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Economic Cycles

Bitcoin Momentum Update #5: Holding Above NeutralBitcoin Daily Time Series Momentum is currently around 1.01 and continues to hold slightly above the neutral level of 1.0 . This follows a significant recovery from the lower reference zone near 0.8 . More importantly, momentum has now spent several days around the neutral level without a significant reversal lower. What has changed? The recovery that began in June has developed into a clear sequence of improving momentum. The indicator has moved from approximately 0.8 back above 1.0.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by SatsOra
CRWV: A Violent Bounce, a Silent Tool - Reading It HonestlyCRWV just rallied hard off its July low - from the low 60s back above 90 in a few weeks, on high relative volume. And the structure tool watching this chart said nothing: the status panel reads NO ACCUMULATION, last signal 57 bars ago. Reading that pair honestly is today's lesson. What the chart shows CRWV is a young listing: a vertical advance in mid-2025, then roughly a year inside a wide, violent range. Inside that range, Structura Accumulate printed four zones - each where price was reb
NASDAQ:CRWVLong
by StructuraMarkets
2
Wave III?Crude Oil: Wave III? From an Elliott Wave perspective, the move from the 70.225 low to approximately 96.128 appears to have developed as a complete five-wave Impulse, which can be considered Wave (1) of a higher degree. The market then entered a corrective phase that appears to have completed around the 77–80 area, with the structure remaining consistent with a Classic Zigzag. From this point, the primary focus shifts toward the developing bullish structure. The recent advance from the correc
CXM:UKOILLong
by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP
2
XAUUSD - SHORTGold is currently trading at a critical inflection point. After a prolonged and aggressive bullish rally, the price has reached a significant supply zone just below the $4400 psychological handle. This area represents a major resistance cluster—a confluence of historical sell-side orders and extreme overextension on the weekly timeframe. For the recent bullish structure to sustain, the market requires a substantial fuel injection. Without a healthy pullback to clear out weak hands, the upward m
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Profit_Trader
1
RBOB Gasoline | Is Wave III About to Begin?Under the aggressive scenario, we consider Waves (I) and (II) to represent the largest degree in the current count. Following a major correction in the previous cycle, the market entered a new bullish phase. From our perspective, the price action at the beginning of 2026 can be interpreted as a sharp and fast Classic Impulse, potentially forming Wave I of this new degree. At present, Wave II has reached the vicinity of Wave 4 of the initial impulse. This is an important structural area and coul
VANTAGE:GASLong
by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP
CYCLE 5 QUESTIONI have been using the Nikkei comparison for one reason: not to claim that Bitcoin has to copy another market, but to understand where the current structure may sit inside a much longer cycle. The similarity is not in individual candles. It is in the sequence. Nikkei moved through four distinct expansion and reset phases before the final acceleration of Cycle 5. Each cycle pushed price into the same rising long term structure, followed by another period of weakness, doubt and rebuilding. The im
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Cryptollica
2
SHORT GOLD- We have left a lot of Low resistance liquidity back down towards Monthly FVG. - Monthly FVG needs to get tapped. - Yes the institutions were building their Long term positions here thus we saw this rise. Which will trap short term retail traders and hedge funds here. - Once buyside liquidity gets taken out, a lot of retail traders will look at this as a breakout and buy here very heavily, including many large funds. - Once a lot of liquidity has been generated, price will crash back down. -
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by MrVelvet_
1
Crude Oil: Is a Larger Wave III Beginning?From an Elliott Wave perspective, the current structure suggests that Waves I and II of the current degree may be complete, placing the market at a critical stage. Wave I developed as a five-wave Impulse, followed by Wave II unfolding as a corrective structure. Therefore, under the aggressive scenario, the current structure may be preparing to enter Wave III, which, if confirmed, would be expected to develop with greater strength and momentum than the initial wave. The initial advance from the
OANDA:BCOUSD
by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP
DXY | The Diagonal Test DXY | The Diagonal Test 🌀 In this update, our focus remains on the Aggressive Scenario—a higher-degree interpretation in which the recent structure may represent either Wave (C) or Wave (III). A closer examination of the 4-hour chart suggests that the current structure could initially be interpreted as a Double Zigzag. However, the ongoing price development also raises the possibility that the market is building a Leading Diagonal. At this stage, the more compelling structural interpretation
VANTAGE:USDXLong
by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP
Dow Jones | Is the Fifth Wave Expanding?Wave (IV) in pink, the highest degree of this structure, ended in March 2009. From that point, the market entered a structure that may be the beginning of Wave (V) of the highest degree. In equities, an extended fifth wave is also possible. So the key question is this: We were looking for an Impulse pattern, where V? in turquoise was expected to mark the end of the structure. But what does the equality with the initial wave tell us? Are we dealing with an extended fifth wave, or is the curren
DJ:DJILong
by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP
NQ Weekly Outlook: 10–14 August 2026The Fringe Cycles model read for the coming week suggests a mixed structure: positive early, alternating tendencies through the middle of the week, and a more negative structure developing into Thursday and Friday. This outlook is based on the NQ Globex session, not only regular cash-session price action. Each daily bias applies approximately from 18:30 Eastern on the previous evening through 15:30 Eastern on the stated trading day. For evaluation, each daily bias is measured from the 18:30 Eas
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by thefringetrader