2025 GBP/USD Outlook Fundamental & Technical PreviewFundamental analysis
WHSELFINVEST:GBPUSD showed resilience in 2024, falling just 1% across the year. The pair experienced strong gains between April to September, rising from a low of 1.23 to a high of 1.34. However, GBP/USD fell 5% in the final quarter of the year amid notable USD strength, pulling GBP/USD from 1.34 to the 1.25 level where it trades at the time of writing.
While the pound booked losses against the US dollar in 2024, GBP's performance against other major peers was impressiv
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NASDAQ: Dancing on the Edge of a Techno-Financial TightropeMarket Overview
The NASDAQ-100 (NDX) has recently corrected by approximately 5.5% from its all-time high of 22,133 on December 16, 2024. This comes after a historic rally driven by resilient megacap technology stocks, robust earnings, and the continued dominance of AI-led innovation.
Despite the correction, the index remains up 18% year-to-date, outpacing broader indices like the S&P 500, fueled by optimism around productivity-enhancing technologies. However, macroeconomic and geopolitical hea
EUR/USD Finally Finds Some Support, But Can it Build a Bounce?EUR/USD Talking Points
The strength from Q3 has been mostly erased so far in Q4, with a fast sell-off developing in EUR/USD.
In late-September the pair continued to grind away at the 1.1200 handle but not even a month later the pair has dropped by more than four big figures.
Support showed up at the 1.0761 level looked at on Tuesday. The big question now is whether that can lead to some profit taking from sellers, which could build a bounce and that can remain of interest for bear
Gold Goes ATH Again, How to Work Pullbacks in Overbought MarketsGold Talking Points
The massive move in gold has continued to yet another fresh ATH this morning, even with the US Dollar continue its own bullish jump.
Trying to chase an overbought market like gold can feel like trying to jump on a rocket that’s already left the Earth, but that doesn’t mean that traders have the singular choice of fading it or avoiding it. There’s the potential for pullbacks such as I’ve been following in these articles over the past few weeks.
Gold conti
Euro Technical Analysis: EUR/USD Stalls Inside of Yearly HighEUR/USD has put in a very bullish outlay so far in Q3 trade. But last week saw bulls stall inside of the 2024 high and that brings questions to topside continuation in the pair.
EUR/USD continued the advance last week following the rate cut rally following the European Central Bank’s move two weeks ago. There was technical context for bullish continuation as the pair broke through the topside of a bull flag formation but, to date, buyers haven’t been able to push for a re-test of the yearly hig
Gold Overbought Daily, Weekly, Monthly: But Does it Matter?Gold Talking Points:
Gold bulls have continued to push an impressive trend throughout 2024 and there was another extension of that this morning with another fresh all-time-high.
At this point chasing fresh breakouts in gold can be seen as challenging given that it’s now showing overbought conditions on the daily, weekly and monthly charts. But – that doesn’t mean that price has to turn. Instead, the focus can shift to pullbacks of higher-low support, like what had showed around FOMC las
S&P 500 forecast: Outsized rate cut music to bulls’ ears. S&P 500 forecast: The US stock market has shown impressive resilience following the recent volatility. Investors, thrilled by the Federal Reserve’s outsized rate cut, have pushed index futures higher. However, there are mixed opinions about what lies ahead. For now, it looks the S&P 500 will finish the week at a fresh record high.
Fed’s Rate Cut and Its Impact on Markets
The Federal Reserve’s decision to deliver a 50-basis point rate cut was largely welcomed by investors. The move was seen
Gold forecast: What now for gold after scoring 7 monthly gain?I expect gold to rise further and continue to attract buying activity on any dips. One reason is that the overall trend remains bullish, which should deter bearish speculators from acting too forcefully unless there are clear signs of a reversal.
Gold finished higher for the 7th consecutive month in August, meaning that the precious metal is now up a solid 21% year-to-date. Will it be able to rise further in September or take a breather? The gold forecast will now depend at least partly on inco
NZD/USD powering higher as business confidence, milk prices surg- NZD/USD hits highs not seen since early January
- Latest leg higher fueled by big improvement in New Zealand business confidence
- Kiwi likely to outperform as long as traders continue to see a soft US economic landing
About the only thing rising as fast as dairy prices is New Zealand business confidence right now, and both are beneficial for NZD/USD which has surged to seven-month highs. Who said Kiwis can’t fly?
Kiwi flying on dairy strength, soaring business confidence
As covered in a
Silver struggles at downtrend littered with reversal patternsSilver’s been on a nice run recently, benefitting from an easing of concerns towards the trajectory for US economy. But with the move stalling ahead of levels where it's struggled in the past, and with major risk events approaching fast, are we on the cusp of yet another bearish reversal?
Silver has rallied 14% from the early August lows
It has been extremely correlated with other industrial metals such as copper over the past month, suggesting it’s more a play on the global economy
GBP/USD Key Points
Tuesday’s UK Construction PMI came in above expectations at 55.3, the highest reading in more than two years
Time will tell whether traders are overly optimistic that the BOE will be able to cut rates relatively slower than its major rivals or whether more rate cuts still need to be discounted
GBP/USD’s bias remains to the downside and traders may look to sell this rally as long as rates remain below 1.2760 and the RSI holds below the 50 level.
In an eerily quiet week for UK eco
BOJ capitulates spectacularly Shinichi Uchida, Deputy Governor of the Bank of Japan (BOJ), says the bank won’t hike interest rates when markets are unstable, delivering a clear message on what traders need to do to prevent them doing so again: create volatility.
It’s an amazing statement, signalling the BOJ can and will be bullied by markets to avoid doing what is right for the Japanese economy. It’s an incredibly dovish admission, giving traders the green light to re-establish carry trades until the BOJ starts making noise
AUD/USD squeeze risk growing?With tentative signs of stablisation in commodity futures and US equity index futures pushing higher in early Asian trade, the prospects for some form of squeeze higher in AUD/USD appear to be growing.
You can see just how violent the selloff has been over the past two weeks, leaving it oversold on RSI (14) for the first time since August 2023. But the modest reversal on Thursday after breaking the 61.8% Fib retracement of the April-July low-high is about the closest thing to a bullish signal w
Musk's Warning to Gates Backfires: Tesla's Mixed Q2 ResultsApproximately a week ago, Elon Musk cautioned Bill Gates against shorting Tesla stock, suggesting potential negative consequences. However, the situation has shifted, with Tesla's stock price experiencing a significant $20 drop following the release of its earnings report in the aftermarket.
Tesla's Q2 2024 results were a mixed bag, leaving many questions unanswered. While sales increased by 7% compared to the previous year, overall revenue from car sales declined. This news is concerning for i
EUR/USD forecast: Currency Pair of the WeekThe EUR/USD poked its head above the June high of 1.0916 to reach its best level since March, after the US Empire State Manufacturing Index came out weaker than expected earlier. The US dollar has remained under pressure against most major currencies, albeit not so much against the likes of the New Zealand dollar following last week’s dovish RBNZ meeting. Still, against the likes of the euro and pound, as well as gold, the greenback has fallen further after last week’s weaker-than-expected US CP
DJT stock: Dead cat rebound or wave of support?Trump Media & Technology Group Corp's stock surged following news of an attempted assassination on major shareholder Donald Trump at a political rally on Sunday.
Given the fervent nature of Trump's supporters, it's plausible that voters could turn to their wallets before casting ballots in November as the presidential race heats up. Drawing parallels to the recent activity surrounding the GameStop stock, a meme rally cannot be entirely ruled out, potentially presenting a lucrative opportunity f
Shopify (SHOP:NYSE) receives support from Goldman SachsJuly 2024: Shopify's shares took a heavy hit in May after a moderate Q1 earnings report which might have beaten investor consensi, EPS by $0.04 & revenue by $20 mio, yet this was not enough to prevent a large selloff. The share price is currently recovering and is now trading 4,5% higher than it did 12 months ago. This is partly thanks to the analyst from Goldman Sachs, who kept the share rating at "buy" signalling that Goldman Sachs believes Shopify can further accelerate its growth. In general
SLong
Nvidia - How high is too high?Nvidia (NVDA) continues to defy gravity, hitting $140 in pre-market trading today.
This translates to:
A 23% increase in June alone
A 55% increase in Q2
A staggering 184% increase since the beginning of the year
A 225% year-to-date (YTD) surge
These are the kinds of figures we've come to expect from Nvidia, making even impressive YTD gains of 27% by companies like Microsoft look pedestrian. Nvidia's rise has also propelled it to the top of the market cap rankings, becoming the world's most v
Mind the gap! What next for Broadcom?Broadcom (AVGO) has been a major beneficiary of the AI boom, with its stock soaring 53% since the beginning of 2024 and more than doubling year-to-date. While not reaching the astronomical heights of NVIDIA (NVDA), Broadcom's performance remains remarkable.
The company's Q2 revenue report was a resounding success, showing a 43% year-over-year increase, while EBITDA grew 31% year-over-year. This strong performance prompted Broadcom to announce a 10:1 stock split on July 15th, a move that will ma
ADOBE: What is the stock doing before the Q2 earnings Adobe's stock price has been declining over the past month, currently trading below its 50, 100, and 200-day moving averages, with the chart drawing a "death cross" pattern around mid-April, which further confirms the bearish sentiment. The stock now trades at a 25% discount compared to the highs earlier this year.
The Volume Oscillator currently stands at 1.3%, suggesting some buying interest remains, but it's weakening compared to recent trading volume. This could signal a potential reversal,
Crowdstrike pushing towards all time highs!Crowdstrike has been in a strong upward trend since the beginning of 2023. Pullbacks were generally short-lived, and the trend accelerated early this year.
CRWD reached its ATH in March, surpassing the 300 mark it reached in 2021. A significant consolidation occurred after that, but it seems like the bulls have garnered sufficient strength to test 360 again, after failing to breach the level 2 weeks ago, and maybe push the stock to new highs. The stock's 7% jump after beating the Q1 earnings e
Gold Rush - Yes or no?
Around two weeks ago, gold reached a new all-time high, 2450.2$, just above the last high of 2,431.6$. However, the bulls were unable to maintain this high level over the course of the day. In the following trading days, the gold price fell sharply, losing a bit more than 100$. There has been a weak recovery over the last few days, with renewed selling pressure emerging in the middle of the week. A new low was reached on Thursday, albeit with a bullish reversal.
Chart facts:
- Resistance zo
All time high! Dow Jones bricht die 40,000-Marke! Der Dow Jones Industrial Average hat Geschichte geschrieben und kurzzeitig die 40.000-Punkte-Marke zum ersten Mal überhaupt durchbrochen! Diese bemerkenswerte Leistung unterstreicht den starken Aufwärtstrend, der den Markt derzeit antreibt. Lass mal einen kurzen Blick darauf werfen.
WHSELFINVEST:WALLSTREETCFD
Gleitende Durchschnitte bestätigen Stärke: Der Kurs des Dow liegt deutlich über seinen 50-, 100- und 200-Tage-Gleitenden Durchschnitten, was ein starkes Indiz für einen anhaltenden Au






















