ZS1! (Soybean Futures) – Daily – 9/17/26ZS1! (Soybean Futures) – Daily – 9/17/26
Setup: Short entered @ 1319, SL @ 1364 (risk ~45c)
Thesis: Momentum fade within an otherwise intact uptrend —
this is a counter-trend/exhaustion trade.
Bullish structure still intact (the risk to this short):
- Ascending channel since ~Apr/May '26, price
Compare with Soybean Futures (Jan 2021)
Contract highlights
ZS1!China is expected to purchase 12 million metric tons of soybeans from the United States, following the meeting in South Korea that took place several months ago. After Trump’s statements, the markets surged sharply, but I believe China has not made—and will not make—any public statements on the matt
Soybeans — Producer hedging caps this. What if it doesn't?Producer hedges in soybeans are sitting above 600K contracts right now. That level usually tracks price down.
But if it doesn't this time — price just keeps grinding to fresh highs anyway.
Back in 2020 something similar happened. Hedging was heavy, and price broke higher regardless. What was actua
Will Super El Niño Reshape Soybean Futures?Global weather concerns and insatiable Chinese demand rapidly spike corn, wheat, and soybean prices. Meteorologists from DW News confirm that a historically strong El Niño pattern will disrupt global agriculture. The United Nations warns that climate change exacerbates these erratic weather events.
SOYBEANS Short SignalSoybeans MTF Conf2.0 Short Idea. I don't trade soybeans, so I will not be trading this, but I thought I would share the TDA
Technicals:
Price inside Monthly supply + Daly confirmation 2.0.
Fundamentals/Sentiment:
COT short correlation by banks/insitutions adding into shorts and closing longs.
No i
SOYBEAN FUTURES DXY & REAL YIELD IMPLICATIONS
DXY 100.90, real yield 2.255% — both still restrictive for the broader commodity complex (BCOM 125.72). Hawkish Warsh Fed is a structural headwind, but soybean's demand-side story (crush/biodiesel) is currently strong enough to decouple from the DXY-driven bearish macro
SOYBEAN Futures ...Up dateCommercials became materially more bullish.
Funds became materially more bearish.
Price stopped falling.
That divergence is often seen near important turning points.
The 1102–1117 zone now looks increasingly like a potential Wyckoff Spring/Test area, while 1170 remains the key BOS level. A daily a
SOYBEAN FUTURES ....SOYBEAN FUTURES –
Price: 1117.0
Weekly 55 EMA: 1116.0
Weekly 200 EMA: 1152.0
DXY: 99.87
US 10Y Real Yield: 2.198%
Bloomberg Commodity Index: 130.48
The macro environment has become significantly less supportive for grains than a month ago:
Headwinds
DXY approaching 100.00
Real Yield back near 2.20%
#soybeans #zs1! #commoditytrading #cme #wasde I. COT Structure & Fund Flows: Paper Speculation vs. Commercial Accumulation
To understand why CBOT Soybeans (ZS) futures have trended lower despite structural physical tightness, one must analyze the divergence between paper positioning and physical commercial behavior (Data as of June 2, 2026):
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Soybean Oil in 2026: When Energy Policy Meets a Supply ShockSoybean oil is up 62.6% year-to-date in 2026. Soybean oil is an agricultural commodity derived from soybeans. It is widely used in cooking, food processing, and as an industrial input. But the Soybean Oil story is now dominated by biodiesel as increasing quantities of the edible oil are redirected
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A representation of what an asset is worth today and what the market thinks it will be worth in the future.
Displays a symbol's price movements over previous years to identify recurring trends.
Frequently asked questions
The nearest expiration date for Soybean Futures (Jan 2021) is Jan 14, 2021.
Traders prefer to sell futures contracts when they've already made money on the investment, but still have plenty of time left before the expiration date. Thus, many consider it a good option to sell Soybean Futures (Jan 2021) before Jan 14, 2021.









