XAUUSD — Key Entry Zones Around OB and FVG
Gold is trading around $3,998 after recovering slightly from the lower Buy zone OB around $3,980–$3,985. The short-term reaction shows that buyers are trying to defend this demand area, but the overall structure is still not fully bullish because price remains below the upper OB and FVG supply zones.
From an SMC perspective, gold recently created bearish BOS and continued to trade below the previous structure. The current bounce from the lower OB looks more like a reaction from liquidity rather than a confirmed bullish reversal. This means the buy zone can be used for short-term reaction, but the stronger decision areas are still above, especially around $4,038–$4,041 and the FVG zone near $4,051–$4,058.
The main plan is to wait for price to react clearly around the marked zones. Buying near the lower OB is only valid with confirmation, while selling near the upper OB or FVG remains the cleaner setup if sellers defend those areas.
Buy scalping setup
Condition:
Gold holds the Buy zone OB around $3,980–$3,985 and forms bullish rejection with lower timeframe MSS / CHOCH.
Entry: $3,980–$3,985
SL: below $3,970
TP1: $4,000
TP2: $4,020
TP3: $4,038–$4,041
Sell setup 1
Condition:
Gold recovers into the OB sell zone around $4,038–$4,041 and forms bearish rejection.
Entry: $4,038–$4,041
SL: above $4,058
TP1: $4,020
TP2: $4,000
TP3: $3,980–$3,985
Sell setup 2
Condition:
If gold pushes higher into the FVG zone around $4,051–$4,058 and fails to break above it, this can create a stronger sell setup.
Entry: $4,051–$4,058 after rejection
SL: above $4,075
TP1: $4,038–$4,041
TP2: $4,000
TP3: $3,980–$3,985
TP4: $3,960
Sell setup 3
Condition:
If gold breaks cleanly below the Buy zone OB and retests it as resistance, bearish continuation becomes active.
Entry: below $3,980 after breakdown retest
SL: above $4,000
TP1: $3,970
TP2: $3,960
TP3: $3,942
Key levels
Current price area: $3,998
Buy zone OB: $3,980–$3,985
Short-term reaction area: $4,000–$4,020
OB sell zone: $4,038–$4,041
FVG sell zone: $4,051–$4,058
Bearish continuation level: below $3,980
Lower target: $3,960
Major lower liquidity: $3,942
Bullish scalp confirmation: clean reaction above $3,985
Sell confirmation: bearish rejection from $4,038–$4,058
Bearish invalidation: clean 2H close above $4,075
My current view is that gold can react from the lower Buy zone OB, but the main structure is still fragile. The Prime Gold plan is to avoid entering in the middle and only look for trades around the marked zones: short-term buy from $3,980–$3,985 if confirmed, or sell from $4,038–$4,041 and $4,051–$4,058 if sellers reject strongly. If gold loses $3,980 cleanly, the bearish path toward $3,960 and $3,942 becomes active again.
No confirmation, no trade.
Long
XAUUSD: Bearish Pressure Prevails◈ XAUUSD: Bearish Pressure Still Controls the Structure
Gold is facing renewed selling pressure as the market reacts to stronger USD demand and rising concerns around inflation expectations. From Kelly’s view, the chart also supports this bearish tone, with price still trading below the key sell zone and showing signs that another Elliott wave decline may continue.
The key idea is simple: gold is not yet showing a clean bullish recovery, and the structure still favours downside continuation while price remains below resistance.
⟡ Market structure
The chart shows gold has been moving in a repeated bearish rhythm, with several recovery attempts failing near resistance. After the latest rebound, price could not hold above the 4,060–4,080 area and quickly rotated lower again.
The current price is around 4,036, while the nearest sell zone is sitting near 4,020–4,035. This area is important because price is trying to stabilise here, but the recovery is still weak. If sellers continue to defend this zone, gold may drop back towards the lower Fibonacci support.
The main downside target remains the 3,940–3,955 area, where the chart marks the support zone, Fibonacci 1.618 extension, and potential end of wave 5.
➤ Key levels
◌ 4,020–4,035: current sell zone and short-term resistance
◌ 3,985–4,000: buy scalping wave 4 reaction area
◌ 3,940–3,955: support / Fibonacci 1.618 / wave 5 target
◌ 4,060–4,080: resistance area if price rebounds
◌ Above 4,080: area where the bearish setup starts to weaken
⌁ Elliott Wave view
From an Elliott Wave perspective, gold appears to be forming a bearish 5-wave continuation after the previous corrective rebound failed.
Wave 1 started the decline from the upper resistance area.
Wave 2 created a short recovery but failed to change the structure.
Wave 3 pushed price lower with stronger bearish pressure.
Wave 4 may be developing around the 3,985–4,000 reaction area.
If the sell zone continues to hold, wave 5 may extend towards 3,940–3,955.
This is why Kelly would still treat the current market as bearish unless gold can reclaim the higher resistance zone with strength.
▸ Fundamental backdrop
Gold is under pressure as energy-driven inflation concerns keep the market cautious about the Fed’s policy path. If traders continue pricing in a more hawkish Fed outlook, the US Dollar may stay supported and limit gold’s recovery.
At the same time, rising US-Iran tension is also supporting USD demand as a safe-haven currency. This creates a difficult environment for gold in the short term, especially when the technical structure is already leaning bearish.
▸ Trading scenario
Preferred scenario: wait for price to reject from the 4,020–4,035 sell zone before expecting bearish continuation.
Sell zone: 4,020–4,035 if bearish confirmation appears
Stop loss: above 4,080 or above the confirmed rejection high
Take profit 1: 3,985–4,000
Take profit 2: 3,960
Take profit 3: 3,940–3,955
Alternative scenario: if gold breaks above 4,080 and holds with strong acceptance, the bearish wave 5 setup weakens. In that case, price may move into a corrective recovery before the next structure becomes clear.
⌁ Kelly’s view
For Kelly, gold is still trading under bearish pressure. The macro backdrop supports USD strength, while the technical chart shows price failing to reclaim key resistance.
The cleaner plan is not to chase price at the low, but to wait for a reaction around the sell zone. If sellers defend that area, wave 5 may continue towards the Fibonacci support below.
Gold remains vulnerable.
As long as resistance holds, the downside structure still has priority.
Share your view below. Short 
Long
Short
XAUUSD – Gold Bounces Slightly, But Sellers Still Control The XAUUSD – Gold Bounces Slightly, But Sellers Still Control The Channel
Gold is trying to bounce from the lower area, but the bigger structure is still heavy.
Price is currently trading around 3,996 after reacting near the recent low. The small recovery shows that buyers are trying to defend the lower zone, but gold is still moving inside a clear descending channel.
For now, this looks more like a technical bounce than a confirmed bullish reversal.
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
Gold is receiving some short-term buying in the Asian session, but the broader background still leans cautious.
Higher oil prices and renewed geopolitical tension may increase inflation concerns. This can support expectations that the Fed keeps rates higher for longer, which is usually a headwind for non-yielding assets like gold.
So even if gold rebounds, upside may remain limited unless buyers can break key resistance with strength.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – SMC + MARKET STRUCTURE
From an SMC perspective, gold remains inside a descending channel. Price has been forming lower highs, and each recovery attempt has been limited by resistance.
The key sell reaction zone is around 4,022. This area was previous support and may now act as resistance if gold retests it.
Below current price, the day low around 3,969 is the next important level. If gold breaks this area, sellers may continue pushing price toward the lower liquidity zone around 3,943.
The chart is simple: as long as price stays below 4,022, sellers still have control. A clean reclaim above 4,022 would weaken the immediate bearish view.
KEY PRICE ZONES
Current price: 3,996
Sell zone support: 4,022
Day low: 3,969
Buy scalping / liquidity zone: 3,943
Lower channel target: 3,880 – 3,900
Bearish below: 3,969
Invalidation for sell view: Above 4,022
TRADING SCENARIOS
Sell Scenario
Sell Zone: Around 4,022
Entry: Bearish rejection, failed reclaim, or lower-timeframe CHoCH
SL: Above 4,022 or nearest swing high
TP1: 3,969
TP2: 3,943
TP3: Lower channel area if momentum expands
Breakdown Sell
Below 3,969 after confirmation → Target 3,943 first
Buy Scenario
Buy is not the priority while gold stays inside the descending channel.
Buy Zone: Around 3,943 only if strong reaction appears
Entry: Liquidity sweep, bullish rejection, or CHoCH
TP1: 3,969
TP2: 3,996
Invalidation: If price breaks and holds below 3,943, the buy reaction becomes weaker.
MY VIEW
Gold is bouncing slightly, but the trend has not changed.
The chart still belongs to sellers while price remains below 4,022 and inside the descending channel. A short-term bounce can happen from the lower zone, but without a strong reclaim, the bearish structure remains active.
For me, 4,022 is the key reaction level.
If gold rejects from this area, the next downside path toward 3,969 and 3,943 remains open.
Gold is trying to recover — but sellers still have the stronger structure.
Do you think gold can reclaim 4,022, or will sellers push price back toward 3,943?
Short 
XAUUSD — Strong Support Tested, Recovery Setup
Fundamental Analysis
Gold remains sensitive to USD momentum, Treasury yields, and upcoming U.S. macro data. For now, short-term price action shows a possible technical recovery as buyers continue to defend the same support zone.
Technical Analysis
On the 1H chart, XAUUSD is trading around 3,995 after testing the strong support area near 3,960 - 3,970 multiple times. This repeated reaction shows that sellers are losing some pressure at the low. The first buy zone is around 3,983 - 3,987. If price holds this zone, gold may correct higher toward the liquidity level at 4,017, then the sell FVG area around 4,050 - 4,055. A stronger recovery may target the VL zone around 4,095 - 4,105.
Important Key Levels
Current price: 3,995
Strong support: 3,960 - 3,970
Main buy zone: 3,983 - 3,987
Liquidity level: 4,017
Sell FVG zone: 4,050 - 4,055
Main recovery target: 4,095 - 4,105
Invalidation: below 3,960
Trading Scenario
Main Buy Setup
Entry: 3,983 - 3,987
Stop Loss: 3,960
Take Profit 1: 4,017
Take Profit 2: 4,050 - 4,055
Take Profit 3: 4,095 - 4,105
Buy Condition
Wait for gold to hold the 3,983 - 3,987 buy zone and show bullish rejection. A clean reaction above this zone keeps the recovery setup valid. If price breaks above 4,017, the corrective move may extend toward 4,050 - 4,055. If price breaks and holds below 3,960, the buy setup is invalid.
Overall View
XAUUSD is still under broader downtrend pressure, but the repeated test of strong support suggests a possible short-term correction. The preferred plan is to wait for confirmation around 3,983 - 3,987, then look for recovery toward 4,017, 4,055, and 4,095 - 4,105.
Do you think gold can recover from this strong support zone, or will sellers break it on the next test?
Long 
XAUUSD — 4,040 Is the Trap Zone XAUUSD — 4,040 Is the Trap Zone
Gold is getting a small bounce from the lows, but this is exactly the kind of move I would be careful with.
Price has been travelling inside a wider bearish channel, and every recovery has looked more like the market lifting its head for air before sellers step in again. The latest bounce from the 3,980 - 3,995 area is interesting, but it has not changed the bigger story yet. Gold is still sitting near monthly lows, and the structure is still showing lower highs inside the channel.
For newer traders, the key is not just that price is bouncing. The key is where it is bouncing into. Right now, gold is moving back toward the supply zone around 4,030 - 4,045. That area is where I think late buyers may get tested. If price climbs into that zone and starts rejecting, it would look like smart money is using the bounce to reload sellers, not to build a clean bullish reversal.
My main view is bearish while gold stays below the supply zone. The broader pressure still supports that idea: oil-driven inflation concerns, US-Iran tension, and higher-for-longer Fed expectations can keep the USD supported, which makes gold’s recovery harder to trust.
If price rejects from 4,030 - 4,045 and breaks back below the small range near 3,980 - 3,995, the next liquidity pocket I would watch is 3,960.275 first. If that level fails, the lower channel area near 3,920 can become the next magnet.
This bearish idea only becomes weaker if gold reclaims 4,045 cleanly and holds above the supply zone. That would tell me sellers failed to defend the trap area.
Key price zones to watch
Current reaction area: 3,980 - 3,995
Main supply / trap zone: 4,030 - 4,045
Bearish confirmation zone: clean break below 3,980
First downside liquidity target: 3,960.275
Main downside channel target: 3,920 - 3,930
Upper resistance if sellers fail: 4,045 - 4,060
Major upside liquidity: 4,138.553
Invalidation: clean reclaim above 4,045 and hold
Do you see this bounce as real strength, or just a pullback into supply before gold hunts 3,960 again?
Short 
Thirteen Years Later, The Chart RememberedThe Timeframe
Each candle on this chart represents three months of price action. On this scale, what unfolds is not weeks or even years of behavior but multi decade structure.
2007: The Supply That Held for Thirteen Years
In 2007, this stock reached a high that would go on to define its ceiling for the next thirteen years. Every attempt to move above that level failed.
2020: The Breakout After Thirteen Years
In 2020, the stock finally broke through that same 2007 supply zone. This was not a minor technical event. Breaking a level that held for thirteen straight years carries real structural significance. Following the breakout, price sustained above the zone and went on to create a fresh all time high.
Consolidation Above the Breakout
Above this newly flipped zone, the chart shows a consolidation pattern. This refers to a series of candles moving in a relatively sideways manner following a strong rally, as the market pauses to hold and absorb the gains
The Trendline from 2013
A trendline drawn from 2013 has continued upward and is still relevant on the chart today. A trendline is simply a line connecting a series of highs or lows that reflects the underlying direction and structure of price over time
Disclaimer: This post is purely educational and observational in nature based on historical price action on a three month timeframe. It does not constitute financial advice, a forecast, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security
Long
XAUUSD: Demand Reacts, But Sellers Still Wait Above XAUUSD: Demand Reacts, But Sellers Still Wait Above
Market Context
Gold is recovering slightly from the monthly low area, but the upside still looks limited. US-Iran tensions, inflation concerns, and stronger USD demand continue to pressure gold, while expectations of a more restrictive Fed stance keep buyers cautious.
The market is not showing a clean bullish reversal yet. The current bounce is more like a technical reaction from demand, not a confirmed trend shift.
Key point: gold is reacting from demand, but sellers may return if price rebounds into 4,055 - 4,080.
Technical Structure
Gold is trading around 3,983 after reacting inside the Liquidity Sweep / Demand Zone.
The short-term trend remains weak. Price is holding the bottom temporarily, but buyers still need to reclaim 4,007 first before a stronger rebound can develop.
Above that, 4,029 is the next buy-side liquidity target. If price reaches this area and keeps momentum, gold may extend toward the Sell Reaction Zone at 4,055 - 4,080.
However, as long as price remains below the major supply structure, rallies should still be treated carefully. The broader bearish setup still supports fresh selling pressure at higher prices.
Key Levels
Current Price: 3,983
Demand Zone: 3,960 - 3,980
Buy Zone: 4,007
Buy-side Liquidity: 4,029
Sell Reaction Zone: 4,055 - 4,080
Major Supply Zone: 4,105 - 4,120
Bullish Above: 4,029
Bearish Below: 3,960
Trading Plan
Buy Scenario
Entry: Above 4,007 after bullish confirmation
SL: Below 3,960
TP: 4,029 / 4,055 / 4,080
Condition: Price must hold the demand zone, reclaim 4,007 with strength, and form a clear bullish CHOCH. This is only a short-term rebound setup, not a full reversal.
Sell Scenario
Entry: 4,055 - 4,080 after bearish confirmation
SL: Above 4,105
TP: 4,029 / 4,007 / 3,980
Condition: Price rebounds into the Sell Reaction Zone but fails to continue higher. Bearish rejection from this area would confirm that sellers are still defending the structure.
Sell at Major Supply
Entry: 4,105 - 4,120
SL: Above 4,140
TP: 4,080 / 4,029 / 4,007
Condition: Price sweeps higher into major supply and gets rejected. This would be a stronger sell setup if the rebound becomes extended.
Breakdown Sell
Entry: Below 3,960
SL: Above 3,983
TP: 3,940 / 3,920 / 3,900
Condition: Demand fails, retest is rejected, and bearish momentum continues. This would confirm that the bounce has failed.
Overall Bias
Gold is reacting from demand, but the structure is still not bullish. Buyers need to reclaim 4,007 and 4,029 before the recovery can become stronger.
Until then, the main plan is to watch for a short-term rebound first, then look for seller reaction around 4,055 - 4,080.
Best approach: wait for confirmation at demand or resistance. Do not chase the bounce while gold is still below the sell reaction zone.
Will buyers reclaim 4,029, or will sellers use this rebound to push gold back below demand?
Long 
Long
XAUUSD: Demand Holds, But Sellers Still Lead XAUUSD: Demand Holds, But Sellers Still Lead
Market Context
Gold is trading around 4,035 after reacting from the demand zone near the weekly bottom. Buyers are defending this area, but overall pressure remains bearish.
Stronger energy prices keep inflation concerns elevated, supporting a restrictive Fed outlook. At the same time, US-Iran tensions are boosting USD demand, limiting gold’s upside.
Key point: demand is holding, but buyers must reclaim 4,050 - 4,063 to strengthen the recovery.
Technical Structure
Gold is reacting from the Demand Zone at 4,015 - 4,025. This is the key support to hold.
Resistance sits at 4,050 - 4,063 (liquidity zone). Above that, the Main Supply Zone is 4,105 - 4,120.
If demand breaks, price may drop toward 3,980 - 3,990.
Key Levels
Current Price: 4,035
Demand Zone: 4,015 - 4,025
Liquidity Zone: 4,050 - 4,063
Supply Zone: 4,105 - 4,120
Weekly Low: 3,980 - 3,990
Bullish Above: 4,063
Bearish Below: 4,015
Trading Plan
Buy Scenario
Entry: 4,015 - 4,025
SL: Below 3,990
TP: 4,050 / 4,063 / 4,100
Condition: Hold demand + bullish confirmation. Only short-term buy.
Sell Scenario (Priority)
Entry: 4,050 - 4,063
SL: Above 4,085
TP: 4,035 / 4,020 / 3,990
Condition: Rejection at liquidity zone.
Sell at Supply
Entry: 4,105 - 4,120
SL: Above 4,140
TP: 4,063 / 4,035 / 4,015
Breakdown Sell
Entry: Below 4,015
SL: Above 4,035
TP: 3,990 / 3,980 / 3,960
Overall Bias
Gold is not bullish yet. Sellers still dominate unless price breaks above 4,063.
Best approach: wait for confirmation, avoid chasing.
Will gold break 4,063 or drop back below demand?
Long 
NIFTY – INTRADAY TRADING PLAN | 17-Jul-2026Reference Close: 24,081.10 | O: 24,071.15 | H: 24,090.15 | L: 24,050.00
Namaste Traders! 🙏 Below is a structured, educational trading plan built around key support/resistance zones for tomorrow's session. This plan covers all three opening scenarios — Gap Up, Flat, and Gap Down — considering a gap threshold of 100+ points. Please read the chart legend carefully before proceeding. ⬇️
🗺️ Chart Legend (Important!)
• 🟠 Orange Line/Zone (No Trade Zone) — Sideways/consolidation area. Avoid fresh positions here; market is undecided.
• 🟢 Green Line — Bullish structure / Long bias confirmed once broken with strength.
• 🔴 Red Line — Bearish structure / Short bias confirmed once broken with weakness.
• ➖ Dashed Lines (Green/Red) — "Maybe" zones — trend may or may not continue here. Treat as extended targets, not guaranteed moves. Trail SL and book partial profits.
🔑 Key Levels for 15-Jul-2026
• 🟠 No Trade Zone: 24,032 – 24,098
• 🟢 Last Intraday Resistance: 24,288 – 24,327
• 🔴 Last Intraday Support: 23,901 – 23,937
• 🟢 Major Extended Resistance: 24,509
• 🟢 Buyer's Support (Consolidation Zone): 23,681 – 23,747
🟢 SCENARIO 1: GAP UP OPENING (100+ points, i.e., open above ~24,181)
📘 Explanation: A gap up of 100+ points means the market opens well above the No Trade Zone (24,032–24,098), directly approaching or crossing the Last Intraday Resistance zone (24,288–24,327). This shows strong overnight bullish sentiment (positive global cues/news).
📌 Plan of Action:
• If Nifty opens above 24,181 and sustains above 24,288–24,327 on 15-min candle close basis → Bullish continuation confirmed (green zone breakout).
• 🎯 Enter long only on a retest & hold of 24,288–24,327 as support, not on first impulsive candle — avoid chasing.
• Target 1: 24,400 | Target 2: 24,509 (Major Resistance — dashed green zone, trend "may" extend further, trail SL here).
• Stop Loss: Below 24,288 (zone breakdown invalidates bullish setup).
• ⚠️ If price gaps up but immediately slips back into the No Trade Zone (24,032–24,098), treat it as a gap-fill trap — stay out until a clear direction emerges.
• For Options: Prefer Bull Call Spread or slightly OTM Calls with a defined SL; avoid deep ITM naked buying right at open due to high IV crush risk.
📌 📌 📌
🟠 SCENARIO 2: FLAT OPENING (Within ±100 points, inside/near No Trade Zone 24,032–24,098)
📘 Explanation: A flat opening means the gap is less than 100 points and price opens within or very close to the No Trade Zone. This is a battle zone between bulls and bears — low conviction, higher chances of whipsaws (as shown by the orange dashed zig-zag on chart).
📌 Plan of Action:
• 🚫 Avoid trading immediately at open — this is a "No Trade Zone." Let the first 15–30 minutes establish direction.
• If price breaks above 24,098 and sustains → shift bias to bullish, follow Gap Up scenario targets (24,288 → 24,327 → 24,509).
• If price breaks below 24,032 and sustains → shift bias to bearish, follow Gap Down scenario targets (23,937 → 23,901 → 23,747).
• 🎯 Best approach: Wait for a breakout + retest on either side of the No Trade Zone before committing capital.
• For Options: This is the ideal zone for Option Sellers (Iron Condor / Short Straddle with hedge) since range-bound moves favor time decay. Directional traders should sit on hands until breakout confirmation.
📌 📌 📌
🔴 SCENARIO 3: GAP DOWN OPENING (100+ points, i.e., open below ~23,981)
📘 Explanation: A gap down of 100+ points pushes the market below the No Trade Zone straight toward the Last Intraday Support zone (23,901–23,937). This indicates weak sentiment (negative global cues/news) and sellers are in control from the open.
📌 Plan of Action:
• If Nifty opens below 23,981 and sustains below 23,901–23,937 on 15-min candle close basis → Bearish continuation confirmed (red zone breakdown).
• 🎯 Enter short only on a pullback/retest of 23,901–23,937 turning into resistance — don't short blindly at open.
• Target 1: 23,800 | Target 2: 23,681–23,747 (Buyer's Support/Consolidation Zone — dashed red zone, trend "may" extend further, book partial profits and trail SL).
• Stop Loss: Above 23,937 (zone reclaim invalidates bearish setup).
• ⚠️ Watch for a sharp reversal (V-shape recovery) back into the No Trade Zone — if 24,032 is reclaimed intraday, exit shorts immediately.
• For Options: Prefer Bear Put Spread or slightly OTM Puts with strict SL; avoid over-leveraging on gap-down panic as sharp pullback rallies are common.
📌 📌 📌
⚙️ RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTIONS TRADING 🛡️
• 💰 Never risk more than 1–2% of total capital on a single options trade.
• 📉 Always use a hard Stop Loss — options can decay fast; don't rely on mental SL.
• ⏱️ Avoid buying options right at market open during high volatility — let IV settle for 10-15 minutes.
• 🎯 Book partial profits at Target 1, trail SL to cost for the remaining position at Target 2.
• 🚫 Avoid overtrading in the No Trade Zone — capital preservation is a win too.
• 📊 Always align option strikes with liquidity (tight bid-ask spread) to avoid slippage.
• 🧘 Avoid revenge trading after a SL hit — stick to the plan, not emotions.
• 📅 Be mindful of time decay (Theta) — avoid holding weekly options overnight without strong conviction.
📝 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION
Tomorrow's session hinges on how price reacts around the No Trade Zone (24,032–24,098). A Gap Up (100+) opens the door toward 24,288–24,327 and further to 24,509 (bullish path 🟢). A Gap Down (100+) opens the door toward 23,901–23,937 and further to 23,681–23,747 (bearish path 🔴). A Flat opening keeps the market range-bound until a decisive breakout occurs — patience is key here 🟠. Always wait for confirmation candles and respect stop losses. Trade the plan, not your emotions! 🎯
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered analyst. This post is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as investment/trading advice. Please consult your financial advisor and do your own research before making any trading/investment decisions. Trading in equities/options/derivatives is subject to market risk. 🙏 
Short
Long
Long
MASON XAUUSD – Bullish Setup Above 4,012 Buy Zone
XAUUSD is trading around 4,036 after forming a short-term base above the 4,012 buy order zone. Price is still below the descending trendline, but the current structure shows that buyers are trying to defend the lower support area.
The priority view is bullish recovery, as long as gold holds above 4,012 and breaks the 4,065 resistance with clear confirmation.
Technical View
Gold is currently moving inside a short-term corrective structure after the previous bearish move. However, the selling pressure is slowing down around the 4,012 buy order zone, where price has started to build a stronger reaction base.
The 4,012 area is the most important support on this chart. If gold pulls back into this zone and holds, it may confirm a higher low before the next bullish leg. This would support the idea that buyers are preparing for a recovery move.
The descending trendline is still acting as the main resistance. Price needs to break above this trendline and the 4,065 resistance level to confirm stronger bullish momentum. Without this breakout, the recovery may remain limited.
The 4,065 level is the first key resistance. A clean breakout and retest above this level may open the way toward the 4,119 sell order resistance zone. This is the main upside target marked on the chart.
If buyers continue to control the structure above 4,065, gold may extend higher toward the Fibonacci resistance area above 4,119. But the first important step is still confirmation above the trendline.
Key Zones
Current price: 4,036
Main buy order zone: 4,012–4,020
Short-term support: 4,020–4,030
Breakout resistance: 4,065
Descending trendline resistance: 4,060–4,070
Sell order resistance: 4,119–4,125
Higher Fibonacci target: 4,145–4,160
Invalidation: below 3,980
Trading Plan
Buy Priority: 4,012–4,020
Condition: wait for bullish rejection, higher low formation, or price holding above the buy order zone before looking for continuation.
SL: below 3,980
TP1: 4,065
TP2: 4,119–4,125
TP3: 4,145–4,160
Alternative Scenario
If gold breaks above 4,065 directly, wait for a retest of this level as support before looking for buy continuation toward 4,119. A clean hold above 4,065 would confirm that the short-term recovery is gaining strength.
Sell View
Sell is not the priority while price holds above 4,012. A short-term sell reaction may appear around 4,065 or 4,119, but it should only be treated as a correction unless gold breaks below 3,980.
Final View
Overall, gold is still below the descending trendline, but the price action around 4,012 shows that buyers are defending the market. The cleaner plan is to wait for price to hold the buy order zone or break above 4,065. If confirmation appears, the bullish path toward 4,119 and 4,145 remains in focus.
Will gold hold the 4,012 buy zone and break the trendline, or retest the lower support first before the next bullish move?
Long 
THE CALM BEFORE THE GOLD BLOODBATH?Throughout this entire week, Gold repeatedly attempted to close above $4087, but failed every single time. From Monday to Wednesday, we did witness several impulsive buying moves, yet every rally into the $4087 region was met with strong rejection. This clearly tells us that sellers are still in control around that level and that institutional buyers are not showing enough interest to support a sustained breakout.
Because of that, I believe a very attractive selling opportunity is developing over the next few sessions. So make sure you read this analysis carefully, because it could help you lock in a high-probability trade with me.
This week, the $4030-$4065 zone has become the main battlefield between buyers and sellers. So far, the market has failed to break below this range, but it has also failed to break above $4065. Price is simply consolidating while both sides continue fighting for control.
The most important question now is, who will win this battle? Buyers or sellers?
One thing you should always remember is that whenever the market spends a long time consolidating in one area, it means a large number of orders are building there. Once that consolidation finally breaks, the market usually delivers a very strong move in the direction of the breakout.
I have been closely watching Gold over the past three days, and according to my analysis, if the bulls were truly strong, the market should have already closed above $4080. Instead, every time price approached that level, sellers stepped in aggressively and rejected the move. Even after several strong buying pushes from the lows, sellers continued to absorb all of that demand.
To me, this is a clear sign that the sellers are currently stronger than the buyers.
Another important observation comes from Tuesday's CPI move. If you look at the 4-hour candle that formed during the CPI release, its low has still not been broken. Instead, Gold has continued retracing higher and repeatedly attempted to move back into buying territory.
After a strong impulsive move, many traders naturally assume the market is only retracing before continuing higher. As a result, they begin buying while treating the origin of that move as a strong support zone, placing their stop losses just below it.
Keeping that psychology in mind, I believe the low of the CPI 4-hour candle, which is around $4014, has become an important liquidity zone. As long as Gold remains above this level, the market can continue attracting more buyers.
However, the moment Gold breaks below $4010, I expect a highly aggressive selling move that could push the market directly toward $3977, $3944, $3920, $3908, and eventually $3890.
The reason is simple.
As you can clearly see, Gold has repeatedly found support around the $3950 region, meaning a significant amount of buy-side stop losses are likely resting below that area. On top of that, Monday's session managed to close above $4000, which encouraged many random retail traders to enter long positions. Most of those traders are still holding their buys with hope.
Based on how Gold has behaved throughout this year, the market has consistently moved toward the side where the largest pool of liquidity was waiting. Looking at the structure formed over the past few weeks, I still consider the overall trend to be bearish.
Most importantly, we have not yet received a valid higher-timeframe buying confirmation.
Yes, buying pressure has appeared several times, but notice when those aggressive buying moves occurred. They mainly happened during high-impact news events. In my opinion, those spikes were strong enough to create FOMO and attract random buyers into the market, while the broader trend remained unchanged.
For that reason, I have no interest in buying Gold unless we see a daily close above $4080.
Until that happens, I will continue looking for selling opportunities and prefer holding positions for larger downside targets because I strongly believe that a major bearish move in Gold is approaching.
I hope you found this psychological analysis logical and that it helped you understand the market from a different perspective. Wishing everyone the very best for Thursday. I hope you all have a profitable trading day.
What is your current view on Gold?
Do you think buyers will finally break above $4080, or are sellers about to take full control?
Let me know your opinion in the comments.
XAUUSD — Bearish Structure Below Sell FVG
Gold is trading around $4,034 after failing to hold the short-term recovery from the weekly low area. Price is still moving below the recent supply structure, and the current reaction remains weak under the Sell FVG zone around $4,051–$4,058.
From an SMC perspective, gold has already shifted into a bearish structure after the previous BOS to the downside. The recovery from the liquidity zone did not create a strong bullish continuation. Instead, price formed a lower reaction, rejected below the upper liquidity levels, and is now consolidating under the key FVG sell area. This shows that sellers are still defending the short-term structure.
The main zone to watch is the Sell FVG around $4,051–$4,058. If gold pulls back into this zone and forms bearish rejection, the downside scenario remains valid. The next target would be the liquidity zone near $4,000–$3,990, then the weekly low around $3,984. If that low breaks cleanly, gold may continue deeper toward the lower liquidity area.
Sell setup 1
Condition:
Gold pulls back into the Sell FVG zone around $4,051–$4,058 and forms bearish rejection with lower timeframe MSS / CHOCH.
Entry: $4,051–$4,058
SL: above $4,082
TP1: $4,025
TP2: $4,000
TP3: $3,984
TP4: $3,960
Sell setup 2
Condition:
If gold breaks below the current short-term support and retests it as resistance, bearish continuation remains valid without waiting for a deeper pullback.
Entry: below $4,025 after breakdown retest
SL: above $4,051
TP1: $4,000
TP2: $3,984
TP3: $3,960
Sell setup 3
Condition:
If gold sweeps above the Sell FVG but fails to break above $4,082 buyside liquidity, this can create a stronger liquidity-trap sell setup.
Entry: after rejection below $4,082
SL: above $4,105
TP1: $4,051
TP2: $4,025
TP3: $3,984
Buy scalping setup
Condition:
Buying is not the main priority. A buy scalp is only valid if gold sweeps the weekly low around $3,984 and forms a strong bullish rejection.
Entry: $3,984 after bullish rejection
SL: below $3,960
TP1: $4,000
TP2: $4,025
TP3: $4,051–$4,058
Key levels
Current price area: $4,034
Sell FVG zone: $4,051–$4,058
Buyside liquidity: $4,082
Strong liquidity: $4,104
Short-term support: $4,025
Liquidity zone: $4,000–$3,990
Weekly low: $3,984
Lower bearish target: $3,960
Bearish continuation confirmation: clean break below $4,025
Stronger bearish confirmation: clean break below $3,984
Bearish invalidation: clean 2H close above $4,105
My current view is that gold remains in a bearish structure while price stays below the Sell FVG zone and the $4,082 liquidity level. The Prime Gold plan is to avoid buying too early in the middle of the range and wait for either a pullback into $4,051–$4,058 or a clean breakdown below $4,025 before looking for sell confirmation. If sellers continue to defend the FVG, gold may move lower toward $4,000, $3,984 and potentially $3,960.
No confirmation, no trade.
Short 
Education
