Bitcoin - Starting another big drop! 56k soon (42k then?)Bitcoin will soon enter a capitulation phase. Right now it's a good time to sell or short Bitcoin on futures. Why? The current price is at the top of the channel, which acts as a strong resistance. As soon as the price gets below the blue local channel, the downtrend is confirmed! Bitcoin has been in a bear market since October 2026, and I expect this trend to continue in August and September! In the short term my target is 56,500, as you can see on the chart. But my midterm target is around 42,000, and I expect this target to be hit in September/October. We should see some very bad news during this event, such as a hack of a major exchange or capitulation of major players/miners in the crypto space.
From a technical point of view of this chart, I think we can expect a bounce from the bottom of the descending channel. It does make sense also from a point of view of taking liquidity below the previous swing low.
NUMBER 1 RULE: You know that no market is free, all major markets are completely controlled/manipulated by banks and governments. You must trade with them, not against them. Make sure your strategy is optimized to this behavior. You want to buy where all people have their stop losses and sell where all people have their buy orders.
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! I am very transparent with my trades. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
In-depth trading ideas
๏ปฟBTC โ Bearish Rejection at 64,794, Eyes on 61,600 SweepBTC is printing repeated liquidity grabs into 64,794, and sellers are showing clear control heading into a correction.
Why This Level Matters:
Price keeps sweeping highs and failing to hold above the 64,400โ64,794 supply zone. Each grab has ended in rejection, and momentum is now leaning firmly to the downside.
Gameplan / Primary Scenario:
Sell the rejection out of this supply zone once we get a clean reversal signal. The move points straight toward the 61,600 demand zone as the main target, with room to extend lower toward the 58,400 base if selling pressure continues. Wait for confirmation at current levels, then enter short on the breakdown.
If this added value, boost it forward. What are your thoughts?
Swallow Academy
Trading Roadmap ยท Wave Analysis ยท Lesson 01Lesson 1 - Wave Analysis Foundations: The Rhythm Behind Every Market
Difficulty: (BeginnerโIntermediate)
Markets do not move randomly. They move in patterns, cycles, and rhythms that repeat across every timeframe and every asset. Wave Analysis is the framework that reads that rhythm โ and once you see it, price action starts making sense in a way it never did before. Welcome to Course 02.
๐ต RECAP โ WHAT YOU LEARNED IN COURSE 01
Across 12 lessons in Classical Technical Analysis, you learned how to read the chart, identify trends, draw support and resistance, recognize candle and chart patterns, interpret volume, and use Moving Averages.
Course 02 takes all of that and adds a new dimension: structure . Wave Analysis teaches you to see the underlying architecture of every price move โ the pattern beneath the noise.
๐ต WHY WAVE ANALYSIS MATTERS
Most traders react to what price just did. Wave Analysis helps you understand where price is in the bigger structure โ and that context can dramatically change how you trade.
With wave analysis you can:
Identify whether the current move is likely a continuation or a correction
Estimate where a trend might slow down, reverse, or extend
Combine price action, S/R, and momentum with clearer structural context
Avoid entering trades right before a natural corrective phase
๐ณ Pro Tip: Wave Analysis is not about predicting the future with certainty. It is about mapping the possibilities and preparing for the most likely ones.
๐ต 1. THE CORE IDEA โ TWO TYPES OF MOVES
The market moves in two directions :
With the trend โ impulsive moves in the dominant direction
Against the trend โ corrective moves that pause or partially reverse
Every trend, on every timeframe, is built from these two types of moves alternating.
๐ณ Pro Tip: Learn to identify whether the current move is impulsive or corrective before doing anything else. That single distinction shapes every decision.
๐ต 2. THE 5-WAVE / 3-WAVE CYCLE
Classical wave theory describes a complete market cycle as 8 waves total :
5 waves in the direction of the larger trend โ labeled 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
3 waves against it as a correction โ labeled A, B, C
In an uptrend:
Waves 1, 3, 5 push higher (impulsive)
Waves 2, 4 pull back inside the trend (corrective)
Waves A, B, C form the correction after the 5-wave move completes
The reverse structure applies in a downtrend.
๐ณ Pro Tip: The 5-wave move is the trend. The 3-wave move is the correction. Learn to see them separately and everything else in wave analysis becomes easier.
๐ต 3. FRACTAL NATURE โ WAVES WITHIN WAVES
This is what makes wave analysis powerful and challenging at the same time.
Every wave is itself made of smaller waves. And every group of waves is part of a larger wave on a higher timeframe.
Example: Wave 3 on the daily chart may itself be made of a full 5-wave impulse when you look at the 1H chart. And that daily 5-wave sequence may be Wave 3 of a weekly move.
๐ณ Pro Tip: The fractal nature means you must always know which degree (timeframe scale) you are counting. Losing track of degree is the number one cause of wrong counts.
๐ต 4. THE OVERLAP TEST โ HOW TO TELL THEM APART
Learning to tell an impulsive move from a corrective one is the foundation of every wave count.
Impulsive moves typically:
Travel in the direction of the higher-timeframe trend
Are strong, decisive, with clear expansion
Show 5 sub-waves internally with no overlap (Wave 4 low above Wave 1 high in an uptrend)
Corrective moves typically:
Travel against the higher-timeframe trend
Move slower, in overlapping / choppy structure
Show 3 sub-waves internally with clear overlap between waves
๐ณ Pro Tip: Overlap is your biggest clue. Clean impulses rarely overlap. Corrections overlap constantly.
๐ต 5. WAVE DEGREES โ THE HIERARCHY
Waves come in different sizes, called degrees . From smallest to largest:
Sub-minuette / Minuette โ intraday scale
Minute / Minor โ swing scale
Intermediate / Primary โ position scale
Cycle / Supercycle โ long-term scale
You do not need to memorize every degree name. What matters is knowing that a Wave 3 on one scale might be a Wave A on the next scale up.
๐ณ Pro Tip: Always label the timeframe you are counting on. Never mix degrees in the same analysis.
๐ต 6. HOW WAVE ANALYSIS FITS WITH EVERYTHING ELSE
Wave Analysis is not a replacement for classical TA โ it is a lens you overlay on top of it.
Ways to combine:
Use S/R levels to anticipate where waves might end
Use volume to confirm whether a wave is impulsive or fading
Use Fibonacci to measure the depth of Wave 2 and Wave 4 retracements
Use Moving Averages as dynamic context for impulse strength
๐ต 7. COMMON BEGINNER MISTAKES
Counting waves without identifying the higher-timeframe trend first
Forcing a 5-wave count on a corrective structure
Mixing multiple degrees in the same analysis
Ignoring overlap โ a strong impulse should not overlap
Treating wave counts as fixed predictions rather than working scenarios
Skipping the fundamentals โ trend, S/R, structure โ and jumping straight into wave labels
๐ต 8. YOUR WAVE ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK
Before labeling any wave count, ask:
What is the higher-timeframe trend?
Is the current move impulsive or corrective?
Does the internal structure show 5 sub-waves or 3?
On which degree am I counting?
๐ต QUICK SELF-CHECK
Explain the difference between impulsive and corrective moves
Draw a full 5-3 wave cycle on paper
Identify at least one impulse and one correction on any live chart
Explain what "wave degree" means
Recognize why counting on multiple degrees at once causes errors
๐ต WHAT IS NEXT
Lesson 2 โ Impulse Waves (5-Wave Structure): we zoom into the impulse side of the cycle. What makes each of the 5 waves unique, how to identify them in real time, and how the rules of the 5-wave structure filter out invalid counts early.
Drop a comment: what confuses you most about wave analysis so far โ degrees, corrections, or spotting impulses?
Full Trading Roadmap | Wave Analysis Course
This is the first lesson of Course 02. New lessons will be added here as they are published.
Best Regards, BigBeluga ๐ณ
BTC/USDT: Below the Flip LevelHI!
The 1h chart for BTC/USDT shows clear exhaustion after a brief rally. Price managed to push above the local resistance zone, but the move lacked follow-through and quickly dropped back under the flip level (around $65,700).
Following this deviation, the market has entered a descending channel and is printing lower highs and lower lows. With the flip level now acting as overhead resistance again, the path of least resistance remains downward.
Key Outlook:
Expect continued bearish momentum within the descending channel, targeting the confluence area where the lower channel boundary meets the long-term ascending trendline near $64,000โ$64,100. A temporary bounce could occur along the way, but the overall structure favors sellers until the descending channel is broken to the upside.
Iโm excited to announce that Iโm now a Brand Ambassador for AvaTrade!
BTCUSDT Long: Climbs Toward $67K Resistance โ Bulls in Control?Hello traders! Hereโs my technical outlook based on the current BTCUSDT (4H) chart structure. BTCUSDT previously traded inside a broad descending channel before breaking below support, confirming a bearish shift. After consolidating inside a range, buyers regained control from the 62,900 Demand Zone and pushed price into an ascending channel. The recovery has now reached the 67,000 Supply Zone.
Currently, BTCUSDT is trading above the 62,900 Demand Zone while approaching the 67,000 Supply Zone. Price continues to respect the ascending channel, although the nearby supply area may trigger selling pressure.
As long as BTCUSDT remains above the 62,900 Demand Zone and holds within the ascending channel, the bullish scenario remains valid. A continuation higher could push price toward the 67,000 Supply Zone (TP1). Manage your risk!
Bitcoin Faces Key Resistance After Rebound โ Pullback To 64K?Hello traders! Hereโs my technical outlook based on the current BTCUSDT (1H) chart structure. BTCUSDT previously advanced inside a broad ascending channel before reaching the 65,800 Seller Zone, where buyers lost momentum. Price then formed a short-term descending channel, but recently rebounded from its lower boundary and is now retesting the former breakout area near resistance. Currently, BTCUSDT is trading above the 64,000 Buyer Zone while remaining below the 65,800 Seller Zone and the descending channel resistance. The latest rebound suggests buyers are attempting to regain control, but sellers continue defending the upper resistance. As long as BTCUSDT remains below the 65,800 Seller Zone and respects the descending channel resistance, the bearish scenario remains valid. A rejection from current levels could push price back toward the 64,000 Buyer Zone (TP1), where buyers may attempt to defend support. Please share this idea with your friends and click "Boost" ๐
BTC: Breakout Opens the Door to $71K and BeyondBTC: Breakout Opens the Door to $71K and Beyond
From our analysis, BTC is clearly developing in a bullish pattern. The only problem is that the price has been in a correction for a long time, about 3 weeks.
Bitcoin is breaking out of the pattern so far, indicating that the bulls can push the price further.
Unless we face further surprises to push the price down again for a bigger correction, then this is the right time for BTC to start the move that many of us have been waiting for.
The first target is almost reached from our previous analysis so the focus remains on the other targets considering the current price development.
Main Targets:
71000
73850
77650
You can find more details on the chart.
Thank you and good luck! ๐
โ ๏ธPS: Do your own analysis and use your own strategy to join the trade.
โค๏ธ If this analysis helps your trading day, please support it with a like or comment โค๏ธ
BITCOIN - A distribution toward 67K before a decline?BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P has transitioned from consolidation into a distribution phase following the breakout above resistance and is now advancing toward a key resistance zone within the broader bearish trend
The fundamental backdrop remains relatively weak for the cryptocurrency market. However, spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded inflows for five consecutive trading sessions, providing short-term support for the current rally.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin has broken above the 65,600 resistance level, and the momentum built during consolidation could drive price toward the 67,250 resistance zone. Nevertheless, given the prevailing higher-timeframe bearish trend, this area may act as a significant barrier and halt the advance
Resistance levels: 67,250
Support levels: 65,600, 63,800, 61,800
The broader market trend remains bearish. Price is approaching the key 67,250 resistance zone, where a short squeeze could shift momentum back in favor of sellers. If bears regain control at this level, Bitcoin could reverse and resume its primary downtrend toward 65,600, 63,800, and 61,800
Best regards,
R. Linda
BTCUSDT 4H Analysis: Key Resistance AheadHi!
BTC is approaching a major resistance zone around 67K, where price is likely to react. The highlighted area (yellow circle) is the key level to watch. If buyers push through and fail to hold above it, a rejection could lead to a move back toward 63.5K, with a deeper correction targeting the 62.8Kโ62K area.
The overall structure remains bullish as long as price stays inside the range, but resistance is strong enough to expect some profit-taking before any sustained breakout. A clean break and close above 67K would increase the chances of a move toward the 69.4K resistance.
Plan: Watch for price action around 67K. Rejection favors a pullback, while a confirmed breakout opens the door for higher prices.
Iโm excited to announce that Iโm now a Brand Ambassador for AvaTrade!
BITCOIN - A countertrend correction before a decline BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is breaking the local bullish market structure within a broader bearish distribution phase while also forming a false breakdown below the 63,680 support area. The market continues to reinforce the dominance of the higher-timeframe bearish trend, although a corrective rebound remains possible before the next leg lower
Higher timeframe: The broader bearish trend remains intact. Sellers prevented price from reaching the key technical retracement level at 67,250, while a weak fundamental backdrop and continued ETF outflows continue to weigh on market sentiment.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin has invalidated the local bullish structure after bears rejected the advance toward 67,250. The false breakout above 66K triggered a sharp sell-off and was followed by a break below the ascending trendline support
Resistance levels: 64,692, 65,590
Support levels: 63,860, 62,750, 61,322
Following the recent decline, Bitcoin may attempt a countertrend correction to sweep liquidity and fill the existing fair value gap. The primary focus remains on the 64,692 and 65,590 resistance levels. A short squeeze into this resistance zone could provide the technical setup for another bearish reversal toward the lower boundary of the current trading range
Best regards,
R. Linda
BTCUSDT Short: Rejected at 67,000 - Retest 64,500 Demand ZoneHello traders! Hereโs my technical outlook based on the current BTCUSDT (1H) chart structure. BTCUSDT remains inside an ascending channel, keeping the broader bullish structure intact. After a fake breakout below the 64,500 Demand Zone, buyers regained control and pushed price toward the 67,000 Supply Zone, where sellers reacted.
Currently, BTCUSDT is trading above the 64,500 Demand Zone while remaining below the 67,000 Supply Zone. The recent rejection from the upper channel boundary increases the likelihood of a pullback.
As long as BTCUSDT stays below the 67,000 Supply Zone, a correction toward the 64,500 Demand Zone (TP1) remains the preferred scenario. However, a breakout above 67,000 and channel resistance would strengthen bullish momentum and signal another leg higher. Manage your risk!
BTCUSDT: Buyers Target $66.1K After Successful Support RetestHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current BTCUSDT setup.
Market Analysis
BTCUSDT previously traded inside a large symmetrical triangle before breaking below support, confirming a bearish move. After finding support, price consolidated inside a range and later broke higher into an ascending channel, signaling that buyers have regained short-term control.
Currently, BTCUSDT is trading above the 63,700 Support Zone while remaining below the 66,100 Resistance Zone. Price continues to respect the ascending channel, and the recent pullback has successfully retested the former breakout area, where buyers are attempting to resume the uptrend.
My Scenario & Strategy
As long as BTCUSDT remains above the 63,700 Support Zone and continues respecting the ascending channel, the bullish scenario remains valid. A continuation higher could push price toward the 66,100 Resistance Zone (TP1).
However, if BTCUSDT breaks below the 63,700 Support Zone and loses the lower boundary of the channel, bullish momentum would weaken, increasing the risk of a deeper pullback.
Thatโs the setup Iโm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
The Green Candle, is more dangerous than the red oneThe Green Candle That Could Make You Lose Everything
The moment you feel afraid of missing the move, the market may already be waiting for you.
Short-Term BTC Analysis
Bitcoin is approaching a very important resistance level, but the broader bearish move may still be far from over. I am currently looking at a potential downside of at least 13%, with a possible target around $56,000.
At the same time, Bitcoin appears to be forming a new parallel channel, while the market continues to move within a long-term range. The key question now is whether this resistance will trigger another rejection and push price lower, or whether Bitcoin can finally break above it and change the current structure.
Most traders are afraid of red candles. But sometimes, the most dangerous moment is when everything looks green. Is this really the start of a new uptrend, or is the market simply attracting late buyers? When a big green candle appears, many traders feel they have to enter immediately before they miss the move. This is where FOMO begins . Instead of analyzing the market, traders start chasing the price. But one green candle alone is never a reason to buy. The real question is simple: are buyers still strong, or are late buyers just entering at the worst possible time?
To study this on TradingView, start by comparing the price move with Volume . If the price rises strongly but the volume does not support the move, the rally may not be as strong as it looks. Then check RSI together with the market structure. Do not simply sell just because RSI is above 70. Mark the important resistance levels and see where the green candle is moving. If the price breaks a key level, do not rush into the trade immediately. Watch the Retest. If the price quickly falls back below the breakout level, it could be a Fake Breakout or a Liquidity Grab.
Before entering any trade, always know your Risk to Reward and the exact level where your idea is no longer valid. Even a correct market prediction can turn into a bad trade without proper risk management. Sometimes, after a strong green candle, the best decision is simply to wait for a better setup. In crypto, a green candle can mean the beginning of a trend, strong momentum, or the final stage of FOMO. Use Volume, RSI, market structure, and key levels together. Sometimes, the best trade is the one you do not take because the risk is simply not worth the reward.
Market Concepts ยท Lesson 03 โ Entering Trades With Order BlocksLesson 3 - Entering Trades With Order Blocks โ Aggressive vs Conservative
Difficulty: Intermediate
Spotting a zone is only half the job. Once price comes back to it, the real question is: when exactly do you pull the trigger? There's more than one right answer โ and your style decides which one fits you.
๐ต FROM SPOTTING TO ACTING
Finding a good order block on the chart is one skill. Actually taking a trade from it is a completely different one.
Two traders can look at the exact same zone and enter at very different moments. One might jump in the instant price touches the edge of the zone. The other might wait patiently for extra confirmation before committing. Neither is automatically right โ they're just using different styles that carry different tradeoffs.
Understanding both approaches, and knowing when each one fits, is what separates traders who react emotionally to zones from traders who have a plan.
๐ต THE AGGRESSIVE ENTRY
The aggressive approach means entering as soon as price touches the zone โ sometimes even at the outer edge.
The idea behind it: if the zone is going to hold, the earliest touch tends to give the best price and the tightest possible stop-loss. You catch the reversal from the beginning, which can dramatically improve your risk-to-reward if the trade works.
The tradeoff: you're entering with less information. Price has only just arrived โ there's no confirmation yet that the zone is actually going to react. You might be entering right before it fails.
Aggressive entries can suit traders who:
- Prefer better risk-to-reward over higher win rate
- Are comfortable with more losing trades in exchange for bigger winners
- Trust their zone selection strongly enough to act without waiting
๐ต THE CONSERVATIVE ENTRY
The conservative approach waits for price to actually show it's reacting to the zone before entering.
Instead of buying the first touch, you wait for signs the zone is holding: a strong rejection candle, a wick that pushes deep into the zone and closes back out, or a shift in short-term structure that suggests buyers (or sellers) have stepped in.
The idea behind it: you're paying up a bit โ entering at a worse price than the aggressive trader โ in exchange for far more evidence that the zone is actually working.
The tradeoff: you'll miss some trades entirely. If price reacts sharply and doesn't give a clean confirmation, the move happens without you. Your risk-to-reward on each individual trade is also usually lower.
Conservative entries can suit traders who:
- Prefer a higher win rate even if individual trades give back some reward
- Feel more comfortable acting with confirmation in hand
- Are still building trust in their zone-reading process
Notice the entry sits higher up than the aggressive one โ you're paying a bit more for the confirmation. But the stop-loss also shrinks, and if the zone plays out as expected, the trade tends to move in your favor faster because you entered after the reversal already started showing itself.
๐ต TWO WAYS TO ENTER THE SAME ZONE
The clearest way to see the difference is to look at both approaches on the exact same zone, side by side.
The aggressive trader enters at the very top edge of the zone โ the moment price first touches. Their stop sits just below the zone's lower boundary.
The conservative trader waits inside the zone, letting price test the level. Only after a clear rejection candle forms โ one that pushes into the zone and closes back out with strong momentum โ do they enter, usually slightly above where the aggressive trader already got in.
Same zone. Same market. Two very different execution moments โ with different risk profiles, different stop distances, and different reward potentials.
๐ต WHICH ONE FITS YOU
The best entry style isn't the one that sounds smartest โ it's the one that matches how you actually trade.
Ask yourself:
- Are you okay taking more losing trades if the winners are much bigger?
- Or do you sleep better with a higher win rate, even if each win is smaller?
- Do you have the patience to sit on your hands until confirmation shows up?
- Or does waiting cause you to miss trades and second-guess yourself?
There's no universal answer. Many traders start conservative to build confidence, then get more aggressive on setups they've learned to trust. Others stay conservative for their entire career and do just fine. What matters is picking one style, sticking with it long enough to get honest data, and only changing based on results โ not on how a single trade felt.
๐ต COMMON MISTAKES TO AVOID
- Mixing both styles randomly โ sometimes entering aggressively, sometimes waiting, with no rule for when โ makes results impossible to evaluate
- Calling yourself "conservative" but jumping in early whenever the setup looks obvious, and calling yourself "aggressive" but freezing on real setups
- Using aggressive entries on weak-quality zones, where the lower win rate compounds instead of getting compensated by size
- Waiting for so much confirmation that you're really just chasing the move well after it's started
๐ณ PRO TIPS
- Higher-strength zones (High, Strong) tend to reward the aggressive approach more, since their base success rate is higher to begin with
- Weaker zones can favor the conservative approach โ you're less likely to catch a false reaction if you wait for real evidence
- Combining zone quality with entry style is a powerful filter: aggressive on strong zones aligned with the trend, conservative or skip on weak or counter-trend zones
- Whichever style you use, define your stop-loss placement before you enter โ not while the trade is running
Which entry style feels more natural to you โ jumping in early, or waiting for confirmation? Drop your take below ๐ณ
Market Concepts โ All Lessons
Lesson 01 โ What Order Blocks Are
Lesson 02 โ Zone Strength Isn't About Size
Best Regards, BigBeluga ๐ณ
Market Concepts ยท Lesson 02 โ Zone Strength Isn't About SizeLesson 2 - Why Order Block Strength Isn't About Size
Difficulty: Intermediate
A big-looking zone isn't automatically a strong one. What actually decides strength is happening inside a single candle โ and once you see it, you'll never look at zones the same way again.
๐ต THE SIZE TRAP
Most traders learn to spot order blocks by looking for one thing: a big, obvious zone. It makes sense at first โ bigger looks more important.
But size on its own can be misleading. A wide zone might just mean the market was volatile that day, not that anything meaningful happened there. And a small, tight zone can sometimes produce the sharpest reactions when price returns.
If size were the whole story, every wide candle would be a great trade setup. It clearly isn't. So what actually separates a strong zone from a weak one?
๐ต WHAT'S REALLY HAPPENING INSIDE A ZONE
Every candle, no matter how small or large, contains a mix of buying and selling. On any given candle, some of the volume that traded came from buyers and some came from sellers. When those two sides are close to equal, the candle reflects a fair fight โ indecision.
But when one side massively overwhelms the other inside a single candle, something different is happening. One side is being taken out. Absorbed. Overrun.
That imbalance is the real signal. It tells you the zone didn't form because of random volatility โ it formed because one side of the market decisively lost control at that price.
๐ต THE FOUR STRENGTH TIERS
When you look at order blocks on the chart, you'll notice each one carries a strength label. These labels aren't about how big the zone looks โ they describe how one-sided the battle inside that zone was.
The four tiers, from weakest to strongest:
- Weak โ the two sides were fairly balanced. No one really lost. Reactions on return tend to be limited or unreliable
- Balanced โ a slight edge to one side, but not decisive. Some reactions, but not consistently
- High โ one side clearly dominated. Reactions on return are more likely to be meaningful
- Strong โ an extreme imbalance. One side was overwhelmed almost entirely. These zones tend to produce the cleanest, sharpest reactions
The key thing: a small "Strong" zone can be far more meaningful than a large "Weak" one. Size is a visual property. Strength is a behavioral one.
๐ต WHY IMBALANCE MATTERS ON THE RETURN
Understanding why this works comes back to what a zone actually represents.
A zone with a big imbalance means one side got run over there. When price comes back, that same losing side often isn't rushing to defend the level again โ because the last time they tried, they lost. Meanwhile, the winning side has proven that price is a level they were willing to act on aggressively.
A balanced zone tells a different story. Both sides were roughly equal, so neither has a strong reason to react differently the second time around. The zone becomes just another level on the chart โ one that price can drift through without much resistance.
This is why the strength rating changes how you should treat a zone: not as "trade every touch" or "skip every touch," but as a filter for where your attention belongs in the first place.
๐ต HOW TO USE STRENGTH IN PRACTICE
A few practical habits that come from thinking this way:
- Prioritize higher-tier zones (High, Strong) when choosing which levels to watch closely
- Weak zones aren't useless โ they can still act as reference points โ but they don't deserve the same weight in your decisions
- When multiple zones stack near each other, the strength labels can help you rank them and choose which one is most likely to produce a reaction
- If a zone is labeled Strong but sits in a bad context (like inside a choppy range), the context still matters โ strength is one factor, not the only factor
And keep this in mind: a small, tight zone with a strong label can easily outperform a wide, imposing zone with a weak one. Train yourself to check the label first, and let the visual size be the second thing you notice โ not the first.
๐ต COMMON MISTAKES TO AVOID
- Assuming a big-looking zone is automatically important โ check the strength, not just the width
- Ignoring Weak zones entirely โ they're not entries, but they can still be useful for mapping the chart
- Treating Strong as a guarantee โ even the strongest zone can fail, especially against a higher-timeframe trend
- Chasing every High or Strong label without asking: is this zone in a location that actually makes sense to trade from?
๐ณ PRO TIPS
- The strongest zones often form after a period of one-sided pressure โ a sharp move where the losing side barely got a chance to respond
- When you spot a Strong zone that also lines up with a higher-timeframe level or a prior support/resistance, that's when it deserves the most attention
- Track how zones of each tier tend to perform on your specific market โ some assets respect High-tier zones more than others, and knowing your market's tendencies is a real edge
Which strength tier do you find gives you the cleanest reactions in your own trading? Drop your experience below ๐ณ
Market Concepts โ All Lessons
Lesson 01 โ What Order Blocks Are
Best Regards, BigBeluga ๐ณ
BTC - Make or Break ZoneBitcoin (BTC) is currently trading around a major decision zone, making this a potential make-or-break area for its next directional move. ๐
Price is now testing the blue resistance zone, located roughly between $65,000 and $67,000, while also trading within the short-term rising blue channel.
๐ If BTC manages to break and close above the $65Kโ$67K resistance, bullish momentum would likely strengthen, opening the door for a move toward the red supply zone around $72Kโ$74K.
On the other hand, if the rising blue channel is broken to the downside, it would signal that buyers are losing momentum, increasing the probability of a fresh bearish impulse toward the major support zone around $58Kโ$60K.
As always, rather than anticipating the breakout in either direction, we will wait for price confirmation before considering any positions.
Will buyers reclaim the resistance, or will sellers take control once again? ๐ค
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
๐ Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! ๐
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Every Trend Has Two TradesWhen most traders see a trend...
They think there's only one opportunity.
The breakout.
In reality...
Every trend usually offers two completely different trades.
Trade #1: The Impulse
This is the move everyone notices.
Price breaks out.
Social media starts talking about it.
Most traders jump in here.
The problem?
It's usually where the risk is the highest.
Trade #2+: The Pullback
After the impulse comes the correction.
Price pulls back.
Momentum slows down.
Many traders think the trend is over.
Professionals start paying attention.
Because this is often where the reward-to-risk becomes attractive again.
Sometimes...
The second trade is better than the first.
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
๐ Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! ๐
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
BTCUSDT: Retests Support Before Potential Rally Toward $68KHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current BTCUSDT chart structure.
Market Analysis
BTCUSDT previously traded inside a broad descending channel before breaking below its lower boundary, confirming a strong bearish move. After finding support near the 64,300 Support Zone, buyers regained control and price formed a large symmetrical triangle, with multiple breakouts and successful retests signaling improving bullish momentum.
Currently, BTCUSDT is trading above the 64,300 Support Zone while remaining below the 68,000 Resistance Zone. The recent rebound from triangle support suggests buyers continue defending higher lows and are attempting to extend the recovery.
My Scenario & Strategy
As long as BTCUSDT remains above the 64,300 Support Zone and continues respecting the ascending triangle support, the bullish scenario remains valid. A continuation higher could push price toward the 68,000 Resistance Zone (TP1).
However, if BTCUSDT breaks below the 64,300 Support Zone and loses triangle support, bullish momentum would weaken and a deeper pullback could develop.
Thatโs the setup Iโm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
New update for Bitcoin !!BTC / USDT
Bitcoin's price appears poised to break its upward trend line from the beginning of this month. If this occur, we anticipate a new retest of current low
This is my view for short term
We are also looking for long term bottom in coming few months
Stay tuned for new updates !
Bitcoin Battles $65K Resistance โ Is Another Correction Next?Over the past few hours, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has experienced highly volatile price action, with strong momentum in both bullish and bearish moves. One of the main reasons could be the reopening of the financial markets, along with the latest news surrounding geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and recent statements from political leaders.
Bitcoin is once again trading near the 50_EMA (Daily), the upper trendline of the Descending Channel, the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($66,100-$65,440), and has re-entered the heavy resistance zone ($76,600-$64,850).
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it appears that Bitcoin is still completing its main wave 4, which suggests that another corrective move could still be ahead.
Since Bitcoin has shown a strong correlation with the S&P 500 index ( CAPITALCOM:SPX500 ), and there is a possibility that the index may move lower in the coming hours, this could have a direct impact on Bitcoin and lead to further downside.
I expect Bitcoin to resume its bearish move and decline at least toward the support zone($64,000-$63,640) and the Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($63,750-$63,170). If bearish momentum increases, we could even see a move toward the key trading level of $62,523.
First Target: $64,123
Second Target: Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($63,750-$63,170)
Third Target: $62,523
Stop Loss(SL): $66,300
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $68,650-$67,500
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $61,800-$60,560
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $58,300-$57,700
Note: Since global markets are currently sensitive to the Middle East tensions, it's important to monitor geopolitical developments and be even more disciplined with risk management.
Whatโs your view on Bitcoin? Do you think Bitcoin can finally reclaim $65,000, or should we prepare for another correction?
๐ก Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
๐Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
๐ Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
โ
This is just my idea; Iโd love to see your thoughts too!
๐ฅIf you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
BTC - Keep It SimpleSometimes, the best analysis is the simplest one.
Bitcoin (BTC) continues to trade within the rising blue channel, keeping the short-term trend constructive. ๐
๐ As long as BTC remains inside this rising channel, the path of least resistance remains bullish, and we will continue to favor trend-following long setups.
However, the blue structure zone around $64,000โ$64,500 remains the key level to watch.
A decisive break below this structure would invalidate the current bullish scenario, shift the momentum from bullish to bearish, and increase the probability of a deeper correction.
As always, rather than predicting the next move, we will wait for price confirmation before considering any positions.
Will buyers keep defending the channel, or will sellers finally break this key support? ๐ค
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
๐ Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! ๐
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #340๐ Welcome to TradeCityPro!
Let's analyze Bitcoin. The market has started its bearish move.
โณ 1H Timeframe
Yesterday, Bitcoin managed to close below 64,950, triggering a small bearish move.
โ๏ธ Price is now sitting at 63,870. If this level is broken, the bearish move could continue, with price potentially dropping toward lower levels such as 62,786.
โจ If that happens, we can open a short position on a breakout below 63,870. However, a significant increase in selling volume is a very important confirmation that we need before entering this trade.
โญ On the other hand, if price fails to close below 63,870 or fakes the breakdown, the bullish move on the 4-hour timeframe could continue, and Bitcoin may once again move toward 66,852.
โ Disclaimer โ
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.






















