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Inflation Selective Reporting & Narrative BLS published March PPI results this morning showing an increase of just over 11% year over year for $PPIFIS (Final Demand) or slightly more than 1.3% increase month over month. This leaves critical information out and paints a partial picture as $PPIACO (All Commodities) reflects a full 20.46% increase year over year and over a 2.8% increase in March over February. Shared monthly charts reflect trends for both $PPIACO and $PPIFIS with trend presenting projections of: PPIACO: +2.49% month over month, 21.8% year over year PPIFIS: +1.22% month over month, 11.45% year over year Price increases of all commodities, which is not reflected in the PPI narrative given the BLS news release, is an important factor to consider, especially when tracking against the market indices.

by UnknownUnicorn20630062

PPI/CPI While the Federal Reserve aims for - Full Employment... The Math in the preceding prior 2 commentaries, turns that Sillyness on its head. While Producers are simply just Beginning to pass to on Higher Costs (Reported by EVERY COMPANY during Q3 EPS)... With the Highest Rate of Change in HIstory for this Ratio... It's all good. ____________________________________________________ A very rapid drop in productivity despite jobless claims falling back to pre-pandemic levels... Again, refuted, dumped on its collective Fed Head. Total Hours worked continue imploding, not recovering. ____________________________________________________ Real Wages... can't come close to keeping up with Actual Inflation. Your Dollars Buy Less, Your Government Sponsored Enterprise aka The Bond Market is being destroyed Brick by perfidious Brick. It's Ok, no worries as long as the Hoi Polloi don't mind and the First Abusers continue to make 12.08% gains every month... all will be well. Just move along and Buy Stocks. ____________________________________________________ It is abundantly clear the Economy -what is left of it, aka the Equity Markets are guiding Monetary Policy. Fiscal Policy is a wet donut drowning in cold Java. The Kleptocrsts in DC are tossing salads and doing effectively - nothing. This is precisely what the Fed and is Handlers want, desire, and continue to assure. ____________________________________________________ There remains an inherent Risk of a continuation pattern IF this does not correct soon. The Equity Complex achieved a feat so completely remarkable anything is possible. NEVER in the history of the Markets have they produced an 18 Day streak with one actual Pullback, the 2nd doesn't remotely count, it was a few points. ____________________________________________________ IN the face of: Macro-Economic Data plummeting to the downside Supply Chain's parked offshore rotting, Shut-Ins, Shut-Downs Inventories dissolving Valuations at ALL-TIME HIGHS Yields backing off due to DC's Instructed Twaddling ____________________________________________________ The Stock Market is the Economy, it is now well below JUNK paper. And yet it has the potential to continue the surreal rise in the face of massively deteriorating Global Economic conditions... ____________________________________________________ The Alternate - Never a down Day. We will see. - HK