading ideas
Will 218.00–218.60 Trigger the Next Drop?GBPJPY is still in a bullish correction after the strong bearish wave from 218.50 to 209.50. Price is now around 215.60 and moving toward the H4 Bearish OB at 218.00–218.60.
My view for today: I expect the bullish correction to continue toward 217.80–218.40 first. This is the main decision zone. If price sweeps the area and confirms a bearish MSS/CHoCH on the lower timeframe, I expect the next move to turn bearish.
📌 Today’s Trading Plan
Bias: Bullish correction → bearish reversal
Entry Zone: 218.00–218.40
Confirmation: Bearish MSS/CHoCH after rejection
SL: 218.90
TP1: 215.20
TP2: 214.20
TP3: 213.50
TP4: 212.20 Liquidity
📍 Expected Market Path
215.60 → 217.80–218.40
→ Sweep/rejection
→ Bearish MSS
→ 215.20
→ 214.20
→ 213.50
→ 212.20 liquidity
The 218.00–218.60 Bearish OB is the key area. I do not want to anticipate the reversal before price reaches this zone and confirms a structural shift.
Invalidation:
A strong H4 close above 218.60 invalidates the bearish reversal scenario and opens the possibility of further upside.
Key Insight:
The current rally is still treated as a correction until GBPJPY proves otherwise. For today, 218.00–218.60 is the level that decides whether this recovery continues or turns into the next bearish leg.
GBP/JPY Second Chance For Buy Cleared , 200 Pips Waiting !Here Is My 2H GBP/JPY Chart and this is my opinion , we entered a buy trade last week from the lowest place as we can and now we have a new great place we can buy from it , we have a good res around 213.100 / 213.300 and this is an old res and support the price respected it many times and now finally we have a real breakout and closure above this res and now we are working with ot ad support and we can buy from it when the price go back to retest it for the first time after breakout and we can targeting 100:150 pips as target and using a decent sl , if we have a daily closure below our support then this idea will not be valid anymore .
Entry Reasons :
- Broken Res
- Bullish Price Action
- Good Support
GBPJPY 1W MA50 rebound aiming for a Higher High.The GBPJPY pair has been trading within a 9-month Channel Up and following the August 03 bottom on the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), it has started its new Bullish Leg. That bottom also took place on an oversold 1D RSI, a strong technical Buy Signal.
If the price breaks above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which is currently acting as Resistance, expect a continuation of the uptrend towards at least 220.500 in an attempt to price a Higher High.
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GBP/JPY Bearish Reversal Setup GBP/JPY is showing rejection from the upper trendline and a clear change of character (CHOCH), suggesting a potential bearish move from the marked selling zone. The setup targets the lower support areas if selling pressure continues.
Take Profits:
* TP1: 214.00
* TP2: 212.00
* TP3: 208.00
Trade with confirmation and manage risk carefully.
GBP/JPY — Precision Entry at Structure: Day & Swing Aligned🔫💰 GBP/JPY "GUPPY" 💷¥ — FOREX BANK WEALTH STRATEGY MAP 🗺️
📅 Day Trade & Swing Trade Heist Blueprint | August 13, 2026 (London Time)
⚔️ Thief Trader | The Market Is Our Vault — Let's Crack It Open!
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THE HEIST PLAN — BULLISH PULLBACK RETEST 🚀
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Thief OG's — we're hunting this Guppy like the apex predators we are! 🐊 The GBP/JPY has surged over 8% in the last 12 months, cracking multi-year highs above 219.59 in mid-July 2026, its strongest level since 2008. After that explosive move, price has pulled back and is now coiling energy near the 215.00 structure zone — classic institutional re-accumulation behavior. We're positioning for a precision bullish retest entry!
🔓 ENTRY ZONE — THE VAULT DOOR IS OPEN!
YOU CAN ENTER THE MARKET AT ANY PRICE LEVEL AFTER THE BREAKOUT @ 215.500
Use Moving Average pullbacks, price action confirmation, or breakout candle close above the 215.500 level as your entry trigger. Flexible entry is intentional — this is a bank-level sniper setup, not a point-and-click retail trade!
🎯 PRIMARY TARGET (Day Trader Getaway): 217.000
🏆 FINAL TARGET (Swing Trader Victory Lap): 218.500
⚠️ DANGER ZONE at 218.500 — Police Force (institutional sellers, overbought conditions, multi-year resistance trap + reversal probability zone) is STRONG at this level. Dear OG's — this is where even the bravest thief grabs the bag and runs! Do NOT get greedy at the top. Escape with profits! 💰
🛑 THIEF STOP LOSS: 214.000
This is our exit if the vault alarm goes off — a structurally placed SL below the breakout zone to protect our capital.
Note: Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG's) i'am not recommended to set only my TP. its your own choice you can make money then take money at your own risk.
Note: Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG's) i'am not recommended to set only my SL. its your own choice you can make money then take money at your own risk.
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🔗 CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH — THE CREW ON THE HEIST 🕵️
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Thief OG's — no heist is a solo mission! Monitor these correlated pairs to confirm or challenge the Guppy's next move. Always cross-check the crew before pulling the trigger!
🟢 GBP/USD — Cable | Live: ~$1.3510 | POSITIVE CORRELATION
Cable and Guppy move in the same direction because they share GBP as the base currency. When Cable strengthens (GBP buyers dominate), it turbocharges the Guppy's bullish momentum. Watch Cable's reaction to UK CPI and BoE signals — a bullish Cable = green light for Guppy OG's!
🟢 EUR/JPY — The Fiber-Yen | Live: ~$183.71 | POSITIVE CORRELATION
EUR/JPY is the JPY's other heavyweight sparring partner. When JPY weakens broadly (risk-on environment, BoJ dovish hold), both EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY rise together. If EUR/JPY is pushing higher, Guppy OG's have wind at their backs. Divergence between these two pairs is a warning signal — watch closely!
🔴 USD/JPY — The Majors King | Live: ~$159.35 | INVERSE CORRELATION TO GUPPY DIRECTIONAL RISK
USD/JPY reflects raw yen strength or weakness driven by the interest rate differential between the Fed and BoJ. A rising USD/JPY means JPY is weakening — this mechanically lifts GBP/JPY because JPY is the quote currency on our pair. If USD/JPY breaks above 160.00 again, Guppy's run to 217–218.50 becomes much more achievable. Monitor every BoJ intervention headline carefully — Tokyo showed it will act!
🔴 EUR/GBP — The Cross | Live: ~$0.8541 | INVERSE CORRELATION
EUR/GBP moves opposite to GBP strength. When EUR/GBP falls (GBP outperforming EUR), it confirms broad GBP bullishness — which supports a Guppy breakout above 215.500. If EUR/GBP is rising (GBP losing ground to Euro), be cautious about Guppy entry timing.
🟢 GBP/CHF — The Sterling-Swiss | Live: ~$1.6620 (derived) | POSITIVE CORRELATION
GBP/CHF shares GBP as its base, so it trends directionally with Guppy in most macro environments. A bullish GBP/CHF confirms broad sterling demand from institutional players, validating our Guppy entry thesis. Risk-off flows into CHF can disrupt both pairs simultaneously.
🟢 GBP/AUD — Sterling-Aussie | Live: ~$1.9150 (derived) | POSITIVE CORRELATION
Both pairs have GBP as the driver. When global risk appetite improves and GBP is finding buyers, GBP/AUD typically confirms the broader sterling strength story alongside GBP/JPY. A bullish alignment between GBP/AUD and GBP/JPY gives you a high-conviction heist!
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📰 FUNDAMENTALS & ECONOMICS — WHAT THE MARKET IS SAYING 🌐
(Balanced Analysis — Long & Short Factors Included — No Trade Bias Here)
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🏦 BANK OF ENGLAND (BoE):
— Current Bank Rate: 3.75% (held since December 2025 cut)
— Last Decision: Unanimously held on 30 July 2026 — MPC flagged CPI inflation likely to peak around 3.2% in Q4 2026
— Next MPC Meeting: 17 September 2026
— UK CPI Inflation: 2.6% year-on-year in June 2026 (above 2% target). Projections now revised higher due to Middle East energy shock. BoE's April Monetary Policy Report warned CPI could reach 3.5% in Q2-Q3 2026
— UK GDP Growth: Forecast revised down to 0.9%–1.0% for 2026 following Middle East conflict energy disruption
— BoE Central Projection: CPI risks "tilted to the upside" — rate cuts now considered unlikely near-term, with some analysts even flagging potential rate hike risk if inflation worsens
— UK Construction PMI: Output contraction continued in July but at slowest pace since March. Business expectations improved. Supply chain performance tightened. Input price inflation eased to a 5-month low (supporting a nuanced picture for sterling)
🏦 BANK OF JAPAN (BoJ):
— Current Policy Rate: 1.00% (raised 25bps in June 2026, highest since September 1995)
— Last Decision: Held at 1.00% on 31 July 2026 (8-1 vote — one dissenter pushed for 1.25%)
— Next BoJ Meeting: 17–18 September 2026
— BoJ Stance: Flagged core CPI likely to accelerate "clearly above" 2% from September 2026 onward. June meeting minutes showed mounting concern over inflation — two board members favored faster hikes. BoJ signals next hike possible as early as September
— Japan CPI (Core): 1.6% year-on-year in July 2026 (still below 2% target but trending higher due to oil prices, weak yen, and wage pressures)
— JPY Intervention: A record coordinated yen-buying operation between the US Treasury and Japan's Ministry of Finance was executed end-July 2026, with reports of JPY 8.45 trillion deployed. USD/JPY rallied sharply from above 163 to as low as 157.96 before retracing back above 159. MOF line-in-sand viewed as the 162–165 zone
— Yen Fundamentals: Still pressured by wide rate differentials (BoE at 3.75% vs BoJ at 1.00% = 275bps gap), elevated energy import costs, and fiscal concerns. BoJ rate hike path provides partial yen support
🇺🇸 FEDERAL RESERVE (Fed):
— Market Divided: Markets split on whether the Fed will raise 25bps in September after holding in July
— Rising oil prices reinforcing hawkish bias
— Fed's Barkin: Job market in "weak balance" — zero-to-modest positive job gain environment. Labor data "doesn't feel very good." AI could be disinflationary; expects to reach 2% inflation target
— DXY near 99.84: Modestly pressured by soft US jobs data ahead of today's US CPI release (a pivotal data event for Fed direction)
— US CPI Report: Due today 13 August 2026 — key data point for Fed September decision
🌍 GEOPOLITICAL RISK FACTORS:
— Middle East Conflict (Israel/US–Iran): Began 28 February 2026. Iran launched retaliatory strikes against energy infrastructure in Gulf States and closed the Strait of Hormuz, causing sharp energy price spikes globally
— US-Iran Deal Prospects: Pakistan's defense minister noted Washington and Tehran "close to some sort of arrangement" over Strait of Hormuz reopening — this has dampened oil prices marginally but situation remains fluid
— Energy Market Impact: Higher oil and gas prices are feeding directly into UK import costs, household energy bills, and consumer price inflation — a dominant macro theme for GBP pairs
— Global GDP: World Bank revised global 2026 GDP growth down to 2.5% from earlier forecasts. UK growth downgraded to 0.9% for 2026 by NIESR. Long-term bond yields have risen across major economies, tightening financial conditions
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⚠️ RISK FACTORS — KNOW YOUR ENEMY 🎯
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🔴 BoJ surprise rate hike — any hawkish BoJ action in September could deliver sharp JPY strengthening, sending Guppy sharply lower
🔴 US-Iran ceasefire / Strait of Hormuz reopening — a sudden de-escalation could crush oil prices, improve global risk appetite in complex ways, and shift JPY safe-haven dynamics
🔴 UK CPI spike above 3.5% — forces BoE into stagflation panic and GBP sell-off
🔴 US CPI today (13 August) — a hot print pushes the USD sharply higher (risk-off), compressing GBP/JPY
🔴 BoJ FX Intervention — Tokyo has demonstrated willingness to defend the yen. Any verbal or physical intervention above 160–163 on USD/JPY can trigger violent Guppy reversals
🔴 Liquidity gaps — thin Asian session periods can create volatile Guppy spikes; be cautious of overnight exposure
🔴 Geopolitical escalation in the Middle East — any major energy supply shock can trigger global risk-off and JPY safe-haven buying, crushing the Guppy
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🦹 THIEF TRADER WISDOM — MOTIVATIONAL GOLD 💎
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💬 "The bank doesn't cry when it takes your money. Don't cry when we take theirs. Execute with precision, exit with profits." — Thief Trader
💬 "Every pullback is a gift. Every retest is an invitation. Weak hands panic — we load up. This is how generational wealth is built one pip at a time." — Thief Trader
💬 "The best traders in the world don't predict the market — they read it, respect it, and react to it. Be the ghost, not the gambler." — Thief Trader
💬 "A plan without discipline is just a wish. A plan with discipline and patience? That's a heist." — Thief Trader
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GBPJPY Breakout Retest in Play – Bulls Target 213.70 & 214.50GBPJPY Breakout Retest in Play – Bulls Target 213.70 & 214.50
GBPJPY has broken above a well-defined ascending triangle on the 1H timeframe, confirming a shift in momentum in favor of the bulls.
Buyers finally pushed through the horizontal resistance, signaling the potential for further upside.
Price is now consolidating above the breakout area, and a retest of the former resistance could provide the foundation for the next bullish leg. As long as this zone holds as new support, the breakout structure remains valid.
The first upside target is located at 213.70, where previous supply may slow the advance. A successful move beyond that level would expose the next key resistance around 214.50,
Bullish Targets:
🎯 Target 1: 213.70
🎯 Target 2: 214.50
You can find more details on the chart.
Thank you ! 🍀
⚠️PS: Do your own analysis and use your own strategy to join the trade.
❤️ If this analysis helps your trading day, please support it with a like or comment ❤️
GBP/JPY - Buyers Stay Control Above 214Hi traders, are you waiting for the pullback or chasing the move?
OANDA:GBPJPY has recovered strongly from the sharp liquidity sweep near 210 and is now holding above the Ichimoku Cloud. The H4 structure remains constructive, with buyers gradually rebuilding momentum above the 214.50–215.50 area.
That is the zone I’m watching. If price pulls back into it and buyers defend the area again, I still favor continuation toward:
🎯 Target: 218.60
Macro is more mixed here. Sterling remains firm ahead of today’s UK labour-market release, while expectations for another BOE hike are still supporting the Pound.
At the same time, Japanese bond yields have climbed to a three-decade high as markets increase bets on further BOJ tightening — a factor that could strengthen the Yen and limit GBPJPY upside.
Because UK employment, wage and unemployment figures are still due later today, I would rather let the 214.50–215.50 reaction confirm the trade than chase price around 216.
A sustained H4 move below 214.50 would weaken the bullish setup and suggest buyers are losing control of the recovery.
AURICVERSE View: the rebound from 210 has been impressive, but the cleaner trade is still a defended pullback. If the buy zone holds, 218.60 remains the level on my radar.
How are you reading this structure? Share your view below.
GBPJPY Short Term Sell IdeaH4 - Strong bearish move.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Expecting bearish continuation until the two strong resistance zones hold.
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GBPJPY – Bears Waiting at ResistanceGBPJPY is currently retesting a strong resistance and supply zone around 215.50–216.50, an area that has played an important role in the past.
After the recent bearish impulse, price recovered sharply and is now approaching this key zone from below.
📌 As long as the resistance zone holds, we will be looking for sell setups.
However, resistance alone is not enough.
For the bears to take over and confirm the next bearish impulse, we need to see a clear break below the rising red trendline.
Until that happens, buyers still have short-term control of the recovery.
The plan is simple: resistance gives us the location, the trendline break gives us the confirmation.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage your risk and wait for proper confirmation before entering a trade.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
GBP/JPY SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
GBP/JPY is making a bullish rebound on the 4H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 211.518 level.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBP/JPY Bearish Reversal Setup – Targets 214. & 212.GBP/JPY is showing a potential **bearish reversal** after approaching the **216.00–216.30 resistance zone**. The chart suggests downside pressure from the current area, with **TP1 at 214.35** and **TP2 at 212.82**.
A sustained rejection from resistance could drive the pair toward the marked targets. Traders should watch price action around **214.35** for the first reaction, while a break below it could open the way toward **212.82**.
GBPJPY 1D – Bearish BiasHello Trading Fam! 👋
Price has rallied back into a major structure/resistance zone around 215–216 after a sharp rejection. Watch for bearish confirmation before entering shorts, targeting the next support around 212 and below.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
GBPJPY The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear friends,
GBPJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 215.97 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 215.58
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBP/JPY Long trade idea**GBP/JPY Long — Fundamental & Technical Outlook**
My long bias on GBP/JPY is mainly based on relative monetary policy, resilient UK economic data, and the still-significant interest-rate advantage of the British Pound over the Japanese Yen.
**Fundamental View**
The UK economy has recently performed better than expected, reducing concerns about a sharp economic slowdown.
Stronger economic activity also gives the Bank of England more room to maintain restrictive monetary policy. Inflation remains an important concern, and recent comments from BoE policymakers suggest that stronger growth could strengthen the case for tighter policy if inflation pressures persist.
This remains supportive for Sterling.
On the Japanese side, the Bank of Japan is gradually moving toward tighter monetary policy as inflation pressures remain elevated. Expectations for another BoJ rate hike have increased, which is an important risk to my long position.
However, the interest-rate differential between the UK and Japan remains substantial:
**BoE → 3.75% Bank Rate / inflation risks remain**
**BoJ → 1.00% policy rate / gradual normalization**
As long as the BoJ continues to normalize policy gradually rather than aggressively, the yield advantage of Sterling can continue to support GBP against JPY.
Therefore, my fundamental thesis is not based on outright Yen weakness. It is based on **relative Sterling strength and the continued UK–Japan yield differential.**
**Technical View**
Technically, GBP/JPY has recovered strongly after the sharp selloff toward the **211.50 area**.
Price has reclaimed the **215.50–215.90** region, which I am using as the key support structure for this trade.
My target is positioned around **218.50–218.60**, where price meets the next major Daily/Weekly resistance area.
Risk is protected below the reclaimed support structure.
Overall, my thesis is:
**Resilient UK economy + restrictive BoE policy + persistent UK–Japan rate differential + bullish price recovery = GBP/JPY long.**
The main fundamental risk to this setup is a faster-than-expected BoJ tightening cycle, which could strengthen the Yen and weaken the bullish GBP/JPY thesis.
**GBPJPY — Trigger Watch | Rejection at Major Resistance****GBPJPY — Trigger Watch | Rejection at Major Resistance**
GBPJPY has moved onto our VMS Trigger Watch.
After setting new highs, price spent roughly **two weeks in consolidation** before making a decisive bearish move lower over two days.
Price has since retraced back into a **well-established resistance zone**, where we have now seen **three consecutive days of rejection**.
Today, another important piece may be developing:
• A **bearish engulfing candle** is currently forming
• Momentum remains high and is attempting to turn bearish
• Price is testing the **50 EMA**
• Three days of rejection are already established inside the resistance zone
The structure has our attention, but the current daily candle is **not complete**.
We want to see whether today's bearish engulfing candle completes and whether momentum confirms the rejection.
For now, there is nothing to predict and nothing to chase.
**GBPJPY — Trigger Watch.**
Let the market finish showing us what it wants to do.
**Volume • Momentum • Structure**
*Educational analysis only. Not financial advice.*






















