ICICIBANK Triangle + Falling Wedge Played Out—Apex Decision ZoneOverview
ICICIBANK has delivered a textbook multi-pattern setup on the Daily timeframe. Two classic chart patterns formed back to back — a Symmetrical Triangle spanning over a year, followed by a Falling Wedge within the correction — and both have now played out with price rallying over 120 points from the breakout zone.
The stock now sits at a critical Triangle Apex Zone — and the next move from here could be significant.
Pattern 1 — Symmetrical Triangle (April 2025 to March 2026)
A large symmetrical triangle formed over approximately 11 months on the Daily chart. The upper boundary connected a series of lower highs, while the lower boundary connected higher lows — classic converging structure indicating a period of indecision between buyers and sellers.
Price tested both boundaries multiple times before eventually breaking down in early 2026, leading to the correction phase.
Pattern 2 — Falling Wedge (April to June 2026)
During the correction, a Falling Wedge formed — two downward-sloping converging lines compressing price between approximately ₹1,380 and ₹1,186. The Falling Wedge is a bullish reversal pattern — it signals exhaustion of selling pressure.
Price broke out of the wedge at ₹1,265, confirmed the reversal, and rallied to a high of ₹1,404 — a move of approximately 139 points from the breakout level.
Where We Are Now
Price has pulled back slightly from the ₹1,404 high and is currently sitting at ₹1,387 — right at the Triangle Upper Band / Apex Zone near ₹1,393.
This is the most important level on the chart right now. The triangle's upper boundary, which previously acted as resistance for over a year, is now being tested from below.
Key Levels
🟡 Triangle Apex Resistance — 1,393
🟢 Falling Wedge Breakout Zone — 1,265
🟡 Next Resistance if triangle breaks — 1,500
🔴 Low of the move — 1,186
Two Scenarios Going Forward
🟢 Scenario A — Triangle Breakout Confirms
A daily close above ₹1,393–1,400 with good volume would confirm a breakout above the triangle upper band. This opens the path toward ₹1,500 — the measured resistance level above.
🔴 Scenario B — Rejection at Apex
If price fails to close above ₹1,393 and reverses, the triangle upper band has acted as resistance again. In this case watch ₹1,265 as the key support to hold the bullish structure.
What This Setup Teaches
Patterns within patterns are common in markets. A large triangle sets the broader context. A smaller falling wedge within the correction gives the entry signal. Understanding which pattern to trade and which to use as context is a key skill in technical analysis.
The triangle told us the structure. The falling wedge told us the timing.
Conclusion
ICICIBANK has completed a clean two-pattern sequence and is now testing a critical decision zone. The next daily close above or below ₹1,393 will define the next leg.
Watch the close carefully.
For educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
Wedge
NZDUSD 1H - Reversal Plan: Trapping the Late Sellers1. Market Sentiment & Price Trap
Following up on our June 18th plan, the market has perfectly executed a psychological trap. The aggressive breakdown below 0.57500 triggered the "Buyer Lose" phase, forcing early longs to liquidate their positions. As price pushed into the 0.57100 zone, retail traders fell into the trap, aggressively chasing the momentum with late shorts. However, the "No Buyer" signal at the absolute low indicates that the selling pressure has dried up after the liquidity sweep. Market makers have successfully trapped the FOMO sellers right at the bottom of the descending structure.
2. Technical Structure
Price is currently holding firm above the multi-week major descending trendline support and the critical horizontal floor at 0.56862. The local consolidation right above this green support line shows that the bearish momentum has completely faded, setting the stage for a sharp short squeeze to clean out the trapped sellers.
3. Tactical Execution
We trigger a long position to exploit the trapped short positions and target the upper liquidity pools.
• Entry Zone: 0.57312 (Current market price)
• Stop Loss (SL): 0.56858 (Placed safely below the key green support line)
• Take Profit (TP): 0.58320 (Targeting the upper counter-trendline and major liquidity pool)
• Risk-to-Reward (R:R): Approx 2.2:1
Suzlon Energy Ltd Chart AnalysisTechnical Outlook
Currently trading within a long-term descending channel, a structure that has been guiding price action for several months after finding support near the lower boundary of the channel, the stock witnessed a sharp recovery and is now approaching the upper trendline resistance around ₹59.
One of the most notable features on the chart is the highlighted "Order Block" around ₹50 this area previously attracted strong buying interest and has acted as an important demand zone during the recent recovery the fact that price is holding above this level suggests that buyers remain active and are willing to accumulate shares at higher prices.
The current setup is particularly interesting because the stock is testing the upper boundary of the descending channel a decisive breakout above this resistance could signal a shift in market structure from correction to expansion such breakouts often attract fresh participation as traders look for confirmation that the downtrend has ended.
Price Projection
The projected move on the chart is based on the height of previous impulsive rallies within the same structure. Historically, Suzlon has demonstrated the ability to generate strong upside moves after establishing support near the lower boundary of the channel.
If the breakout is confirmed, the first major objective lies near the ₹70-75 zone, followed by a potential move toward ₹85-90. These levels are not predictions but rather technical projections derived from previous price swings and the overall channel structure.
Fundamental Outlook
One of the key participants in India's renewable energy sector, particularly in wind energy solutions. The company continues to benefit from increasing government focus on clean energy, rising renewable capacity targets, and growing investment in sustainable infrastructure.
Investors should closely monitor order inflows, project execution, profitability trends, debt management, and future capacity expansion. Continued improvement in these areas would strengthen the company's long-term growth story and provide additional support for the ongoing technical recovery.
Investment Perspective
The current setup presents a classic "pre-breakout" scenario. Price has recovered strongly from major demand zone and is now challenging long-term resistance. The ₹50-51 order block remains the key support area, while the ₹58-60 zone serves as the immediate hurdle for bulls.
A sustained breakout above channel resistance could significantly improve the technical outlook and potentially initiate the next phase of the uptrend. Until then, traders and investors should closely monitor price behavior around the current resistance zone for confirmation of strength.
Reliance (1H): Ending Diagonal Pattern At Major Support FloorLooking at Reliance Industries Limited (RELIANCE) on the 1-hour chart, a classic Elliott Wave setup is developing right at a major historical price floor.
Let us break down the wave structure, look at the recent global market development, and plan a risk-managed approach for the week ahead.
The Macro Picture: The 5-3-5 Zigzag
Looking at the broader structure from the 1,473.40 peak, the market has been correcting in a clear 5-3-5 Zigzag pattern:
Wave A: A clean 5-wave impulse down to 1,312.60.
Wave B: A 3-wave (A-B-C) corrective bounce that topped out near 1,371.10.
Wave C: A final 5-wave leg down to clear out the remaining sellers.
The Highlight: Ending Diagonal Wedge in Wave 5
The final leg of Wave C is the most important part of this chart. It is forming an Ending Diagonal Wedge, which is visible between the two narrowing blue trendlines.
This pattern is significant for three reasons:
Seller Exhaustion: The overlapping micro-waves (i to v) show that even though the price is grinding lower, the selling momentum is drying up.
Key Support Alignment: The wedge is sitting directly on a major horizontal support zone.
RSI Bullish Divergence: While the price made a lower low, the RSI indicator made a clear higher low (the solid line at the bottom). This indicates that the downward trend is losing strength.
The Monday Reality Check: Managing the US Market Sell-Off
On Friday, US indices faced a major sell-off after Indian markets closed, with the Nasdaq dropping over 4% and the S&P 500 down over 2.5%. This global weakness means Reliance will likely face heavy selling pressure and a potential gap-down open on Monday.
This global panic is exactly why a rule-based strategy is necessary. We do not guess or buy blindly at the open. Instead, we let the market choose between two paths:
Path A (The Throw-Over): Panic causes a brief plunge below the green support line to flush out weak hands, but institutional buyers quickly step in and push the price back up into the wedge. If this happens, the bullish setup stays alive.
Path B (Structural Breakdown): Heavy local selling cuts cleanly below the green support line on high volume. If this happens, the ending diagonal pattern is dead, Wave C is extending deeper, and we completely stay out of the trade.
The Strategy: Safe Entry vs Invalidation
To protect capital in an uncertain market, we only enter when the price confirms a reversal.
Bullish Entry Trigger
Trigger Level: A clean hourly candle close above 1,308.50 (the peak of minor wave iv).
Reasoning: Waiting for a close above 1,308.50 breaks the lower-high structure, confirms a breakout above the upper blue trendline, and proves that buyers have overcome the global market weakness.
Invalidation Level (Stop Loss)
The Line in the Sand: The green Support / Invalidation line.
Reasoning: If the price breaks and holds below this floor, the analysis is wrong. The trade idea is cancelled immediately to preserve trading capital.
Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. Please do your own research and manage your risk carefully.
Sensex - What next?The price has formed a falling wedge pattern, which is bullish in a smaller time frame. As tomorrow is a trading holiday, on Friday, the price can open gap up or down depending on the global market situation.
Nearby resistance is at the 76500 zone, and support is at the 75300 zone.
Buy above 76160 with the stop loss of 75980 for the targets 76320, 76500, 76680, 76840 and 77040.
Sell below 75800 with the stop loss of 75980 for the targets 75660, 75400, 75240, 75060 and 74960.
Always do your analysis before taking any trade.
ICICIGI ( On the verge of breakout )Symmetrical triangle on the verge of breakout with price trading above the 200EMA, while RSI approaching 60 signals strengthening momentum and bullish continuation.
DISCLAIMER
This channel is for educational and self-analysis purposes only.
We share technical levels, charts, and market insights based on publicly available information and multiple sources. These are not financial or investment recommendations.
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
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Gold Rejects Premium After H4 Liquidity SweepPrice swept the H4 highs and immediately delivered a bearish CISD on H1 while trading inside premium pricing.
Current framework:
H4 liquidity already raided
H1 bearish CISD confirmed
Fresh H1 bearish FVG created
Price retracing into premium arrays
Sell-side liquidity resting below current structure
Major H4 lows acting as downside draw
My expectation:
As long as price trades below the bearish H1 FVG and order block, the probability favors continuation lower into resting liquidity and H4 lows beneath.
The market often engineers upside liquidity first before expanding aggressively into sell-side targets.
NIFTY DEFENSE very big break outNIfty Defense is giving very big break out on chart , rectangle break out can take this index to 20-22% higher from here aprox 11000 from 9300.
Many defense stocks also giving big break out , MZDOC, HAL,BDL etc.
I am not a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser or Research Analyst. The views expressed here are solely my personal opinions and for educational purposes. This is not a solicitation to trade. Investing in securities is subject to market risks; I assume no responsibility for any profit or loss arising from this post. I hold any position in the mentioned security.
IRCON the stock has a falling wedge pattern. The stock previously has been consolidating into a falling wedge pattern, which is a bullish pattern. By the structure and the definition, we can expect it to attain the all-time high and reach levels that are astonishingly 80 to 100 of the current stock value. Trade accordingly. Do not put in one go. Make sure the retest is there.
Please note I'm not a SEBI registered advisor. Thank you.
On the weekly timeframe textbook Falling Wedge pattern formed.Why this qualifies as a falling wedge:
1. Two converging descending trendlines.
2.Duration: ~15 months of price action inside the wedge. Falling wedges that take this long to form tend to produce more meaningful breakouts than short 2–3 month wedges.
3.Volume contraction inside the wedge, expansion on breakout.
4.RSI divergence + reclaim: RSI spent most of 2025 below 50, and has now pushed back above 50 (currently 52.96 with signal at 37.78 and crossed up). That's bullish momentum confirmation on the higher timeframe.
5.Breakout candle: This week's candle (green, +1.36%, closing at ₹134.82) has broken above the upper descending trendline. The high of ₹142.85 pierced well above the wedge.
Given this is a weekly falling wedge, your stops and targets should probably be managed on the weekly timeframe too, not daily:
Weekly stop: Weekly close below ₹115–117 zone = pattern dead.
Nifty - Expiry day analysis April 21Today, the price was trying to sustain above 24400 and was unable to do so. The daily time frame shows the reason. As per the daily chart, we can see a strong support/resistance zone at 24480 to 24520.
Buy above 24520 with the stop loss of 24460 for the targets 24580, 24620, 24680, 24720 and 24760.
Sell below 24340 with the stop loss of 24400 for the targets 24280, 24240, 24180, 24120 and 24080.
Always do your analysis before taking any trade.
Rising Wedge Chart PatternOverview
This chart illustrates a Rising Wedge pattern, where price is moving upward within two converging trendlines, indicating weakening bullish momentum.
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📘 Concept
• Price forms Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL), but the range starts to contract.
• The narrowing structure shows that buyers are losing strength.
• Momentum slows down even though price is still rising.
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📊 Chart Highlights
• Clear rising wedge formation with converging trendlines.
• Higher highs and higher lows within a tightening range.
• Price approaching the upper boundary with reduced momentum.
• Breakdown zone marked below the lower trendline.
• Target zone projected after breakdown.
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📉 Key Price Action
• Uptrend structure (HH & HL) is present but weakening.
• Price compression signals potential breakout/breakdown.
• Breakdown below the wedge confirms bearish intent.
• Retest of broken trendline can act as resistance.
• Sellers gain control after structure breakdown.
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📌 Summary
The Rising Wedge is typically a bearish pattern, suggesting a possible reversal or continuation to the downside after breakdown. A confirmed break below the lower trendline increases the probability of further downside movement.
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⚠️ Disclaimer
📘 For educational purposes only.
🙅 Not SEBI registered.
❌ Not a buy/sell recommendation.
🧠 Purely a learning resource.
📊 Not Financial Advice.
RELIANCE: Triple Support Confluence at 1,304 – Bounce or Break?Technical Context
Reliance Industries Limited (RELIANCE) is moving inside a large "Megaphone" shape (a Broadening Wedge ) on the weekly chart. This means the price swings are getting bigger and more volatile. After falling from its high point of 1,611 , the stock has landed exactly at a major "floor" near 1,304 .
This 1,304 level is very important because three things are happening at once:
200-WMA: The price is touching a long-term moving average that big banks and funds usually protect.
0.618 Fibonacci: It is at a "Golden Ratio" support level, which is a common place for a bounce.
Hidden Bullish Divergence: Even though the RSI (momentum) looks low at 37 , the price is staying higher than its previous low. This often means the uptrend is still alive.
Bullish Scenario
Thesis: The buyers will defend the 1,304 floor, leading to a strong bounce back toward the top of the megaphone.
Trigger: A strong weekly close above 1,350 .
Targets: First target is 1,450 , with a long-term goal of 1,650 or higher.
Invalidation: If the price closes the week below 1,290 , this "buy the dip" idea is cancelled.
Bearish Scenario
Thesis: If the floor at 1,304 breaks, the stock will fall quickly toward the bottom green line.
Trigger: A weekly close below 1,290 .
Targets: First drop to 1,215 (green support line), and then down to 1,114 .
Invalidation: If the price quickly climbs back above 1,400 .
Summary
RELIANCE is at a "make or break" moment. The 1,300 level is the most important price to watch right now. Because of the Hidden Bullish Divergence and the 200-WMA , there is a high chance of a bounce. However, if the price falls below 1,300 , it could lead to much lower prices.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please make your own decisions before making any trading decisions.
Suzlon Energy | Elliott Wave + Fibonacci Outlook (1M)A long-term structural view using Elliott Wave combined with trend-based Fibonacci extensions.
The move from the 2020–22 base appears to form a potential Wave (1) impulse.
The ongoing pullback is being considered as Wave (2), retracing close to the 0.6–0.7 Fib zone — a typical corrective range.
If this structure holds, a Wave (3) expansion could unfold toward the 1.272–1.618 extension zone (~₹140–₹180).
Followed by a Wave (4) consolidation and a possible Wave (5) continuation toward higher levels (~₹200+).
🔑 Key Confirmation Level:
Sustained breakout above ~₹85 (Wave 1 high) strengthens the bullish wave count.
⚠️ Invalidation:
Breakdown below ~₹30–₹35 would weaken/negate this structure.
📌 Note:
This is a probabilistic structural view, not a prediction. Alternate scenario could be a corrective ABC instead of a full impulse.
Would love to hear your thoughts or alternate counts.
AIOT/USDT QUICK SCALPBased on the chart provided for AIOT/TetherUS Perpetual on the 15-minute timeframe, here is a technical breakdown of the current price action and the setup you have highlighted.
Current Market Context
Asset: AIOTUSDT.P (AIOT Perpetual Futures)
Timeframe: 15m (Short-term intraday)
Trend: Strongly Bearish. The price has undergone a massive sell-off from a high of approximately 0.05776 down to the current level of 0.02992.
Momentum: The steep angle of the red candles and the position below the moving average (the grey line) suggest intense selling pressure with very little retracement during the drop.
The Setup: Long Position Analysis
You have plotted a "Long" risk/reward tool at the bottom of this crash. Here is what the technicals suggest about this move:
1. Support & Bottom Fishing
The price is currently hovering around 0.02992, which appears to be a local psychological support. You’ve placed your "Stop Loss" just below the recent wick low at 0.02683.
The Logic: This is a "mean reversion" or "bounce" play. After such a vertical drop, the asset is technically oversold, and traders often look for a relief rally.
2. Risk-to-Reward (R:R)
Entry: ~$0.02992
Stop Loss (SL): $0.02683 (Protecting against a continuation of the crash)
Take Profit (TP) Target: Your green box extends back up toward the 0.057 area.
Analysis: While the R:R ratio looks mathematically attractive, targeting the previous all-time high immediately is highly ambitious. In a downtrend this strong, the first major hurdles will be the EMA (grey line) and previous "lower highs" near 0.039 and 0.045.
Key Risks & Considerations
⚠️ Caution: "Catching a falling knife" is one of the riskiest strategies in crypto.
Lack of Consolidation: Currently, there is no "base" or sideways movement to indicate that sellers are exhausted. We see one small green candle, but it hasn't yet engulfed the previous red candle.
The "Dead Cat Bounce": In crashes like this, any upward movement is often just a temporary pause before the price makes a new lower low.
Volatility: AIOT appears to be a high-volatility asset. Tight stop losses can be easily hunted by "wicking" before the actual move happens.
Summary of the Trade Plan
Bullish Case: If $0.02745 (the recent Low) holds, a recovery to the 0.035 - 0.040 zone is a reasonable first target for a relief rally.
Bearish Case: If the price closes a 15m candle below 0.02683, the bearish momentum is likely to continue, and the long setup is invalidated.
Recommendation: Look for a "Double Bottom" pattern or a break above the grey moving average on the 15m chart to confirm that the trend is actually shifting before committing to a full position.
Nifty (22200): Keep building longs :)We are forming an ending pattern, which can go till 22050.
Nevertheless, as said before - no point trying to time the bottom.
Build some short term positions on steep red days and exit those on steep green days, while holding the positional trades for 23.8-24.3k.
ETERNAL – Rising Wedge Breakdown Setup | Target: 280The stock has formed a Rising Wedge pattern after a strong rally, with multiple rejections from the upper trendline (marked by red arrows). previous price action shows weakness near the resistance zone, indicating a potential breakdown.
🔹 Key Highlights:
Rising Wedge Pattern visible on the daily chart – a bearish reversal setup.
Volume surge in recent sessions signals distribution at higher levels.
Gap Support at 277 – likely to be tested once breakdown confirms.
Immediate Target: 280, aligning with horizontal support.
Risk-to-Reward favored on the short side as price rejects resistance.
🔻 Breakdown Confirmation:
277 (Gap level)
241.45
219.22
This setup offers a clean technical short opportunity if downside momentum continues. Suitable for traders looking to capitalize on wedge breakdowns with volume confirmation.
Disclaimer : Risk management is crucial in this volatile market, so keep position sizing appropriate. This analysis is intended for educational purposes and not financial advice.
LONG SETUP ASIANPAINTSNifty at Key Support: Clean Intraday Buy Setup
Nifty is finding strong support from last week's short covering, creating a textbook bounce opportunity on a clean chart.
ASIANPAINTS to Benefit
Enter long on a strong 15-minute candle close above the entry line, with a tight stop-loss of 0.3-0.5% below entry.
$TRX is currently trading inside a rising wedge on the 12H chartAMEX:TRX is currently trading inside a rising wedge on the 12H timeframe, with price sitting around 0.289–0.290 after another rejection near the upper wedge resistance around 0.291–0.292.
Price attempted to break the upper wedge, but the breakout failed and sellers immediately pushed it back inside the structure. This type of rejection often leads to a rotation toward the lower boundary of the wedge.
Right now, momentum is slightly weakening after the rejection, which increases the probability of a move toward the lower wedge support around 0.282–0.284.
If price continues drifting lower, the wedge support becomes the next reaction zone, where buyers previously stepped in multiple times.
However, if TRX manages to reclaim 0.292 with strong candles, the rejection becomes a fake move and the market could expand toward 0.298–0.302.
Trade Plan:
With the rejection from the upper wedge, traders may look for a short-term move toward the lower wedge support.
Stop Loss: 0.2920
Resistance: 0.292
Support zone: 0.282–0.284
For now, price is rotating inside the wedge, and the next move will likely test one of the structure boundaries.
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Follow Crypto Sat 🟨
Gift Nifty Futures Carving a Falling Wedge — Bulls Loading Up? Gift Nifty Futures appears to be shaping into a falling wedge pattern — a structure often watched for potential bullish reversals.
What is a Falling Wedge?
A falling wedge is a technical chart pattern characterized by:
* Two downward-sloping, converging trendlines
* A sequence of lower highs and lower lows
* Gradually contracting price range
* Typically declining volume during formation
* A potential upside breakout as selling pressure weakens
This pattern suggests that although prices are falling, the momentum of the decline is slowing. When confirmed by a strong breakout above the upper trendline — ideally supported by rising volume — it may signal a trend reversal or continuation of a broader uptrend.
However:
* False breakouts are common before the actual move unfolds.
* No pattern guarantees success — experience improves probability assessment, not certainty.
* These setups tend to work best when extreme fear or greed dominates sentiment. At present, fear appears more prevalent.
* If the pattern fails, prices could drift lower or move sideways after a brief decline.
Risk Disclaimer:
Stock markets are inherently risky. Technical patterns reflect probabilities, not promises. Always trade with disciplined risk management, defined stop losses, and position sizing aligned with your capital and risk tolerance.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered investment adviser or research analyst. The views shared are for educational and informational purposes only and reflect personal opinions. This is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks. Please consult your financial adviser before making any investment decisions.
NIFTY Weekly/Monthly UpdateNIFTY is forming a descending wedge and closed at the lower edge for the week. Further, it also closed below 200 Daily EMA and 30 Weekly EMA. A close below these EMAs proved to be bearish in the earlier cases, though it may not be prolonged one, as long as it can bounce back from last swing low (24800 range) or the long term support level of 24400.
On a broad level, NIFTY is expected to trade in the range of 24800-26380 levels for the upcoming month. 26380 has been acting as a strong resistance since last few months, and I expect this will continue for the month. A close above this level(26400), will fuel the rally. On the downside, a breach of 24800 levels, likley to take NIFTY to its next support level of 24400.
Let me know your thoughts about the same. DYOR






















