In-depth trading ideas
Beyond bond marketBuying the BND ETF (Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF) can be a smart move for several reasons, especially for those looking to diversify their portfolio, generate income, or manage risk. Here are some compelling reasons why you might consider buying BND:
1. Diversification
Broad Exposure to the Bond Market: BND gives you access to a wide variety of U.S. investment-grade bonds, including government, corporate, and mortgage-backed securities. This diversification reduces the risk compared to holdin
revisiting the BOND/SPY ratioIt's possible today was the day bonds finally reverse and start becoming attractive to investors again. This is a monthly chart with steep bullish divergence, so we're talking about a multi year (and possibly decades) of an uptrend from here. If you don't know how to read a ratio chart, it simply shows the amount of SPY etf it takes to make one BND etf. If it's in an uptrend, then it takes more SPY to make one BND. That could mean 3 possibilities -
1. SPY and BND rally together but BND outperfo
The Bid for BondsBND looks to have finished it's C wave and now getting ready to rally past most expectations. On the BND ETF, it should make new highs.
Strong weekly bullish divergence and A=C 1.272 which is a very common extension for C. For those looking for a fundamental reason for bonds to rally, I recommend David Rosenberg's excellent interview a few days ago on Wealthtrack - youtu.be/44_kSXbuJYc
James Bonds vs I SpySpy vs Bond ratio chart. An uptrend means that bonds are outperforming spy.
Monthly bull divergences, monthly PPO about to cross bullish, Slow Stochastic over 21 for the first time in 2 years. This is a generational opportunity for bonds. Chances are good that the economy tanks mid-year and Powell and the other geniuses at the FED rethink the rate hike strategy, so bonds will continue to rally vs SPY. 60/40 portfolio may become 10/90 by next year.
Are bonds not attractive? $BND $JNK $AGG $HYG $LQDWith cpi inflation up at 6.2 % why should I be willing to hold a bond fun which as way above average prices and yielding between 2% and 4.4% for junk bonds? Shouldnt I be avoiding this reach for yield and get either more constative and look for future discount opportunities, or should buy a traditional portfolio and pray a sell off doesnt happen over next 5-10 years? #worried
BND large scale paterns my work is applicable to all time scales. I prefer to stat with the entire data set and work down to the details. My intuition works best when I don't have skin in the trade.
The major fluctuations on the market have anachronistic traits seen in past and future.
BND total bond market.
Total bond market index( $BOND 1M ) Classic Wyckoff accumulationThe chart speaks for itself. I expect higher prices in the future meaning negatives yields...
Learn more about the Wyckoff Method : school.stockcharts.com
As time goes by, I will keep you updated on the evolution of the chart, so make sure to follow me on Tradingview
Disclaimer : This is not financial advice as I’m not a financial adviser.
This is just my knowledge on what can be said and done from the chart.
Due to the volatile nature of the cryptocurrencies market, it can change on a
Bond bubble about to blow.With a yield-to-maturity of only 2%, how much lower can it go (or prices of bonds rise) given that the 'real' rate of return is now negative? Deteriorating global economic growth will soon cause spreads to widen (a good portion of these ETF bond funds are in higher yielding corporate bonds) which will hurt bond prices.
BND: Defensive Against Trade WarI have three bond funds that I use for a regular market hedge as well as a possible target for short-term down market conditions. Unless some last minute Hail Mary comes out on this US/China trade dispute, I expect the rest of May and maybe June and July to be difficult months to weather in stocks. There's some money to be made, but it'll require strict vigilance to adhere to your trading signals and risk management rules.






















