In-depth trading ideas

Discover detailed market analysis from traders. See how others approach this instrument, compare different strategies, and discover perspectives that can shape your own view.

US rally, Australia lagging: does the ASX catch up?What happened during the Australian session when the S&P 500 had gained at least 90 points on the prior day, while Australian overnight futures dislocation was no greater than 50 points? Both conditions apply together, with no weekday filter: • S&P500 (DAY PRIOR) >= 90 points • AUS200 OVERNIGHT FUTURES DISLOCATION (PRE) <= 50 points There are 18 completed historical cases. The average ASX session finished 16 points above its 10am reference. Nine of the 18 reached at least 40 points above that

9100 In Sight for ASX 200 Bulls?While prices have effectively been flat this week, there are subtle clues that bullish setups may be building. Thursday’s bullish candle was accompanied by the highest volume in a month, while the daily increase in open interest was also unusually strong. Both point to solid demand for SPI 200 futures around the 50-day averages. The 4-hour chart shows a bullish pinbar marking a higher low around 8960. As long as prices hold above that level, my bias is for a break above 9060 and a move towards

by StoneX Trading

AUS200: late sell-off into RBA Tuesday, five historical cases Question: after a late sell-off into an RBA Tuesday, what does the ASX session (10am open to 4pm close) do? Conditions (both apply): AUS200 LATE MOVE (PRIOR DAY) = SHORT (the prior day's 14:30-16:00 Sydney swing-reversal legs, carried forward as context), and AUS200 EVENTS = RBA TUESDAY. Results: five completed sessions since 2022 (today also matches; its outcome is not known yet). ASX-session moves from the 10am open to the 4pm close: +32, -113, +123, +32, +58 points. Four of the five finishe

AUS200: can a weak first 15 minutes recover?With an overnight AUS200 futures dislocation of -80 points or worse and a prior-day AUS200 first hour of -15 points or worse, what did the next ASX session do? The setup matched 15 dates. One date (29 November 2021) has no first-15-minute value, so the comparable outcome sample is 14: • First 15 minutes (10:00–10:15 close vs 10am): 13/14 negative; mean -15.14 points. • First hour (11am vs 10am): 10/14 negative; mean -18.79 points. • ASX session (4pm vs 10am): 7/14 positive and 7/14 negative; me

AU200: news flow leaning bearish — the net read AU200 did not get one story today, it got several, and they do not all point the same way. Weighed against each other — new against old, and tracking which ones have already faded: −− Treasury yields hitting 5% may not break markets now — but the clock is ticking −− US Troops Leak New Iran War Photos Of Gulf Bases: 'Major Damage Hidden From American Public' − Amazon Says Cloud Infrastructure In Bahrain, UAE 'Beyond Saving' 143 stories were weighed in this window; the 3 carrying the most weig

ASX 200 Headed for 8400?The ASX 200 has just suffered its worst week in six months, thanks to renewed bets on RBA and Fed hikes amid soaring oil prices and bond yields. We are only halfway through the month, yet it already seems likely the ASX will snap its five-month winning streak. Signs of a reversal were there, given August’s shooting star marked a failed attempt to hold above the prior record high. Interestingly, the ASX is narrowly lower over the past 12 months despite a particularly volatile period. The fact we

by StoneX Trading

AUS200 H4 | Bearish Drop Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has rejected our sell entry level at 9,020.12, which is a pullback resistance. Our stop loss is set at 9,110.03, which is a pullback resistance. Our take profit is set at 8,891.60, which is an overlap support. High Risk Investment Warning 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing yo

ASX 200 — The Great Aussie Pie Correction ASX 200 MAP Short zone: ~9200 TP1: ~8800 If price bounces, I’m looking for a reload toward ~9450. Then the larger map is: 8800 → 8600 → 8100 At 8100, reassess. Monthly momentum has started to roll over, but weekly still has enough strength for one more push higher first. That’s why I’m allowing for the bounce/reload before the deeper correction. No crystal ball — just the map. Let’s see how the pie cooks. 🥧😄 ----Cay7mon

Title: Australia 200 — Bearish Extension Setup Australia 200 is currently maintaining a strong bearish structure, with recent price action confirming significant selling pressure across the market. The sharp decline reflects weakening buying interest and stronger participation from sellers, keeping the broader outlook tilted toward the downside. From a fundamental perspective, the market remains sensitive to expectations around Australian economic growth, interest-rate policy, inflation, employment conditions, commodity demand, and broader

by asgharphulpoto

Australia 200 | Short-Term Rise Before a Strong Bearish Move Australia 200 may extend slightly higher before shifting lower. The current price structure suggests the upside move could be limited, with the broader expectation favoring a strong decline afterward. The overall outlook remains bearish as sellers are expected to take control of the next leg.

by asgharphulpoto

19.08.26 Daily Forecast Pairs on Watch - FX:EURUSD : Very straight forward on this pair as we can see the deliberate 123 structure that has formed into a small 15M hook point. The DXY is positioned at a low where it could hold and go long, meaning EU short. The last leg does have a 123 finishing move into the high, so we have to be aware this could break out higher on the 15M and break back in, giving us a nice 1H risk entry short. If not and price breaks out, potentially a flip on the cards for a long to fill the

15:48

by JordanWillson

ASX 200 Rally Hits a Wall The ASX 200 has seen nothing but one-way traffic since hitting record highs, with deteriorating technicals compounded by disappointing results from Australia’s big banks and, today, a very soft earnings report from prominent retailer JB Hi-Fi. That latter result is potentially important given what it may be telling us about cyclical parts of the economy, coming in the wake of accelerated nationwide falls in house prices, unpopular budget changes and earlier rate increases from the RBA. As a re

Australia 200 — ATH Extension Before Bearish Reversal Australia 200 is currently trading around its All-Time High, where price may push slightly higher before facing strong selling pressure. The expectation is for a final upside extension followed by a bearish reversal from the higher zone. Rather than chasing the upside at ATH, the focus remains on waiting for the reversal and confirmation before targeting the downside. If the bearish structure develops as expected, Australia 200 could enter a broader corrective move. Bias: 🔴 Sell / Bearish Reve

by asgharphulpoto

ASX Retreats From highs, But Trend Remains Firms I began the day wondering if the ASX could be on the cusp of a bullish breakout from a flag. While that thesis being tested right now, I still see the potential for it to break to new highs in the coming weeks - given the strength if the rally that led thew ASX into its recent record high. MS

03:28

by StoneX Trading

ASX 200 'Record High' To Face its First Test?I outline why I am on guard for a false breakout or pullback following yesterday's 'record high' headlines, using ASX price action and Wall Street sentiment. MS

02:43

by StoneX Trading

ASX200/AUS200 for over 5 years with strong accuracy Team, We’ve been performing consistently well with ASX200 over the last two weeks, especially now that my TradingView ban has finally been lifted. I’ve traded ASX200/AUS200 for over 5 years with strong accuracy and consistent results, and tonight we’re preparing for a clean swing setup. Here are the levels I’m monitoring: Short zone: 9086–9125 DOUBLE UP SHORT zone: 9156–9182 Stop level: 9250 Target zones: Target 1: 9056–9032 Target 2: 9027–8992 Target 3: 8983–8917 This setup is based on ex

by ActiveTraderOfficial

AUS200 H4 | Bullish Momentum To Continue Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see the price falling to our buy entry level at 8,891.74, an overlap support that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Our stop loss is set at 8,805.32, a pullback support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit is set at 9,021.81, a pullback resistance. High Risk Investment Warning 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs wo

SX200 / AUS200 SHORT PLAN Good morning ALL, Yesterday I warned everyone NOT to touch the ASX200 short because price could push into 9000 or higher — and that’s exactly what happened, over 100 points up. Now price has reached the zone we’ve been waiting for. I’m watching this area closely for potential short reactions if the market confirms. Please manage your own volume and risk. Primary Short Zone: 9010 – 9026 Add‑More Zone: 9045 – 9065 STOP LOSS (Risk Marker): 9115 Target 1: 8986 – 8972 Target 2: 8986 – 8945 Targ

by ActiveTraderOfficial

ASX200 / AUS200 PREPARATION UPDATE Team, ASX200 has pushed into the zone we’ve been monitoring throughout the session. This area has shown weakness before, and I’m watching it closely for potential short reactions if the market confirms. Here are the levels I’m observing for momentum shifts and reaction zones. Primary Short: 8905–8935 DOUBLE‑UP Observation Zone: 8965–8986 STOP LOSS : 9050 TARGET 1 8876–8862 TARGET 2: 8857–8832 LETS GO ACTIVE Signal — Risk First. Profit Second. Your trade, your responsibility. Please manag

by ActiveTraderOfficial

ASX200/AUS200 - TIME FOR LONG ENTRY TEAM — AUS200 LONG SETUP 🔥 Team, yesterday we executed our SHORT at 8915–8930, and the move delivered 100–120 points clean. Since then, the market has flushed over 180 points, giving us the perfect opportunity to flip and position for the next leg. LONG ENTRY ZONE: 8750 – 8730 ADDITIONAL LONGS: 8686 – 8666 STOP LOSS: 8620 Target 1: 8782 – 8796 Target 2: 8808 – 8836 Take partials at T1, secure profits, and let the rest breathe. Buyers are likely to step in around our zones LETS GO

by ActiveTraderOfficial

AUS200 H1 | Falling Toward Fib Level Based on the H1 chart, we could see the price fall to our buy entry level at 8,840.24, an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and the 78.6% Fibonacci projection. Our stop loss is set at 8,797.49, which is an overlap support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit is set at 8,899.44, which is a pullback resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd, fxcm.com CFDs are compl

ASX200/AUS200 - time to SHORT Team, stay sharp — structure is clean and we’re preparing for a controlled short position. Follow the levels exactly, no rushing, no early entries. SHORT ENTRY ZONE: 8906 – 8918 Let price tap into the range before executing. ADD MORE SHORTS: 8946 – 8965 This is our second layer — controlled volume, disciplined execution. STOP LOSS: 9050 Target 1: 8876 – 8865 Target 2: 8856 – 8838 Take partials at T1, protect capital, and let the rest breathe. LETS GO NOTE:Dear PAMM investor, As mentioned

by ActiveTraderOfficial

Australia 200 Eyes Buy-Side Expansion Australia 200 is holding near an important support zone after recent selling. If buyers remain active, the market could move higher and target buy-side liquidity. A weaker US Dollar and better market sentiment may also support the next bullish move. Wait for confirmation before entering and always manage your risk.

by asgharphulpoto