Page 2 | Ideas and Forecasts on Stocks — Hong Kong, China — TradingView

TIANQI LITHIUM - Value Accepted — Early Migration in Play Acceptance above green value triangle, rotation higher toward value target VT1 expected. Break below red channel line = failed auction, exit. Lithium prices rebounding sharply off 2025 lows, supporting early-cycle recovery in the sector. Still volatile and supply-sensitive, with upside tied to sustained EV demand strength.

2318.HK at Critical Confluence: Upside Rotation Loading? Bullish acceptance: Close above green value line = continuation higher. Bearish failure: Break below red channel boundary = auction invalid. Price now at confluence of support + red boundary line. Expecting rotation to the upside. Analysts remain bullish (Buy consensus, avg PT ~HK$82–83, recent positive coverage). Watch for confirmation.

Don't expect price to shoot up the moment you purchased !We often watch movies depicting the professional killers as cold blooded, professional and devoid of emotions. That's why they are so good at their job! Ok, not the best analogy but you get my idea when applied to the world of investing ! We somehow feel better/happier/hopeful/at peace when the moment we bought a share of the company, ETF , forex currency ,etc and expect it to move to the directions we want within the next 24 hours (better if IMMEDIATE, haha). That , however is not how the world of investing works. In the short term, the stock can move in irrationally and that gives the investor an opportunity to buy in cheap and allow compounding to work its magic over time. One is best to buy and forget instead of staring at the chart every day and gives yourself heart palpitations and stressful nights ! For example, we can see that the price in Tencent is still on a downtrend channel and so long the price is not moving out of it and goes sideway before breaking out, there is still a chance for it to heads south towards the next support level at 363.20. That would be appetising as if it falls to that level and rebound (possibly), then we would have a triple bottom formation. And yes, sending all the gains in 2025 back to naught which can be devastating for some when they see their shares turning from green to red. Everyone would be a millionaire or multi-millionaire had we all took all our savings and bet BIG on any of the 7 magnificent stocks in US but my guess is we probably dabbled in some of them and regretted not betting MORE in it. Same here, if you pull back the chart and calculate for yourself had you invested in this company 10 years ago, 2015 , your returns are also pretty amazing as well. So let's be patient and let time do what it needs to do and we as investors continue to hunt down the good quality companies that generate consistent returns YOY and have a decent economic moat ,etc. As usual, please DYODD

could we see a triple bottom before a rebound for 9988?Investors must be frustrated with this stock especially when compared with the US tech that has given them much hope in the market! This tech giant has fallen more than 40% since Sept 2025, it has been 9 months and the bottom does not seem to have reach a floor yet...... Local government intervention is a STRONG deterrent in the growth of these local tech companies in China. How you advertise, promote the products on these platforms are crucial......in a way, you can say it protects the consumers , so is always 2 sides of a coin...... From time to time, US will add a list of tech companies in China like 9988, BYD, etc to its blacklists, denting investors confidence though we somehow know the storm will blew over in a matter of months....... Will 9988 emerge stronger from all these setbacks ?

$xiamoi approaching demand zone hold 21 and we golden to run it back shall get some of this as a long term play hope this candle is forming a wick on the monthly

by CompoundingGain

Is support going to hold?A lot of value against historical data, plus AI and buybacks. But, since October last year, Tencent keeps coming down, and it is about to hit support. Is it going to hold?

Tencent makes perfect Cup with Handle Almost perfect Cup with handle, Target next maybe 1-2 years is HKD 1200.- BUY NOW

Geely: Top Already Established?Since Geely continues to trade below the HK$20.90 mark, we have to consider an alternative scenario: A corrective top may have already formed in mid-April, with the subsequent sell-offs representing a downward phase likely to end with a low just above the HK$7.24 support. This scenario would be triggered by a drop below HK$12.94 support (probability: 28%). Primarily, however, we see Geely in an ongoing upward move, targeting a higher-level corrective high likely well above the HK$20.90 level. Accordingly, the current sell-offs should end soon and give way to renewed gains. Once a top forms, we expect significant sell-offs.

$1038 (CK Infrastructure Holdings) , Idea 1038 HK - Monthly : Four Paths, One Decision Zone After years of volatility, compression, and failed expansion attempts, price is once again approaching a critical structural area. The market is now sitting at a point where acceptance or rejection will define the next multi-year cycle. Four scenarios are mapped. Scenario 1a: Price retraces moderately into the reaction zone, holds structure, and launches into a sustained bullish expansion toward the upper macro target. Healthy reset. Constructive continuation. Scenario 1b: A deeper consolidation phase develops before the breakout sequence begins. More time. More frustration. Same bullish objective. Scenario 2a: Resistance rejects price aggressively, forcing a larger corrective move into macro demand before buyers reclaim control. Painful reset, but structurally recoverable. Scenario 2b: The bearish extension. Price fails to hold support, revisits the deepest demand zone, and delays any meaningful expansion cycle for years. All four scenarios originate from the same reality: the market is testing a major decision area. This is where positioning matters more than prediction. Monthly structures do not care about short-term narratives. They care about liquidity, acceptance, and macro participation. EQC tracks the reaction. The market decides the path. Hidden in plain sight. EQC. Follow, Boost, Thank You! Warning: Financial Disclaimer: This post is not financial advice. I am not your financial advisor, your HKEX insider, or your emotional support during macro drawdowns. Always do your own research and never trade solely based on arrows and internet conviction.

Value Accepted Above VT Acceptance confirmed above the Value Triangle (VT). Structure remains valid above the red Boundary Line (BL), with prior VT's behaviour reinforcing the trend. T1 projected from VT; exit on close below BL. Sector context: Fertiliser/agri inputs broadly stable over the past month, with China chemicals sector showing mixed but supportive pricing trends. Ticker-specific news: No material company-specific update over the past week; move appears structurally driven.

SMIC Semiconductor Migration Resolves Higher Sector context: Chinese semiconductor momentum remains supportive, with China semiconductor ETFs and domestic chip names strengthening on localisation and AI demand themes. Ticker-specific news: SMIC recently cleared another regulatory hurdle for its major SMNC acquisition while Q1 2026 profit growth expectations remain supportive.

You can have best of both world Tencent Holdings own many things , amongst the most popular is WeChat, the main communication channel in China. It also owns mobile payment gateway like WeChat Pay , facilitating many local Chinese who travels out of China to convert their currencies easily, a one stop place. Of course, no serious gamers will not know the likes of Riot Games, Epic, etc developed by Tencents. However, when we pinpoint a common start off date, say 2022 till now, the returns of Tencents is just half of what Meta has achieved. So, it pays to own both great companies and their heavy involvement in AI will pave the way forward to more mergers and acquisitions. Recently, both companies have fell quite a bit in their share price, which is a great opportunity to accumulate more shares ! As usual, please DYODD

$1810 - XIAOMI , Idea 1810 -XIAOMI - HKEX , Weekly The market structure on XIAOMI has been building for years. Higher lows confirmed. A break of structure printed. The system does not ignore that. Three scenarios are mapped. All three respect the same structural logic - they just differ in how deep the market wants to breathe before it moves. The first path shows a measured pullback into a demand zone, followed by continuation. Clean. The kind of move that looks obvious in hindsight. The second path is similar but allows for a deeper retest before continuation. Still bullish structure. Still higher targets overhead. The third path tests patience. A deeper correction into a lower demand zone - one that would shake most participants out - before the real move begins. This is how markets work. This is why process matters. All three scenarios converge toward the same overhead supply region. That is not a coincidence. That is structure doing what structure does. The weak high is marked. The strong low is marked. The rest is discipline. Hidden in plain sight. EQC. Follow, Boost, Thank You! Warning: Financial Disclaimer: This post is not financial advice. I am not your financial advisor, your life coach, or your legally responsible adult. Always do your own research and never trade based solely on internet comedy.

China Power: Energy Value Rotation Taking Shape Acceptance confirmed above the green Value Triangle (VT). Structure remains valid above the red Boundary Line (BL), with prior VT behaviour supporting the move. T1 projected from the VT. A close back below the red BL invalidates the structure. Sector context: China renewable and utility names remain supported by ongoing clean-energy investment flows and improving sentiment across HK-listed power producers. Ticker-specific news: Recent updates include new wind-power and EPC project agreements alongside stable electricity sales, supporting the broader renewable growth narrative.

0001.HK Rotation Resolves Higher from VT Acceptance confirmed above the green Value Triangle (VT). Structure remains valid above the red Boundary Line (BL), with prior VT behaviour supporting continuation. T1 projected from VT; exit on close below BL. Sector context: Hong Kong conglomerates tracking a mixed Hang Seng backdrop; no strong sector tailwind currently. Ticker-specific news: No notable company-specific news over the past week; move appears structurally driven.

China Life Insurance: Surging Higher China Life Insurance shares have surged recently, posting gains of around 15%. We see the price in a pullback and expect a corresponding low near support at HK$20.60. We anticipate this level will be reached through a three-part move, with corrective rallies likely before the price ultimately declines toward the HK$20.60 support. On the other hand, iIt’s possible that an even higher high could form above resistance at HK$36.16 before the anticipated sell-off unfolds (probability: 31%).

3750 (HK) - CATL EV Batteries giant oversold ? I have been watching quite a few YouTube videos on the recent Chinese Car show in Shenzhen and keep hearing over and over that each brand is using CATL batteries. The stock price has been performing well, with good revenue numbers coming in, but a $5B capital raising has seen a big drop (and importantly) gap in the share price bring it back into much better value area. I asked the TradingView AI to run the numbers and see what ti thinks the fair price should be post raise and it came back at $674 which is way higher than its current $608, so Im thinking there might be an opportunity here. The full AI blurb below: CATL (HKEX:3750): $5B Raise Creates ~10% Discount to Fair Value The Capital Raise CATL confirmed a $5 billion top-up placement, issuing ~62.4 million new shares at HK$628.20. The deal attracted major institutional investors including Millennium Management and Norges Bank Investment Management (NBIM). H-shares initially dropped 8% on the announcement — a classic "sell the news" liquidity flush. Theoretical Fair Value (TERP) Blended post-placement value: ~HK$674.71 Current trading price: HK$608.00 Discount to fair value: ~9.9% — the market is pricing in more than mechanical dilution. The Bull Case From the Ground Spent time watching coverage from the China car show — CATL batteries power virtually every major Chinese EV manufacturer. Their cell-to-pack dominance remains unchallenged. This isn't a broken story; it's a balance-sheet strengthening event on a sector leader. The company also just locked in its first large-scale sodium-ion battery deal (60 GWh over 3 years) with Beijing HyperStrong — diversification is progressing. The Technical Setup The gap-down on heavy volume broke near-term support, flushing weak holders. Price is now trading ~3.2% below the placement price (HK$628.20) and nearly 10% below theoretical fair value. The 608 level is holding as immediate support; below that, the Fib 0.50 at ~584 and Golden Pocket at ~557 become the deeper structural zones. The Play If the EV battery thesis remains intact — and the car show evidence suggests CATL's competitive moat is intact — the current price embeds a ~10% "placement panic" discount. First test is the placement price (~628); fair value fill toward ~675 is the broader target.

3866 HK – Expansion Phase Triggered Analysis Acceptance confirmed above the Value Triangle (VT). Structure remains valid above the red Boundary Line (BL), with prior VT's supporting the move. T1 projected from VT height; Take partial or all profit at T1, exit if close below BL. Sector context: Chinese banking sector remains mixed, with policy support offset by subdued lending growth and margin pressure. Ticker-specific news: No notable company-specific news over the past week; move appears structurally driven.

Value Accepted Above VT Acceptance confirmed above the Value Triangle (VT). Structure remains valid above the red Boundary Line (BL), with prior Value triangles behaviour supporting continuation. T1 projected from VT; exit on close below BL. Sector context: Hong Kong tech/distribution names remain mixed over the past month, with broader Hang Seng tech sentiment still uneven. Ticker-specific news: No material company-specific update over the past week; move appears structurally driven.

Autonomous is in the real live deployment, works? From the Week chart, with the indicators & trading volume it signals the reversal. I see a good risk/reward ratio. It’s a pure technical indicators analysis but not fundamental value. HKEX:3690 Cautious support level (Stop Level) : 81-83 Key Support : 73-77 Strong support : 61 (2024 Low level) Next Resistance : 89, 93 Target : 107 (Graviting Trend Line) Good Entry level : 85 - 87 - Anything within this range is good to accumulate. Cautious of the support levels. More conservative entry wait for confirmation to stay above 89 (price closed 89) The achievable target is 107 (~20%) You may want to put a SL and exit if it breaks below the key support zone. Autonomous food delivery robots and drones is now putting into real deployment of business. “Given early commercial deployments, platform-level investment and exposure to higher labour costs that could be mitigated via automation.” Barclays expects What do you think? Please feel free to comment and share your thoughts.

Xiaomi or the Chinese Tesla Xiaomi is targeted toward higher grounds as it will bounce on the quinquennial pivot point.

3988 - 1 year ASCENDING TRIANGLE ══════════════════════════════ Since 2014, my markets approach is to spot trading opportunities based solely on the development of CLASSICAL CHART PATTERNS 🤝Let’s learn and grow together 🤝 ══════════════════════════════ Hello Traders ✌ After a careful consideration I came to the conclusion that: - it is crucial to be quick in alerting you with all the opportunities I spot and often I don't post a good pattern because I don't have the opportunity to write down a proper didactical comment; - since my parameters to identify a Classical Pattern and its scenario are very well defined, many of my comments were and would be redundant; - the information that I think is important is very simple and can easily be understood just by looking at charts; For these reasons and hoping to give you a better help, I decided to write comments only when something very specific or interesting shows up, otherwise all the information is shown on the chart. Thank you all for your support 🔎🔎🔎 ALWAYS REMEMBER "A pattern IS NOT a Pattern until the breakout is completed. Before that moment it is just a bunch of colorful candlesticks on a chart of your watchlist" ═════════════════════════════ ⚠ DISCLAIMER ⚠ The content is The Art Of Charting's personal opinion and it is posted purely for educational purpose and therefore it must not be taken as a direct or indirect investing recommendations or advices. Any action taken upon these information is at your own risk.

by TheArtOfCharting

Tencent: Back to Lower Levels Tencent stock has recently erased the gains from two weeks ago and continued to sell off, in line with our primary scenario. We currently position price in the final downward phase of the broader correction. We anticipate the low to form between the two support levels at HK$364.80 and HK$188.60. In our alternative scenario (probability: 35%), a corrective low would have already been established at the beginning of the month. In that case, the stock would now move higher with increased momentum and form a higher corrective top above the resistance at HK$715.00, before entering its final downward move.