Silver | Institutional Price DeliverySilver is trading within a key institutional liquidity zone, where market structure and order flow remain the primary focus. A confirmed reaction from internal buy-side liquidity could determine the next directional move, with external liquidity levels acting as the primary objectives. Traders should wait for market structure confirmation and disciplined risk management before execution.
In-depth trading ideas
Silver Breaks Falling Wedge: Bulls Eye Higher Resistance LevelsSilver Breaks Falling Wedge: Bulls Eye Higher Resistance Levels
Silver broke out from a bullish wedge pattern after finding support near the lower trendline.
This pattern is often considered a bullish continuation signal, and buyers are beginning to regain momentum.
A successful breakout and sustained move above the wedge resistance could open the door for a continuation toward the next key resistance zones.
The first target is located near 60.60, followed by the major resistance around 62.80. As long as the breakout remains valid, the bullish outlook stays intact.
Bullish targets:
60.60
62.80
You can find more details on the chart.
Thank you and good luck! 🍀
⚠️PS: Do your own analysis and use your own strategy to join the trade.
❤️ If this analysis helps your trading day, please support it with a like or comment ❤️
*XAG/USD Approaches Major Resistance
Silver (XAG/USD) has delivered a strong bullish rally after breaking above its consolidation range and reclaiming the Ichimoku Cloud, signaling improving momentum. Price is now testing a key resistance zone around **$62.80–$63.00**, where sellers may begin to step in. As long as this resistance holds, a healthy correction toward the **$60.04** support area is possible before the next directional move. A successful hold above the target zone could provide buyers with another opportunity to continue the broader uptrend, while a decisive break above resistance would invalidate the pullback scenario and open the door for further gains.
**🎯 Target:** **$60.04**
XAGUSD: Pullback Offers Buying OpportunityXAGUSD has just undergone a steep rally and is currently pausing near the short-term support zone. Notably, the price has not broken its bullish structure, while the underlying trendline continues to provide support during pullbacks.
The macroeconomic backdrop also favors silver, driven by a weakening US dollar, cooling US yields, and sustained demand for precious metals.
If buying interest emerges around the 61.59 level, the price could soon regain momentum and move to test the 63.62 zone. The bullish scenario would only be significantly undermined if this support level is decisively breached.
Current outlook: Prioritize waiting for a buying response at the support zone rather than chasing the price after the sharp rally.
XAG/USD | Where to now, Silver?By analyzing the 4H chart of Silver we can see that after last week's surge and drop, it opened with a Premium Gap, courtesy of US stopping attacks on Iran and President Trump announcing that the IR wants to make a deal with them, it all happened during the weekend. Currently, Silver is being traded around 57.85.
Now considering everything, Silver is mostly Neutral, since the geopolitical tensions eased a bit but on the other hand, contrary to what President Trump said, IR representatives claim that no negotiations is taking place right now! So, make the most sense out of it yourself. 😅
Thus, the valuable metal is consolidating in the same zone as last week's currently inside the 4H FVG.
Now, I suggest to wait and see which of the liquidity pools, sellside or buyside, is swept away first. Whichever is swept away first, will make it clear which way is Silver going.
Regardless, I currently expect Silver to drop to the 57.21 level first, and then if it bounces back up, I'd want to see it sweep the buyside liquidity pool above the 59.31 and then 60.09 levels respectively, and retest the FVG and the supply zone as well.
If it fails to bounce back up from the 57.21 level, then we could see it drop to below the 56.64 and then below the 56.11 levels to sweep the sellside liquidity pools there and use the Bullish OB to bounce back up.
XAGUSD (Silver) – 1H Bearish Triangle SetupXAGUSD (Silver) – 1H Bearish Triangle Setup
Price is trading inside a symmetrical triangle and approaching the apex. The overall structure remains bearish as long as price stays below the descending trendline.
Trade Plan:
• Entry: Below 57.20 after a confirmed 1H candle close.
• Stop Loss: 60.60
• Take Profit 1: 56.65
• Take Profit 2: 54.95
Invalidation: A strong 1H candle close above 58.90 will invalidate this bearish setup.
Note: Wait for breakout confirmation and always use proper risk management. This analysis is for educational purposes only.
*XAG/USD Bullish Breakout Eyes 62.50 ResistanceSilver (XAG/USD) has confirmed a strong bullish breakout from its consolidation range and is now trading above the key support zone around **61.10–61.20**. The recent impulsive move suggests buyers remain in control, while the ascending trendline continues to support the bullish structure.
As long as price holds above the highlighted support area, the next upside objective is the **62.50 resistance zone**, which aligns with the marked target and a significant supply level. A successful breakout above 62.50 could open the door for additional gains, while a failure to hold above 61.10 may trigger a short-term pullback before the uptrend resumes.
**🎯 Target:** **62.50 USD**
**🛡️ Key Support:** **61.10–61.20 USD**
**📈 Bias:** **Bullish**
Silver Eyes BreakoutSilver is holding firm around the $57 region, an important technical support area backed by multiple confluences.
This zone aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement while also sitting near the Value Area Low (VAL), making it a key level where buyers have continued to defend price. The reaction from this region suggests that demand is still present despite recent volatility, keeping the broader bullish structure intact.
Price is now trading around the Point of Control (POC), a level that represents the highest volume traded within the current range. This area often acts as a battleground between buyers and sellers, meaning the next move from here could set the tone for the coming sessions. At the same time, silver remains capped by dynamic resistance, which continues to limit upside momentum.
A confirmed breakout above both the Point of Control and the dynamic resistance would significantly strengthen the bullish outlook. Such a move would signal that buyers have regained control and could open the probability of a rally toward the next major high-timeframe resistance around $62.
Until that confirmation occurs, traders should continue monitoring price action around the POC, as rejection from this level could delay the next leg higher and keep silver consolidating within its current range.
XAGUSD: Sellers may use this zone for distribution.XAGUSD is maintaining its bullish support line, yet current price structure indicates that the recovery momentum is clearly capped. The 60.17 area acts not only as strong resistance but also as a zone where the price has faced repeated rejection, signaling significant supply concentration.
From a macroeconomic perspective, silver faces headwinds from the US dollar and expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain high interest rates for longer. This diminishes the precious metal's appeal, particularly as the market remains cautious regarding US economic data.
My base-case scenario sees XAGUSD continuing to rally to test the 60.17 level, followed by selling pressure that drives the price back toward the 57.86 zone. A breach of this level could lead to a deeper decline. Conversely, the bearish outlook would only be invalidated if the price secures a firm H4 close above 60.17.
Current stance: Prioritize SELL positions upon a clear rejection signal at 60.17, with an immediate target of 57.86.
XAGUSD: Silver continues to weaken within a bearish channelXAGUSD remains within a downward-sloping price channel, characterized by a series of lower highs. The price is currently trading below both the EMA34 and EMA89, indicating weak recovery momentum and continued seller dominance.
The $58.70 level acts as key resistance. Should the price attempt a recovery but face rejection at this level, selling pressure could drive silver back down to the $55.80 area, corresponding to the channel's lower boundary.
Fundamentally, the US dollar is supported by expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain a cautious stance as the market awaits US employment data. This environment continues to weigh on precious metals in the short term.
A "SELL" strategy is preferred if the price weakens below $58.70, with an immediate target of $55.80.
XAGUSD H1: Sellers Still Cannot Break SupportAfter several tests of the key support zone around 56.7–57.0, XAGUSD has repeatedly attracted strong buying interest, showing that buyers are still defending this area effectively. Each pullback toward support has been quickly absorbed, allowing price to form higher lows and maintain its short-term recovery structure.
What stands out is that selling pressure has weakened considerably, as the latest declines have failed to create a new low. Meanwhile, buyers continue to push price back toward the upper trading range, opening the door for another bullish move if demand remains strong.
In the short term, I favor the scenario where XAGUSD continues to hold above the current support zone and extends its recovery toward the 59.20 resistance area. The bullish outlook will only be invalidated if price breaks and closes below the 56.7–57.0 support zone.
This is only my personal view based on technical analysis. Wishing you successful trading!
XAG/USD (4H): Multi-Zone SMC Plan — FVG & Order Block Scenarios📊 COMPREHENSIVE SIGNAL & ORDER EXECUTION MATRIX
🟢 SETUP 1: PRIMARY BULLISH CONTINUATION (FVG CONFIRMATION)
Trade Direction: Long / Buy 🟢
Primary Entry Zone: 60.500 (Bullish Fair Value Gap Mitigation)
Stop Loss (SL): 59.800 (Placed below the local FVG swing structural low)
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 63.200 (Targeting equal highs / $$$ Liquidity Pool)
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 66.000 (Tapping into the major 4H Bearish Order Block)
Risk/Reward Profile: ~1 : 2.2 (TP1) | ~1 : 7.8 (TP2)
🟢 SETUP 2: SECONDARY BULLISH DEEP RELOAD (OB DISCOUNT RE-ENTRY)
Trigger Condition: Executed ONLY if the 60.500 FVG is invalidated on a 4H body close.
Trade Direction: Long / Buy 🟢
Secondary Entry Zone: 58.700 (Bullish Order Block Mitigation)
Stop Loss (SL): 57.800 (Placed safely below the order block structure floor)
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 63.200 ($$$ Liquidity Sweep Target)
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 66.000 (4H Bearish Order Block Target)
Risk/Reward Profile: ~1 : 5.0 (TP1) | ~1 : 8.1 (TP2)
🔴 SETUP 3: HIGH-TIMEFRAME BEARISH REVERSAL (SUPPLY SWEEP SHORT)
Trigger Condition: Executed AFTER Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) is swept above $66.000.
Trade Direction: Short / Sell 🔴
Premium Short Entry Zone: 66.000 – 67.000 (4H Bearish Order Block / BSL Rejection)
Stop Loss (SL): 67.600 (Above the structural peak of the 4H Bearish OB)
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 64.000 (Retargeting internal liquidity)
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 60.500 (Retesting lower broken structural levels)
Risk/Reward Profile: ~1 : 3.3 (TP1) | ~1 : 9.1 (TP2)
🧠 DEEP DIVE TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (SMART MONEY CONCEPTS)
1️⃣ Macro Trend Shift & Trendline Liquidity Break
Silver has executed a structural breakout by breaking out of the primary Bullish Trendline support base ($54.00–$55.00) and slicing clean through the long-term descending channel resistance line.
The market has completed a high-timeframe Market Structure Shift (MSS) above 60.000, confirming that institutional order flow has transitioned from a macro bearish/corrective phase to a bullish expansion phase.
2️⃣ Primary Demand: Bullish Fair Value Gap (60.500)
The aggressive expansion leg away from the $57.50 bottom left behind a notable Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) centered around 60.500.
Execution Rule: Because FVGs can act as partial retracement points before continuing, entry at 60.500 requires explicit lower-timeframe (15M/1H) confirmation (e.g., a bullish engulfing candle or a micro-MSS) to prevent getting caught in a deeper pullback.
3️⃣ Secondary Discount Demand: Bullish Order Block (58.700)
Should selling pressure overcome the 60.500 FVG, price will gravitate toward the Bullish Order Block (OB) at 58.700.
Dynamic Confluence: The 100-period Exponential Moving Average (100 EMA) is currently dynamic at 59.242. This moving average aligns directly with the upper boundary of the 58.700 OB, creating a multi-layered support floor that offers an exceptional risk-to-reward long opportunity.
4️⃣ Targeting Buy-Side Liquidity ($$$ & BSL)
Above current price sits a broad pool of equal highs and buy-side liquidity ($$$) around 63.200.
Past $63.200, the main magnetic target on the chart is the 4H Bearish Order Block sitting between 66.000 and 67.000, marked as BSL + Target.
5️⃣ The Premium Short Plan (66.000–67.000)
The 66.000 – 67.000 zone represents a high-timeframe supply block where major liquidity rests above old high structures.
Rather than selling immediately upon first contact, wait for price to sweep Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) above $66.000, print a sharp lower-timeframe rejection/displacement back inside the block, and then execute short back toward internal demand.
⚙️ TRADE MANAGEMENT & EXECUTION PROTOCOL
🎯 Confirmation Filters: Do not place blind limit orders on the 60.500 FVG. Wait for price to touch the zone and print a bullish structure shift on the 15M chart.
🛡️ Risk Mitigation: Once price reaches 63.200 ($$$ Liquidity) from either long entry, secure 50% partial profits and adjust the Stop Loss to Breakeven (BE).
🔐 Position Sizing: Calculate lot size based strictly on a 1%–2% risk limit per trade setup given the wide 4H chart levels.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This technical post is strictly for educational, research, and informational purposes. It is NOT financial advice. Trading precious metals (XAG/USD) carries substantial risk and volatility. Always execute proper risk control, practice strict capital management, and never risk more than you can afford to lose.
#Silver #XAGUSD #ForexTrading #SmartMoneyConcepts #TechnicalAnalysis #OrderBlock #FairValueGap #TradingView #DayTrading #PriceAction #ForexSignals #LiquiditySweep
XAGUSD: Pullback Keeps Bulls in ControlSilver has just undergone a strong rally and is currently cooling off below the overhead supply zone. Crucially, however, the price remains above the newly formed support level, and the short-term bullish structure shows no signs of breaking down.
The 60.10 level is the critical area. If buying pressure successfully absorbs the selling pressure here, XAGUSD could form a higher low before extending its gains toward the 63.85 zone.
Given that the USD and US yields remain under pressure, I lean toward the view that this correction is merely a re-accumulation phase. The more prudent strategy right now is to wait for a confirmed reaction around the support level rather than chasing the price after a prolonged rally.
XAGUSD: Uptrend Remains Intact After Brief PullbackFollowing a strong breakout to new highs, XAGUSD is undergoing a technical correction to absorb profit-taking pressure. However, the price remains within an ascending channel, and the 59.53 level—where an FVG (Fair Value Gap) and a key support zone converge—is providing a foundation for buying interest to return.
From a macroeconomic perspective, the US dollar continues to weaken while US bond yields remain low, keeping capital flows tilted toward precious metals. This supports the short-term bullish trend for silver.
My preferred scenario is for XAGUSD to hold the 59.53 level and subsequently recover to test the 63.14 mark. As the bullish structure remains intact, current pullbacks are viewed as favorable opportunities for trend trading.
XAG/USD Bullish Continuation – Pullback to TrendlineSilver (XAG/USD) is maintaining a strong bullish structure after breaking above the previous resistance zone near 60.00. Price is currently pulling back toward the rising trendline, creating a potential continuation setup.
📈 Key Support: 63.00–63.20
🟢 Trendline Support: Around 62.8–63.0
🎯 Target 1: 66.00
🎯 Target 2: 68.40
🛑 Invalidation: Below 61.83
If the trendline holds and buyers regain momentum, Silver could continue toward the 66.00–68.40 target zone. A clean break below 61.83 would weaken the bullish setup.
Trade with proper risk management and wait for confirmation before entry.
Silver Targets $69Silver has delivered an impressive impulsive rally, pushing directly into a major high-timeframe resistance zone around the $62 level.
After such a strong advance, price action has begun consolidating beneath this barrier, a healthy development that suggests the market is pausing to absorb recent gains rather than immediately reversing. Consolidation at resistance is common after powerful trending moves, as buyers and sellers battle for control before the next directional move emerges.
The $62 region now becomes the key level to monitor. A successful breakout above this resistance would confirm that buyers have regained control and could trigger the next wave of bullish momentum. If this scenario unfolds, the technical outlook opens the probability of a sustained rally toward the $69 target, representing the next major area of high-timeframe resistance.
While short-term volatility is expected during this consolidation phase, the broader market structure continues to favor the upside. Higher highs and strong buying momentum remain intact, suggesting that any shallow pullbacks are more likely to be viewed as opportunities for accumulation rather than signs of a trend reversal.
As long as silver continues to hold above its recent breakout structure and buyers defend key support levels, the immediate short-term outlook remains bullish. Traders should watch closely for a decisive break above $62, as it could mark the beginning of the next impulsive leg higher toward $69.
SILVER 50YEARS INSIGHTSILVER HISTORY
How the Hunt Brothers Affected Silver Prices in the 1970s–1980
The Hunt Brothers (mainly Nelson Bunker Hunt and William Herbert Hunt, sons of Texas oil billionaire H.L. Hunt) attempted to corner the silver market in the late 1970s. Their actions caused one of the most dramatic price spikes and crashes in commodity history.
What They Did
Starting in the mid-to-late 1970s, they began aggressively buying both physical silver and silver futures contracts.
By late 1979 / early 1980, they (along with some Saudi partners through entities like International Metals Investment Company) controlled an estimated 100–200 million ounces of silver — roughly one-third (or more) of the world’s privately held, non-government silver supply.
Unlike most futures traders, they often took physical delivery of the metal instead of cash-settling contracts, which tightened available supply on the market.
Impact on the Silver Price
Period,Approximate Silver Price,Change
Early 1979,~$6 per ounce,—
Late 1979,$20–$35 per ounce,Strong rise
"January 18, 1980",Peak ~$49.45 – $50.35,+700%+ in about a year
"March 27, 1980 (Silver Thursday)",Dropped to ~$10.80,Crash of ~50% in one day
(Silver Thursday)Dropped to ~$10.80Crash of ~50% in one day
The rapid accumulation created a massive short squeeze and drove prices up more than 700% in roughly 12–18 months.
High prices caused secondary effects: people melted jewelry and silverware, industrial users struggled, and the gold/silver ratio temporarily collapsed to around 17:1.
The Collapse – “Silver Thursday” (March 27, 1980)
Regulators and exchanges responded:
COMEX introduced Silver Rule 7 (January 1980), which severely restricted new long positions and increased margin requirements.
“Liquidation-only” trading was imposed.
As prices started falling, the highly leveraged Hunt positions faced huge margin calls.
On March 27, 1980, the brothers failed to meet a major margin call (~$100 million). Silver crashed from the low $20s to about $10.80 in a single day.
Aftermath
The Hunt Brothers lost an estimated $1.5–1.7 billion (a massive fortune at the time).
They were later found liable for market manipulation, faced large fines, and were banned from commodities trading.
Both brothers eventually filed for bankruptcy.
The episode led to lasting changes in commodity market rules (higher margins, position limits, and tighter regulation of large speculative positions).
In short: The Hunt Brothers’ aggressive buying and physical accumulation helped drive silver from around $6 to nearly $50 in a very short time. When exchanges and regulators changed the rules and their leveraged positions faced margin calls, the market collapsed spectacularly on Silver Thursday in March 1980
Silver (XAGUSD) Monthly Chart Analysis – Shavyfxhub Strategy
Long-Term Structure Overview
This is a multi-decade monthly chart showing Silver’s major structural journey from the early 1970s.
Key Observations:
Major Historical High: The 1980 peak (Hunt Brothers era) around the mid-$40s to $50 area remains a critical reference.
Long-term Ascending Trendlines: Multiple rising support lines (black and red) have guided higher lows for decades.
Major Demand Zones:
Deep historical demand near $4.21 and lower.
Stronger structural demand around the mid-teens to $20s that acted as a base before the recent multi-year rally.
Current Structure:
Price has broken above previous major highs and is trading in a strong bullish expansion.
Clear Supply Roof / Resistance zones marked around $57.63 and higher projected levels.
Upper channel resistance and long-term red trendlines point toward much higher targets (projected arrows show potential moves toward $90–$120+ over the long term).
Current Bias (Shavyfxhub Style):
The overall monthly structure remains strongly bullish.
As long as price holds above the major rising trendlines and key demand zones (especially the $28–$30 area and the ascending supports), the path of least resistance is higher.
The chart shows potential for continued expansion after consolidations, consistent with long-term commodity bull market behavior.
XAGUSD: Huge Descending Triangle, Bullish Breakout Incoming!Hello There,
welcome to my new analysis of XAGUSD from a daily timeframe perspective. In recent times, I have spotted interesting setups in the markets for precious metals, with XAGUSD being one of them. Especially when the formation, which I detected, completes, this is likely to lead to the realization of a strong surplus trading opportunity.
As when looking at my chart now, we can see how XAGUSD is now about to complete this gigantic descending triangle formation. In this formation, the wave count has finalized, and XAGUSD moves into the lower supports consisting of the lower boundary of the triangle as well as the EMAs. With XAGUSD bouncing in this area, a final breakout is not far away.
The final breakout above the upper boundary, as seen in my chart, will complete the whole descending triangle formation. XAGUSD is going to set up the bullish expansion wave. This bullishness is going to accelerate with additional volume and momentum. The final targets of the formation will be activated as seen in my chart.
In this manner, thank you a lot for watching!
The support is highly appreciated.
VP






















