AUS200 H4 | Heading Toward Strong ResistanceThe price is rising to our sell entry level at 8,757.65, which is an overlap resistance.
Our stop loss is set at 8,877.77, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Our take profit is set at 8,601.56, which is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Index info
The S&P/ASX 200 index (also known as the XJO) is the main benchmark for the Australian equity market (replacing the venerable All Ords as the industry standard). The index is made up of 200 of the top stocks, which boast a total value of around $1.1 billion (end of March 2010).
AUS200: Month-end aftermarket selling, then a new monthToday's question: when the aftermarket falls at least 10 points into month-end, what happens on the first day of the new month?
Exact conditions, combined with AND (Mosaic Data Lab):
- AUS200 AFTERMARKET (PRIOR DAY) <= -10 points
- GLOBAL EVENTS = SOM
14 completed sessions matched since December 2
AUS200: after a 100-point session high, what follows?A strong session raises a simple question: how much of that strength carries into the next three trading days?
I looked at historical sessions where AUS200 traded at least 100 points above its 10am Sydney opening price during ASX cash hours. That is a move to the session high, not a requirement to
AUS200: late sell-off into RBA Tuesday, five historical casesQuestion: after a late sell-off into an RBA Tuesday, what does the ASX session (10am open to 4pm close) do?
Conditions (both apply): AUS200 LATE MOVE (PRIOR DAY) = SHORT (the prior day's 14:30-16:00 Sydney swing-reversal legs, carried forward as context), and AUS200 EVENTS = RBA TUESDAY.
Results:
AUS200: can a weak first 15 minutes recover?With an overnight AUS200 futures dislocation of -80 points or worse and a prior-day AUS200 first hour of -15 points or worse, what did the next ASX session do?
The setup matched 15 dates. One date (29 November 2021) has no first-15-minute value, so the comparable outcome sample is 14:
• First 15 mi
US rally, Australia lagging: does the ASX catch up?What happened during the Australian session when the S&P 500 had gained at least 90 points on the prior day, while Australian overnight futures dislocation was no greater than 50 points?
Both conditions apply together, with no weekday filter:
• S&P500 (DAY PRIOR) >= 90 points
• AUS200 OVERNIGHT FUT
9100 In Sight for ASX 200 Bulls?While prices have effectively been flat this week, there are subtle clues that bullish setups may be building. Thursday’s bullish candle was accompanied by the highest volume in a month, while the daily increase in open interest was also unusually strong. Both point to solid demand for SPI 200 futur
AU200: news flow leaning bearish — the net read
AU200 did not get one story today, it got several, and they do not all point the same way. Weighed against each other — new against old, and tracking which ones have already faded:
−− Treasury yields hitting 5% may not break markets now — but the clock is ticking
−− US Troops Leak New Iran War Ph
ASX 200 Headed for 8400?The ASX 200 has just suffered its worst week in six months, thanks to renewed bets on RBA and Fed hikes amid soaring oil prices and bond yields. We are only halfway through the month, yet it already seems likely the ASX will snap its five-month winning streak. Signs of a reversal were there, given A
AUS200 H4 | Bearish Drop OffBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has rejected our sell entry level at 9,020.12, which is a pullback resistance.
Our stop loss is set at 9,110.03, which is a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 8,891.60, which is an overlap support.
High Risk Investment Warning
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Displays a symbol's value movements over previous years to identify recurring trends.









