GOLD - The Hunt for Liquidity Ahead of a Decline ICMARKETS:XAUUSD continues to form a countertrend correction, driven by the decline in oil prices. The fundamental backdrop remains weak...
The dollar is stagnating after a strong rally triggered by the Fed’s hawkish stance and rising interest rates. However, the Dollar Index remains strong, which continues to put pressure on gold. At the same time, the decline in oil prices has given the metal some room to recover. The market remains highly dependent on geopolitical developments.
There is not much major news ahead next week, with the key focus on PMI data and Friday’s Durable Goods Orders. Technically, gold remains under pressure from the bearish trend
Resistance levels: 4,402, 4,434, 4,511
Support levels: 4,340, 4,250, 4,200
Gold is forming a countertrend correction. The dollar remains strong, while the fundamental backdrop is unfavorable for gold due to the Fed’s hawkish stance and rising interest rates.
Technically, the key focus is on two triggers: 4,402–4,434. A short squeeze could trigger a decline toward 4,340–4,250
Best regards,
R. Linda!
Parallel Channel
Gold Technical Analysis: Sellers Defend 4,400 Resistance ZoneHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook based on the current XAUUSD (4H) chart structure. XAUUSD previously traded inside a range before breaking higher and later forming a descending structure after turning around from the highs. Price then tested the 4,400 Seller Zone multiple times, where sellers rejected the upside. Currently, XAUUSD is trading below the 4,400 Seller Zone while holding above the 4,280 Buyer Zone and Support Line. The recent rejection from resistance suggests a possible continuation lower toward support. As long as XAUUSD remains below the 4,400 Seller Zone and respects the descending channel, the bearish scenario remains valid. A continuation lower could push price toward the 4,280 Buyer Zone (TP1). However, a breakout and close above 4,400 would weaken the bearish outlook and increase the possibility of further upside. Please share this idea with your friends and click "Boost" 🚀
GBP/AUD - Bearish Channel Pattern (21.09.2026)GBP/AUD remains inside a descending channel, with price rejecting the upper channel area and the 1.8803–1.8819 resistance zone. A sustained move below the current structure could expose the 1.8703 support first, followed by 1.8679, keeping the bearish setup active while resistance holds.
🔴1st Support : 1.8703
🔴2nd Support : 1.8679
🟢Resistance Zone : 1.8803 – 1.8819
📰 Fundamentals and Live Headlines :
1. RBA Inflation Risk Keeps AUD in Focus, RBA Governor Michele Bullock.
2. Stronger UK retail data supports economic resilience, but elevated inflation and the BoE's recent policy signal keep GBP volatility elevated.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only.
Support the idea 🚀 Boost | 💬 Comment | 🔁 Share
Thank you.
BITCOIN - A strong market. Retest of resistance BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is maintaining its local bullish trend, while the five-week consolidation following the strong rally — during which the coin broke its medium-term bearish trend — points to underlying market strength
After breaking the trend and staging a strong rally, Bitcoin has been consolidating for five weeks. Negative news failed to trigger a decline, while the long squeeze became a technical catalyst for further upside.
The coin continues to confirm its bullish market structure. The breakout of the wedge resistance, which marks the consolidation boundary, is triggering another retest of key resistance. The main focus is on 82,300–82,800. A close above this zone could accelerate the move toward 86K
Resistance levels: 82,300, 82,850, 86,000
Support levels: 80,500, 80,000
A retest of the 82,800 resistance could trigger a correction, but if the market manages to hold the local pullback within the current range, this would provide another confirmation of the market’s readiness for a rally. A close above 83,000 could become a technical catalyst for further upside toward 86K–100K
Best regards,
R. Linda!
Bitcoin Outlook: Rounding Bottom Supports Further Upside To TP1Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook based on the current BTCUSDT (1H) chart structure. BTCUSDT previously traded inside a range before breaking higher and later forming a descending structure. Price then created a Rounding Bottom near the lows and broke above the Buyer Zone, shifting momentum bullish.Currently, BTCUSDT is trading below the 79,600 Seller Zone while holding above the 77,400 Buyer Zone and Support Level. The recent bounce from the Rounding Bottom suggests buyers are preparing for another move higher. As long as BTCUSDT remains above the 77,400 Buyer Zone and respects the current support structure, the bullish scenario remains valid. A continuation higher could push price toward the 79,600 Seller Zone (TP1). However, a breakdown and close below the Buyer Zone would weaken the bullish outlook and increase the possibility of further downside. Please share this idea with your friends and click "Boost" 🚀
XAUUSD — Wave 5 Lower Toward 4,280
From Kelly’s view, gold is still trading inside a broader bearish structure. Price is currently around 4,352, while the recent rebound remains below the previous lower-high area near 4,380–4,395.
The key idea is simple: the current move may be completing a corrective Wave (4) around resistance, while the main structure still favors another bearish leg toward 4,320, 4,305, and potentially the 4,280 Wave (5) target zone.
⟡ Market structure
Gold continues to show a sequence of lower highs after failing around the 4,390 area.
The immediate resistance zone sits around 4,340–4,350, where the chart marks the projected Wave (4) sell zone. Price is currently testing this area, so the next reaction becomes important.
If sellers defend this zone and price breaks back below 4,320, bearish momentum could strengthen.
The 4,305 level is the next structural support. A confirmed breakdown below this level may expose the 4,278–4,288 area, where the projected Wave (5) completion and Fibonacci extension overlap.
➤ Key levels
◌ Current price area: 4,350–4,355
◌ Main sell zone: 4,340–4,350
◌ Strong resistance: 4,380–4,395
◌ First support: 4,318–4,325
◌ Strong support: 4,305
◌ First target: 4,320
◌ Second target: 4,305
◌ Main target: 4,278–4,288
◌ Invalidation: Above 4,395
⌁ Elliott Wave view
Wave (1): The first bearish impulse started from the recent local high and pushed price lower.
Wave (2): Gold produced a corrective rebound before sellers returned.
Wave (3): The next bearish leg extended toward the 4,320 area.
Wave (4): Price is now attempting another corrective recovery toward the 4,340–4,350 resistance zone.
Wave (5): If sellers reject this area, the final bearish leg could extend below 4,305 toward the 4,278–4,288 completion zone.
▸ Trading scenario
Preferred bearish scenario
Entry: 4,340–4,350 after bearish confirmation
Stop Loss: Above 4,395
Take Profit 1: 4,320
Take Profit 2: 4,305
Take Profit 3: 4,278–4,288
The cleaner plan is to wait for rejection around the projected Wave (4) resistance area. A break below 4,320, followed by loss of 4,305, would strengthen the continuation toward the Wave (5) target.
Alternative scenario:
If gold breaks above 4,350 and holds with strong bullish momentum, price could retest 4,380–4,395 before the broader bearish structure is reassessed.
◌ Invalidation
The bearish scenario would weaken if price gains sustained acceptance above 4,380, while a confirmed break above 4,395 would invalidate the preferred Wave (5) continuation setup.
⌁ Kelly’s view
Kelly’s main view remains bearish while gold stays below 4,380–4,395.
The current rebound looks more like a corrective Wave (4) than a confirmed trend reversal. If sellers defend 4,340–4,350, the next downside sequence may target 4,320, then 4,305, before the larger 4,278–4,288 Wave (5) zone comes into focus.
Do you think sellers will defend the Wave (4) zone, or will gold retest 4,390 first?
XRPUSDT: Bulls Hold Advantage in ChannelXRPUSDT is trading around 1.415 USDT, maintaining an ascending channel structure on the 1-hour (H1) chart. Following a strong rebound from the 1.30 level, the price remains above the EMA34 (near 1.40) and EMA89 (near 1.384), indicating that buyers retain the short-term advantage.
The 1.38–1.41 zone is a key support area I am monitoring. If XRP undergoes a pullback but holds this region and continues to form a "higher low," the likelihood of a return to the 1.44–1.45 range increases. A decisive breakout above this zone could pave the way for a primary target near 1.50 USDT.
Today's market context supports a recovery scenario, as Asian stock markets rise and oil prices cool, stabilizing risk-on sentiment. Additionally, XRP has seen capital inflows returning to spot ETFs and improved liquidity, providing a solid foundation for a rebound—provided the support level holds.
The bullish scenario would weaken if XRP decisively loses the 1.38 level, particularly if it breaks below the lower boundary of the ascending channel.
SOLUSDT - A hunt for liquidity ahead of the rally's continuationBINANCE:SOLUSDT confirms its bullish market structure. The long squeeze of support that we expected in the previous analysis played out perfectly. The bulls quickly took control of the situation and strengthened their positions...
Previously, we discussed how the market turned out to be stronger than expected: Bitcoin showed virtually no reaction to higher interest rates, the Fed’s hawkish stance, or the fact that the CLARITY Act was not passed. Consolidation continued, which further confirmed the strength of the market.
As for Solana, the altcoin is breaking through the consolidation resistance, suggesting that the coin is ready to continue its move higher. The rally was triggered by a long squeeze of support and the overall strength of the market
Resistance levels: 116.7, 127.0
Support levels: 110.6, 107. 44
Technically, Solana could retest the 110.6–107.44 support zone, which represents both key triggers and liquidity areas. A retest of these levels could become a technical catalyst for further upside toward 116.7–127.0
Best regards,
R. Linda!
XAUUSD Long: Channel Breakout Could Drive Price Higher To 4,450$Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook based on the current XAUUSD (2H) chart structure. XAUUSD previously traded inside an ascending channel before breaking higher and later forming a descending channel. Price then tested the Supply Zone near 4,450, where sellers rejected the upside before pulling back toward demand.
Currently, XAUUSD is trading below the 4,450 Supply Zone while holding above the 4,310 Demand Zone. The recent bounce from support suggests buyers are preparing for another move higher.
As long as XAUUSD remains above 4,310 and respects the current support structure, the bullish scenario remains valid. A continuation higher could target 4,450 (TP1). However, a break below 4,310 would weaken the bullish outlook. Manage your risk!
BTCUSDT Long: Bulls Hold 82,100 as Price Targets 87,000Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook based on the current BTCUSDT (4H) chart structure. BTCUSDT previously traded inside an ascending channel and range before breaking higher and continuing within a broader ascending channel. Price then tested the upper area near the Supply Zone.
Currently, BTCUSDT is trading below the 87,000 Supply Zone while holding above the 82,100 Demand Zone and the ascending channel support. The recent bounce from support suggests buyers are preparing for another move higher.
As long as BTCUSDT remains above 82,100 and respects the ascending channel, the bullish scenario remains valid. A continuation higher could target 87,000 (TP1). However, a break below 82,100 would weaken the bullish outlook. Manage your risk!
Euro Buyers Step In at Support — Next Target 1.1540 Seller ZoneHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook based on the current EURUSD (1H) chart structure. EURUSD previously traded inside a descending structure before forming a range near the Seller Zone. Price then broke lower, tested the Buyer Zone, and bounced, showing signs of buyers defending support. Currently, EURUSD is trading below the 1.1540 Seller Zone while holding above the 1.1470 Buyer Zone and Support Line. The recent bounce from support suggests buyers are preparing for another move higher. As long as EURUSD remains above the 1.1470 Buyer Zone and respects the ascending Support Line, the bullish scenario remains valid. A continuation higher could push price toward the 1.1540 Seller Zone (TP1). However, a breakdown and close below the Buyer Zone would weaken the bullish outlook and increase the possibility of further downside. Please share this idea with your friends and click "Boost" 🚀
BTCUSDT: Rejection at 77,400 Resistance Favors a Move To SupportHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current BTCUSDT setup.
Market Analysis
BTCUSDT previously traded inside a range before breaking higher and shifting bullish. Price then entered a downward channel, where a recent fake breakout above the upper boundary was rejected and price moved back below the Resistance Zone.
Currently, BTCUSDT is trading below the 77,400 Resistance Zone while holding above the 74,400 Support Zone and respecting the downward channel. The recent rejection suggests sellers may attempt another move lower.
My Scenario & Strategy
As long as BTCUSDT remains below the 77,400 Resistance Zone and respects the downward channel, the bearish scenario remains valid. A continuation lower could push price toward the 74,400 Support Zone (TP1).
However, a breakout and close above 77,400 would weaken the bearish outlook and increase the possibility of further upside.
That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
EURCHF 4H — Same Support, Second Test: Why This Low Might HoldHook :
FX:EURCHF just tagged the same demand zone twice within days — and the second dip barely undercut the first, a sign buyers may already be back in control.
Market Context :
EURCHF remains inside a clean ascending channel that's held since late July. After a strong mid-September rally stalled below 0.9480, price pulled back into the same demand area twice, with the second low landing almost exactly on top of the first.
Reasoning:
Equal lows form real liquidity — two touches near 0.9422 create a resting liquidity pool right inside the channel's internal structure, not just a single spike low.
Order Block marks where buyers stepped in — the last down-close candle before the bounce (0.9421–0.9439) gives a tighter, more defined entry zone than a generic support box.
Structure meets catalysts — price is holding mid-channel heading into two major releases (Eurozone Flash PMI Wednesday, SNB rate decision Thursday); a clean hold above the Order Block into these events strengthens the bullish case.
Trade Setup :
Entry: 0.9432–0.9442
Target: 0.9500
Stop Loss: Daily close below 0.9420
Risk-to-Reward: >1:2.5
Invalidation :
A daily close below 0.9420 would mean sellers absorbed the double-bottom liquidity, breaking the channel's higher-low structure.
Question :
Does a double bottom landing exactly on the Order Block make you more confident going in now, or would you rather wait for the SNB decision to confirm it first?
BTCUSDT: Breakout Wave, Bulls Eye HigherBTCUSDT is trading around 80,920 USDT after breaking out of a descending channel for the second time in recent price action. Notably, the price is holding firm above the EMA34 (approx. 79,440) and EMA89 (approx. 78,430), and the post-breakout upward momentum remains intact.
From a technical perspective, if BTC maintains the 79,500–80,000 zone and establishes a "higher low," I lean towards a scenario where the price retests 82,300 before extending to the primary target zone around 84,600 USDT. The fact that the current breakout structure closely resembles the previous rally is also a signal worth monitoring.
Macro factors are supportive. Asian stock markets are rising, driven by the technology sector, while oil prices have dipped slightly to around $103 per barrel, helping to stabilize risk sentiment.
The bullish scenario would weaken if BTC loses the 79,440 level, and particularly if it drops below 78,400.
Bitcoin Rebound From 76,000$ Could Fuel Further UpsideHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook based on the current BTCUSDT (4H) chart structure. BTCUSDT previously traded inside a range before forming a descending structure, where price repeatedly respected the resistance and support lines. Price then broke above the structure with a strong impulse up, shifting the overall momentum bullish. Currently, BTCUSDT is trading above the 76,000 Buyer Zone while holding near the ascending Support Line. The recent bounce from this area suggests buyers are defending support and preparing for another move higher. As long as BTCUSDT remains above the 76,000 Buyer Zone and respects the ascending Support Line, the bullish scenario remains valid. A continuation higher could push price toward the 81,400 Seller Zone (TP1). However, a breakdown and close below the Buyer Zone would weaken the bullish outlook and increase the possibility of further downside. Please share this idea with your friends and click "Boost" 🚀
BTCUSDT: Buyers Attempt Another Move Toward 82,000 ResistanceHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current BTCUSDT setup.
Market Analysis
BTCUSDT previously traded inside a downward channel before breaking higher with a strong impulse and shifting bullish. Price then formed a triangle structure with multiple breakouts before testing the Resistance Zone.
Currently, BTCUSDT is trading below the 82,000 Resistance Zone while holding above the 79,600 Support Zone and the Triangle Support Line. The recent rebound from support suggests buyers may attempt another move toward resistance.
My Scenario & Strategy
As long as BTCUSDT remains above the 79,600 Support Zone and respects the Triangle Support Line, the bullish scenario remains valid. A successful rebound 79,600 could push price higher, with 82,000 acting as the key resistance level (TP1).
However, a breakdown and close below 79,600 would weaken the bullish outlook and increase the risk of further downside.
That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
FILUSDT: Bullish Push to 1.16?BINANCE:FILUSDT is eyeing a bullish continuation on the 4-hour chart within the ascending channel, with price approaching a key support zone after recent pullback, converging with a potential entry area that could ignite further upside momentum toward the higher resistance zones if buyers defend amid volatility. This setup suggests a solid rally opportunity with overall more than 1:3.5 risk-reward .🔥
Entry between 0.8100–0.8400 (entry from current price with proper risk management is recommended)🎯. Targets at 1.04 (first) and 1.16 (second) . Set a stop loss at a daily clo se below 0.7550 , yielding a risk-reward ratio of more than 1:3.5 in total. Monitor for confirmation via a bullish candle close above entry with rising volume.🌟
📝 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry (Long):
0.8100–0.8400
(Entry from current price is acceptable with proper position sizing and strict risk management.)
🎯 Target 1:
1.04
🎯 Target 2:
1.16
❌ Stop Loss:
Daily close below 0.7550
📈 Risk-to-Reward:
More than 1:3.5 overall
Will buyers defend the 0.8100–0.8400 support zone and push FIL toward 1.04 and potentially 1.16, or will sellers break the channel structure? 👇
Bitcoin to rebound then continuing to lose momentumMy honest opinion is that Bitcoin is going to face more downside after a touch in the rebound zone.
I'm expecting a crash about 40-45k to test the Golden Pocket.
Nothing is pink around the world, there is no volume and probably a massive Global crash is on the way.
Stay safe.
Is RCAT Loading Another 150% Explosive Rally?RCAT has one characteristic that immediately stands out—it respects structure remarkably well.
For a couple of years, the stock has been trading inside a well-defined ascending channel, repeatedly bouncing between support and resistance. Every major pullback has eventually found buyers near the lower trendline, setting the stage for another impulsive move higher.
Now, RCAT is back at that same decision point.
📊 The Story
Price has once again established a base at the lower boundary of the rising channel, where buyers have stepped in multiple times before. If history continues to rhyme, this could become the launchpad for another leg higher.
The previous rallies from channel support have produced gains of well over 150%, making this area worth watching closely.
As long as the channel remains intact, the broader uptrend is still alive.
🎯 Bullish Scenario
A sustained rebound from current levels could target:
🎯 $11.5– Mid-channel resistance
🎯 $15–16 – Previous swing highs
🎯 $18–19 – Upper channel resistance
⚠️ What I'm Watching
The lower trendline has done its job once again—but confirmation is still needed.
Ideally, I'd like to see:
✅ Higher highs and higher lows on lower timeframes
✅ Increasing buying volume
✅ A breakout above the channel's midline to confirm momentum has returned
Until then, patience remains the edge.
❌ Invalidation
A decisive daily close below the lower channel support (around $7) would invalidate this bullish thesis and suggest the current structure has broken down.
📖 Every Chart Tells a Story.
This one isn't predicting another 170% rally—it simply highlights that RCAT is once again sitting at the same high-probability area from which previous major advances began. Whether history repeats itself or not, price will reveal the answer soon.
BABA - Descending Channel BottomBABA is moving in a descending channel. It just took support near channel bottom at 121, which is strong support zone. With SL 115, and dip can be considered buying oppertunity. On the upside, it can hit 139, 145, 155 as intermediate targets. It will turn bullish once it breaksout the channel.
MP: Channel Bounce Underway — Is $136 or $160 Next?As seen on the chart, there is a descending channel in play. Previously, price bounced right off the 76.61 level, roughly aligning with the 1.5 extension of the parallel channel. More recently, price rebounded off channel line 0 and rallied back up from 1.0 toward 0.5.
If we get a solid bullish reaction from here, the 136 level could realistically be tested, a move further supported by prior earnings and fundamentals. Beyond that, even the 2.0 Fibonacci extension at 160 comes into play as a potential target. Right now, EVERYTHING hinges on how the price reacts at this level.
⭐️parallel channel
💸$136
💸 $$160
-icttrdr
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