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EURUSD Daily & Monthly Market Dynamics Technical Scenario Analysis: Daily & Monthly Market Dynamics **Bullish Scenario: Potential Inverse Head & Shoulders (H&S) Reversal** * **Pattern Dynamics**: The daily chart (left panel) presents an inverse head & shoulders structure forming at multi-month demand levels. * **Head**: Formed near **1.1120–1.1140**. * **Left & Right Shoulders**: Stabilising around **1.1200–1.1230**. * **Confirmation Trigger**: A daily close above the composite Value Area Low (**VAL**) and the neckline region near

TLT Downside Targets & Implied 10Y Yield Read-Throughs TLT Downside Targets & Implied 10Y Yield Read-Throughs TLT Target 1: 63.5 | Implied 10Y Yield: 5.60% – 6.10% TLT Target 2: 55.5 | Implied 10Y Yield: 6.30% – 7.00% Macro Takeaways Duration Math: A move to TLT 63.5 (~26% drawdown) requires a +160–190 bps surge in long-end yields. Assuming a 0.75–0.90 10Y/30Y beta, the US 10-year yield lands at 5.60%–6.10%. Extreme Downside Scenario: A drop to TLT 55.5 (~35% drawdown) implies a +230–280 bps move at the long end, pushing the 10-year yield into t

BTCUSD Looking For Intraday Channel Resolution Bitcoin’s higher-timeframe structure remains constructive, especially on the daily chart, where the market appears to be consolidating after a strong bullish move. The weekly chart also supports a potential recovery continuation. However, the intraday 30 min chart is still testing resistance within a short-term descending structure. A clean breakout on the lower timeframe would strengthen the bullish case and could align the intraday view with the daily and weekly trend. Bullish Scenario A bre

XAUUSD Testing Corrective Targets, What's Next?In this update we review the recent roice action in Gold and identify some high-probability trading opportunities and price objectives to target. To review today's analysis click here!

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BTCUSD — Watching 81.2k Trend Support for Bullish Reversal BTCUSD — Watching 81.2k Trend Support for Bullish Reversal Bitcoin is currently stalling at the daily VAH from the all-time-high composite profile, suggesting short-term upside momentum is beginning to fade into an important value-area resistance zone. From here, the preferred scenario is for a corrective pullback to test projected trend support around 81.2k. That area is important because it may provide the next higher-low opportunity if the broader bullish structure is still intact. Key Setu

S&P 500 August Fractal / Equality Objective Toward 8040 S&P 500 August Fractal / Equality Objective Toward 8040 The S&P 500 continues to show a notable similarity/fractal pattern with the prior August advance, visible on the H4 structure. The current price action appears to be following a comparable rhythm: consolidation, breakout, retest, and continuation. The key technical feature is the projected equality target near 8040, which also coincides with the 200% Fibonacci extension from the prior corrective sequence. That confluence makes 8040 a majo

USD/JPY: Pivotal Test at 158.00–158.50 USD/JPY: Pivotal Test at 158.00–158.50 USD/JPY is facing a key Decision Point (DP) at the 158.00–158.50 resistance zone. The structural volume profile and multi-timeframe channels present two primary scenarios depending on how price handles this overhead supply. Key Technical Scenarios Bearish Rejection (Primary Downside Case): Trigger: Rejection at 158.00–158.50. Target 1: Move toward the Composite Volume Profile Value Area Low (VAL) at 155.00. Target 2 (Extended Downside): Break be

Cross Asset FOMC Reaction levels To Watch USDJPY USDJPY is in a sharp bearish impulse followed by a corrective rebound. The current bounce is testing into a retracement/resistance structure after the sell-off. The key question is whether this rebound is only a bear-market correction before a continuation lower, or whether price can reclaim enough structure to suggest a larger recovery. EURUSD EURUSD is trading near the lower part of its recent range/decline and appears to be approaching a measured support/equality objective area. The

XAUUSD Watching 4105 Equality Objective for Bullish Reversal Set Watching 4105 Equality Objective for Bullish Reversal Setup Gold remains in a corrective phase, with price working lower inside the short-term descending structure. The key downside area to monitor is the 4105 equality objective, which aligns closely with the 4510 pivot/VPOC reference from the composite profile. This confluence makes the zone important for assessing whether the correction is nearing exhaustion. From that area, the preferred setup is to watch for bullish reversal patterns — suc

EURUSD — 1.1500 as the Near-Term Bull/Bear Line EURUSD — 1.1500 as the Near-Term Bull/Bear Line EURUSD is approaching an important decision zone, with the 1.1500 equality objective serving as the near-term bull/bear line. Price is testing into a key support area, and the reaction here should be important for direction. A sustained hold around 1.1500 could preserve the broader corrective structure and allow for another rebound attempt. However, a decisive break below 1.1450 would likely lead to fresh bearish momentum and a deeper downside ex

USDJPY — Bearish Bias Below 155.50 USDJPY — Bearish Bias Below 155.50 USDJPY remains vulnerable to further downside, with a retest of 155.50 from below potentially acting as resistance. Rejection at this level would reinforce the bearish outlook and favour a move towards the 152.15–151.50 support zone, where the measured-move equality objective converges with major trendline support. A test of this confluence could set the stage for a more meaningful corrective recovery, potentially targeting the value area low near 157.50. Imm

SP500 Daily Trade Setup 14/8/26 S&P 500 — H4 Bullish Wave Into 5=1, Then Fade Risk Toward 7700 The S&P 500 H4 execution chart is still trading with a constructive bullish Elliott Wave profile. The current advance looks like the market is working through a final upside leg inside the active H4 impulse, with the key wave 5 = wave 1 objective sitting around 7896. That makes 7896 the immediate upside magnet and the first important reaction zone. The preferred sequence is not to chase blindly after that level is reached, but to t

USDJPY Daily Trade Setup 13/8/26 USDJPY remains structurally bullish on the weekly chart while holding above 152, but the H4 setup suggests downside risk if the current recovery stalls into resistance. Weekly outlook: Bullish above 152. Structure weakens below 146. Weekly POC near 147 H4 outlook: Price is rebounding after a sharp decline. 160/161 is the key resistance zone. If sellers defend this area, price could rotate back toward 152 Why 160/161 matters: Previous breakdown zone Retracement resistance Volume and mean-rever

Key Test For Nasdaq Bulls Nasdaq is currently testing a high-confluence resistance zone where several important technical factors are synchronizing: the symmetry swing resistance, the 78.6% retracement, and the volume profile resistance area around VPOC and VAH. This makes the current region a meaningful decision zone rather than a clean continuation area. After the strong recovery from the recent low, price has moved directly into the upper end of the prior value area, where trapped supply and prior acceptance can creat

CADJPY Daily Trade Setup 30/7/26 CADJPY shows strong multi-timeframe Elliott Wave alignment, with the higher timeframe maintaining a broader bullish structure while the H4 chart develops a short-term correction within that trend. This suggests the current H4 weakness may be part of a larger continuation setup rather than an isolated reversal. On the weekly timeframe, the bullish outlook remains valid as long as price holds its higher-low structure and key Fibonacci support. The broader wave count still favors a corrective pull

SP500 Daily Trade Setup 27/7/26 The S&P 500 pivot for the week is 7430/7440, and the reaction around this level is likely to define the next directional leg. On the H4 chart, price is currently trading inside a broad corrective range, with a rising support line from the prior lows and a descending resistance line from the recent highs creating a large compression structure. The 7430/7440 area sits near the upper boundary of this structure and therefore acts as the main decision point: acceptance above it would favour bullish c

BTCUSD Daily Trade Setup 24/7/26 Bitcoin is currently presenting a corrective sequence across both the H4 and weekly timeframes, with the H4 chart showing price pulling back inside a short-term descending corrective channel after the recent recovery leg. The move lower appears controlled rather than impulsive, with price respecting a series of lower highs while still holding above the broader H4 support base. This suggests the current decline is more likely a corrective pause within the larger recovery structure, rather than th

Gold Daily Trade Setup 22/7/26 Gold is consolidating after a sharp prior decline and carving out a recovery attempt. The fixed-range volume profile suggests that price has spent significant time building acceptance around the current range, while the green dashed support area beneath price remains the key short-term base. As long as this support continues to hold, the structure favours a bullish resolution, especially if the price can break above the descending triangle resistance and reclaim the nearby Fibonacci resistance c

EURJPY Daily Trade Setup The EURJPY chart presents a constructive multi-timeframe bullish setup, supported by a constructive weekly Elliott Wave thesis on the higher timeframe. The weekly chart on the right shows price trending firmly higher within a rising channel, with the broader structure maintaining a clean sequence of higher highs and higher lows. From an Elliott Wave perspective, the advance appears to remain impulsive rather than exhausted, with the current consolidation likely representing a corrective pause wi

USTEC Trading The Complex Correction Cycle NASDAQ — Multi-Timeframe Overview The H4 execution chart (left) shows a harmonic-driven decline resolving into a completing 5-wave Elliott impulse lower. Price rolled over from descending channel resistance and is unfolding in a clean five-wave sequence, with the measured Fib legs (blue boxes) stacking into progressively deeper targets. The harmonic symmetry of the swings—each leg respecting proportional Fib-measured moves—is guiding price toward the broader equality objective near the 28K zone

US500 Multi Time Frame Bullish Technical Thesis Bullish S&P 500 — Multi-Timeframe Overview Weekly Timeframe The weekly chart confirms a strong bullish trend, with price continuing to print higher highs and higher lows inside a rising channel. Price is approaching the upper Fibonacci target area, while momentum remains supportive of further upside. As long as the price holds above weekly channel support and the latest higher low, the broader trend remains bullish. H4 Execution Timeframe The H4 chart highlights a pullback within the broader

Crude Oil Targeting $81.50 Test Crude oil’s bullish thesis is supported by a developing Elliott Wave impulse count, where the recent sharp rally appears to mark Wave 3, followed by the current tight sideways pullback/consolidation as Wave 4. The structure is holding above prior breakout support and maintaining a higher-low profile, suggesting sellers have not invalidated the trend. If Wave 4 continues to respect support and price breaks above the consolidation high, it would favour a Wave 5 continuation move into the next over

DXY Bullish Consolidation Before Targeting 102.50 Test DXY, with price continuing to respect a broader rising channel structure. After a strong advance into the recent swing high, the index has been consolidating in a controlled pullback rather than showing impulsive bearish continuation. This type of sideways-to-down digestion often suggests accumulation, especially while price remains above key higher-timeframe support and within the lower half of the ascending channel. The current structure shows DXY coiling near channel support, with multiple s

EURUSD Daily Trade Setup 30/6/26 In this update we review the recent price action in the EURUSD and identify the next high-probability trading opportunity and price objectives to target. To review today's analysis click here!

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