Trend Analysis
RKFORG: Trend reversal pattern, good volume in weekly candleFew Points observed from last few weeks -
From the last few weeks RKFORG stock is trading in a very narrow range.
In last week good volume build up, gives good signal of trend reversal.
Also, stock trading near 21 SMA.
Good buying opportunity above 608 on one week close, with SL 535 on one close below.
NOTE : This is not investment advise, only for education purpose.
Technical Swing Setup: Eicher Motors (EICHERMOT)A textbook technical setup is unfolding on Eicher Motors, offering a highly favorable 1:2 Risk-Reward profile based on long-term structural charting.
Trade Parameters:
Entry Range (LTP): ₹7,564
Target: ₹8,150+
Stop Loss: ₹7,300
Duration: 10–15 Trading Days
Analysis Insights: The downside risk is strictly contained to 3.5% against a potential 7.7% capture window, satisfying professional expectancy models.
Manage your risk accordingly. Happy Investing!
MCX Crude Oil Analysis (20-07-2026)Crude Oil Outlook for Monday
If Crude Oil opens above 7920 on Monday, it can be considered bullish. The first major psychological resistance is 8000, which is very close and could be tested first.
Upside Targets:
- 8000 – First psychological resistance
- 8150 – Second target
- 8220 – Third target
- 8350 – Fourth target (Possible Top)
The 8350 zone could act as a possible top, and it may be difficult for the price to sustain above this level.
On the other hand, if Crude Oil opens below 7920 with a gap down, it may turn bearish. The 7700–7720 zone is a super strong support. If the price breaks below this support, bearish momentum is likely to increase.
Downside Targets:
- 7600
- 7550
- 7480
However, if Crude Oil opens with a small gap down, starts declining, and then finds support in the 7700–7720 zone, it could bounce back from there.
In that case, the upside recovery targets will be:
- 7800
- 7920
A successful breakout above 7920 could then lead to the higher upside targets mentioned earlier:
8000 → 8150 → 8220 → 8350.
Gold Weekly Analysis [20 - 24 July, 2026]Probable Scenario Analysis and Trade Plan for Gold TVC:GOLD for the Week - 20 - 24 July, 2026.
🟢 Bullish Scenario
The price is not yet in the bullish zone. If the price sustains above 4050 and shows the promise of bullish continuation, then the first probable bullish targets would be 4100. Next, if the price sustains above 4100, then the probable bullish targets would be 4150 and 4200. There will be strong resistance at 4200. Next, if the price again sustains above 4200, then the probable bullish targets would be - 4250 and 4300. Lastly, keep the level 4100. If price remains above 4100, then look for only bullish trades in the week.
🔴 Bearish Scenario
The zone of (4000 - 3950) is a strong support zone. If the price breaks down below 3950, then the probable bearish targets would be - 3900, 3850, and 3800.
🟡 No Trading Zone (NTZ): (4050 - 3950)
⏺ Range of Consolidation (ROC): (4200 - 4000).
Here, 4100 is the median of the ROC. The median works like an intraday sentiment evaluator. The price trading above the median would offer bullish sentiment, while the price trading below the median would trigger bearish sentiment within the ROC.
● Event
No high-impact event this week. One medium-impact event is the Euro Interest Rate Decision on 23rd July (Thursday). No holidays this week. Lastly, geopolitical issues are omnipresent.
● Intraday Bias
Establish intraday bias with respect to the opening price. If the price sustains above the opening price, then don't think of shorting. Look for bullish trades only. On the contrary, if the price sustains below the opening price, then don't think of going long. Look for bearish trades in that case.
● Disclaimer + End Note
- All the analyses would fail in the case of a major gap up, gap down, or price structure anomaly. Thus, practice PRAGMATISM in the live session.
- Trade only if there is a set-up. Remember, not trading is an extension of the trading activity.
- Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is GOD. Anything can happen in the markets. Thus, trade what you see, not what you believe.
- Always PRACTICE RISK MANAGEMENT. Always PROTECT YOUR CAPITAL. Be RESPONSIBLE.
- Be Strategic. Be Courageous. Be Patient. Be Wise.
- Every day is a new day. Thus, do not carry the baggage of past successes or failures. Leave the gardens of winning and losing. Establish yourself in equanimity. Always think from a new perspective.
- Let the joy of trading drive your effectiveness, not greed or fear. Believe in Possibilities.
Happy Trading!
Nifty 50 Weekly Analysis [20 - 24 July, 2026]Probable Scenario Analysis and Trade Plan for the Nifty 50 Index NSE:NIFTY for the Week of 20 - 24 July, 2026.
🟢 Bullish Scenario
Nifty 50 is in a strong bullish zone. Every down move should be doubted and considered as an opportunity to go long. If the Nifty 50 Index stays above 24200, then stay bullish. The probable bullish targets above 24200 would be - 24300, 24400, and 24500. There will be strong resistance at 24500. Next, if the price sustains above 24500, then the probable bullish targets would be - 24600 and 24700. The zone of (24750 - 24700) would be a strong resistance zone.
🔴 Bearish Scenario
Presently, the price is out of the bearish zone. There is no observable bearish setup in the charts. However, level 24100 is a crucial support. If the price breaks down below 24100, then there will be a weak bearish move till 24000. Level 24000 is weak support. Next, if the price decisively breaks down below 24000, then the probable bearish targets would be - 23900 and 23800. The price will receive strong support in the zone of (23850 - 23800).
🟡 No Trading Zone (NTZ): (24200 - 24100).
⏺ Range of Consolidation (ROC): (24500 - 24200).
Here, 24350 is the median of the ROC. The median works like an intraday sentiment evaluator. The price trading above the median would offer bullish sentiment, while the price trading below the median would trigger bearish sentiment within the ROC.
● Event
No high-impact event this week. One medium-impact event is the Euro Interest Rate Decision on 23rd July (Thursday). No holidays this week. Lastly, geopolitical issues are omnipresent.
● Intraday Bias
Establish intraday bias with respect to the opening price. If the price sustains above the opening price, then don't think of shorting. Look for bullish trades only. On the contrary, if the price sustains below the opening price, then don't think of going long. Look for bearish trades in that case.
● Top - Down Analysis
- Monthly TF: A green candle closed far above the close of the previous month. The month is bullish. Strong support at 24200. Immediate resistance is at 24500. The view is bullish.
- Weekly TF: A bullish candle formed within the red long-legged doji of the previous week. It looks like a "Bullish Harami" pattern. The zone of (24250 - 24200) would act as a strong support area. Immediate resistance is 24500. The view is indecision to bullish.
- Daily TF: A strong bullish candle showing signs of strong momentum. Level 24200 is strong support. It seems that level 24500 is possible. Doubt every down move. The view is bullish.
- 30-minute TF: The higher-highs and lower-lows structure is intact. The zone (24250 - 24200) is strong support. The view is bullish.
● Disclaimer + End Note
- All the analyses would fail in the case of a major gap up, gap down, or price structure anomaly. Thus, practice PRAGMATISM in the live session.
- Trade only if there is a set-up. Remember, not trading is an extension of the trading activity.
- Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is GOD. Anything can happen in the markets. Thus, trade what you see, not what you believe.
- Always PRACTICE RISK MANAGEMENT. Always PROTECT YOUR CAPITAL. Be RESPONSIBLE.
- Be Strategic. Be Courageous. Be Patient. Be Wise.
- Every day is a new day. Thus, do not carry the baggage of past successes or failures. Leave the gardens of winning and losing. Establish yourself in equanimity. Always think from a new perspective.
- Let the joy of trading drive your effectiveness, not greed or fear. Believe in Possibilities.
Happy Trading!
Everyone calling $60K the bottom?Everyone calling $60K the bottom... but who's swept the sell-side liquidity below it yet?
$60K bottom? The Bearish OB overhead and untapped liquidity at $53K disagree.
You're calling $60K the bottom. The chart's calling it the next stop-hunt.
Third liquidity sweep incoming and you still think $60K holds?
NFA & DYOR
How Monthly Structure Shapes Weekly Behavior🟢 This post is educational and observational in nature based on historical price action across multiple timeframes. It is not a forecast or a trading recommendation.
📈 Higher Timeframe
A higher timeframe refers to a chart view that compresses more time into each candle, such as monthly or weekly charts compared to daily or hourly ones. Higher timeframes tend to filter out short term noise and reveal the broader structural context a stock is trading within.
📏 Monthly Trendline
Marked in green, this trendline is drawn purely on the monthly timeframe. A trendline connects a series of highs or lows to reflect the underlying direction of price over a longer horizon, and because it originates from the monthly chart, it carries more structural weight than a trendline drawn on a lower timeframe.
📉 Bringing the Monthly Into the Weekly
On the right side of this post, the same monthly trendline has been carried over and overlaid onto the weekly timeframe. This is a deliberate multi timeframe approach, since a line drawn on a higher timeframe often continues to act as a relevant reference point even when viewed on a lower one.
🔄 The Flip Zone on the Weekly
Once overlaid, this level shows a clear flip zone on the weekly chart. What was previously acting as resistance on the weekly timeframe has, after being broken, converted into support
↩️ The Counter Trendline
Marked in white is a counter trendline, drawn against the direction of the primary trend. It is used to track corrective or pullback phases
Nifty Bank Weekly Analysis [20 - 24 July, 2026]Probable Scenario Analysis and Trade Plan for the Nifty Bank Index NSE:BANKNIFTY for the Week of 20 - 24 July, 2026.
🟢 Bullish Scenario
Nifty Bank is in a strong bullish zone. Every down move should be doubted and considered as an opportunity to go long. If the Nifty Bank Index stays above 58250, then stay bullish. The probable bullish targets above 58250 would be - 58500, 58750, and 59000. There will be strong resistance at 59000. Next, if the price sustains above 59000, then the probable bullish targets would be 59250, 59500, 59750, and 60000.
🔴 Bearish Scenario
Presently, the price is out of the bearish zone. There is no observable bearish setup in the charts. However, level 57750 is a crucial support. If the price breaks down below 57750, then there will be a weak bearish move till 57500. Level 57500 is a weak support. Next, if the price decisively breaks down below 57500, then the probable bearish targets would be - 57250 and 57000. The price will receive strong support at 57000.
🟡 No Trading Zone (NTZ): (58250 - 57750).
⏺ Range of Consolidation (ROC): (59000 - 57000).
Here, 58000 is the median of the ROC. The median works like an intraday sentiment evaluator. The price trading above the median would offer bullish sentiment, while the price trading below the median would trigger bearish sentiment within the ROC.
● Event
No high-impact event this week. One medium-impact event is the Euro Interest Rate Decision on 23rd July (Thursday). No holidays this week. Lastly, geopolitical issues are omnipresent.
● Intraday Bias
Establish intraday bias with respect to the opening price. If the price sustains above the opening price, then don't think of shorting. Look for bullish trades only. On the contrary, if the price sustains below the opening price, then don't think of going long. Look for bearish trades in that case.
● Top - Down Analysis
- Monthly TF: A green candle closed far above the close of the previous month. The month is bullish. Strong support at 58000. Immediate resistance is at 59000. The view is bullish.
- Weekly TF: A strong green candle engulfed dojis of the past 4 weeks. If the price sustains above 58500 for at least 1 day and shows further bullish opportunity, then levels 59000 and 59500 seem achievable. The view is bullish.
- Daily TF: A strong bullish candle showing signs of strong momentum. Level 58000 is strong support. There is an unfilled gap till 59000. It seems that level 59000 is possible. Doubt every down move. The view is bullish.
- 30-minute TF: The higher-highs and lower-lows structure is intact. The zone (58250 - 58000) is strong support. The view is bullish.
● Disclaimer + End Note
- All the analyses would fail in the case of a major gap up, gap down, or price structure anomaly. Thus, practice PRAGMATISM in the live session.
- Trade only if there is a set-up. Remember, not trading is an extension of the trading activity.
- Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is GOD. Anything can happen in the markets. Thus, trade what you see, not what you believe.
- Always PRACTICE RISK MANAGEMENT. Always PROTECT YOUR CAPITAL. Be RESPONSIBLE.
- Be Strategic. Be Courageous. Be Patient. Be Wise.
- Every day is a new day. Thus, do not carry the baggage of past successes or failures. Leave the gardens of winning and losing. Establish yourself in equanimity. Always think from a new perspective.
- Let the joy of trading drive your effectiveness, not greed or fear. Believe in Possibilities.
Happy Trading!
# **BTC/USD 45-Minute Technical Analysis## **Market Overview**
The BTC/USD 45-minute chart is showing a **short-term bullish structure** following a strong recovery from the recent swing low around **62,700**. Price has transitioned from a bearish trend into a higher-low formation, supported by a rising dynamic trend band (green cloud), indicating that buyers currently have the advantage.
At the time of the chart:
* **Current Price:** 64,505.95
* **Trend Bias:** Bullish (45M)
* **Immediate Resistance:** 64,700–65,200
* **Major Support:** 64,340–64,100
---
## **Trend Analysis**
The market has successfully shifted from a prolonged bearish phase (red trend band) into a bullish environment (green trend band).
Key observations:
* Price remains **above the dynamic support zone**, confirming short-term buying pressure.
* The trend indicator has maintained its bullish color, suggesting momentum remains positive.
* The recent pullback appears healthy rather than a trend reversal.
**Trend Strength:** ★★★★☆ (4/5)
---
## **Multi-Timeframe Confirmation**
| Timeframe | Signal | Interpretation |
| --------- | ---------- | ---------------------------------------- |
| 5 Min | 🟢 Bullish | Strong short-term momentum |
| 15 Min | 🔴 Bearish | Minor correction underway |
| 45 Min | 🟢 Bullish | Primary intraday trend remains positive |
| 4 Hour | 🔴 Bearish | Higher timeframe resistance still exists |
| Daily | 🟢 Bullish | Long-term trend remains constructive |
### Interpretation
This mixed alignment suggests:
* Short-term traders may experience volatility.
* The 45-minute and Daily charts favor continuation higher.
* The 4-hour bearish bias warns that upside may face resistance before a larger breakout.
---
# **Price Structure**
### Higher Low Formation
The recent retracement failed to create a lower low, indicating buyers are defending higher prices.
This is typically a bullish continuation characteristic.
Current sequence:
* Higher Low ✅
* Higher High Attempt ✅
* Trend Support Holding ✅
---
# **Support & Resistance**
### Support Levels
* **64,340** – Dynamic trend support
* **64,100** – Strong horizontal support
* **63,536** – Major structural support
### Resistance Levels
* **64,700** – Immediate resistance
* **65,180** – First upside objective
* **65,600** – Previous swing high
A confirmed break above **64,700** would significantly improve the probability of reaching the next resistance zone.
---
# **Momentum Analysis**
Momentum remains positive despite the recent pullback.
Signs supporting buyers include:
* Rising trend support
* Price respecting the moving trend channel
* No confirmed bearish structure break
* Buyers stepping in after minor declines
However, volume confirmation would strengthen the bullish case.
---
# **Trade Scenario**
### Bullish Setup (Higher Probability)
**Entry Zone**
* 64,450–64,550
**Stop Loss**
* Below 64,100
**Target 1**
* 64,700
**Target 2**
* 65,180
**Target 3**
* 65,600
This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward profile if price continues to respect the rising support.
---
### Bearish Risk Scenario
The bullish outlook would weaken if:
* Price closes below **64,100**
* The green trend support flips bearish
* Lower highs begin forming beneath resistance
In that case, downside targets could extend toward **63,800–63,500**.
---
# **Professional Outlook**
The chart currently favors a **bullish continuation** as long as price remains above the dynamic support around **64,340–64,100**. Although the 4-hour timeframe still reflects broader resistance, the 45-minute structure is constructive, with buyers maintaining control after a healthy pullback.
A decisive breakout above **64,700** would likely open the path toward **65,180–65,600**, while a loss of **64,100** would invalidate the immediate bullish setup and increase the probability of a deeper correction.
### **Overall Bias**
* **Trend:** Bullish
* **Momentum:** Moderately Strong
* **Market Structure:** Bullish Continuation
* **Risk Level:** Moderate (due to mixed higher-timeframe signals)
* **Probability:** **65–70% Bullish Continuation**, provided support around **64,100** holds.
RELIANCE 1D Bearish Confirmation After Short Term Bullish RunThe move higher was helped by optimism around the proposed Jio Platforms IPO, which could unlock value for Reliance shareholders, alongside expectations around its AI, new-energy and digital businesses. More recently, Reliance also reported stronger than expected quarterly results, with strength in its O2C and Jio businesses.
But despite the fundamental strength and the recent rally, my technical bias is still bearish on the higher timeframe.
Reliance has been in a broader downtrend after rejecting from the ₹1,575–₹1,600 region.
Since then, price has been creating a series of lower highs and lower lows. The recent rally has brought price back toward the ₹1,350 area, which is an important resistance zone and the level I have marked for a potential short.
My expectation is that price could first push higher into this area, potentially creating the liquidity needed for the next leg down.
From there, I would be watching for confirmation of my bearish idea.
The long-term target I have marked is around ₹1,111, which is the previous major low and the area where I expect price could eventually seek liquidity.
So my technical idea is:
Retracement into ₹1,350 → rejection → bearish continuation → ₹1,111 long-term target.
The recent pump does not invalidate the bearish structure for me. In fact, a retracement higher into resistance could provide the exact setup I am waiting for.
LAXMIINDIA: Bullish Trendline Rebound & Inst. AccumulationOverview :
Laxmi India Finance Limited (LAXMIINDIA) is displaying a compelling bullish setup on the daily (1D) timeframe. After a volatile correction that saw the stock drop from its recent highs, it has found solid footing at a critical structural support level. The current price action at ₹112.15 reflects a healthy rebound from a well-defined ascending trendline, signaling that buyers are stepping in to defend the trend.
Fundamental Catalyst (The "Smart Money" Factor) :
Institutional interest continues to be a major tailwind. Notably, Ace investor Mukul Agrawal increased his stake by an additional 0.75%, bringing his total holding to 4.58%. This "highly aggressive stake enlargement" acts as a powerful fundamental floor and a strong signal of long-term conviction from institutional smart money.
Key Technical Observations :
Trend Direction & Moving Averages : The stock is currently trading within a dense Moving Average (MA) Ribbon (spanning approx. ₹108 to ₹119). While the price is oscillating within this ribbon, the recent bounce off the ascending trendline suggests that the primary bullish trend is attempting to re-assert itself. A sustained breakout above the ₹119–₹125 resistance zone would be the next major technical confirmation.
Momentum (RSI) : The Daily RSI is currently at 54.35, trending above its RSI-based moving average of 50.81. This confirms that bullish momentum is gaining ground and the stock has shifted into a favorable state for potential further upside.
Chart Pattern : The stock has successfully printed a sequence of Higher Lows (HL) along the ascending trendline, maintaining the structural bullish integrity despite the recent corrective price action.
Key Levels to Watch :
Immediate Resistance : The overhead supply zone near ₹125.12. Breaking this level with volume is key to resuming the previous uptrend toward the ₹140+ territory.
Critical Support : The ascending trendline support near ₹108–₹110. Holding this line is essential to maintaining the current bullish bias. A failure to hold this support would suggest a breakdown of the current structure.
Directional Bias: BULLISH (Buy on Dips / Hold)
The convergence of the ascending trendline bounce and continued aggressive accumulation by high-profile investors like Mukul Agrawal makes this a high-reward setup.
For New Entries : Accumulation near the current levels or on slight dips toward the trendline (₹108–₹110) offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
For Existing Positions : HOLD. Trail your stop-loss below the ascending trendline to protect capital while allowing the macro uptrend to play out.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own research and manage your risk/position sizing according to your personal financial goals.
Poonawalla Fincorp cmp 477.30 Weekly ChartPoonawalla Fincorp cmp 477.30 Weekly Chart
- Support Zone 400 to 460 Price Band
- Resistance Zone 480 to 535 Price Band
- Bullish "W" Double Bottom pattern formed
- Breakout sustained from Resistance Trendline
- Volumes keeping in close sync of avg traded qty
MCX crude-oil futures CME Group's NYMEX, benchmark WTI crude oilCrude oil, after struggling for almost 3 days in uncertainty, gave a bullish bounce last Friday - on news of intensifying war in the Gulf region.
Although with that bounce - the prices tested a confluence of resistance, including the golden fib zone and an important fair value gap
The prices are also making a bearish divergence with the prices
We have used a monthly anchored VWAP - and the prices are expected to retest the VWAP near fib level 0.236 (7116)
Alternative Scenario: Considering war news & rumors driving the oil market - oil may continue to rise higher, bypassing the technical analysis
@kunarrahul2001
Nifty Coils Near a Breakout. Is 25,000 the Next Stop?The Nifty 50 ended the week on a positive note, gaining 0.53% to close above 24,300.
The rally was largely driven by strong buying in IT stocks after better-than-expected earnings, while India VIX rose 7.3% to 13.15, suggesting traders are preparing for a bigger move.
The Chart Is Telling an Interesting Story
While the broader market remains range-bound, the chart is forming a Symmetrical Triangle.
In simple terms, buyers are stepping in at higher levels, while sellers continue defending the upside.
The result?
The trading range keeps narrowing, creating a pressure build-up.
Think of it like a spring being compressed. The tighter the spring gets, the stronger the move can be once it breaks.
And with Nifty now approaching the apex of the triangle, the next breakout may not be far away.
What Happens Next?
If the index breaks above 24,400 and sustains, it could attract fresh buying, opening the door towards 24,700-24,800.
A decisive move beyond that could bring the psychological 25,000-25,100 zone into focus.
However, if the breakout fails, the index may continue to consolidate within the triangle.
On the downside, 24,200-24,000 remains the immediate support, followed by the stronger 23,800-23,700 zone.
Key Triggers This Week
📌 Q1 earnings season gathers pace, with over 250 companies set to announce results, including Infosys, Eternal (Zomato), Paytm, IndiGo, Meesho and BPCL.
📌 IT stocks remain in focus after a strong start to the earnings season.
📌 Rising US-Iran tensions and higher crude oil prices could keep global sentiment volatile.
The Bottom Line
The market hasn't chosen a direction yet.
But the Symmetrical Triangle suggests that decision is getting closer.
A confirmed breakout could mark the beginning of the next short-term rally.
Until then, patience remains the best strategy. Focus on stock-specific opportunities, especially in the IT space, and let the market confirm the move before increasing exposure.
XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLY SELL LIMIT PROJECTION 19.07.26XAUUSD / GOLD – Weekly Sell Limit Projection
Gold is trading inside a strong bearish structure, respecting the descending trendline. The main sell area is around 4040–4053, where several confirmations meet:
Descending trendline resistance
Resistance R1
Fair Value Gap (FVG)
Fibonacci 0.618 golden ratio
Trading Plan
Sell Limit Zone: 4040–4053
Stop Loss: Above 4102 resistance
TP1: Around 4000 – Support S1
TP2: Around 3960 – Support S2
Final Target: 3847 – Support S3
ICICI Bank 1. “Strong Beat, Consistent Performer”
ICICI delivered ~16% profit growth, beating estimates
NII growth ~12–13% shows core business strength
👉 Very Strong Results:
Profit growth solid
Loan growth aggressive
NPAs improving
👉 Meaning:
✔ Institutions still bullish (accumulation continues)
✔ Banking sector strength intact
👉 If price holds above support: ₹1350-1380 zone , go long up to 1700






















