In-depth trading ideas

Discover detailed market analysis from traders. See how others approach this instrument, compare different strategies, and discover perspectives that can shape your own view.

Cup and Handle Setup in Diesel April last year (2025) marked the trough for both crude oil and diesel prices. February this year saw the beginning of the U.S.– Iran conflict. From that trough to the September high, diesel prices have risen significantly +169%, more than crude oil prices that was +94%. What are the reasons that Diesel has broken its all-time high? Not yet for the crude oil prices, but will it play a catch-up with diesel subsequently? And what will be their long-term outlook? Ticker: HO Minimum fluctuation

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Is Diesel Truly Seeing a Top Here?A lot of traders are looking at the recent pause in diesel futures and calling for a massive top because momentum indicators are showing a divergence. But when you look beneath the surface and check the real fuel of the market which is volume, the story changes completely. Let us compare where we are right, left , with the historical run on the right. The Past Blueprint: Real Institutional Distribution During the previous cycle on the right, the market gave clear warning signs before it rolle

by ROW_Partners

HO1! Multiple Timeframe Alignment HO1! Multiple Timeframe Alignment Looking at both the Daily chart (LEFT) and the 4H chart (RIGHT), we can see that the price is trending upward on both timeframes, consistently forming higher highs and higher lows. If the 4H timeframe is the trading timeframe, $4.8250 could be a potential entry level, as this zone previously acted as resistance and now has the potential to act as support. Additionally, the Volume Profile shows that this level also represents a Low Volume Node (LVN).

HO1! - Squeezing Higher Heating oil has broken out of yet another pattern and is squeezing higher. This is occurring at the same time as the USOIL breakout. To review that post, view it here: Now looking at heating oil futures, the first breakout occurred above the downtrend dating back to March 2026, where sellers rejected price at the trendline multiple times (red circles) before the actual breakout occurred in mid July. Then, at the very beginning of August, old resistance flipped into new support (green circle)

Asia high sale setup I believe that the market makers are traffic volume up here and I believe that this will be repeated cell setup

simple buy idea for xauusd we are having multiple rejections on 15 min from going down so i am expecting it to push more further is we dont see a bearish side break

by TradingHub_FX_crypto

The Diesel Crunch: Surge, Pullback, and the Path Ahead Refined fuel markets have been on a tear since mid-October. Gasoline (RBOB) and distillates (HO) spiked on tight supplies, outages, and a diesel-driven squeeze, pushing the 3:2:1 crack spread to its 2025 high. Margins have eased since, but they remain elevated — a clear sign that refining conditions are not normal. This paper breaks down what drove the surge, why product prices have been so volatile despite subdued crude, and how these forces are shaping near-term refining margins and the b

by mintdotfinance

HO Time Cycle There’s a 518 day time cycle from the 2 previous major lows to today. There’s also a falling broadening wedge breakout, DMI cross (not shown), and escalating regional conflict in the Middle East. Iran has launched ballistic missiles at Israel. There is a major downtrend but it’s far enough overhead that there’s headroom for upside. The trend seems vulnerable to failure, all things considered. This analysis establishes a bullish daily bias. Intraday long setups may be necessary for a good e

Cyclical Analysis - Heating Oil If you follow my channel, you know that I am long Heating Oil, and am looking for more entries long, based on my COT strategy setup. Today, we look at Heating Oil through the lens of cycles. Do cycles support the COT Buy Setup? As you will see, there is some compelling cyclical data that is supportive of the idea for Oil to rise to October 10-20, and then decline before putting in a major cyclical low in December.

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by Tradius_Trades

8/2/24 - VROCKSTAR portfolio snapshot bc mkt is cray cray don't really anticipate doing these so often really. but so much has happened and i've been maxing out GDLC (as many of you know, then sizing it down), in and out of weird EPS stuff, semi's weren't really even in my portfolio prior, now they are. god knows what happens next. I like a cash buffer, but equally i had gotten pretty cash heavy the last week/s-ish as you know, so i've been deploying hard. OTC:GDLC - 30%. Still trades at a massive discount. Would size the hell out of it if I didn't

7/11/24 - VROCKSTAR portfolio snapshot for start of 2H using a rando ticker to do this lol have been a lot of movements since i started writing maybe 2.5-3 mo at this pt. in out, size up, size down. so i'll need to figure out a rhythm to even give these periodic updates. but bc i enjoy the DMs so far and the comments/ interactions... this is probably the easiest way to show where i stand w a lot of things. mainly to be helpful to the guys who follow me more closely if this helps your process or you want to dig in on any of these topics or sizing th

May we fill up the gas tank of the car?Hello Traders Jerome Powell has spoken and the economy seems to be not so "overheated" and the labor market seems calm after the "spikes" of 2020-2021. This could suggest that perhaps the much talked about interest rate cuts that have been mentioned may be coming. Powell spoke to the Senate informing them of the risks facing the economy. "risks on both sides" and with a labor market in apparent balance. He also made reference to the fact that if rate increases are implemented it will be based on

Dangerous Trade This trade has bad idea written all over it. Don’t try this at home. Not investment advice. etc. It has come to my attention that HO i.e.. NY Harbor heating oil which is a proxy petroleum distillate for diesel has gotten more expensive than gasoline in recent years many times and that it has done so in an aggressive manner quite a few of those times. This aggression is easily captured by charting the spread between HO and RB. RB is refinery gasoline. The formula for the spread is HO1! - R

The down trend in heating oil starts We got sell signals based on cot data from #cotreport in crude oil and gasoline. The heating oil is strong correlated with RB and CL. When the sell cot signal stats to work out, we will see also a down trend in HO. The HO is the weakest one in the energies sector, therefore I expect a down trend in HO. I am waiting for my entry pattern to open a short position in this market.

by InsiderWeek_MaxSchulz

Buy May heating Oil market. Stop at: 265.40, target at 289.70 Buy May heating Oil market. Energies are on an uptrend and there is a lot of GeoPolitical uncertainty. This is an aggressive trade. Stop will be at: 265.40, target at 289.70

by Cannon-Trading

HO1!/RB1! bearish pairs trade setup HO1! vs RB1! has become deviated too high compared to the historical norm. Look for the pullback to the 0.95 area. If you don't know how to do pairs trading, especially with commodities, don't do it.

by Options_Trading

long March heating Oil at 280.45 limit. stop 262.80, tg 299.70 Looking to go long March heating Oil at 280.45 limit. Market is showoing building of a base with upside potential. Stop will be 262.80, tgt is 299.70

by Cannon-Trading

Sell dec heating oil 272.30 on stop Sell dec heating oil 272.30 on stop It is a pending order. Trade confirmed.

by Cannon-Trading

ULSD Gulf Coast, Technical Analysis For PEMEX Mexico's prices: Throughout the year 2023, there has been a bearish trend in the international reference price. However, in the last weeks of July 2023, there was an increase in international reference prices. The Fibonacci retracement technique was used to assess potential support and resistance levels. The analysis shows that the next price resistance level is at 2.6413 USD, equivalent to $24.98 MXN. However, it is unlikely to reach this level as the highest recorded price to date

Low Sulphur Gasoil SELL Entry: 968.75 - 1014.50 TP1: 839.50 TP2: 688.00 SL: 1077.25

by neurotrader95

This Heating Oil chart uses RSI and bollinger bands for COT Data This Heating Oil chart uses RSI and bollinger bands for COT Data and price.

by golddigger46

HO COT Data This Heating Oil chart uses RSI and bollinger bands for COT Data and price.

by golddigger46

PPP in the annual timeframe it has not yet made a move to change in its trend