BullFlow 5/14 Institutional Index + Single-Ticker Setup Board v2

Comprehensive Forward Analysis: Indexes + Non-MAG7 Setups for 5/14

Three independent signals cross-referenced throughout: Prism flow (37,937 records, $7.06B premium), GEX heatmaps (13 tickers), and AskLivermore scans (Qullamaggie, Volume Surge, BGU, Top 100). Conflicts between sources are flagged explicitly.

Market C/P

3.83x

Total Premium

$7.06B

Net Aggressor

+$374M

Livermore Regime

Disinflation

Shift Risk

High

VIX GEX

Positive

Joint Regime Read

The Prism flow data and the Livermore breadth data are telling the same story from two different vantage points. The 3.83x C/P ratio across $7.06B in premium looks unambiguously bullish until you look at where the money is going. It is concentrating into a shrinking pool of leaders — alone absorbed $623.7M, $472.4M, and $260M. The rest of the market got scraps. That concentration dynamic is exactly what the Livermore AI flags as "breadth collapsing." More stocks are falling than rising, and the flow confirms it with a 0.36 C/P ratio and $43.3M in institutional put sweeps.

The reconciliation: the market is technically constructive if you are in the right five to ten names. It is actively hostile to everything else. The Livermore disinflation regime with high shift risk means the macro environment supports quality growth with pricing power (semis, photonics, AI infrastructure) but punishes anything cyclically stretched or thematically crowded (crypto, uranium, nuclear). The VIX at 18 in positive GEX territory provides near-term stability. But the late-cycle narrowing means position sizing discipline and defined invalidation levels are not optional.

Execution framework for 5/14: Only trade names where at least two of three signal sources confirm direction. Avoid names where Prism flow contradicts the Livermore chart setup. First pullback to gap zone is the entry on gap-up names, not the open print.

Index Analysis

SPX, QQQ, IWM — Deep Dive for 5/14

Constructive

Spot: 7,444.97

GEX floor: 7,400 (massive positive dealer gamma — mechanical buy pressure on any dip to this level). Dealers are long gamma above 7,400, creating stabilizing mean-reversion dynamics. Below 7,400 the structure flips negative and moves accelerate.

Call walls: 7,500 (first target), 7,575 ($52.4M concentration), 7,625, 7,700 ($28.3M outer wall).

Put walls: 7,400 ($48M), 7,350 ($12M), 7,200 ($22.8M deep floor).

Flow: SPXW printed 140:1 call/put ratio with $1.54B in calls. $1.38B of that is concentrated in Dec 31 calls at 8,150-8,170. That is not a day trade position — it is an institutional year-end target statement. $309M in aggressive call ask buying confirms directional conviction.

Vanna: Positive above spot through 7,600-7,800. IV compression (VIX falling) adds delta via vanna-feedback loop, supporting continuation.

5/14 setup: Hold above 7,400 = long bias targeting 7,500 then 7,575. Any intraday dip to 7,420-7,430 is a GEX-supported buy. Break below 7,400 = gamma flip, step aside. 7500C 0DTE or 1DTE with 7,400 invalidation.

Cautious

Spot: 713.83

GEX HVL: 720 (161M positive). Secondary support at 715 (357M positive — actually stronger than 720, acts as secondary buy zone). This is important: if QQQ dips to 715, dealer long-gamma hedging at that strike creates mechanical lift.

Gamma cliff: Below 710. Negative GEX activates below 710 = move becomes self-reinforcing to the downside. 700 and 705 are the flow-confirmed put walls ($22.9M combined) where dealer short-gamma selling would slow.

Flow divergence: This is the key nuance. QQQ overall shows $44.2M call ask vs $34.6M put ask (bullish). But the aggressor net is slightly bearish ($88.5M bid vs $78.8M ask at the total flow level). Someone is systematically selling into QQQ call premium while simultaneously owning it. That is a covered structure, not pure directional buying.

Livermore context: Breadth collapse is most visible in the Nasdaq-100 secondary names. The leaders (NVDA, a handful of AI semis) carry the index. The tail is lagging.

5/14 setup: Above 720 = continuation toward 725-728. Between 715-720 = support zone, dip buy. Below 710 = no long position. Scenario: QQQ opens above 720 on any positive macro read = 725C 0DTE with 714 stop.

Avoid Long

Spot: 281.90

C/P ratio: 0.36. The most explicitly bearish reading of any major index in today's session. $48.7M in put premium vs $17.6M in calls. $43.3M of the put premium came from sweeps — institutional, directional, not hedges on existing longs.

Flow: Put ask $16.7M vs call ask $10.6M. Someone is paying up for downside exposure specifically on small caps while large-cap tech is being aggressively bought. This is the textbook breadth collapse signal — leadership concentrating, everything else getting quietly shorted.

Livermore alignment: The AskLivermore brief explicitly calls out "more stocks falling than rising" and "rally narrowing to a shrinking group of leaders." The IWM flow is the institutional confirmation of exactly that dynamic.

Watch level: IWM breaking below 279 while SPX holds near 7,450 = pure rotation signal, not systemic risk yet. IWM breaking below 275 with SPX also rolling = early warning for broader deterioration.

5/14 positioning: No long IWM exposure. If anything, small IWM put position (275P or 270P May/June) is a hedge against broad market deterioration that is cheap given the index is not at extremes.

VIX Regime Note

VIX at 18.0 sits squarely in positive GEX territory on the heatmap (blue highlighted row at 18). Positive dealer gamma on VIX itself means dealers are buying VIX dips and selling VIX rallies — a stabilizing drag on volatility that supports directional setups. The regime flips at 22-25, where VIX GEX turns negative and volatility becomes self-reinforcing. We are 4 points away from that transition. The Livermore high-shift-risk regime read is the warning: a macro catalyst (CPI miss, credit event, geopolitical escalation) could push VIX through 22 quickly. Size accordingly and keep invalidation levels tight.

Signal Conflicts — Read Before Trading

Livermore Bullish vs. Flow Bearish

(Bloom Energy) — Livermore ALS 99 CONFLICTS with Flow C/P 0.73

Livermore rates this as a Tier 3 day trade (ALS 99, +4.44%, 5.1M vol, energy/AI narrative). The GEX heatmap is shown (Image 13 left). But the flow data is explicitly bearish: $6.35M in put ask vs $869k in call ask. The biggest sweep was a 330P May 29 at ask ($612k) and a 150P Jan 2028 above ask ($439k). These are structured positions, not noise. The put-to-call ask ratio of 7.3x is a red flag that directly contradicts the chart setup. DO NOT buy long on 5/14 based on chart setup alone. Wait for the put overhang to resolve or the flow to flip. The Livermore chart is real, but institutional flow disagrees. Spot: $283.70.

(NXP Semiconductors) — Livermore "Textbook Qullamaggie" CONFLICTS with Flow Bearish

Livermore ranks NXPI highly as a tight flag continuation setup (ARS 83, +1.70%, controlled range). The flow is slightly bearish: C/P 0.86, and the dominant single sweep in the session was a 300P Mar 2027 at ask for $713k. That is a large directional put position on a $300 stock. The put wall from flow is at 300 (the current spot). The combined read: NXPI chart looks constructive but the flow tells you that someone is hedging/betting against the exact level Livermore says to buy. Trade this only if it holds above 300 with expanding volume. A break below 300 would trigger the put sweep thesis and create a directional move lower. Spot: $298.52.

(Lumentum) — Photonics Theme CONFLICTS with Flow Put-Dominated

Livermore flags Lumentum as a photonics theme alignment name (ARS 99 equivalent narrative). But the flow shows $1.3M in put ask vs $403k in call ask. The biggest block is an 800P (deep ITM put since spot is $1,026.55) and an 870C simultaneously — that is a structured collar or strangle, suggesting institutional uncertainty rather than directional conviction. The 800P block specifically represents protection against a 22% drawdown. Spot: $1,026.55. Treat as a theme name to watch rather than a day trade entry on 5/14. The chart setup may be real; the institutional flow says someone bought significant downside protection simultaneously.

Non-MAG7 Day Trade Rankings

Ranked by Triple-Signal Conviction Score — Liquidity Tier Noted

MAG7 excluded (AAPL, MSFT, GOOGL, AMZN, META, NVDA, TSLA). All entries require tight bid-ask spreads and meaningful options liquidity for day trade viability. Grade reflects confluence of Prism flow, GEX heatmap, and Livermore scan signals.

A+

Liq: A+

BullTriple Confirmed

Spot: $799.40 | Flow: C/P 4.09x | GEX: HVL 800 = 162.5M | Livermore: #1 ALS 98 | 35.2M shares traded

Prism FlowGEX ConfirmedLivermore #1

MU is the only ticker with three independent, high-conviction confirming signals in today's dataset. The Prism flow shows $260M total premium, 4.09 C/P, and $59.2M net call ask buying with $109.7M in sweeps. The GEX heatmap shows 162.5M positive dealer gamma anchored at the 800 strike — dealers are long gamma above 800, creating mechanical buy pressure on any dip to that level. Livermore ranks MU #1 in the Top 100 with ALS 98 and 35.2M shares traded, confirming institutional accumulation at the price level. The key sweep: 805C May 22 at ask for $3.44M — a near-term directional bet pointed exactly at the call wall. Long-dated institutional call presence: $1,530C Dec 2028 sweep ($3.17M at bid) and $1,000C Aug 2026 sweep ($3.91M at bid) suggest multi-year bull thesis building. Options market is deep and liquid — bid-ask spreads on near-term strikes will be tight.

Entry

802.00

Target 1

820.00

Target 2

850.00

Invalidation

780.00

Day trade: 805C May 22 on reclaim of 802. Swing: 805C-850C Jun/Aug. The 780 put floor is where the thesis fails — the GEX transitions negative there and the move accelerates lower.

A+

Liq: A

BullDouble Confirmed + Qullamaggie

Spot: $113.53 | C/P 3.66x | GEX: 407M at 117 | Livermore: ARS 93, +10.39% | Qullamaggie #1

Prism FlowGEX ConfirmedLivermore Top Pick

ON Semiconductor has the most important GEX reading of any single-name stock outside of MU: 407M positive dealer gamma at the 117 strike on the heatmap (Image 11 right). That is an extraordinary concentration of positive gamma at a single level. After today's +10.39% move, the stock is sitting just below that 117 anchor. The Qullamaggie setup is real — this is a stair-step continuation pattern, and the Livermore scan flags it as ARS 93 with institutional accumulation. The Prism flow confirms: $8.89M total, 3.66 C/P, $4.27M sweeps, and a key sweep of 145C Mar 2027 at ASK for $1.29M — that is a directional call 27.9% above spot, betting on a sustained move. The CAVEAT: the 115P Dec sweep at ask for $1.02M is a hedge. Someone is buying upside calls AND downside puts simultaneously, which means they own the stock and are collaring the position. That context makes the 117 GEX level even more important — it is where the collar is centered. Do NOT buy the open. The Livermore protocol is correct: buy the first pullback to VWAP or 10 EMA, which given today's +10.39% is likely in the 110-112 range in the first 30 minutes.

Entry

110.50

Target 1

117.00

Target 2

122.00

Invalidation

107.00

Day trade: 115C or 117C near-term on VWAP pullback in first 30 min. Do not chase the open print. The 407M GEX anchor creates a gravitational pull toward 117 but requires a clean entry basis.

A+

Liq: A+

BullNew Find — Flow Only

Spot: $79.82 | C/P 7.90x | $27.1M net call ask | $42M sweeps | 80 call wall

Prism Flow StrongETF Liquidity

Silver was not in the original analysis and deserves top billing. $84.8M total premium, 7.90 C/P, $42M in sweeps — the largest silver options flow session in recent memory. The critical detail: three separate May 22 call sweeps centered on the 80 strike (79C $3.83M below bid, 80C $1.75M bid, 80C $1.74M ask) are painting the 80 level as the immediate mechanical target. Spot at $79.82 is sitting $0.18 below the 80 call wall. The 79C and 80C concentration totals $15.4M alone. The 85C extension ($9.1M) shows the longer-term target. This is a clean breakout setup: silver testing the $80 level with institutional call buying above and below. is an ETF with A+ options liquidity — bid-ask spreads are tight even after a big session. The Copper Supply Deficit theme in the Livermore brief (+1.2%, ARS 79) provides macro alignment for broader precious/industrial metals. The Livermore brief does not specifically name silver but the flow says institutions are positioned for it. A commodity breakout play with A+ liquidity is rare — this one has both.

Entry

80.10

Target 1

82.00

Target 2

85.00

Invalidation

78.50

Day trade: 80C May 22 on break above 80.10 (call wall reclaim). Swing: 80C-85C May/Jun. This is the cleanest breakout setup in the entire non-MAG7 universe — liquid ETF, tight spreads, 80 is a round-number psychological and gamma level simultaneously.

A

Liq: B+

BullDouble Confirmed

Spot: $204.24 | C/P 4.24x | $16.3M net call ask | $11.3M sweeps | Livermore ALS 97

Prism FlowLivermore ALS 97Photonics Theme

Corning is the clean photonics infrastructure play that the Livermore brief explicitly identifies as a theme winner. The flow confirms it. The single most significant data point: a 160C block for $16.2M — that is a deep ITM call position, which institutions use when they want leveraged equity exposure without holding shares directly. Buying a 160C when spot is $204 means someone paid significant premium to own a leveraged synthetic long. That is conviction, not speculation. Additional call sweeps: 230C Jun 18 at bid ($902k), 240C Aug 21 below bid ($737k). The put sweep at 180P Nov at mid ($1.33M) is a collar hedge — entirely consistent with the ITM call structure. The theme tailwind from Livermore is real: silicon photonics and fiber optics are the physical infrastructure layer for AI data center buildout. GLW is the fiber backbone name, and the institutional positioning reflects that thesis directly.

Entry

204.50

Target 1

212.00

Target 2

220.00

Invalidation

197.00

Day trade: 205C or 210C near-term. Swing: 210C-230C Jun/Aug (following institutional call structure). The 180 put floor is where the collar breaks — below 180 the thesis fails mechanically.

A

Liq: B+

Bull — Controlled Entry Only

Spot: $63.18 | C/P 9.29x | $3.9M net call ask | $11.5M sweeps | Livermore ARS 99, +21.12%

Prism FlowLivermore ARS 99Gap Risk

Wolfspeed had one of the biggest sessions in the dataset by percentage and flow combined. After a +21.12% day on ARS 99 (top tier momentum), the flow shows two critical above-ask sweeps at the 50C Jun 18 — $1.74M and $1.65M respectively, both lifted above the market. That is someone aggressively buying calls on the way UP, not on a dip. The 9.29 C/P ratio with $11.5M in sweeps is institutional momentum, not retail chasing. The long-dated setup: $1.24M in 47.5C Jan 2028 (bid execution) = someone building a 19-month call position. This is a SiC semiconductor name that aligns with the Livermore photonics/silicon adjacency theme. The CRITICAL rule from Livermore applies here: DO NOT chase the open. A +21.12% day will gap unpredictably at open and IV will be inflated. The entry protocol is: wait for the first 15-20 minutes of consolidation, identify the VWAP level (likely 60-64 range), and enter on the first clean hold above VWAP. If the stock opens and immediately reverses below 60, the flow thesis is not confirmed for day trading.

Entry (wait)

VWAP hold

Target 1

68.00

Target 2

72.00

Invalidation

58.00

Day trade: 65C Jun 18 on confirmed VWAP hold (not at open). Options will have wide spreads given yesterday's vol expansion — use limit orders. Swing: 65C-70C Jun/Aug on any multi-day consolidation base.

A

Liq: A

Bull with Embedded Hedge

Spot: $446.58 | C/P 4.30x | $22.2M net call ask | $37.5M sweeps | $30.2M at 500C

Prism FlowConflicting Put Sweep

AMD presents the most technically interesting flow structure outside MU and TSLA. The headline is a large 500C block position ($30.2M total across multiple strikes and dates) — that is a long-dated institutional call structure targeting 500 as the primary exit level. The complication: simultaneous 470P Jun 18 sweeps at ask for $4.33M and below bid for $3.29M. Someone bought calls to 500 and puts at 470 in the same session. That is either a strangle (expecting a big move in either direction) or an institution buying upside calls while a separate entity is buying downside protection. Either way, the market is pricing a significant AMD move. The net flow is bullish ($22.2M net call ask), the long-dated structure is bullish (500C), and the 4.30 C/P supports the direction. But the 470P sweep is telling you the invalidation level with precision. Do not hold AMD through 440 — the gamma structure below that level is negative and the put sweep buyer was right about where the floor fails.

Entry

448.00

Target 1

462.00

Target 2

475.00

Invalidation

440.00

Day trade: 450C or 455C near-term. The 470P sweep at $4.33M asks the question: if you are a buyer of 500 calls, why are you also buying 470 puts? Reduce size vs a clean single-direction setup.

A

Liq: B+

BullFlow Only

Spot: $207.50 | C/P 4.55x | $18.2M net call ask | $31.7M sweeps | AI infrastructure

Prism Flow Strong

NBIS is the highest-flow AI infrastructure name outside of the established MAG7 that does not appear in most scanners. $67.8M total premium on a non-household name is a significant signal — that is more premium than AMZN traded today by dollar volume. The 4.55 C/P and $18.2M net call ask confirm directional buying. The sweep structure: $3.1M at 200C Jun 18 (bid execution = large institutional sell of calls, which caps the near-term), $1.69M at 110C Dec 2027 at ask (long-dated bull accumulation), and $1.21M at 190P May 22 above ask (near-term put hedge). The combined picture: someone is selling near-term calls (capping to 200), buying long-dated calls (198-220 range as long-term target), and hedging with a 190P. This is a professional position build, not a day trade. For day trading: the 200 level is the call wall and the put floor simultaneously — it is the key inflection. Above 200 is bullish. The near-term cap is real.

Entry

208.00

Target 1

218.00

Target 2

225.00

Invalidation

190.00

Day trade: 210C or 220C. Swing: 220C-250C (long-dated, following the Dec 2027 call structure). Better as a swing than a day trade given the near-term call wall structure at 200.

A-

Liq: B

Bull — PartialMixed Near-Term Flow

Spot: $206.26 | C/P 5.03x | $6.2M net call ask | GEX: 996M floor at 200 | Livermore: +13.25% photonics

Prism FlowGEX ConfirmedLivermore Theme Leader

AAOI is the silicon photonics theme leader by both Livermore and GEX structure. After a +13.25% session, the GEX heatmap shows an extraordinary 996.1M positive dealer gamma at the 200 strike — the largest single-strike positive GEX value in the entire heatmap dataset. That 200 level is now the floor. The stock closed at $206.26 and is sitting directly above it. The flow shows 5.03 C/P with $8.57M call ask. The COMPLICATION: there is a $1.52M 255P Jun 12 sweep at ask and a $844k 195P May 22 above ask. The 255P is well above current spot (so it's ITM at current prices — that means it is not a hedge, it is a downside bet). The 195P is a near-term floor bet. The combined read: the stock has a massive gamma floor at 200, strong longer-term call buying (210C, 200C concentrations), and simultaneous put buying at 255 (currently ITM) that suggests some participants expect a pullback from current levels. Day trade: only if it holds above 206 at open and VWAP is rising. First consolidation above 210 is cleaner.

Entry

207.00

Target 1

215.00

Target 2

222.00

Invalidation

200.00

Day trade: 210C near-term. The 200 GEX floor is the invalidation — if it breaks, the negative zone between 205-225 on the heatmap means the move accelerates. Swing: 210C-240C longer-dated on the photonics secular thesis.

A-

Liq: B

Bull — Thin Float

Spot: $100.69 | C/P infinite (0 puts) | $587k call only | Livermore BGU + Volume Surge overlap

Prism Flow (thin)Livermore BGU + Vol Surge

Vishay Precision Group is the only name in the dataset with a perfect 0-put flow print — every dollar of options premium traded was on calls. $587k total is thin by absolute dollar terms, but on a 238K share average volume stock with a +19.22% session, that represents significant relative positioning. Call concentration: 110C ($169k), 120C ($143k), 130C ($104k) — a laddered call structure pointing to 110-130 as the immediate target range. The Livermore BGU and Volume Surge overlap is the chart confirmation. Buy the first pullback to the gap zone (~85-90 intraday if the stock opens near 100), not the opening print. LIQUIDITY RISK: Average volume of 238K shares means options bid-ask spreads will be wide. Use limit orders, not market orders. This is a day trade only with strictly defined risk — not a swing candidate given float risk and options liquidity constraints.

BGU Zone

~90-95

Target 1

110.00

Target 2

120.00

Invalidation

85.00

Day trade: stock preferred over options given thin float. If using options, 110C nearest expiry with limit orders only. Entry strictly on gap zone pullback — do not buy the open.

Bear

Liq: A

BearDouble Confirmed

Spot: $218.41 | 5x put sweeps 230P Jun = $5.94M | GEX: -801M to -885M cliff at 205

Prism Flow StrongGEX Confirmed

The ARM setup is unchanged from the original analysis and remains the highest-conviction bear play in the session. Five consecutive sweeps at the exact same 230P Jun 18 strike, all at or above ask: $1.47M, $1.38M, $1.28M, $1.01M, $0.80M. That is a deliberate institutional accumulation pattern — splitting the order across five fills to avoid moving the tape. The 230P is currently ITM (spot $218.41, strike 230). The buyer is paying for a put that is already in the money, which means this is not a hedge on an existing long — it is a directional bet. The GEX heatmap shows a -801M to -885M gamma cliff at the 205 strike. If breaks below 210, dealer short-gamma hedging amplifies the move directly toward 205. ARM also has the GEX structure showing negative gamma ABOVE spot at 215 (GEX turns negative there too), meaning the stock is pinned in a narrow range between two negative zones. A break in either direction gets amplified. The put sweeps tell you which direction to expect.

Entry

217.50

Target 1

210.00

Target 2

205.00

Invalidation

224.00

230P Jun 18 (follow the institutional sweeps). Entry on spot failure at 217.50. Target: 210 then 205 GEX cliff. Swing: the same 230P Jun position the institution is building — hold as long as spot stays below 224.

Bear

Liq: B+

BearITM Put Stacking

Spot: $120.88 | 4x 130P Jun sweeps = $8.4M | Multiple above-ask fills

Prism Flow Strong

Four institutional sweeps at the 130P Jun 18 strike totaling $8.4M: $3.53M above ask, $1.97M below bid, $1.78M above ask, $1.08M at ask. The above-ask fills are the signal — paying more than the market requires to get filled means urgency. The 130P is in-the-money since spot is $120.88 (the put is $9.12 ITM). Buying ITM puts eliminates the theta drag concern and provides delta exposure approaching 1.0. This is a pure directional short bet by an institution. The put concentration map: $10.7M at 130, $3.5M at 110, $2.8M at 115. The 110 and 115 put walls are the downside targets. The C/P of 1.97 looks moderate overall, but the directional signal is entirely in the aggressive put-ask buying — the call side is mostly covered calls and ATM accumulation, not directional conviction. No GEX heatmap was provided for INTC but the flow signal is three-plus sweeps at the same strike above ask, which is the highest-conviction indicator in the flow methodology.

Entry

119.50

Target 1

115.00

Target 2

110.00

Invalidation

126.00

130P Jun 18 (mirror the institutional position). Entry on failure at 119.50. The 126 invalidation level is where a call reclaim above the 125C concentration zone would flip the thesis.

Swing Position Building

Positions to Start Building for 1-6 Week Holds

MU A+ Swing Bull

The Dec 2028 1,530C sweep at bid ($3.17M) and Aug 2026 1,000C sweep at bid ($3.91M) are the defining data points for a multi-month thesis. Someone is buying the equivalent of MU at $1,000 and $1,530 for future delivery. The 805C May 22 sweep is the near-term setup; the $1,000C and $1,530C sweeps are the institutional roadmap. The 800 GEX anchor is the entry thesis: above 800 is dealer long gamma, below is the gamma cliff. Start building 800-850C Jun/Aug. Add on confirmed holds above 820. Full position if 850 breaks with volume.

A+ Swing Bull — Secular Theme

The $16.2M deep ITM call block at 160 (on a $204 stock) is the swing thesis in one transaction. That is a synthetic leveraged long with a multi-month holding period built in. Institutional players use deep ITM calls when they expect the stock to move significantly and want to own the delta. The 230C Jun and 240C Aug sweeps define the near-term target range. Photonics/fiber optics is the Livermore-identified theme winner for the current cycle. Start building 210C-230C Jun/Aug. This is a thematic swing, not just a momentum play — Corning is the infrastructure backbone of AI data center buildout.

A Swing Bull — Breakout

Silver breaking through $80 on $42M in call sweeps with 85C extension buying is a textbook breakout swing setup. The 79-80 zone is now the confirmed support level based on call concentration ($15.4M combined). The 85C extension ($9.1M) is the first swing target. Add to the position on any 79-80 retest that holds. Commodity breakouts with institutional option confirmation tend to run 10-20% before stalling. This is the cleanest liquid swing setup in the entire non-MAG7 universe for the next 2-4 weeks.

A Swing Bull

The 145C Mar 2027 sweep at ask for $1.29M is building an 8-month call position. Combined with the 407M GEX anchor at 117 and the Qullamaggie stair-step pattern, ON has the structure for a multi-month hold. The collar setup (call + put simultaneously) tells you a large holder is protecting a significant long stock position — they are not selling, they are hedging. Entry on the VWAP pullback described in day trade section. Swing target: 130-145 range over the next 30-60 days.

A Swing Bull — China Re-Rating

40:1 call/put ratio with $245k total put ask buying against $16.4M call ask. The Jun 32C ($1.07M) and Aug 30C ($542k) are the building blocks. This is a pure China tech re-rating thesis — if trade rhetoric softens or a macro catalyst triggers a rotation into undervalued Chinese growth, KWEB catches the most leverage. ETF structure means A+ liquidity and tight spreads at any size. Start with Jun 32C, add Aug 33C for extension. Invalidation: break below 29.50 on high volume.

A Swing Bear

Mirror the institutional 230P Jun 18 position that was accumulated across five fills. $5.94M in deliberate accumulation at a single strike is a clear directional signal. The GEX cliff at 205 (-801M to -885M) is the mechanical accelerant if the move starts. Target 205-207 range by Jun 18 expiry. The thesis fails above 224 — that is where the upside negative gamma zone on the heatmap begins, meaning a rally above 224 would also be amplified but in the wrong direction for puts.

A- Swing Bear

The 130P Jun 18 ITM put accumulation ($8.4M across four sweeps) is the position to hold multi-week. ITM put swings have lower theta bleed and more responsive delta vs OTM puts. Target 110-115 by early June. Position sizing note: INTC at $120 is not a thin name — options market is reasonably liquid. Hold until 126 is taken out on the upside or until Jun 18 expiry approaches and theta accelerates.

A- Swing Bull — Long-Dated

The $1.69M at 110C Dec 2027 at ask is the swing signal — a 19-month call position on an AI infrastructure name that just printed $67.8M in total flow. The near-term 200 call wall creates a speed bump for immediate price action, but the long-dated call buying tells you where institutional expectations sit. Start a small position in 220C-250C longer-dated options (Dec 2026 or beyond) and size up if 200 breaks convincingly with flow confirmation. This is a 3-6 month build, not a 2-week trade.

A few things worth calling out that the analysis surfaces:

The find is the most important new discovery. It was not in the original analysis because I was filtering for the top 20 tickers by premium in the first pass. $84.8M in silver premium, 7.90 C/P, and three separate sweeps all targeting the exact 80 level with a $85 extension — that is a clean, institutional-grade breakout setup on an A+ liquidity ETF. Silver at $79.82 sitting $0.18 below a $15.4M call wall is not coincidental. This is the highest-quality risk/reward in the non-MAG7 universe for tomorrow.

The BE conflict is the most important warning. If you saw the ALS 99 rating and bought Bloom Energy tomorrow morning based on the Livermore scan alone, you would be trading against $6.35M in put ask buying. The chart looks right and the narrative is compelling, but the institutional options positioning says someone paid up for puts on 5/13. That conflict is not something to trade through.

ON is the highest-quality Qullamaggie setup with actual institutional support. The 407M GEX anchor at 117 plus the Livermore top scan pick plus the flow confirms it as a real setup, but the entry needs to be the VWAP pullback in the first 30 minutes, not the opening print after a +10.39% day.

NXPI is a pass for the long side tomorrow. The flow data shows a 300P Mar 2027 sweep at ask as the dominant single-name options signal. The Livermore chart looks clean, but institutional flow disagreeing with a chart setup is a reason to wait for resolution, not a reason to take the trade.

Note di rilascio

updated index analysis and setups.

Note di rilascio

Update for new setups and index plan for Friday, 5/15.

Script open-source

Nello spirito di TradingView, l'autore di questo script lo ha reso open source, in modo che i trader possano esaminarne e verificarne la funzionalità. Complimenti all'autore! Sebbene sia possibile utilizzarlo gratuitamente, ricordiamo che la ripubblicazione del codice è soggetta al nostro Regolamento.

tschmidt1998

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Script open-source

tschmidt1998