Technical Analysis

Intraday Masterclass Core Structure of Institutional Option Trading Institutions focus on 4 pillars: A. Direction Will market go up, down, sideways? B. Volatility Will movement increase or decrease? C. Time Decay How much premium melts daily? D. Risk Exposure How much capital at risk? Rules to Become Consistent Never trade without plan Never increase size emotionally Never revenge trade

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by Knowledgehub

XAUUSD — Is 4,080 the Sell Trap?Gold is still moving inside a descending price channel. Price is trading around 4,050 - 4,060, right near the middle zone of the channel. This is not a clean buy area. And it is not the best place to chase a sell either. For me, today’s chart is about one question: Will gold retest the sell zone first before dropping deeper? The simple read Gold remains under short-term bearish pressure while price stays inside the descending channel. The nearest sell reaction area is around 4,080 - 4,091. This zone also lines up with the Fibonacci reaction area and the upper part of the current correction. If gold pushes into this zone and shows rejection, sellers may try to take control again. The first downside area to watch is 4,043 - 4,027. If that support fails, the next deeper target becomes 3,985, then the key support zone near 3,945. Key price zones Current price area: 4,050 - 4,060 Middle channel zone: 4,050 Sell reaction zone: 4,080 - 4,091 First support: 4,043 - 4,027 Fibo extension support: 3,985 Key support zone: 3,945 Bearish pressure weakens above: 4,091 Trading plan 📉 Sell reaction scenario If gold retests 4,080 - 4,091 and shows clear rejection: Sellers may try to push price back toward 4,043 - 4,027. If this support zone breaks, the next downside area to watch is 3,985. A deeper move may target the key support zone near 3,945. I prefer waiting for rejection confirmation instead of selling randomly in the middle. 📈 Short-term bounce scenario If gold holds above 4,043 - 4,027: A small recovery may appear. Price could retest 4,080 - 4,091 again. But this bounce is still only a reaction while gold remains inside the descending channel. A stronger bullish view needs price to break and hold above 4,091. 📉 Deeper correction scenario If 4,027 fails clearly: The correction structure becomes stronger. Gold may continue toward 3,985, where the Fibonacci extension support is waiting. If buyers still fail to react there, the key support zone near 3,945 becomes important. Gold is not giving a clean reversal signal yet. The chart is still respecting the descending channel. That means I do not want to chase the current price. I want to see either: A clean rejection from 4,080 - 4,091. Or a confirmed reaction from 4,043 - 4,027. Main view: Gold remains cautious below 4,091. 4,080 - 4,091 is the sell reaction zone. 4,043 - 4,027 is the first support. 3,985 and 3,945 are the deeper zones if the correction continues. Reaction first. Confirmation second. Trade last. No confirmation = no trade. Do you think gold will reject from 4,080 - 4,091, or break the channel first?

by Tiara_PrimeGold

XAUUSD — Bearish Pressure Below Liquidity Sell Zone Fundamental Analysis Gold remains sensitive to USD momentum, Treasury yields, and upcoming U.S. macro data. For now, the market is still showing defensive price action, with sellers controlling the structure after price failed to hold above the previous trendline. Technical Analysis On the 1H chart, XAUUSD is trading around 4,026 after breaking below the short-term uptrend structure. The nearest reaction area is the liquidity buy scalping zone at 3,998 - 4,004, where price may create a short bounce. However, the main area to watch is 4,074 - 4,080. This zone aligns with previous liquidity, Fibonacci reaction, and the broken trendline retest. If gold recovers into this area and rejects, the bearish continuation setup remains valid toward the lower target around 3,890. Important Key Levels Current price: 4,026 Buy scalping zone: 3,998 - 4,004 Liquidity sell test zone: 4,074 - 4,080 Short-term resistance: 4,040 - 4,050 Main downside target: 3,890 - 3,885 Invalidation: above 4,080 Trading Scenario Main Sell Setup Entry: 4,074 - 4,080 Stop Loss: 4,105 Take Profit 1: 4,004 Take Profit 2: 3,950 Take Profit 3: 3,890 - 3,885 Sell Condition Wait for gold to recover into the 4,074 - 4,080 liquidity sell test zone. A valid sell setup needs bearish rejection, such as a long upper wick, failed reclaim, bearish engulfing candle, or price closing back below the zone. If price rejects and breaks below 3,998 - 4,004, downside momentum may expand toward 3,950 and 3,890. If price breaks and holds above 4,080, the sell setup becomes weaker. Overall View The main view remains bearish while XAUUSD trades below the broken trendline and under the liquidity sell test zone. Gold may bounce first from 3,998 - 4,004, but the preferred plan is to wait for a cleaner sell reaction around 4,074 - 4,080 before looking for continuation toward the lower Fibonacci target. Do you share the same bearish view on gold, or are you waiting for a stronger rejection from the 4,074 - 4,080 zone?

by XAU_Macro_Pulse

XAUUSD — Bearish Structure Holding Below Trendline Gold is trading around $4,022 after rejecting from the short-term recovery area and moving back into the FVG sideways zone. The current structure remains bearish because price is still trading below the descending trendline, while the recent BOS confirms that sellers are still controlling the short-term direction. From an SMC perspective, gold failed to build a strong bullish recovery after the previous downside move. Price rejected from the VL area, broke lower structure, and is now consolidating inside the FVG sideways area. This type of movement usually shows temporary accumulation before the next directional move, but as long as price stays below the OB + trendline sell zone, the main bias remains bearish. The key area to watch is the sell zone around $4,065–$4,078. This zone aligns with the descending trendline and the previous supply reaction, making it the main area where sellers may defend the structure again. If gold pulls back into this zone and forms bearish rejection, another downside continuation toward the day low around $3,984 and the strong low near $3,942 remains possible. Sell setup 1 Condition: Gold pulls back into the OB + trendline sell zone around $4,065–$4,078 and forms bearish rejection with lower timeframe MSS / CHOCH. Entry: $4,065–$4,078 SL: above $4,100 TP1: $4,040 TP2: $4,000 TP3: $3,984 TP4: $3,942 Sell setup 2 Condition: If gold breaks below the FVG sideways area and retests it as resistance, bearish continuation remains valid without waiting for a deeper pullback. Entry: below $4,015 after breakdown retest SL: above $4,040 TP1: $4,000 TP2: $3,984 TP3: $3,960 TP4: $3,942 Sell setup 3 Condition: If gold sweeps above the FVG sideways area but fails to break the trendline, this can create a liquidity-trap sell setup. Entry: after rejection below $4,065–$4,078 SL: above the sweep high TP1: $4,022 TP2: $4,000 TP3: $3,984 Buy scalping setup Condition: Buying is not the main priority. A buy scalp is only valid if gold sweeps the day low around $3,984 and forms a strong bullish rejection. Entry: $3,984 after bullish rejection SL: below $3,960 TP1: $4,000 TP2: $4,022 TP3: $4,040 Key levels Current price area: $4,022 FVG sideways area: $4,015–$4,040 OB + trendline sell zone: $4,065–$4,078 VL reaction area: $4,095–$4,110 Day low liquidity: $3,984 Strong low liquidity: $3,942 Bearish continuation confirmation: clean break below $4,015 Stronger bearish confirmation: clean break below $3,984 Bearish invalidation: clean 2H close above $4,100 My current view is that gold remains in a bearish structure while price stays below the descending trendline and the OB sell zone. The Prime Gold plan is to avoid buying too early inside the FVG sideways area and wait for either a pullback into $4,065–$4,078 or a clean breakdown below $4,015 before looking for sell confirmation. If sellers continue to defend the trendline, gold may extend lower toward $3,984 and potentially $3,942. No confirmation, no trade.

by Gold_Prime_Smc

XAUUSD — Bearish Structure, Sell Around OB XAUUSD — Bearish Structure, Sell Around OB Gold is trading around $4,057 after breaking down from the short-term recovery structure. Price has rejected from the upper reaction area and is now pressing directly into the sell-side liquidity around $4,055, showing that sellers are still controlling the current structure. From an SMC perspective, gold has already shown a bearish shift after failing to hold the previous bullish recovery. The recent move created weakness below the local BOS area, then price dropped strongly into the lower liquidity zone. As long as gold stays below the $4,078–$4,085 OB sell zone and below the $4,121 buy-side liquidity area, the main structure remains bearish. The main plan is to avoid buying too early while price is still under the OB zone. If gold pulls back into $4,078–$4,085 and forms bearish rejection, this area can act as the key sell zone before another downside continuation toward the buy scalping liquidity around $4,020–$4,030 and the lower OB zone near $3,960–$3,975. Sell setup 1 Condition: Gold pulls back into the OB sell zone around $4,078–$4,085 and forms bearish rejection with lower timeframe MSS / CHOCH. Entry: $4,078–$4,085 SL: above $4,105 TP1: $4,055 TP2: $4,020–$4,030 TP3: $3,975 TP4: $3,960 Sell setup 2 Condition: If gold breaks cleanly below $4,055 and retests this level as resistance, bearish continuation remains valid without waiting for a deeper pullback. Entry: below $4,055 after breakdown retest SL: above $4,078 TP1: $4,030 TP2: $4,020 TP3: $3,975 TP4: $3,960 Sell setup 3 Condition: If gold sweeps back above the OB zone but fails to reclaim $4,121, this can create a stronger liquidity-trap sell setup. Entry: after rejection below $4,121 SL: above $4,135 TP1: $4,078 TP2: $4,055 TP3: $4,020–$4,030 Buy scalping setup Condition: Buying is not the main priority. A buy scalp is only valid if gold sweeps the $4,020–$4,030 liquidity zone and forms a strong bullish rejection. Entry: $4,020–$4,030 after bullish rejection SL: below $4,000 TP1: $4,055 TP2: $4,078–$4,085 TP3: $4,105 Key levels Current price area: $4,057 Immediate sell-side liquidity: $4,055 OB sell zone: $4,078–$4,085 VL reaction zone: $4,090–$4,105 Buy-side liquidity: $4,121 Buy scalping liquidity: $4,020–$4,030 Lower OB target zone: $3,960–$3,975 Major upper liquidity: $4,221 Bearish continuation confirmation: clean break below $4,055 Stronger bearish confirmation: clean break below $4,020 Bearish invalidation: clean 2H close above $4,121 My current view is that gold remains in a bearish structure while price stays below the OB sell zone. The Prime Gold plan is to wait for a pullback into $4,078–$4,085 or a clean breakdown below $4,055 before looking for sell confirmation. If sellers continue to defend the OB, gold may extend lower toward $4,020–$4,030 and potentially $3,960–$3,975. No confirmation, no trade.

by Gold_Prime_Smc

XAUUSD: Bearish Trendline Continues to Cap Recovery Momentum XAUUSD has bounced off the support zone around 3,960–3,980, but the current rebound is insufficient to alter the bearish structure on the H4 timeframe. Prices remain below the descending trendline—which has repeatedly triggered selling pressure—while the area above is further reinforced by the Ichimoku Cloud and a resistance zone around 4,087–4,094. Notably, recent highs have been progressively lower. Whenever gold approaches the bearish trendline, buying momentum quickly fades and sellers step back in. This suggests the current rally is likely just a technical rebound following the sharp decline, rather than a confirmed reversal signal. On the macroeconomic front, gold remains under pressure from the US dollar and US bond yields, which are holding at elevated levels ahead of inflation data. Rising oil prices have also fueled concerns that the Fed may need to maintain a hawkish monetary policy for longer, thereby increasing the opportunity cost of holding gold. If the price rallies to the 4,087–4,094 range but fails to secure a firm close above the bearish trendline, selling pressure could drive XAUUSD back toward the 3,953.7 level. This is a critical support level and a clear downside target on the chart. Suggested Strategy: Sell around 4,087–4,094 upon signs of rejection; Take Profit (TP) at 3,953.7; invalidate the trade if the price closes above 4,110 on the H4 timeframe.

by Paradise_Noir

#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 14/07/2026 Nifty is expected to open with a gap-down bias near the 24,000 psychological support zone. Despite the weak opening, the index continues to hold above the key 24050 support area, indicating that buyers may step in if this level sustains. Traders should avoid aggressive positions at the open and wait for confirmation before entering trades. The immediate support is placed at 24050–24100. If Nifty sustains above this zone after the gap-down opening, traders can consider long positions with targets of 24150, 24200, and 24250. A decisive breakout above 24250 will confirm fresh bullish momentum and may extend the rally towards 24350, 24400, and 24450+. On the downside, if Nifty slips below 23950, traders can consider short positions with targets of 23850, 23800, and 23750. A sustained breakdown below this level will indicate renewed selling pressure and may accelerate the downside move. Overall, a gap-down opening near the 24,000 level is expected. As long as Nifty holds above the 24050 support zone, buying on dips remains the preferred strategy. Fresh short positions should only be considered after a confirmed breakdown below 23950, with strict stop-losses and disciplined profit booking at each target level.

#BANKNIFTY Intraday PE & CE Levels(14/07/2026)Bank Nifty is expected to open with a gap-down bias. Despite the weak opening, the index continues to trade above the crucial 58050 support zone, keeping the overall intraday structure positive. Traders should avoid chasing the opening move and wait for confirmation before entering fresh positions. The immediate support is placed at 58050–58100. If Bank Nifty sustains above this zone and attracts buying interest, traders can consider CE positions with targets of 58250, 58350, and 58450. A decisive breakout above 58550 will confirm fresh bullish momentum and may extend the rally towards 58750, 58850, and 58950+. On the downside, if Bank Nifty slips below 57950–57900, traders can consider PE positions with targets of 57750, 57650, and 57550. A sustained breakdown below 57450 will strengthen the bearish trend and may push the index towards 57250, 57150, and 57050. Overall, a gap-down opening is expected. As long as Bank Nifty holds above the 58050 support zone, buying on dips remains the preferred strategy. Fresh short positions should only be considered after a confirmed breakdown below 57950, with strict stop-losses and disciplined profit booking at each target level.

XAUUSD: Long-term trend line continues to exert pressure Following a brief rebound late last week, XAUUSD once again approached the downtrend line extending from late June but failed to achieve a breakout. Prices quickly reversed and are currently hovering just above the short-term support zone around 4,058, indicating cautious buying sentiment ahead of a series of key US economic data releases this week. Fundamentally, the market favors holding the USD as US bond yields remain elevated and investors await the CPI report and fresh signals from the Federal Reserve. Reuters also notes that the dollar continues to be supported by expectations that interest rates will remain higher for longer, prompting a temporary shift of capital away from non-yielding assets like gold. On the H4 timeframe, the price remains below the downtrend line and has yet to clear the 4,058–4,080 resistance zone. This area also represents an Ichimoku convergence point, raising the likelihood of another rejection. Should selling pressure persist in this zone, XAUUSD could break through the nearest support level and extend its decline toward the 3,965 area. Entry: Sell around 4,058–4,080 upon a rejection signal. TP: 3,965 SL: Above 4,100

by Paradise_Noir

TANLA PLATFORMS LTD (NSE: TANLA) — WEEKLY | ELLIOTT WAVE Elliott Wave Count Suggests Wave (v) Breakout Building Price: ₹569.55 on 14th July 2026 | Timeframe: Weekly Structure Overview Tanla's long-term move from the 2020 lows appears to be unfolding as a five-wave impulse: Wave (i) : Initial rally off the base, retraced to the 38.2%–23.6% zone (₹18.68–₹30.33) before continuation. Wave (iii) : The dominant extended wave, driving price sharply from the ~₹100 zone to the swing high near ₹1,800–1,900. Wave (iv) : Currently unfolding as a complex corrective structure — labeled A-B-C-D-E — taking the shape of a contracting/falling wedge (triangle) pattern, a classic wave (iv) formation (triangles often appear in the 4th wave position per Elliott Wave theory). Wave (v) : Anticipated next leg higher, projected toward new highs above the wave (iii) peak. Very Important Invalidation: A decisive weekly close below the level (₹360.0) as stop los / wedge lower boundary would put the bullish wave count at risk and suggest a deeper corrective structure instead. Watch For Volume expansion on the breakout candle Retest of the wedge trendline as new support post-breakout This is a technical/wave-count perspective for educational discussion, not financial advice. Elliott Wave counts are subjective and should be confirmed with additional confluence (volume, momentum, broader market context) before acting.

by hardeepssethi

HCLTECH Falling Wedge Breakout After Strong Q1 FY27 Results 📊 HCL Technologies: Daily Technical Snapshot – Falling Wedge Breakout After Strong Q1 FY27 Results 📊 STWP Technical Analysis ________________________________________ MARKET STRUCTURE SNAPSHOT | NSE: HCLTECH | DAILY Closing Price: 1,221.20 (+57.10 | +4.91%) Core Trend: Recovery within Long-Term Uptrend Market State: Confirmed Falling Wedge Breakout Price Structure: Price has broken above a multi-month Falling Wedge, supported by a strong bullish breakout candle and significantly higher trading volume. The breakout signals weakening selling pressure and improving buyer conviction. ________________________________________ OPERATIONAL PRICE GRID & KEY REFERENCE LEVELS Model Reference Level: 1,237.00 Hard Invalidation Level: 1,119.00 Structural Risk: 118.00 (9.54%) Resistance Levels: R1 1,251.47 | R2 1,281.73 | R3 1,326.47 Support Levels: S1 1,176.47 | S2 1,131.73 | S3 1,101.47 Range Structure: Low 1,119.00 | High 1,326.47 Higher Timeframe Observation Zones: 1,355.00 | 1,472.95 ________________________________________ MOMENTUM, PARTICIPATION & CPR DATA Volume Profile: 9.03 Million Shares Volume Character: Very High Relative Participation RSI: 62.89 (Strong Momentum Zone) ADX: 14.20 (Early Trend Development Phase) ROC: +10.78% MACD Status: Fresh Bullish Momentum Structure CCI: +174.99 (Strong Bullish Momentum) Stochastic Reading: 92.37 (Extended Momentum Zone) Current Bias: BUY ON PULLBACKS CPR State: Bullish Zone | CPR Moving Up (Wide) Today's CPR: Pivot 1,169.70 | Top 1,166.90 | Base 1,172.50 Tomorrow's CPR (Projected): Pivot 1,206.75 | Top 1,213.95 | Base 1,199.50 ________________________________________ 📚 EDUCATIONAL OBSERVATION HCL Technologies has confirmed a breakout from a multi-month Falling Wedge, a chart pattern widely regarded as a bullish reversal formation that often develops after an extended corrective phase. The breakout is supported by a strong bullish candle, improving momentum indicators and significantly higher trading volume, reflecting renewed buying interest and strengthening market participation. A Falling Wedge forms as prices create progressively lower highs and lower lows within converging trendlines. As the pattern matures, selling pressure gradually weakens while buyers begin accumulating at lower levels. A decisive breakout above the upper boundary often signals that the corrective phase may be ending and that a fresh upward trend could be developing. Momentum indicators continue to support the improving technical structure. The RSI at 62.89 reflects healthy bullish momentum without entering an extreme overbought zone. MACD has generated a fresh bullish crossover, indicating strengthening upside momentum, while the ROC of +10.78% highlights strong price acceleration. The CCI reading of +174.99 confirms robust buying pressure, and the Stochastic reading of 92.37 reflects sustained momentum, although elevated readings also suggest that short-term consolidations or pullbacks remain a normal possibility after a sharp breakout. The projected Central Pivot Range (CPR) for the next trading session has shifted higher, with the projected Pivot at 1,206.75. A rising and widening CPR generally reflects improving market acceptance of higher prices and often supports trend continuation when accompanied by healthy participation. The current dashboard therefore maintains a constructive outlook with a preference for buying on pullbacks rather than chasing extended moves. Immediate attention remains focused on the resistance zone between 1,251 and 1,282. A sustained move above this region could strengthen the breakout further and bring the higher-timeframe observation zones near 1,355 and 1,473 into focus. On the downside, 1,176 remains the first important support, while the structural invalidation level is positioned near 1,119. ________________________________________ 🏢 BUSINESS & FUNDAMENTAL UPDATE HCL Technologies recently announced its Q1 FY27 financial results (quarter ended June 2026), delivering a strong operational performance despite a challenging environment for the global IT services sector. Key Highlights Net Profit: 4,624 crore, up 20.32% year-on-year from 3,843 crore. Revenue: 34,579 crore, representing 13.94% year-on-year growth from 30,349 crore. Interim Dividend: The Board declared an interim dividend of 12 per equity share (face value 2) for FY27. The record date is 17 July 2026, while the dividend will be paid on 27 July 2026. FY27 Guidance: Management reiterated its constant currency revenue growth guidance of 1–4%, maintaining its earlier outlook despite macroeconomic uncertainty. The quarterly performance comes at a time when the broader IT sector continues to face headwinds from cautious enterprise technology spending, reduced discretionary budgets and increasing discussions around AI-driven pricing pressure across traditional IT services. Against this backdrop, HCLTech's stronger-than-expected profitability, double-digit revenue growth and stable guidance demonstrate operational resilience and disciplined execution. Interestingly, the stock had already attracted strong buying interest ahead of the earnings announcement, rallying nearly 5% in the previous trading session. The combination of robust quarterly earnings, a healthy dividend announcement, stable management guidance and a technically confirmed Falling Wedge breakout provides both fundamental and technical support for the improving market structure. ________________________________________ 📖 Educational Note Support and resistance levels should be viewed as observation zones rather than predictive targets. Chart patterns, price action, volume analysis, momentum indicators and CPR are educational tools that help market participants understand evolving market structure within a disciplined risk-management framework. Similarly, strong quarterly results can improve investor sentiment but should always be evaluated alongside broader market conditions, valuation and risk management principles. ________________________________________ ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is provided strictly for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute financial, investment or trading advice and should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Stock market investments are subject to market risks, including the possible loss of capital. Past performance, historical observations, chart patterns, earnings performance and technical indicators do not guarantee future results. Please conduct your own research and consult a SEBI-registered investment adviser before making investment decisions. STWP assumes no responsibility or liability for any financial loss arising directly or indirectly from the use of this analysis.

by simpletradewithpatience

Bitcoin Remains Bearish Below $64K–$66K Despite Modest Rebound Bitcoin has rebounded modestly from its July 1 low, while Ethereum has shown relative strength by avoiding a new July low. However, Bitcoin continues to form lower highs and lower lows, keeping the broader trend bearish. The recent sideways action looks more like consolidation than a confirmed recovery. Key Trading Levels Resistance: $64,000–$66,000 Support: $53,000–$56,000 Downside Target: $40,000–$45,000 Outlook: Bearish to sideways Bitcoin remains bearish unless it can reclaim and hold above $66,000.

by Richtv_official

NTPC: Local Resistance Retest & Long-Term Support Remains Intact NTPC is currently retesting a local resistance while trading near the lower trendline support of a long-term triangle. The current price action places the stock at an important decision zone. Trade Plan 1 • Entry: 344–353 • Stop Loss: Weekly close below 330 • Targets: 369 → 386 → 403 This setup is valid only if the long-term trendline continues to hold and price reclaims the local resistance. Trade Plan 2 (On Deeper Correction) • Entry: 292–300 • Stop Loss: Weekly close below 285 (or below the swing low) • Targets: 344 → 369 → 386 → 403 This setup becomes relevant only if the stock loses the first support zone and corrects into the next major demand area. Outlook The next few weekly candles should confirm whether NTPC resumes its uptrend from the current support or offers a better risk-reward opportunity after a deeper pullback. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis reflects my personal view based on technical analysis and price action. It is shared for educational purposes only and is not financial or investment advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before taking any trade.

by ThePrimeTraderTV

Nifty 50 Trade Plan [14.07.2026: Tuesday]Probable Scenario Analysis and Trade Plan for Nifty 50 Index NSE:NIFTY for the 14th of July, 2026. The day is Tuesday. 🟢 Bullish Scenario Be bullish if the price sustains above 24250 for at least 30 minutes and forms a sustained bullish candle. The probable bullish targets above 24250 would be - 24312.5 and 24375. There is an unfilled GAP at 24355.1. The price would receive strong resistance at 24375. Next, if the price sustains above 24375, then the probable bullish targets would be - 24437.5 and 24500. 🔴 Bearish Scenario Be bearish if the price decisively breaks down below 24125 and sustains. In this case, the probable bearish targets would be - 24062.5 and 24000. There will be strong support at 24000. There is a minor unfilled GAP at 24981.9. Probably, the market would fill this GAP. Next, if the price decisively sustains below 24000, then there will be sharp selling. The probable bearish targets below 24000 would be - 23937.5 and 23875. There is an unfilled GAP at 24981.9. 🟡 No Trading Zone (NTZ): (24250 - 24125). ⏺ Range of Consolidation (ROC): (24375 - 24125). Here, 24250 is the median of the ROC. The median works like an intraday sentiment evaluator. The price trading above the median would offer bullish sentiment, while the price trading below the median would trigger bearish sentiment within the ROC. ● Event No high-impact event this week. No holidays this week. However, there is a NIFTY 50 weekly expiry. We can expect a price anomaly on the expiry day. Best to trade in the second half of the trading session. Lastly, geopolitical issues are omnipresent. ● Intraday Bias Establish intraday bias with respect to the opening price. If the price sustains above the opening price, then don't think of shorting. Look for bullish trades only. On the contrary, if the price sustains below the opening price, then don't think of going long. Look for bearish trades in that case. ● Disclaimer + End Note - All the analyses would fail in the case of a major gap up, gap down, or price structure anomaly. Thus, practice PRAGMATISM in the live session. - Trade only if there is a set-up. Remember, not trading is an extension of the trading activity. - Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is GOD. Anything can happen in the markets. Thus, trade what you see, not what you believe. - Always PRACTICE RISK MANAGEMENT. Always PROTECT YOUR CAPITAL. Be RESPONSIBLE. - Be Strategic. Be Courageous. Be Patient. Be Wise. - Every day is a new day. Thus, do not carry the baggage of past successes or failures. Leave the gardens of winning and losing. Establish yourself in equanimity. Always think from a new perspective. - Let the joy of trading drive your effectiveness, not greed or fear. Believe in Possibilities. Happy Trading!

by deep_bhattacharjee_db

Delayed Breakout vs Timed Breakout ( My Secret ) In this 15 mins video, I have explained something called as Timed Breakout, which is a part of my Overall A+ setup, removing Noise, Video is purely educational and Charts used are older than 3 months

14:07

by Averoy_Apoorv_Analysis

Trading Masterclass #1 Institutional trading means trading like hedge funds, banks, prop firms, and professional desks. They do not trade based on emotions, random tips, or gambling. They use systems, probabilities, risk control, position sizing, discipline, and psychology. Retail traders often lose because they focus only on “entry.” Institutions focus on: Risk Management Capital Protection Position Sizing Probability Psychology Consistency Repeatable Edge

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by Knowledgehub

XAUUSD: Massive Weekly Gap Down — Hunting Shorts to 4HR POI 🔍 Why the Gap Down in XAUUSD? Today's gap down is a classic case of "Counterintuitive Market Mechanics" driven by a major escalation over the weekend: The Crude Oil & Dollar Index Surge: Over the weekend, US CENTCOM launched precision strikes against targets in Iran following drone/missile attacks. This forced crude oil prices to instantly skyrocket by 4%. The Inflation / Rate Hike Trap: Usually, war drives gold up. But because oil spiked so aggressively, the market suddenly panicked that inflation is going to surge right back up. Hawkish Central Banks: Higher inflation means the US Federal Reserve and other central banks will be forced to keep interest rates higher for longer or potentially look at more monetary tightening. Since Gold pays no yield, the fear of sustained high interest rates caused institutional desks to dump bullion. DXY Strength: This massive capital flight went straight into the US Dollar, causing the Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY $) to surge over 101.20, crushing Gold at the weekly open. Direction: Short / Bearish Bias 🔴 Market Overview: XAUUSD opened the week with a massive structural gap down, catching many retail buyers off guard. Despite escalating geopolitical headlines over the weekend involving the US and Iran, the massive 4% surge in crude oil has drastically revived global inflation fears. The market is pricing in hawkish central bank extensions (higher for longer rates), causing the US Dollar Index (DXY) to skyrocket past 101.20 and forcing a heavy liquidation in safe-haven bullion. Technical Structure & Bias: The higher timeframe structure has officially shifted its short-term direction. We are observing pure bearish control right from the weekly open. The Higher Timeframe Objective: The immediate path of least resistance is downward. We are looking for a continuation toward the major 4-Hour Point of Interest (POI) demand zone lower down. Intraday Strategy: The macro bias is strictly sell-on-rise. Any early-session bullish momentum or corrective bounces must be treated purely as temporary retracements to tap premium pricing. Risk Warning: Do not mistake minor intraday green candles for a bullish trend shift. Do not try to catch the falling knife or aggressively buy the gap-fill without institutional confirmation. Stay alert, protect your capital, and look for clean bearish setups on the lower timeframes (15m/1h) executing in line with the major 4H flow. ⚠️ Technical Disclaimer: The structural outlook and directional bias mentioned in this chart text reflect an independent technical perspective based on institutional order flow. This is not financial advice or a direct signal to execute. Every trader must conduct their own due diligence, manage their leverage responsibly, and wait for personal confirmation before entering any positions.

#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 13/07/2026 Nifty is expected to open with a gap-down bias near the 24000 level. Despite the weak opening, the index is trading close to a crucial support zone where buying interest may emerge. Traders should wait for confirmation before taking fresh positions as opening volatility is likely to remain high. The immediate support is placed at 24050–24100. If Nifty sustains above this zone and shows buying momentum, traders can consider long positions with targets of 24150, 24200, and 24250. A decisive breakout above 24250 will confirm fresh bullish momentum and may extend the rally towards 24350, 24400, and 24450+. On the downside, if Nifty fails to hold the 23950 support level, traders can consider short positions with targets of 23850, 23800, and 23750. A sustained breakdown below this level will indicate renewed selling pressure and strengthen the bearish outlook. Overall, a gap-down opening near the 24000 level is expected. As long as Nifty holds above the 24050–24100 support zone, buying on dips remains the preferred strategy. Fresh shorts should be considered only after a confirmed breakdown below 23950. Follow strict stop-losses and book profits gradually at each target level.

#BANKNIFTY Intraday PE & CE Levels(13/07/2026)Bank Nifty is expected to open with a gap-down bias, but the overall trend remains positive as long as the index holds above the immediate support zone. Early volatility is likely, and traders should wait for confirmation before initiating fresh positions. The immediate support is placed at 57550–57600. If Bank Nifty holds this zone and attracts buying interest, traders can consider CE positions with targets of 57750, 57850, and 57950. A decisive breakout above 58050 will confirm fresh bullish momentum and may extend the rally towards 58250, 58350, and 58450+. On the downside, if the index fails to sustain above 57950–57900 after a pullback, traders can consider reversal PE positions with targets of 57750, 57650, and 57550. A sustained breakdown below 57450–57400 will strengthen the bearish bias and may drag the index towards 57250, 57150, and 57050. Overall, a gap-down opening is expected. However, unless Bank Nifty breaks below 57550, the broader recovery structure remains intact. Traders should prefer buying on dips above support, while fresh shorts should be considered only after a confirmed breakdown below 57450. Follow strict stop-losses and book profits gradually at each target level.

MASON XAUUSD – Trendline Break May Target Fibonacci XAUUSD is trading around 4,071 after losing short-term recovery momentum near the Ichimoku structure. Price is now testing the rising trendline support, and the early-week focus is on whether gold can hold this structure or break lower. The priority view is bearish if gold breaks below the trendline and strong support area. A clean breakdown may open the way toward the Fibonacci extension targets. Technical View Gold is currently moving inside a tightening structure between the descending resistance line and the rising trendline support. This shows that price is being compressed before a stronger move. The short-term recovery has failed to break clearly above the Ichimoku resistance. Price remains under pressure near the cloud, which means buyers have not fully regained control. As long as gold stays below the Ichimoku resistance and below the FVG sell order zone, the upside remains limited. The 4,100–4,106 area is the main FVG sell order zone on the chart. This zone is important because it aligns with the short-term resistance structure, Ichimoku pressure, and the descending trendline area. If gold retests this zone and rejects, it may confirm another lower high before the next bearish leg. The 4,055–4,065 area is the strong support zone and also connects with the rising trendline. If price breaks below this area, the bullish correction structure may fail. That would confirm a trendline break and shift the short-term market back into stronger bearish continuation. The first downside target is the Fibonacci 1.618 extension around 4,015–4,020. If selling pressure continues after breaking support, the next deeper target may be the Fibonacci 2.618 area around 3,950–3,960. Key Zones Current price: 4,071 FVG sell order zone: 4,100–4,106 Ichimoku resistance area: 4,085–4,111 Strong support: 4,055–4,065 Trendline breakdown zone: below 4,055 Fibonacci 1.618 target: 4,015–4,020 Fibonacci 2.618 target: 3,950–3,960 Invalidation: above 4,116 Trading Plan Sell Priority: 4,100–4,106 Condition: wait for bearish rejection from the FVG sell order zone, failed recovery above Ichimoku, or a clean break below the rising trendline support. SL: above 4,116 TP1: 4,055–4,065 TP2: 4,015–4,020 TP3: 3,950–3,960 Alternative Scenario If gold breaks below 4,055 directly at the start of the week, wait for a retest of the broken trendline or support zone as resistance before looking for sell continuation toward the Fibonacci 1.618 target. Buy View Buy is not the priority while price stays below the FVG sell order zone and Ichimoku resistance. A short-term buy reaction may appear around 4,015–4,020, but it needs clear bullish confirmation first. Final View Overall, gold is still under short-term bearish pressure. The key point for the start of the week is the rising trendline support. If gold breaks below 4,055–4,065, the correction structure may fail and the downside path toward 4,015 and 3,950 becomes more realistic. Will gold break the trendline early next week, or retest the FVG sell order zone before moving lower?

Peak to Flip: A 50% Story That Repeated This post is educational and observational in nature based on historical price action on a monthly timeframe. It is not a forecast or a trading recommendation. 1) Marked on this chart in white are three separate flip zones. A flip zone is a price level that once acted as resistance, and after being broken and sustained above, converted into support. Markets often revisit these levels later, and when they hold from above, it confirms the flip. 2) Each time one of these flip zones formed, a similar sequence followed. Price rallied from the flip zone, reached a peak, meaning the highest point of that particular move, and then fell back down. What stood out across all three instances is where that fall eventually found support. In each of the three cases, the decline from peak to bottom landed close to a 50% retracement of that move, and in each case, the level where price stopped falling was the same flip zone that had originally supported the rally. The zone that launched the move also caught the fall. 3) This is not a rule, not a strategy and not a signal to act on. It is simply a repeated observation across this specific chart, on this specific timeframe, three separate times. Seeing the same relationship between a flip zone, a rally, a peak and a roughly 50% retracement recurring more than once is the kind of pattern recognition that comes only from spending time studying price history closely.

by Averoy_Apoorv_Analysis

CDSL 3-Month Breakout with Strong Volume 📊 CDSL: Daily Technical Snapshot – 3-Month Breakout with Strong Volume 📊 STWP Technical Analysis ________________________________________ MARKET STRUCTURE SNAPSHOT | NSE: CDSL | DAILY Closing Price: 1,431.90 (+85.40 | +6.34%) Core Trend: Strong Uptrend Market State: Confirmed 3-Month Breakout Price Structure: Price has broken above a three-month consolidation range with a powerful bullish candle, supported by exceptionally strong volume and broad market participation. ________________________________________ OPERATIONAL PRICE GRID & KEY REFERENCE LEVELS Model Reference Level: 1,443.00 Hard Invalidation Level: 1,299.10 Structural Risk: 143.90 (9.97%) Resistance Levels: R1 1,465.70 | R2 1,499.50 | R3 1,556.00 Support Levels: S1 1,375.40 | S2 1,318.90 | S3 1,285.10 Range Structure: Low 1,299.10 | High 1,556.00 Higher Timeframe Observation Zones: 1,586 | 1,730 | 1,874 ________________________________________ MOMENTUM, PARTICIPATION & CPR DATA Volume Profile: 9.18 Million Shares Volume Character: Extremely High Relative Participation RSI: 68.95 (Strong Momentum Zone) ADX: 24.95 (Strengthening Trend) ROC: +8.72% MACD Status: Strong Positive Momentum with Fresh Bullish Crossover CCI: +164.10 (Strong Bullish Momentum) Stochastic Reading: 92.49 (Extended Momentum Zone) Current Bias: BUY ON PULLBACKS CPR State: Bullish Zone | CPR Moving Up (Wide) Today's CPR: Pivot 1,339.05 | Top 1,342.75 | Base 1,335.30 Tomorrow's CPR (Projected): Pivot 1,409.20 | Top 1,420.55 | Base 1,397.85 ________________________________________ 📚 EDUCATIONAL OBSERVATION Central Depository Services (India) Ltd. (CDSL) has delivered a decisive 3-month breakout, closing above a prolonged consolidation range with a strong bullish candle supported by exceptionally high trading volume. Such breakouts often indicate that demand has successfully absorbed supply over an extended period, allowing the stock to transition from consolidation into a potential expansion phase. The breakout is reinforced by multiple technical confirmations, including a Three Inside Up candlestick pattern, a MACD bullish crossover, an RSI breakout, and Bollinger Band expansion. The sharp increase in trading volume further strengthens the breakout, suggesting broad market participation and improving institutional interest rather than a low-volume price move. Several technical factors are currently aligned in support of the bullish structure: Momentum indicators continue to support the prevailing trend. The RSI at 68.95 reflects strong bullish momentum while remaining just below the conventional overbought threshold. MACD has generated a fresh bullish crossover, signalling improving trend strength, while ADX at 24.95 indicates that the trend is becoming stronger. The ROC of +8.72% highlights healthy price acceleration, and the CCI reading of +164.10 confirms robust upside momentum. Meanwhile, the Stochastic reading of 92.49 suggests strong buying pressure, although traders should also be mindful that short-term consolidations can occur after sharp advances. The projected Central Pivot Range (CPR) for the next trading session has shifted significantly higher, with the projected Pivot at 1,409.20. A rising and widening CPR generally reflects improving market acceptance of higher prices and often supports trend continuation when accompanied by strong participation. The immediate technical focus remains on the resistance zone between 1,466 and 1,500. A sustained move above this area could strengthen the existing bullish structure and bring the higher-timeframe observation zone near 1,556 into focus. On the downside, 1,375 remains the first important support, while the structural invalidation level is positioned near 1,299. From a business perspective, CDSL is one of India's leading securities depositories, providing electronic depository services, settlement infrastructure and related capital market solutions. Continued growth in retail investor participation, increasing demat account penetration and expanding digital capital market infrastructure provide a constructive long-term outlook for the company. Support and resistance levels should be viewed as observation zones rather than predictive targets. Chart patterns, price action, volume analysis, momentum indicators and CPR are educational tools intended to help market participants understand evolving market structure within a disciplined risk-management framework. ________________________________________ ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is provided strictly for educational and informational purposes. This is not financial, investment or trading advice and should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Stock market investments are subject to market risks, including the possible loss of capital. Past performance, historical observations, chart patterns and technical indicators do not guarantee future results. Please conduct your own research and consult a SEBI-registered investment adviser before making investment decisions. STWP assumes no responsibility or liability for any financial loss arising directly or indirectly from the use of this information.

by simpletradewithpatience

XAUUSD : Buying the Dip from Demand Zone to 4138 📊 Market Context & Technical Analysis Looking at the XAUUSD 30-minute chart, we can see a clear structural shift from bearish to bullish, providing a high-probability long setup. Market Structure Shift: After a period of downside movement marked by a Break of Structure (BOS) and a Market Structure Shift (MSS), price found a solid bottom around the 4,020 area. Change of Character (CHOCH): A powerful impulsive move to the upside broke previous minor swing highs, confirming a CHOCH and transitioning the local trend back to bullish. Trendline Support: The market has established a clear ascending support line, which price has respected multiple times. Demand Zone Confluence: Price is currently retracing and compressing right into a freshly formed Demand Zone (approx. 4,100 - 4,106). This zone perfectly aligns with the dynamic ascending trendline support, offering strong confluence for a long entry. 🏹 The Trade Execution Plan We are looking for a bullish reaction within the identified demand zone to ride the next impulse wave upward. Direction: Long 🟢 Entry Zone: 4,100 - 4,106 (Within the highlighted blue Demand Zone) Invalidation / Stop Loss (SSL): Below the recent swing low structure around 4,073 (Sell-Side Liquidity level). Take Profit / Target (BSL): 4,138 (Targeting the Buy-Side Liquidity sitting at the recent swing high). ⚠️ Risk Disclaimer Always wait for lower timeframe confirmation (e.g., a 1m to 5m CHOCH or bullish engulfing candle) inside the demand zone before executing to minimize risk. Manage your risk properly and never risk more than your plan allows.