Comvita Monthly Buy ZoneBuying into Comvita
Monthly chart going back decades
Has multiple reasons to buy technically, and is selling far below book value, has low debt to equity and current ratio of 5.54 so assets far outweigh liabilities
Low dividend, but this is really a long term capital gains play say 5 years should be up to at least $5-$6
Rakon NZ long term buying level approachingRakon Monthly chart
I'm currently looking at long term investments to hold for years, and noticed this one
Current price is $0.80, but I think it could easily fall to $0.41c
Downside $0.42c
Dividend ~ ~5% at that price level
Potential capital gain, 300% gain is pretty easy to get to $1.20, the all time high was $5.80
Could easily hold for a couple of years sell half and make 100%+ on your original money and still own some shares
The upside with volatile stocks like this is that there are very few real support or resistance levels on the chart i.e. big bars... these can easily get blown through both ways as there are no major order pools there that take time to fill
See what happens but its on my watchlist with price alerts set
RLong
Air New Zealand Monthly ChartAir New Zealand monthly chart,
Descending triangle which is at 25 year low, triangle are often wave 4s which suggest it still wants to go lower
I actually want to see this break the low and create a 5th wave triangle overthrow as shown
This would be a great buying zone as the current price of $0.587 is offering a 7% dividend, if it were to drop to 42-44cents then it will increase to 10% yield, going back to pre COVID, the dividend went up to 0.08c
Downside is $0.40
Upside is dividend 7-10% possibly increasing up to 20%
Capital appreciation even up to the top of the triangle is 300% gain...
Risk is the company is carrying too much debt and the operating profit is very low at sub 5%, so there likely needs to be a restructure
Blowing the price to a new all time low will definitely create a catalyst for change and offer a good buying opportunity
This is partially government owned so very very unlikely to go bankrupt, but can still go through a restructure to reset debt and operating expense ratios
KMD NZ Buying long term positionMonthly chart
Buying long term position trade for a set and forget position
Currently at
- 16% forward dividend
- Large monthly AB=CD pattern
- Monthly oversold RSI
These 3 reasons alone are enough for me to get in....
Retail is doing it tough and there are going to have to be some restructuring taking place, but it is a good brand that makes good products and I know it very well and have some of their clothes in my wardrobe
KLong
RBD - Weekly ChartHoping this drops to 2.36-2.58 range from where it is now at $3.90
That is somewhere around the current book value of $2.26 mrq so would make sense...0
I'll keep an eye on this one, as any bullish retracement will likely go against the news...
So bad news may be a good buying opportunity!
Here's hoping...! upside would go up by 3x...
RLong
RBD - Restaurant Brands NZX Monthly ChartBlast from the past, this was the second stock I bought back in 2005...
I'm from NZ so know the company, they own KFC, Pizza Hut, Taco Bell and Carls Junior so compete in the fast food industry, and kiwis love their fast food!!
Fundamentally this clearly has a story behind the fall - but I think it has overshot to the downside with basics like PE it is currently around 10 but the market is around 18
Also the revenue has been increasing steadily with EBITDA margin % sitting steady at 16-18% so whatever the reason for the fall - i think fundamentally the business will continue to create cashflow and be profitable,
The one downside is that they've financed growth with debt, and the increase in earnings is not in line with the growth in debt, which may have been the catalyst
With a current ratio of 0.43 there needs to be a rationalisation/ restructure to balance this out so it's going to be a turnaround story becuase with a De ration of 363% thats simply too high as simple interest rate increases could bury them...
Either way, technically I think it may bounce from around here, and I'm looking to buy some shares for my children... I think it is possible to see the price increase by 50-120% in the next year... and then possibly sell out all or possibly half,,, and keep the other 50% for free...
A lot of fibonacci levels showing up here as well as some elliot wave theory, I may dig in closer to see if there are any clear entries of interest or just simply buy as this is a long term play
RLong
Sky Network Television Limited NPV: Unlocking Entertainment and
Investors, get ready to explore the world of media and entertainment with Sky Network Television Limited NPV. This company is at the forefront of delivering captivating content and presents an intriguing investment opportunity. Let's delve into why Sky Network Television Limited NPV is worth considering.
Technical Analysis:
Multiple Timeframes: Our analysis covers various timeframes, including 2D, 6D, 7D, 8D, 9D, and 22D charts. This comprehensive approach confirms the stock's performance trends and potential.
Candlestick Patterns: We analyze the 9-day chart to understand the current market sentiment. This information can provide insights into the stock's recent price movements.
Fundamental Analysis:
Company Overview: Sky Network Television Limited NPV is a leading player in the media and entertainment industry, known for its diverse content offerings and market presence.
Financial Health: Assessing financial metrics such as revenue growth, profitability, and debt levels is essential for evaluating the company's financial stability.
Market Position: The company's competitive position within the media and entertainment sector, along with its ability to adapt to changing consumer preferences, are key factors shaping its long-term potential.
Key Insights:
Content Portfolio: Sky Network Television Limited NPV benefits from its diverse content portfolio, catering to a wide range of audiences and preferences.
Industry Trends: Keep an eye on emerging trends in the media and entertainment industry, such as streaming services and content distribution, as they can significantly impact the company's prospects.
Risk Management: As with any investment, it's essential to implement a risk management strategy, including setting stop-loss levels and diversifying your portfolio.
In summary, Sky Network Television Limited NPV isn't just a media company; it's an opportunity to be part of the dynamic world of entertainment and media. However, remember that investing carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Thorough research and consultation with a financial advisor are essential for making well-informed investment decisions.
Stay tuned for further updates on Sky Network Television Limited NPV, and prepare to unlock both entertainment and investment potential! 📺📈
Rakon Brings a DividendRakon reported strong results today but the pièce de résistance was its dividend of 1.5c per share (roughly ~1.5% gross). We called for a dividend in our initiation of coverage on the company and we’re buoyed that management listened – we think this is crucial to unlocking shareholder value and valuing the stock at a multiple on par with its international peers. Noting good growth in the 5G space alongside its position business, posting double-digit growth on both fronts. Expecting FY23 FWB:27M of EBITDA or thereabouts – management hinted at a tightening market; we’re interested to see how this plays out. Interesting parallel with Apple’s Broadcom deal today - onshoring is a theme and RAK is positioning to do well from it.
EROAD reported a fairly poor result. Lots of rhetoric like “management executes new plan” but EBIT is still sitting at negative $4.5M in spite of ~$165.M of revenue. We note extremely high wage & admin cost is the culprit here: $57.5M spent on wages and $41.M spent on admin cost – admin cost almost doubled from the year previous.
We think management owes an explanation for this cash burn – the promise of SaaS is high margins and recurring revenue; EROAD’s management seems not to have got the memo. Read more at research.blackbull.com
R
Rakon: Worth +$1.40; Management should institute a dividend Rakon is a NZ based manufacturer of frequency control chips which enable data transmission, particularly for satellites and the communications industry as a whole. The company forecasts HKEX:40 -43M of EBITDA for the FY23 and trades around 8x earnings. We think the company looks materially undervalued at 8x earnings, largely because the board has not declared a dividend – we think a declared dividend would act as a catalyst that sees the stock re-rate to ~$1.10-1.40 per share. The catalyst is the company instituting a dividend – this is something that shareholders have been advocating for since at least 2020. Mike Daniel who owns 5.7% of the company is strongly advocating for a dividend – a 20% dividend would amount to less than $4M of est.$19.8M TPP – we agree with Daniel & other shareholders here – it seems questionable that a publicly traded company on the NZX is not offering a dividend when they are cash-positive with very little debt.
We think the stock is worth at least $1.40 based on peer multiples – obviously peer multiples have decreased as the global tech sector has been hit – Taiwan Semiconductor, for example, trades at 14x fwd earnings – on the same very reasonable multiple Rakon is worth ~$1.48. This factors in underlying EBITDA decreasing -10% and softening valuations of tech companies globally.
RLong
Synlait MilkCould see a bottom in the NZ Dairy market, why..... Dairy its their biggest export market.
This can also help the fight against inflation and also with GDP as they could see a cool off in the housing/construction market due to Rate hikes.
Also seeing A2 and Fonterra companies doing well this last week with good amount of volume and a nice Gap in price indicates to me strong buyers here.
Im gauging Synlait Milk could see a +100% gain poss within a year or 2. If that level holds and show signs of distribution, then we could possibly see a Head & Shoulders but i'll save that post for another day...
AIR NEW ZEALAND BEAR CALLSAir New Zealand is in a Wave 4 consolidation for continuation to the downside. Invalidation is a break to the upside of the purple box..
The catalysis would need to be something much worse than covid. And looking at other airlines it shares the same fate... is it possible could 'they' inflick some type of natural disaster that will disrupt travel?
CANNASOUTH - BULLISH So much Bullish sentiment for this market to run.
The pharmaceuticals aspect of this will be a breakthrough for medical use which will have adoption very quickly.
Not to mention recreational use also easing up in many parts of the world will see big demand.
Remember, do your own research!!
CLong
Stay neutral, AAIA to go up again probably in 2 to 3 months.Although currently the COVID-19 is hitting the airline industry hard, it seems that New Zealand is somewhere between halfway to near its peak in the Omricon wave. According to the Rate Of Change on "Confirmed_NZ", NZ New cases usually plateau somewhere around 20. Currently the Rate Of Change is around 10. It is also being seen that the Rate Of Change is already slowing down. Thus, New Zealand is near the plateau of new case numbers.
Once new case numbers start going down, air travel to New Zealand will increase, and thus AAIA would also increase in value.
AIR.NZ high returns for the next couple of years For stable investors, we have seen the pandemic and preventive measures taken by the countries that have affected the airlines market, Suspension of flights, and the ban on receiving travelers in some countries, High oil, energy prices, and layoffs have made a huge collapse of airlines market.
for the New Zealand airlines, the time is coming to buy the small fish, with the share price dropping 49% in three years and the COVID-19 negative news, we can go long on AIR.NZ stock.
Corporate directors expect the aviation sector to improve in 2024 so we can buy low and sell high.
The total debt for the company has been reduced by 10.88% since 29/6/2020 was: 3,713 B to be: 3,309 B in 29/6/2021
The company's free cash flow was just on the positive side 0.092 B in 2021 and was -0.385 B for the year 2020, which will help the company generate cash to support the business.
the company assets have been reduced by -11.25% since it was: 7,543 B in the year 2020 to be: 6,694 B the 2021 year based on (yahoo finance),
overview of the company,
we can see the price will continue moving downside towards 0.85 $ -0.93$ support area, so we can enter our position there:
targeting 2.93 $- 3.00 $ resistance area, as our near target for the next couple of years,
This investment will take two years or more (estimated)
with an expected return of 200% - 240% in two years or three years
Air nz back in businessBreaking its overall trend resistance since covid last year air nz has been bought out its long positions between 1,30-1,55 zone and is currently entering a bullish channel for 2022.
ITs overall support has now increased and with covid pandemic almost being finished with vacc rates close to 90% we will see the tourisim business looking to get back in 2022,
Price prediction,2.20 by feb and 3-5 dollars within the following years with an increase in EV's with its 2030 first electrical plane forecast,
along with this information possible news of deals with Singapore and Malaysia airlines could booster up the price to 5+ within the following years, very solid long term buy imo






















