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From Asia to London: Session Transitions Training Guys, in forex and gold markets there are three main sessions: The Asian session often sets the initial bias of the day. The London session increases volume and makes breakouts clearer. The New York session usually brings the highest volatility. During session transitions, price movements can accelerate. Imagine you opened a trade right at the London session open. At that moment, there’s usually a sharp move — it’s London announcing “I’m here.” If you already have open positions, be careful not to get caught by the opposite move. During the opening minutes, it’s best to observe carefully and wait for direction to settle. That’s why knowing which session you’re trading in is crucial. I provide these trainings completely free for you, my dear friends. I sincerely thank all my friends who support me with their likes.📊🫡

1OZ - Gold Futures - Revolving around 4300-4400$Just watching on higher time frame (4H) it trapped between 4300s and 4400s. Also, it seems it currently reacts to Fed news and Iran war, and global inflation reports. It's really good for trading in between when we consider 5 mins timeframe, but cautiously watching major trend lines + support and resistant levels.

by rakshitha_m_rodrigo

Gold Holds Firm as US Dollar Momentum Starts to Fade Gold has retraced for a fourth week, with a small bullish hammer respecting the 50-week EMA and weekly VOPC showing demand around 4300. It also suggests bears are losing steam, given bearish volatility is waning. Note the bullish engulfing candle on the daily around the 50-day EMA. Prices are now consolidating around the upper half of last week’s range. The near-term bias is to seek dips within last week’s range while prices hold above last week’s low, with 4500 and 5600 being possible upside targets. But one thing that has really caught my attention is how gold has remained supported despite the strength of the US dollar index. Given bullish momentum is waning on DXY, even a minor pullback on the dollar could benefit gold over the near term. A break beneath last week’s low invalidates my near-term bullish bias, or a sudden spike of bearish volatility could serve as an early warning sentiment has changed. MS

by StoneX Trading

GOLD - long at VAL or 2nd vwap deviation GOLD - long at VAL or 2nd vwap deviation 1st buy zone is POC + val at $4336 2nd buy zone $4182 - $4245 key goals $4559 $4765 as i told in a video - best confirmation is a volume absorbtion

04:01

by Yuriy_Bishko

High Yields And A Strong USD Continue To Pressure GOLD In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze Gold for the week of Sep 28 - Oct 2nd. Gold is currently facing a short-term bearish bias due to surging U.S. Treasury yields, a stronger U.S. dollar, and hawkish Federal Reserve rate expectations. Markets are watching upcoming reports like JOLTS job openings, consumer confidence, ISM manufacturing PMI, and the September non-farm payrolls report for direction. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.

15:52

Gold Shines: Safe-Haven Rebound Defies Aggressive Fed Rate Hikes In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze Gold for the week of Sep 21 - 25th. Gold is leaning bullish this week, demonstrating impressive resilience. Despite the Federal Reserve’s hawkish interest rate hike to a 3.75%–4.00% range, the precious metal successfully rebounded to finish last week strong at $4,414.50 per ounce. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.

16:26

Gold Gold prices edged lower toward $4,350 on Monday, pressured by a stronger US dollar and profit-taking after last week’s rally, while investors continued to monitor developments in the Middle East. Bullion reached its highest level in more than a week on Friday as falling oil prices eased concerns over prolonged inflationary pressures. Oil prices extended their decline at the start of the week as investors

Gold Gold prices eased to around $4,330 an ounce on Tuesday, extending losses from the previous session as hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials reinforced expectations that US interest rates will remain higher for longer. The US central bank raised its policy rate by 25 basis points last week, marking its first such move in three years, while Chair Kevin Warsh signaled that further rate increases could

GOLD FUTURES ANALYSIS 9/25/26 Gold has rebounded from support circa 4,275–4,295 to meet resistance at 4,330–4,340. The short-term bounce is credible, but the 1H and 4H charts still show lower highs. The main question is whether price can close above resistance on the 30 minute chart and then hold that area on a pullback. If, instead, it breaks briefly above resistance and returns below 4,320, the bounce may have trapped late buyers. Market structure The move from roughly 4,302 to 4,330 improved short-term momentum. Buying pressure has risen on the 5 minute chart, and cumulative volume delta (CVD, the running balance of buying and selling at market) turned up on the 30 minute chart. The evidence is still mixed: volume was light, CVD flattened near the high, and a longer-view money-flow measure remains negative. The 1H chart retains lower highs beneath a descending resistance line. On the 4H, the bounce began near the lower end of its recent trading range, so it could still prove to be a false upside break. A held move above resistance would provide stronger evidence than the initial rally. Price action on the Daily also remains below recent recovery highs after falling from roughly 4,750 in late August. Support on that horizon lies near 4,255, with a much broader weekly support area around 4,000–4,100. Since the 22 September, the old 4,390 and 4,360 pivots have failed. The former 4,400–4,420 upside area is now distant resistance rather than a near-term trigger. KEY LEVELS The immediate working range on GC1! is approximately 4,300–4,340. Price repeatedly crossing 4,318–4,328 without stronger volume or directional follow-through offers little edge. 4,330–4,340 — FIRST RESISTANCE TEST The recent intraday high, a descending 48-minute resistance line, a footprint selling zone and a prior market-profile high cluster here. One brief move above the band is insufficient; watch for completed closes above it and a pullback that holds. 4,350–4,365 — SECOND RESISTANCE TEST This former breakdown area is the next place to judge whether buyers can maintain control. Reassess the trade here before assuming a move to 4,400. 4,375–4,400 — FOUR-HOUR TREND REPAIR Prior high-volume trading and moving resistance sit in this band. Sustained trade above it would challenge the current sequence of lower highs. 4,420–4,460 — LATER UPSIDE REFERENCES Prior market-profile highs and a former point of control near 4,457 become relevant only after price establishes acceptance above 4,400. 4,318–4,323 — NEAR-TERM PIVOT This area was tested during the latest breakout and pullback. Repeated completed closes below it weaken the bounce. 4,300–4,310 — LOWER BALANCE AREA Trading has begun to concentrate here. If price rejects 4,330–4,340 and volume builds near 4,300, the market may be finding a lower value area. 4,275–4,295 — SUPPORT AND REVERSAL TEST This zone includes the September 24 lows and the lower boundary of the recent trading range. A sweep below it followed by a reclaim could support a long setup; its first touch alone is not a buy signal. 4,250–4,255 and 4,200 — CONDITIONAL DOWNSIDE OBJECTIVES The first is nearby daily support. A move toward 4,200 requires continued selling and sustained trade below 4,275. FAVORED TRADING SCENARIOS These are scenarios, not setups, strictly speaking. ‘Acceptance’ below means completed candles beyond a level followed by a retest that holds, preferably with confirming volume or CVD. By 'sweep' I mean a brief move through a level that fails to hold. For each scenario, place the stop beyond the actual swing or retest that defines it, and compare the first target with that risk after fees and slippage. BREAKOUT AND RETEST LONG Require at least two completed 24-minute closes above 4,330–4,340, followed by a pullback that holds about 4,325–4,330 and forms a higher low. Improving volume or CVD adds confirmation. First target: 4,350–4,365. Consider 4,380–4,400 only if the 48-minute or four-hour chart also strengthens. Repeated closes below 4,320 cancel the breakout; a stop belongs below the actual retest low. FAILED BREAKOUT SHORT If price briefly clears 4,330–4,340, then completes a 24-minute close below 4,320 and cannot regain it, a short becomes possible. Weakening CVD would reinforce the signal. First target: 4,305–4,310. Extend toward 4,290–4,275 only if selling strengthens and price begins trading below the 4,300 area. A successful retest above 4,340 invalidates the idea. Avoid entering so late that the first target offers inadequate reward. REVERSAL LONG AT LOWER SUPPORT A dip through 4,275–4,295 must be followed by evidence of buyers absorbing the selling, a 24-minute close back above 4,300–4,310, and a higher low. Reassess first at 4,320–4,330. A later move toward 4,350–4,365 needs stronger buying participation. The stop goes below the actual sweep low; sustained four-hour trade below 4,275 cancels the reversal idea. BREAKDOWN AND FAILED-RETEST SHORT Require a completed 24-minute or 48-minute close below 4,275–4,290, followed by an unsuccessful attempt to recover the broken support and stronger selling volume. First target: 4,250–4,255. Treat 4,200 as a later possibility only if weakness persists. A prompt recovery toward 4,300 cancels continuation; the stop belongs above the failed retest high. NOTATAS BENE The annotated chart uses 48-minute GC1! candles. Chart labels mark the same price areas discussed above; the entry tests use completed 24-minute candles. 4,330–4,340 DECISION | 24M CLOSE + RETEST The red band is the primary resistance test. “Close + retest” means two completed 24-minute candles above the band, then a pullback that holds near it. The next area to check is 4,350–4,365. 4,350–4,365 NEXT ACCEPTANCE GATE The dotted overhead line marks the second resistance test. A momentary spike past the red band does not clear this level. 4,380–4,400 4H REPAIR / SUPPLY The upper red line marks resistance on the four-hour chart. It matters after the nearer zones have been reclaimed; it is not the first target of a breakout. 4,318–4,323 PIVOT | FADE ON FAILED RECLAIM This dotted line marks the near-term dividing area. “Fade” refers to a potential short after a false upside break: a completed 24-minute close below 4,320 and an unsuccessful attempt to recover it. An intrabar dip alone is insufficient. 4,300–4,310 BALANCE / WAIT The yellow band marks an area where trading has concentrated. Multiple crossings with little follow-through favor waiting for a clearer test at an edge of the range. 4,275–4,295 LOWER EDGE | ABSORPTION TEST The teal band is possible support. “Absorption” means selling reaches the area but fails to push price lower, followed by a recovery. The dotted 4,275 line is the breakdown threshold; sustained trade below it shifts attention toward 4,255 and, conditionally, 4,200. MA’S FAST KAMA (10,2,30): PURPLE SLOW KAMA (10,5,30): PINK INFO BOX The arrows summarize three separate paths: a held break over 4,330–4,340 tests 4,350–4,365; a failed breakout below 4,320 tests 4,305 and then 4,290; sustained trade below 4,275 tests 4,255. “WAIT” covers choppy trade between the triggers.

Gold- Aggressive Market Orders & The Wick Bull Icon 1: Aggressive Market Orders & The Wick Structurally, this is a classic VSA "Stopping Volume" or "Demand Entering" candle. The Mechanics: The long lower wick proves that as sellers pushed the price down, a massive cluster of aggressive market buy orders entered at the lows. The Result: They aggressively consumed all available sell limits and forced the price to close significantly higher than its low, leaving behind that prominent wick. This represents true, proactive institutional participation. 2. Bull Icon 2 ("?"): Sell Limit Passive Descent. The Mechanics: After the strong buying wick on Day 1, Day 2 forms a red candle, but the volume drops. If this were a true, aggressive liquidation by bears, volume would expand. The Order Book: Instead, the lower volume shows that aggressive market sells were lesser. The price drifted down primarily because buyers pulled their buy limit orders lower, allowing the price to gently roll down into empty space against passive sell limits. It was a pullback driven by a lack of immediate buying, not by heavy selling pressure. 3. Bull Icon 3 ("Pray"): The Requirement for a True Green Close Because Day 2 was a lower-volume passive drift, the structure hasn't been broken yet—but it is at a critical tipping point. This is why the currently developing candle has a " pray " label. The Present Auction: The current candle must materialize as a solid green candle to validate Day 1's stopping volume. What's Needed: To reverse this markdown, we cannot just rely on a passive vacuum float (sellers pulling away). We need aggressive market buy orders to step back in today, cross the spread, and drive the price up decisively to print a clear green Daily Body. The Risk: If today fails to attract those aggressive market buys and instead closes as a weak, narrow doji or a red candle, it means the institutional buyers from Day 1 have abandoned the level, leaving the floor exposed.

GOLD — STILL STUCK IN THE RANGE New day, same question: Is Gold preparing to continue higher, or does it need to sweep the lows first? Right now price is still stuck in consolidation around the monthly POC near 4384–4390. We had an attempt toward the previous daily high during the pre-Asian session, but price stalled before reaching it. That tells me buyers have not fully taken control yet. But it also doesn't automatically mean sellers are in control. For now, this is still a balanced market. 🔵 THE BULLISH SCENARIO Based on Monday’s low, I would like to see price sweep that level before I consider a long. Monday’s low is sitting around 4360.6. If price breaks lower, runs those lows, and then rejects back above the level, I’ll be paying close attention. What I want to see is: Range break → Monday’s low sweep → sellers fail to continue → buyers reclaim the level → confirmation. That would give me a reason to believe the downside move was more of a liquidity grab than true bearish continuation. But I’m not buying simply because the low gets swept. The reaction afterward is what matters. 🔴 WHAT WOULD KEEP ME OUT? If price breaks below Monday’s low and begins accepting underneath it, I’m hands off. At that point, I have to respect the possibility that price wants to reach lower — potentially toward the previous weekly low around 4339.7 or the larger demand area beneath it. I don't want to sit there trying to convince myself that the market has to reverse just because I wanted a sweep. If the level fails, the level fails. 📈 UPSIDE SCENARIO Of course, price could still break higher first. If buyers push through the range and hold above it, I’ll watch how price reacts around the previous daily high near 4422.2. If we get acceptance above that level, the previous weekly high around 4438.3 becomes the next area I’m watching. But if price breaks higher and immediately falls back into the range, that could simply be another failed breakout and rotation back toward the lower end. 🎯 MY PLAN Right now, the market is too choppy for me to force anything. I’m waiting for: A range break. A reaction at a meaningful level. Order flow confirmation. Then an entry. I still have a bullish lean, but I’m not treating Monday’s low as a guaranteed sweep or assuming the weekly low is already in place. It’s still early in the week. We haven't established the true weekly high or low yet. For now, I’m letting price develop and waiting for it to show me whether the next move is a real breakout or just another liquidity run. No need to predict the move. Let the reaction give us the information. #Gold #MGC #GC #GoldFutures #FuturesTrading #OrderFlow #PriceAction #VolumeProfile #LiquiditySweep #MarketStructure #TradingView #DayTrading #FVG #GoldTrading

02:35

Gold (GC) Analysis, Key-Zones, Setup for Mon (Sep 28)Bias: December gold broke down at the Sunday reopen. The contract settled Friday at 4,321.2, up 0.54 percent, after a 4,351.6 to 4,289.2 session, opened Sunday at 4,315.0 and was quoted at 4,244.8, down 76.4 points or 1.77 percent, at 09:51 PM ET, after a low of 4,239.3. The 30-minute series captured at 10:01 PM ET shows the first four Sunday bars holding above Friday's 4,289.2 low, then the three bars from 08:00 PM to 09:30 PM ET breaking through that low, the 09/16 one-month low at 4,273.3, Pivot S2 at 4,258.3 and three standard deviations support at 4,255.0 on rising volume. The 4,239.3 low is the lowest price the contract has traded since the 08/05 session. Silver's latest value in the still-open 09:30 PM ET bar was 2.84 percent beneath Friday's quote and copper also traded lower, while dollar index futures held a narrow 100.79 to 100.92 range and ten-year note futures traded lower, which points to firmer yields. In this review's interpretation that makes the move a metals-wide liquidation into the Asian open rather than a dollar rally or a single-headline reaction. The weekend news pointed both ways: per press items on the news feed the President rejected Iran's proposal, said he expects renewed Iran talks this week at 06:45 PM ET Sunday and said he would not rule out more strikes at 08:30 PM ET, and China extended the trade ceasefire to January 2027 at 09:45 PM ET, after most of the decline. None of it produced a haven bid for gold at the reopen. The trend measures now agree with the price: the contract settled Friday beneath every settlement average from the 5-day at 4,339.58 to the 200-day at 4,647.73, the nine-day directional reading shows negative direction at 18.53 above positive direction at 11.35, and the composite multi-indicator read refreshed with the live price at about 10:03 PM ET moved to 64% SELL with direction Strengthening, from 40% SELL on Friday. In this review's interpretation the bias is lower into Monday while the broken 4,273.3 to 4,289.7 band caps rebounds, with the 4,227.3 to 4,239.3 band the first downside test and the 01:30 PM ET settlement the confirmation. Resistance: - 4,352.1 Pivot R1, relevant only after a full recovery of the Sunday loss - 4,320.7 Pivot Point, beside Friday's 4,321.2 settle - 4,315.6 Sunday session high, set in the first 30-minute bar - 4,298.1 38.2 percent retracement from the 13-week low, beside the 4,300.6 high of the 07:00 PM ET bar - 4,289.7 Pivot S1, half a point above Friday's 4,289.2 low, the top of the broken band - 4,283.0 one standard deviation support, now resistance - 4,273.3 09/16 one-month low, the bottom of the broken band - 4,267.2 two standard deviations support, broken on Sunday and now a bounce reference - 4,258.3 Pivot S2, broken on Sunday and now a bounce reference - 4,255.0 three standard deviations support, broken on Sunday and now a bounce reference Support: - 4,239.3 Sunday session low, the first live support - 4,227.3 Pivot S3 - 4,223.4 one-range projection low from Friday's settle - 4,121.6 08/05 session low, the nearest traded low in the settlement series - 4,107.0 40-day average stall price, beside the 14-day relative-strength 30 percent line at 4,106.4 Primary Setup: SHORT December gold from 4,270 to 4,280 on a retest of the broken support, stop 4,302 above Friday's 4,289.2 low, above Pivot S1 at 4,289.7, above the 4,298.1 retracement and above the 4,300.6 high of the 07:00 PM ET Sunday bar. Targets at 4,248 first, above Sunday's 4,239.3 low, 4,221 second, beneath Pivot S3 at 4,227.3 and the 4,223.4 projection low, and 4,194 third, above the 08/05 session low at 4,121.6. Risk to reward is roughly 1:1 to the first objective, 1:2 to the second and 1:3 to the third from the entry midpoint. The 14-day average true range is 97.8 points against a 27 point stop distance. A settle above 4,289.7 negates the thesis, and two consecutive 30-minute closes above 4,283.0 remove the edge before the stop is reached. At 09:51 PM ET the contract sat 25.2 points beneath the bottom of the entry band, so the setup needs a rebound to fill and does not chase the break. The weekend report's short from 4,346 to 4,356 is withdrawn because its entry band never traded. Gold opened the week by breaking the support it had defended since mid-September, with silver leading lower and no haven bid despite the Iran headlines. In this review's interpretation Monday tests whether the broken 4,273.3 to 4,289.7 band now caps rebounds, with a settle back above 4,289.7 the signal that the break has failed.

Gold (GC) Analysis, Key-Zones, Setup for Fri (Sep 25)Bias: December gold settled Thursday at 4,298.0, down 20.4 points or 0.47 percent, the fourth consecutive lower settle and the lowest since 08/04/26. The completed session ran 4,338.0 to 4,278.3, a 59.7 point band, and the settle finished at 33.0 percent of that range. Those extremes are the completed-session inputs behind the published pivot ladder rather than an independently read bar, and they reconcile with the provider's own published daily record. The bar made a lower high and a lower low, but its range was only 0.61 times the 14-day average daily range of 97.6 points, so the decline slowed sharply after Wednesday's 96.8 point session. The session low held 5.0 points above the one-month low of 4,273.3 from 09/16. The driver was again rates and the dollar. The ten-year yield index closed at 5.16 percent after a 5.18 percent high that press commentary called a 19-year high, the dollar index rose 0.19 percent to 101.29, and press commentary quoted two regional Federal Reserve presidents arguing that more work on inflation, and possibly modest further tightening, may be needed. Weekly jobless claims came in at 197,000 against a 200,000 consensus, per the news-feed calendar and unconfirmed. Crude rose 2.66 percent on Middle East supply risk and gold did not trade as a haven, so the geopolitical channel is running through inflation expectations rather than safety demand. After the close, the Chinese president described a new joint trade arrangement with the United States as good news, which removes a further strand of the haven case. The contract sits beneath every settlement average, with the 5-day at 4,360.3 and the 50-day at 4,360.9 converged overhead, and the composite multi-indicator read stands at 48% SELL with direction strengthening, against 24% SELL yesterday. The gold fund's positioning console is used only as a qualitative proxy, and it shows a book concentrated in longer tenors with little gamma in the next expiry. Bias is lower beneath 4,331.2, with the caveat that the settle sits on the 38.2 percent retracement from the 13-week low at 4,298.1 and the 4,270.0 to 4,273.3 support group lies just beneath it. Resistance: - 4,390.9 Pivot R3, the top of the computed ladder, beside three standard deviations resistance at 4,387.3 - 4,370.9 two standard deviations resistance - 4,364.5 Pivot R2, inside the 4,360.3 to 4,365.2 band with the converged 5-day and 50-day averages - 4,349.5 one standard deviation resistance, with the 9-day average stall at 4,351.9 - 4,338.0 Thursday's session high, the level a retracement has to clear to change the shape of the bar - 4,331.2 Pivot R1, the upper edge of the setup entry band - 4,324.4 Thursday's open, beside the stochastic 20 percent threshold at 4,326.2 - 4,304.8 Pivot Point, 6.8 points above the settle Support: - 4,298.1 38.2 percent retracement from the 13-week low, one tenth of a point above the settle - 4,283.1 three-and-ten day crossover stall - 4,278.3 Thursday's session low - 4,273.3 one-month low from 09/16, with Pivot S1 at 4,271.5 and the published target price at 4,270.0 inside 3.3 points - 4,246.5 one standard deviation support, beside Pivot S2 at 4,245.1 - 4,225.1 two standard deviations support - 4,211.8 Pivot S3, 3.1 points above three standard deviations support at 4,208.7 Primary Setup: SHORT December gold from the 4,324 to 4,336 band around Thursday's open at 4,324.4 and Pivot R1 at 4,331.2, stop 4,368 above Pivot R2 at 4,364.5, the 9-day crossing at 4,365.2 and the converged 4,360 averages. Targets at 4,292 first, beneath the Pivot Point at 4,304.8 and the 38.2 percent retracement at 4,298.1, 4,254 second, beneath the 4,270.0 to 4,273.3 support group and above Pivot S2 at 4,245.1, and 4,216 third, above Pivot S3 at 4,211.8. Risk to reward is roughly 1:1 to the first objective, 1:2 to the second and 1:3 to the third from the entry midpoint. The 14-day average true range is 100.5 points against a 38 point stop distance. The durable goods report at 08:30 AM ET Friday is the first scheduled input for the yield channel. A settle above 4,368 negates the thesis; two consecutive 30-minute closes above 4,338.0 remove the edge before the stop is reached. Friday's settle precedes a weekend in which the Strait negotiation can move without a market open, so a reduced size is appropriate. Four lower settles, a contracting range and a settle on a retracement line describe a decline that is slowing into support rather than accelerating through it. In this review's interpretation the yield channel still favours sellers on any retracement toward 4,331.2, while a break of the 09/16 low needs a fresh push from yields to happen on Friday.

Gold (GC) Analysis, Key-Zones, Setup for Thu (Sep 24)Bias: The December gold contract settled Wednesday at 4,318.4, down 58.0 points or 1.33 percent, the lowest settle since 08/06/26 and the third consecutive lower close. The completed session ran 4,407.5 to 4,310.7, a 96.8 point band, and the settle finished at 8.0 percent of that range, 7.7 points above the low. Those extremes are the completed-session inputs behind the published pivot ladder rather than an independently read bar, and they reconcile with the provider's own published daily record. The bar made a lower high and a lower low against Tuesday, and the settle now sits beneath every settlement moving average from the 5-day through the 200-day, including the 50-day at 4,357.09 that Tuesday's settle held above. The driver was the rate channel. The ten-year yield closed at 5.11 percent after a 5.14 percent intraday high, up 15 basis points, and the dollar index rose 0.50 percent to 101.10. The United States flash manufacturing survey printed 57.0 against a 53.7 forecast at 09:45 AM ET, per the news-feed record and unconfirmed against an official calendar, and press commentary quoted a Federal Reserve governor as saying further policy adjustments are likely to be needed, with the market-implied probability of an October rate increase reported at 69 percent from 53 percent. Those headlines and the price decline coincided; no time-stamped intraday series was captured, so no causal ordering is claimed. The most telling detail is that gold fell on a day when Brent rose 3.86 percent on reports of Iranian fire at commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, so the market read the escalation as an inflation shock rather than a safety trade. The directional index sits beneath 20 on every horizon published, with negative direction above positive direction on each, and the composite multi-indicator read is 24 percent sell against 72 percent buy one month ago. Managed money was net long 133,116 contracts against a short position of only 9,278 as of September 15, a one-sided book in which a carry shock produces liquidation. Bias is lower into Thursday while the 4,345.5 pivot caps, with the one-month low at 4,273.3 the only structural reference above the 13-week range. Resistance: - 4,442.3 Pivot R2, an extended reference well above the practical Thursday band - 4,407.5 completed session high, with the 18-day average crossing price at 4,411.8 just above it - 4,394.8 three standard deviations resistance - 4,385.3 50 percent retracement of the 13-week range - 4,380.4 Pivot R1, paired with two standard deviations resistance at 4,380.8 and the 5-day settlement average at 4,380.66, the level that would reverse Wednesday's shape - 4,362.5 one standard deviation resistance - 4,357.1 50-day settlement average, the nearest average and the one Wednesday's settle lost - 4,345.5 Pivot Point, the first computed ceiling above the settle - 4,330.3 stochastic 20 percent threshold, 11.9 points above the settle Support: - 4,310.7 completed session low, 7.7 points beneath the settle - 4,298.1 38.2 percent retracement from the 13-week low, two points above the published target price at 4,296.1 - 4,283.6 Pivot S1, the top of the densest support group in the instrument - 4,274.3 one standard deviation support - 4,273.3 one-month low set on 09/16/26, the last structural reference above the 13-week range - 4,256.0 two standard deviations support - 4,248.7 Pivot S2 - 4,242.0 three standard deviations support - 4,186.8 Pivot S3, the extended reference Primary Setup: SHORT the December contract from the 4,340 to 4,360 band around the standard daily pivot at 4,345.5 and the 50-day settlement average at 4,357.09, stop 4,390 above Pivot R1 at 4,380.4 and two standard deviations resistance at 4,380.8. Targets at 4,310 first, at the session low of 4,310.7, 4,270 second beneath the one-month low at 4,273.3, and 4,230 third beneath Pivot S2 at 4,248.7 and three standard deviations support at 4,242.0. Risk to reward is roughly 1:1 to the first objective, 1:2 to the second and 1:3 to the third from the entry midpoint. The 14-day average true range is 97.0 points against a 40 point stop distance. The rate channel carries the Thursday catalysts: weekly jobless claims at 08:30 AM ET and a seven-year note auction at 01:00 PM ET, per the news-feed calendar and unconfirmed, after Wednesday's five-year auction tailed by 3.1 basis points. A settle above 4,380.8 negates the thesis; two consecutive 30-minute closes above 4,357.09 remove the edge before the stop is reached. Gold had every reason to rally on Wednesday's Middle East headlines and fell 1.33 percent instead, because a ten-year yield above 5 percent is a heavier cost of holding a metal that pays nothing. Until the rate channel eases, the geopolitical argument for gold is being priced through crude and yields rather than through gold itself.

How GOLD monday went after the analysis learn the gold market reacted after our weekly analysis. there's a lot of gold to be found

01:03

GOLD - LONG is coming!GOLD - LONG is coming! price is in dawnwas trend as i mentioned in previus analysis it bounced from key zone and teach vwao at 4560 at this momnet best area for short also at vwap best area for long at LVN ($4188 - $4290 area) or 2nd buy zone swing low $4000 area

03:13

by Yuriy_Bishko

I Looked At The GOLD Chart For Next Week... It’s Insane.In this upcoming week's gold weekly analysis, we break down the critical institutional order flow shifts on XAUUSD that most retail traders completely miss. If you want to know where smart money is moving their capital next week, this gold trading strategy video reveals the exact liquidity pools and footprint chart imbalances you need to watch.At Flow Trading Academy, we don't guess—we follow the data. We dive deep into XAUUSD technical analysis, looking at the invisible order flow dynamics, buyer/seller absorption patterns, and market structure shifts that signal major price reversals before they happen. Whether you are looking for a reliable gold breakout strategy or trying to avoid the classic retail liquidity traps, this video gives you an institutional edge.

01:54

Silver Crude and news not letting us make any positional view. My positional view was for bull side but I will not trade in range of 230000 to 245000 any breakout or breakdown will give me clear direction.

06:49

GOLD WEEK AHEAD — SETUP IS THERE, NOW WE WAIT New week. New levels. And after adding IV Rank into my view, I'm starting to see another layer of information that I think can help with timing these moves. Looking at how Gold closed last week, I'm coming into this week with a bullish lean. Price finished the week strong and is currently sitting just above a 1H Bullish FVG. Now I'm watching to see whether Gold wants to come back down and fill that imbalance before the Killzone window opens. That's where things get interesting. 🔵 THE LEVEL I'M WATCHING The biggest level for me right now is around 4390. That's the POC for the previous month, so I'm treating it as an important area of acceptance/rejection. If price pulls into the 1H FVG and we can hold around that 4390 area, I want to see how buyers respond. My ideal sequence would look something like: 1H FVG fill → 4390 holds → sellers lose momentum → buyers step in → reclaim/hold higher → continuation. That's the setup I'm interested in. I'm not trying to buy simply because price touches the FVG. I want to see the reaction. 📊 IV RANK HAS MY ATTENTION This is one of the newer things I've added to my charting process. The Gold Volatility Index / IV Rank is giving me another piece of information about the current volatility environment. And after watching how it behaved around last week's move, I'm interested in seeing whether that volatility backdrop continues to support expansion this week. But I'm keeping this distinction clear: IV Rank doesn't tell me which direction price has to go. It helps give me context. Price still has to confirm the direction. That's why I'm combining it with my FVG, volume profile, POC, order flow and Killzone structure. 🔴 WHAT WOULD CHANGE MY MIND? If Gold comes down through the 1H FVG and breaks below 4390, I'm not going to keep trying to force the bullish idea. That's my cue to step back. If we lose that monthly POC and sellers begin accepting price below it, then I need to let the market show me where it actually wants to go. There are lower levels and larger areas of interest beneath us. I don't need to predict which one gets hit. I'll wait for price to get there and react. 🎯 THE PLAN Right now I'm watching two scenarios. 🟢 BULLISH Price fills the 1H FVG. 4390 holds. Sellers fail to continue lower. Buyers take control. Then I want to see price start pushing back toward the upper levels, with the previous weekly high around 4439 and the overhead H4 bearish FVG becoming areas I'll be watching for reaction. 🔴 BEARISH / HANDS OFF Price breaks through the FVG. 4390 fails. Sellers accept below the monthly POC. I'm out of the way. No forcing a long. No trying to catch a falling knife. Just wait for the next meaningful level. 👀 THIS IS THE PART I'M REALLY WATCHING The setup isn't: "Gold is bullish, so I'm buying." It's: "Gold is positioned for expansion. Here's my level. Now show me whether buyers are willing to defend it." That's a much better trade. The FVG gives me the location. The Monthly POC gives me the line in the sand. IV Rank gives me volatility context. The Killzone gives me my timing. And order flow tells me whether buyers are actually taking control. That's the edge I'm trying to build. Don't predict the move. Build the conditions. Then let price confirm it. Let's see what Gold gives us this week. 👊🏾 #Gold #MGC #GC #GoldFutures #FuturesTrading #OrderFlow #PriceAction #FVG #VolumeProfile #IVRank #Volatility #TradingView #MarketStructure #DayTrading #FuturesTrader #GoldTrading

02:27

Gold (GC) Analysis, Key-Zones, Setup for Mon (Sep 21)Bias: December gold settled Friday at 4,424.9, up 25.2 on the session. That is a gain of 0.57 percent from Thursday's 4,399.7 close, but the shape of the day matters more than the size of the gain. The contract opened at 4,381.6, which was 18.1 beneath the prior settlement, traded down to 4,372.2, then recovered the entire deficit and closed at 4,424.9, a gain of 43.3 from its own open and 78.0 percent of the way up the session range measured from the low. A gap-down open that closes in the upper part of the session range is a reversal signature, and the documented facts are the 43.3 point open-to-close rise and the 78.0 percent closing position. The one United States activity release captured for the session, industrial production at 09:15 AM ET, printed 0.0 percent against a 0.3 percent forecast, with capacity utilisation at 76.3 percent against 76.4 percent expected, which is supportive for gold at the margin. The complication is the yield side, where the captured market wrap headline described ten-year yields rising during the session, with no level or quote time captured, raising the opportunity cost of holding a non-yielding asset. The policy backdrop remains restrictive: the central bank projections published Wednesday show twelve of eighteen officials expecting one further 25 basis point increase this year. The medium-term picture is still damaged. Price sits 23.47 percent beneath its 52-week high of 5,781.8, it is down 3.20 percent over twenty sessions, and it remains 67.2 beneath the 20-day average of 4,492.1 and 223.7 beneath the 200-day average of 4,648.6, with a multi-indicator composite reading just 32 percent buy at weak strength, though its direction is rated strengthening. What argues the other way is momentum: the stochastic percent K sits above percent D on both the 9-day and 14-day horizons, at 52.73 against 37.58 and 36.85 against 25.09, and price closed 12.6 above its own pivot point of 4,412.3 and back above both the 50-day average of 4,342.8 and the 100-day average of 4,410.5. The trend framework says neither side owns this market, with a 14-day directional index of 16.42 and the two directional components separated by five hundredths of a point. Bias is constructive on a pullback into the 4,397 to 4,385 grouping, and this is a levels market rather than a trend market. Two days of headline exposure separate Friday's settlement from the Sunday reopen at 06:00 PM ET, including a Chinese loan prime rate decision at 09:00 PM ET Saturday, per the news-feed calendar captured for this run, unconfirmed against the verified forward calendar. Resistance: - 4,520.0 (Pivot R3, outermost resistance of Monday's ladder) - 4,514.1 (50 percent retracement of the four-week range) - 4,492.1 (20-day moving average, the level the short-term composite signal is measured against) - 4,479.9 (Pivot R2, grouped with the 2 standard deviation resistance at 4,477.2) - 4,472.5 (38.2 percent retracement from the 13-week high, 4.7 beneath the 2 standard deviation resistance) - 4,452.4 (Pivot R1, effectively identical to the computed target price at 4,452.0) - 4,439.8 (Friday's session high) Support: - 4,412.3 (Pivot Point, the mechanical midpoint the session closed above) - 4,410.5 (100-day moving average, reclaimed on the session and the nearest trend line above the entry zone) - 4,387.9 (1 standard deviation support) - 4,385.3 (50 percent retracement of the 13-week range) - 4,384.8 (Pivot S1, three references inside 3.1 points with the two levels above, adjacent beneath the 4,385 zone edge) - 4,372.2 (Friday's session low, effectively identical to the 2 standard deviation support at 4,372.6) - 4,360.8 (3 standard deviations support, outer statistical band) - 4,344.7 (Pivot S2, second pivot support of Monday's ladder) Primary Setup: LONG December gold from the 4,385 to 4,397 entry zone, built on the grouping where the one standard deviation support at 4,387.9, the 50 percent retracement of the 13-week range at 4,385.3 and the first pivot support at 4,384.8 sit inside 3.1 points, the last of those adjacent beneath the zone's lower edge. Stop at 4,358, beneath the third standard deviation support at 4,360.8, which itself sits beneath Friday's low at 4,372.2 and the effectively coincident second standard deviation support at 4,372.6. Targets at 4,440 first, Friday's session high, then 4,452 second, where the computed target price at 4,452.0 and the first pivot resistance at 4,452.4 sit within half a point of each other, and 4,480 third, the second pivot resistance grouped with the second standard deviation resistance at 4,477.2 and the 38.2 percent retracement from the 13-week high at 4,472.5, only if momentum extends on expanding volume. Measured from the 4,391 midpoint against the 4,358 stop, risk is 33 points for approximately 1:1.5 to the first target, 1:1.8 to the second and 1:2.7 to the third. Invalidation is a settlement beneath 4,360.8, which takes out Friday's low and the second standard deviation band together. The 33 point risk is 30 percent of the 14-day average true range of 108.7, so the stop is tight by this contract's standards, and the weekend carries a Chinese loan prime rate decision at 09:00 PM ET Saturday with calendar forecasts of 3 percent and 3.5 percent, per the news-feed calendar captured for this run, unconfirmed against the verified forward calendar. The cash open at 09:30 AM ET Monday gives the first liquid directional test of the map above. The calendar captured for Monday shows no United States data release; the week's first-order risk for this metal is Tuesday, when three central bank speakers and a two-year note auction land, at 10:05 AM ET, 10:20 AM ET and 01:00 PM ET with the auction also at 01:00 PM ET, per the news-feed calendar captured for this run, unconfirmed against the verified forward calendar.

GOLD: If The Fed Hikes The Rate, Look For SELLS!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze Gold for the week of Sep 14 - 18th. Gold is leaning bearish to neutral in the short term heading into this week, as rising expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate hike place strong downward pressure on the non-yielding metal. The market closed the previous week at $4,408.90 per ounce, marking its third consecutive weekly decline. My Plan: Wait for the Daily +FVG to be either respected or disrespected. This will signal the bias for this market. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.

16:00

**Gold: External Expansion Toward 1.414** After reaching our POI, Gold delivered the expected bullish reaction. During the move toward the POI, the market formed a key imbalance. This area now remains the main zone to watch for a possible short-term rebalance and support. The current structure indicates that the asset is developing an external expansion. A temporary pullback into the key imbalance is still possible and would remain consistent with the bullish scenario. As long as this area holds, my main target is the Fibonacci **1.414 level**, located near **4535**. This is where I plan to take 100% of the profit. A decisive loss of the key imbalance would require a reassessment of the scenario. **We trust Fibonacci.** This is my personal market view, not financial advice.

by Fibonacci_Code

GOLD — THE SETUP FINALLY SHOWED ITS HAND Yesterday I talked about waiting for Gold to come down into the H4 FVG, sweep the lows, and then show me whether buyers were actually going to step back in. Well... That's exactly what happened. Price swept the lows, pushed into the area I was watching, and then buyers stepped in and started driving price higher. I didn't try to catch the exact bottom. I waited for the reaction. And that patience paid off. 🔵 NOW WE HAVE A PULLBACK Going into the NY session today, Gold started pulling back after the initial move higher. Instead of chasing the move, I waited. Price eventually came back down into the 1H FVG I had marked out. That's where things got interesting. At the same time, I'm watching GVZ and its IV Rank, which had moved into an area that, based on the way I use this tool, supported the potential for another strong move. Now I had multiple pieces coming together: Liquidity sweep ✅ H4 FVG reaction ✅ 1H FVG pullback/fill ✅ GVZ/IV Rank confirmation ✅ Price reclaiming session value ✅ That's the type of confluence I'm looking for. 🎯 THE ENTRY I took the long at: 4373.1 The important thing for me wasn't simply that price touched the FVG. It was the reaction around the level. I wanted to see buyers defend the area and price begin accepting back inside the session's value. Once price moved back inside value, I was able to move my stop and take some risk off the table. Now I'm simply letting the trade develop. 👀 WHAT I DON'T WANT TO DO This is where trading can get dangerous. Once you're in a trade and it's moving your way, it's very easy to start thinking: "This thing is going to the moon." 😂 Nah. I'm still watching the same thing I was watching before I entered: Is price continuing to accept higher? If buyers maintain control, I'll let it work. If the market tells me that the move is losing momentum, I'll respect that too. The setup doesn't become invalid just because I want the trade to keep going. 🧠 THIS IS WHY I WAIT The original idea wasn't: "Gold is going down into this FVG, so I'm buying it." It was: Let price come to the level → watch the reaction → confirm the buyers → then participate. That's a completely different mindset. The sweep gave me the location. The FVG gave me the area. Order flow and value helped me with the timing. And once the market showed me buyers were willing to take control... I got on the ride. That's trading for me. I don't need to predict the move. I just need to be ready when the setup actually presents itself. 📈 CURRENTLY RIDING THE LONG FROM 4373.1 Now let's see what Gold wants to do. Price showed its hand. I just made sure I was paying attention. 👊🏾 #Gold #MGC #GC #GoldFutures #FuturesTrading #OrderFlow #PriceAction #FVG #LiquiditySweep #VolumeProfile #TradingView #DayTrading #FuturesTrader #MarketStructure #GoldTrading

03:15