Ideas and Forecasts on Stocks — Kenya — TradingView

SCBK - Back Where It Started SCBK has been an odd one this year. It hit an all-time high of 370 in April while profits were falling, so the market was pricing the dividend, not the business. Once the dividend was paid, its drifted back to where it started the year. Now it’s back at the 296–305 mark and last week’s dip to 280 got bought quickly. Looking into 2027 : The first half should be about the dividend. If Q3 holds up and the March results confirm a payout near last year’s, price has room to build back toward 340.

by Nigel_the_champ

KENYA PIPELINE COMPANY On the 30th of September, I was to publish this analysis and it seems it was not uploaded. Since the Lamu refinery project was announced, I have been advocating for an accumulation of KPC shares. The reason being, KPC is bound to be a major beneficiary of the refinery. Our group members were buying KPC between Ksh 9.00 and 9.02. Now that the stock price has rallied in the past few trading days, we are no longer accumulating KPC shares. Rather, planning for partial profit-taking guided by Fib

Safaricom In the short term i expect a consolidation, then a slight pullback to take out the Equal highs at Ksh 37.2. If price hold above 37.2 then i would be expecting the price to rally up targeting the monthly Fair Value Gap around 41

UMME Umme was listed in 2012 at an IPO price of Ksh 9.50. However, their 20-year electricity concession in Uganda ended on March 31st, 2025, with a buyout agreement still in court. Post-concession, Umeme’s distribution assets and operations were to be handed over to the state- owned Uganda Electricity Distribution Company Limited (UEDCL) following a buyout. There was a partial payout at a rate of Ksh 9.48, but Umme is seeking a buyout price of at least Ksh 32.82. For Umme, we are buying the stock w

DTK LONG Diamond Trust has shown relative strength during this pullback period. this positions the stock for outperformance as the market recovers. a double bottom provides a favourable risk-reward entry point.

BKG LONG we got whipped buying the stock just before ex-dividend date. BKG is reminiscent of the Access Bank Ghana playbook: a high-quality business whose valuation multiples severely understate its quality. BKG consistently delivers best-in-class performance across virtually all banking relevant metrics. Price Target: KES 92.50

BRIT LONG compression regimes lead to expansion. typing this to fulfill the minimum word limit. unusual volume witnessed in late March suggests this move still has a lot room to go.

CO-OPERATIVE ANALYSIS V2 Based on our previous analysis, we were buying Co-Operative Bank shares between Kes 10.00 and 15.00 in the years 2023 and 2024. In 2025, we sold the shares we bought in 2024 for a 27.66% return, and we are left with the volume of shares bought in 2023. Moving forward, Co-operative Bank is trading at all-time highs, and this makes it difficult for new investors to buy the stock. Since there are no historical price references, we will adopt the Fibonacci extension and the Stochastic RSI indicato

KENYA POWER AND LIGHTING COMPANY Nairobi security exchange KENYA POWER AND LIGHTING COMPANY NEWS Kenya Power to Convert Its 2,000 Vehicles to Electric Over 4 Years Stock looks in demande stop loss 1.18 How much is HKEX:1 US in Kenya? 133.935384 KES A high-risk investment is therefore one where the chances of underperformance, or of some or all of the investment being lost, are higher than average. These investment opportunities often offer investors the potential for larger returns in exchange for accepting the as

ABSA WEEKLY ANALYSIS ABSA share price shows Kes 26.00 as resistance that should be broken and traded above to confirm that resistance has turned into support. The Fibonacci extension indicates potential to the upside, with a target price of $40.00 in the far future. The downside will attract buyers, with multiple support zones to keep the price from an aggressive sell-off. In the short-term, the stock price will probably consolidate between the Fibonacci prices of Kes 23.00 and Kes 26.00 Buying at the current price

Uchumi Pump:Dump This is purely for demo purposes. :-) :-) A Pump and Dump is common to those who have been in the market for a while. This is when an individual, group, or institution takes advantage of an illiquid asset by aggressively increasing its price for a lucrative exit. If you pay close attention, you can spot a pump and dump in some tradeable assets. Let us use uchumi. I am not implying that this is a pump and dump, Haha :-D But we can use it as a case study. This is how it works. 1. There is a p

NCBA NCBA has been a tricky stock to buy in 2025, as the stock price has been making all-time highs, and there are no historical price references. In such a scenario, certain tools can be employed to gain insight into what the future might hold in terms of price action. Fibonacci extension is my tool of choice, and it has served me well in the past. We can see that NCBA is trading at a premium, making it a high-risk stock to purchase at current prices. There is some capital gains potential, but it

V2 KCB ANALYSIS Based on our version 1 analysis, we were accumulating KCB between Kes 15.00 and 18.00. KCB has been one of the best performing stock ever since. Let us take a look at the version 2 analysis of KCB. We are seeing the 2015 price peak of Kes 65.50 acting as resistance for now, making FOMO a possible variable to push the stock price higher and trade above the 2015 peak price. If January-February profit taking comes into play, the price might find support at Kes 50.00. If the price breaks and tr

KENYA AIRWAYS From an all-time high of Kes 571 in 2006 to Kes 3.49 as of writing, Kenya Airways has been a tough stock to hold. Those who bought the stock in the years 2006 and 2007 saw their position lose over 90% of its value in 19 years. Kenya Airways has been trading below its IPO price of Kes 11.25, and this is as a result of macro and micro factors that have left the company on its knees for years. However, sometimes you need to look beyond logic to see hope in the company turning around to profitabili

Sanlam V2 analysis We already shared an analysis on Sanlam, and the position did extremely well. I am keeping it simple for future positioning as long as fundamentals remain attractive. 1. Accumulate between Kes 6 & 8 2. If the stock price breaks above kes 10.00 resistance, it will probably trade in a channel, with kes 12.00 being a crucial inflection price. 3. Target price for partial exit is Kes 18.00

SAFARICOM ANALYSIS 2 Safaricom's Price action has followed the first analysis published a few years ago, and nothing much has changed since then (go to our page and look for the first analysis). I will accumulate Safaricom if the share price falls to my accumulation zone and the fundamentals remain stable. If the share price breaks below my accumulation zone, the Dollar Cost Averaging strategy comes into play, and I will adjust my exit price. However, if the price falls below the accumulation zone, you must dig

Nation Media Group Accumulating Nation media group with a price target of Kes 30.00. However, this will be a difficult stock to hold onto. Fundamentals are a bit tricky to work with; hopefully, the current CEO will turn things around.

Housing Finance Analysis V2 In 2017, the share price was unable to break above Kes 11.00 resistance price. This is the case in 2025. Moving forward, Kes 11.00 will be a crucial price that will determine the direction of the stock price. For now, Kes 11.00 is playing resistance. This brings the probability of the stock price falling to an interim support price of Kes 8.00, but the support is weak. We will be buying more HFCK shares at Kes 8.00 with aggressive accumulation between Kes 4.00 and 6.00.

SAFARICOM Shares ~ An Elliott Wave Analysis Looking at an all time Safaricom chart, we reach a Flat correction(A,B and C), and whole chart represents the C part of the correction as mentioned. Our Wave C is full of character showcasing 5 internal waves as expected. We start off with Wave 1(Green), from the top left of the chart, that had 5 internal waves shown in black. When Wave 1 was completed, we witnessed a Flat correction with 3 internal waves, A, B and C. These 3 formed our Wave 2(Green) and we should expect a Zigzag correction for

by TheElliottWaveLab

KENGEN ANALYSIS V2 Based on KenGen's initial analysis, we aggressively accumulated the stock between Kes 2.00 and 3.00. We will be looking at adding to our KenGen holdings in the short and long term with respect to the technical analysis. We are retaining our target of Kes 11.90, which was KenGen's IPO price.

Centum Analysis V2 I was accumulating Centum shares at below Kes 10.00 in 2024. However, Centum still looks attractive for long-term capital gains. I will be looking at accumulating the stock between Kes 11.00 and Kes 14.50.

SCOM PULLBACK the stock has reached a zone we foresaw as one that will induce a sizable pullback. within this zone, a double top was confirmed after the price had a muted reaction to a great earnings report. a couple of bearish RSI divergences are the icing on the cake. a close above the high of October 31 would invalidate this trade. in the interim, we foresee a 20% pullback before trend continuation.

TPSE SERENA From Pakistan to Mozambique, Serena boasts a portfolio of 35 luxury hotels and lodges. Despite ever-increasing competition in the hospitality sector, the company is growing on a year-on-year basis. Comparing financials to the stock price, Serena is an attractive stock to accumulate for the long term. The first volume of shares was bought at Kes 16.00

Safaricom setting up for reversal Hello, Divergence clear on this stock signalling we might be close to the bottom. Divergence in stocks refers to a situation where the price of a particular stock or index moves in a different direction than an indicator or another related stock or index. It indicates a potential shift in market sentiment or investor behavior, creating a disparity between the expected and observed trends. Divergence can occur in various forms, such as price-oscillator divergence or intermarket divergence, and i