The Bear Market's Last Stop: SeptemberYou Asked. Here's Exactly What I Hold.
You sent me a stack of questions this week. I'll answer them straight, with my real orders and my real levels, not a highlight reel.
First, the honest part: am I profitable, and how do I trade
I've been in these markets for 13 years, and I did not turn profitable right away. My win rate is not 100%. If I'm honest, on plenty of setups it sits below 50%, same as most people. Start from that truth. You will be wrong often. Make peace with it as your baseline.
Everything I write here is my opinion, nothing more. Agree or don't, that's fine by me. These questions came to me directly, so I'm answering them directly.
If your win rate is around 50% or under, you can still make money. Two ways. Either your risk to reward is high enough to cover a low hit rate, or you narrow down to the specific setups where you know you perform. Everyone is different. Different psychology, different relationship with risk. So learn your weak sides and your strong sides.
Here is the exercise that fixed my discipline. I went back and studied my single best trade, the one with the biggest and most comfortable profit I can remember. It was the second most profitable trade of my life. The rule behind it was simple. Hold the winners as long as possible, and cut the losers as fast as possible. That is the whole edge.
And set a stop before you enter. For me that stop is a fixed dollar figure, decided before I click buy. I think about it in money, not in percentage of the move.
Trading is one of the hardest professions there is. What carries you is the boring work: knowing yourself, reviewing your own trades, and sticking to a plan. Call it discipline. That is exactly how I've traded this market. Very few positions, limit orders left working, no rush to force anything. Some of those orders filled, and I'll get to them below.
The entry model I use for continuation trades
Honest answer: trend continuation is not where I'm most comfortable. But one thing is always fixed first. Before any trade, I know exactly how many dollars I'm risking on the stop. Start there and the rest falls into place. Your risk defines your position size. Your position size and stop define where your entry has to be. It all begins with how much you're willing to lose.
When I do take continuation, I like entering after a liquidity sweep, into the zone where price is set up to keep going. I publish a fair number of indicators, and some of the free ones I use myself mark those zones of interest for entries. The higher the timeframe, the cleaner they read. That's the manual side. This year I also put a lot of work into automated trading, with different strategies and different logic. You can dig into those where they're documented.
You were warned, and I'll keep warning you
I've said it many times: a bear market was coming. I said it before, I'm saying it now, and I'll keep saying it. I even gave dates, the month and the window it runs into. We're almost there. September 2026 is close, and that's the timing I've been pointing at all along. You can go back and read where I called it here:
That is why I've stayed patient through all of this. Very few trades, orders left working at my levels, no need to prove anything to the market in the meantime.
Bitcoin: when and where I start buying
I already published the zone. Here is the exact post where I show where DCA makes sense:
Where I stand personally: I've already bought half the size I planned, a little under $60k. The second tranche sits lower and only fills if we get there. I'm not trying to nail the exact bottom. I just don't want to be caught with no Bitcoin in my portfolio, and I already hold a solid amount. On the chart you'll see the zone marked with the circle. That band is your DCA area, and right now is a good time to be working it.
The full plan I laid out earlier. I share it, though not publicly. The community that wants that level of detail gets it.
Ethereum: is there still more downside
Ethereum is the number two asset in the whole industry, so people watch it closely. I already have a fill here. My limit order at 1590 triggered, the one I've flagged many times before. Right now that trade is up about 16%. As of today, August 4, 2026, I'm not closing it.
Can we still go lower? Yes. I won't rule out a move under $1,000. But I'll be straight with you, I don't have a second limit order down there. One entry, and I'm holding it.
Altcoins: what I'm buying into the final correction
Start with the frame. Altcoins are the highest-risk asset class in any financial market, full stop. My base case is that most alts eventually get dragged higher with the market. I keep a list with size allocated to each name, and I tried to pick coins that at least won't die on me. Nobody is insured against that, but that was the filter.
Since you asked, here is what I actually hold orders on: ONDO, TON, SOL (only at very low levels, think 50% or more below the current price), LINK, PYTH, ICP, NEAR, and even BCH. BCH is probably a mistake, but it is what it is. I do not hold HYPE. I think I missed it, and I'm not comfortable chasing it on a rising market. I also had Worldcoin (WLD) on a limit, but I pulled the order after it ran up without tagging my level, missed by a hair.
On the specific portfolios you sent me:
For the 60% into SOL between $50 and $60, that's your call, but for my own orders I'm waiting even lower, closer to 50% below the current price.
For the 20% into NEAR, ONDO and HYPE, understand these are all high-risk names. Fine as a small deliberate bet, not as a core holding.
On ADA, I count about five red flags. My call: Cardano needs a rebrand first, and only after that do we get a real leg up.
Going name by name on the beginner list, DOGE, BANK, HYPE, ENA, APT, ZAMA:
- DOGE: maybe. It's really a bet on Elon. He has plenty of other tools to move markets, so I wouldn't lean on it. If you believe he'll pump it again one day, that's your call.
- BANK: no.
- HYPE: maybe.
- ENA: I've wanted it for a while and I might still take it. It's not in my limit orders yet, but the price is getting attractive.
- APT (Aptos): I'd wait until the early-investor unlocks are done selling. Until then I don't expect much. I caught one trade, took it, and moved on.
- ZAMA: I don't have much to say here. These are mostly the names that are loud right now. I already told you the ones I actually have orders on. Again, high risk, and honestly you shouldn't lean on me for these picks.
Forecasts you asked for, XRP, SOL, Monero, Zcash:
- XRP: the most conspiracy-heavy coin on the market. My view holds, lower, and back under a dollar.
- SOL: also lower before it's worth buying.
- Monero: as regulation closes in, a chunk of the market does not want its money visible. Privacy coins are the natural hedge for that demand, and you can see Monero getting bought on exactly that thesis. I expect it stays volatile and stays bid.
- Zcash: same story on the demand side. I don't hold it. I have nothing to hide, and as a pure trade the time to buy was near 20, not 400 or 500 a coin. So it doesn't make my list.
The long game: BTC, ETH, gold, silver
Bitcoin. My entry view is already on the record. Half my position is bought, a bit under $60k, with a second entry lower for averaging, so I don't lie awake over buying too early or too late. On the upside, by the end of the next cycle I expect at least $160k. So ask yourself the real question: are you willing to hold roughly three years for that kind of return? To me that is a great trade. If you just want to make money and keep your life simple, buy spot Bitcoin, hold it, and go do other things.
Ethereum, long term. I don't love making this kind of call. Most of the market has $10,000 flashing in their heads. I have real doubts. My honest expectation is that Ethereum stagnates for at least the next two years, and the real growth starts only after that. A new all-time high should come eventually, the structure points that way, but I wouldn't rush it.
Gold. From here I'm actually waiting for a correction, at least $4,400. That pullback may never come, but if it does, that's the level I want to buy the move higher from.
Silver. It lags gold and moves the same way, so I expect it to follow higher eventually. It looks weak right now, no energy at all. I hold physical silver, and I'm sitting on it for the long haul.
What I've been building this year
You might have noticed fewer posts from me lately. Part of that is summer, and part of it is that I've been heads down building. This was a productive year and I did not coast through it. I understood the timing, so I used the quiet market to work instead of waiting it out.
A few things came out of it. I launched a separate platform in the financial space, an aggregator of trading tournaments across different venues. I shipped a lot of indicators, public and private. And I built out automated trading: a platform with strategies that we actually run live, on autopilot, and it works. That is where most of my energy went while the market did nothing.
I'm also starting to get inquiries about managed accounts. That one I'll keep to a quieter, non-public conversation for now.
I won't drop links here. If you want to see the results of that work, it isn't hard to find. The slow tape was build time, and I used every week of it.
Bottom line
So buckle up. Our limit orders are close to filling. We don't make unnecessary moves, we just keep doing our own thing and let the levels come to us.
Keep the frame I opened with. This is my opinion and my own book, nothing to follow blindly. Take the parts that fit your plan, size for the risk, and set your stop before you enter, not after.
Best Regards, EXCAVO
In-depth trading ideas
BTCUSDT Short: Faces Descending Channel – Pullback to $63,400?Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook based on the current BTCUSDT (3H) chart structure. BTCUSDT previously declined inside a descending channel before rebounding from the long-term ascending demand line. Price later formed another descending channel, where buyers successfully defended the 63,400 Demand Zone and pushed the market higher.
Currently, BTCUSDT is trading below the 65,800 Supply Zone while holding above the 63,400 Demand Zone and the rising demand trendline. Price is now testing the upper boundary of the descending channel.
As long as BTCUSDT remains below the 65,800 Supply Zone and channel resistance, the bearish scenario remains valid. A rejection could send price back toward the 63,400 Demand Zone (TP1). However, a breakout above resistance would weaken the bearish outlook. Manage your risk!
Bitcoin 10X LONG —PP: 870% (Last 2026 chance to buy low)Good morning my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, I hope you are having a wonderful day. This is a friendly reminder, the last call; the consolidation and bullish accumulation period is reached its end.
Bitcoin has been consolidating for exactly six months and there isn't any more time to wait—the time is now to take action.
I will do an extended update on this chart but you can see the theme, it works for our trade. The same pattern from 2024 is being repeated, this can lead to massive growth. It is possible to see an entire year of sustained bullish action.
Keep in mind, the market is always changing. Instead of three months bullish then a correction and all the classics repeated over and over again, Bitcoin can change. It can grow gradually for months, never moving back down.
There can be strong variations on the size, shape and duration of the rising wave. The only possibility now is higher prices—the bears are gone. It is the best possible.
Here you have a set of trade-numbers with 10X lev. Just buy and hold, the market takes care of the rest. (Taking profits should be considered only after 80K—higher is better... much higher).
_____
LONG BTCUSDT
Leverage: 10X
Potential: 870%
Allocation: 3%
Entry zone: $60,000 - $65,000
Targets:
1) $68,300
2) $73,950
3) $83,120
4) $89,650
5) $97,500
6) $107,111
7) $112,800
8) $121,250
Stop: Close monthly below $59,000
_____
Thank you for reading.
If you enjoy the content, make sure to follow.
Namaste.
Bitcoin Tests $64,500 Resistance — Pullback Toward $62K PossibleHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook based on the current BTCUSDT (4H) chart structure. BTCUSDT previously recovered from the 62,000 Buyer Zone and advanced inside an ascending channel before reaching the 64,500 Seller Zone, where sellers regained control. Price then rejected from the long-term descending trendline and broke below the channel support, signaling weakening bullish momentum. Currently, BTCUSDT is trading above the 62,000 Buyer Zone while remaining below the 64,500 Seller Zone and the descending trendline. The latest rebound suggests buyers are attempting to defend support, but resistance continues to cap the upside. As long as BTCUSDT remains below the 64,500 Seller Zone and the long-term descending trendline, the bearish scenario remains valid. A rejection from current levels could push price toward the 62,000 Buyer Zone (TP1). However, a breakout above 64,500 and the descending trendline would weaken the bearish outlook and favor a stronger bullish recovery. Please share this idea with your friends and click "Boost" 🚀
Bitcoin Under Pressure: Can Bulls Defend $62K?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) remains under pressure despite easing tensions between the U.S. and Iran and lower bond yields.
Over the past 48 hours, reports of expanded attacks targeting Coldcard wallets, Strategy’s BTC sale, and continued weakness in U.S. investor demand have added further uncertainty to the market.
With Bitcoin now testing an important Support Zone, can buyers trigger a recovery toward $63,560, or is another decline approaching?
Market Outlook
Reports indicate that attacks targeting Coldcard wallets have expanded, with approximately 1,816 BTC—worth around $114 million—stolen from more than 5,200 addresses.
Strategy also announced the sale of 1,638 BTC worth approximately $104.7 million.
Meanwhile, the Coinbase Premium has remained negative for 77 consecutive days, indicating continued weakness in demand from U.S. investors.
Despite easing geopolitical tensions and declining bond yields, Bitcoin has failed to stage a meaningful recovery.
Technical Analysis
Over the past two weeks, Bitcoin appears to have been moving inside a Descending Channel.
BTC is currently trading near the Support Zone and the Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($62,220-$61,920).
From an Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin appears to be completing a Double Three Correction(WXY) inside the Descending Channel.
💡 Educational Note: A negative Coinbase Premium generally suggests weaker Bitcoin demand on Coinbase compared with offshore exchanges, particularly among U.S.-based investors.
I expect Bitcoin to begin a short-term bullish move from the Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($62,220-$61,920) and recover at least toward $63,560.
Trade Setup
Take Profit(TP): $63,560
Stop Loss(SL): $61,300(Worst)
Key Trading Level: $63,900
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $64,140-$63,800
Which level do you think Bitcoin will reach first?
🟢 $63,560
🔴 $61,300
📌 Bitcoin Analysis(BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame.
🛑 Always use proper risk management and set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position.
🚀 If this analysis helps your trading plan, a BOOST would help more traders discover it.
Bitcoin Breaks Descending Channel: Is $66,000 the Next Target?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has successfully broken above the Descending Channel and the key trading level of $64,000.
Over the past 24 hours, BTC has been fluctuating inside a small Ascending Channel as traders remain uncertain about the next major direction.
Can Bitcoin maintain its bullish structure and break above the Resistance Zone?
Technical Analysis
Bitcoin’s choppy price action reflects market indecision about whether the current bullish trend can continue.
However, the breakout above the Descending Channel and $64,000 supports the bullish scenario as long as the price remains above the Ascending Channel support line.
💡 Educational Note: A small Ascending Channel after a major breakout can represent a continuation structure, but a breakdown below its lower trendline may signal weakening bullish momentum.
I expect Bitcoin to continue moving higher, break above the Resistance Zone, and make another attempt to test the Resistance Lines.
Trade Setup
First Take Profit(TP): $65,930
Second Take Profit(TP): $66,460
Stop Loss(SL): $63,480
Which level do you think Bitcoin will reach first?
🟢 $66,460
🔴 $63,480
📌 Bitcoin Analysis(BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
🛑 Always use proper risk management and set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position.
🚀 If this analysis helps your trading plan, a BOOST would help more traders discover it.
A Good Setup at the Wrong Time Is a Bad Trade Image this: you find the perfect setup.
Trend aligned.
Support holding.
Confirmation appears.
But there’s one thing traders often forget:
Timing.
The same setup can behave very differently:
During an active trading session.
Versus...
10 minutes before major economic news.
Or when liquidity is extremely low.
Technically, the setup may look identical.
The environment isn't.
📌Thus, before entering, check two things:
1. Is the setup valid?
2. Is this a good time to trade it?
If either answer is no...
Wait.
Remember
A setup tells you WHAT to trade.
Timing tells you WHEN to trade it.
You need both.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Bitcoin - Is the low in?Bitcoin has been showing continued weakness after failing to reclaim higher levels and losing important support zones. Price is currently consolidating around the $64k area after a strong rejection from the previous highs, with momentum still favoring the bears. The overall market structure remains bearish, with lower highs and lower lows forming on the higher timeframes. For now, Bitcoin needs to reclaim key resistance levels to shift the momentum back in favor of buyers.
Daily FVG Resistance
Above the current price action, there is a clear Daily Fair Value Gap sitting around the $68k–$70k region. This area represents a strong resistance zone where sellers could step back in if Bitcoin manages to push higher. The previous rejection from this imbalance shows that there is still significant selling pressure overhead. A move into this FVG would likely act as a relief rally rather than a confirmed trend reversal unless Bitcoin can break and hold above it.
Bear Market
The current structure continues to resemble a bear market phase, with price trading below major resistance levels and failing to create strong bullish continuation. After the rejection from the $80k+ area, Bitcoin has been steadily moving lower, showing weakness on every attempt to recover. The inability to reclaim previous highs suggests that buyers are struggling to regain control. Until Bitcoin breaks above key resistance zones, the broader market structure remains bearish.
Downtrend
Bitcoin remains inside a clear downtrend, characterized by lower highs and weak price action. Every bounce has been met with selling pressure, preventing a sustained recovery. The current consolidation around $64k could either become a base for a reversal or a continuation pattern before another move lower. A break below the current support area would likely open the door toward lower levels as the downtrend continues.
Final Thoughts
Bitcoin is currently sitting in a critical area, but the overall bias remains bearish while price stays below the Daily FVG resistance. A move higher into the $68k–$70k zone could happen as a relief bounce, but this area is expected to attract sellers. If Bitcoin fails to reclaim this resistance and loses the current support, we could see another leg lower in the ongoing downtrend. For now, patience is key until Bitcoin shows clear signs of strength and a break in market structure.
Bitcoin consolidation breakdown more downside AheadBitcoin continues to trade under strong bearish pressure after failing to sustain momentum above the recent resistance zone. The rejection from the upper boundary of the bearish wedge confirms that sellers remain in control, while price is now testing a critical support area around 62,300–62,500. A decisive breakdown below this level could trigger another impulsive bearish leg as market participants continue to reduce risk.
Tecnically Bitcoin has formed a series of lower highs and lower lows, signaling that the primary trend continues to favor sellers. The recent recovery attempts lacked sufficient buying volume, allowing bears to regain control and push price back toward the lower boundary of the current trading range. Until Bitcoin reclaims the major resistance zone, any short-term rally should be viewed as a corrective bounce rather than the beginning of a new uptrend.
From a technical standpoint, the rejection from the bearish wedge resistance adds further confirmation to the downside bias. Price is approaching a significant demand area, where a temporary relief bounce may occur to collect liquidity before sellers attempt another move lower. As long as the market remains below the recent swing highs, bearish momentum is expected to dominate.
Resistance Levels: 63,200 | 63,700 | 64,500
Support Levels: 62,300 | 61,030 | 60,000
If Bitcoin breaks and closes below 62,300, the next downside targets are likely around 61,030, followed by the psychological 60,000 level. However, if buyers defend the current support, a short-term recovery toward 63,200–63,700 is possible before the broader bearish trend resumes.
Hope you found this analysis helpful. 👍
Like, Comment & Follow for more updates. Trade safe.
Bitcoin Price Update – Clean & Clear ExplanationBitcoin is currently trading under strong bearish pressure after failing to hold above the rising trendline support on the 4H chart. The recent rejection from the resistance zone has shifted momentum in favor of the sellers, indicating that buyers are losing short-term control.
The price has broken below a key support area and is now testing an important demand zone. If BTC continues to trade below this broken trendline and fails to reclaim the 62,800–63,200 region, the market could see another wave of selling pressure toward the 60,300 support area.
On the upside, if buyers manage to defend the current support and push the price back above the key level, Bitcoin could stage a recovery toward the 64,500–64,800 resistance zone. However, that bullish scenario requires a confirmed breakout with strong buying volume.
A sustained move below current support could accelerate the bearish trend, while a recovery above the key level may trigger a short-term bullish reversal.
This analysis is shared for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
Market Concepts · Lesson 06 — HTF Blocks With LTF EntriesLesson 6 - Combining Higher-Timeframe Blocks With Lower-Timeframe Entries
Difficulty: Advanced
The best trades often start on a chart you're not even trading. Learning to read two timeframes at once — one to find the zone, one to time the entry — is what separates precise traders from reactive ones.
🔵 THE TWO-TIMEFRAME MINDSET
Most traders live on one timeframe. They pick their favorite chart — maybe the 1-hour, maybe the 15-minute — and try to find every setup there. Zones, entries, stops, targets — all from a single view.
The problem: one timeframe can't tell you two different things at once. It can either show you the big picture (where the meaningful zones are), or it can show you the fine detail (where the exact entry is). Trying to force one chart to do both usually means you're either late on entries or reading the wrong zones entirely.
The fix is simple in theory: use one timeframe to find the zone, and a lower one to time the entry. In practice, it takes a bit of coordination — but once you get used to it, your trades get sharper and your losses get smaller.
🔵 WHY HTF ZONES MATTER MORE
Higher-timeframe order blocks — say, 4-hour or daily — represent decisions made over a much longer window of trading activity. The buying or selling that formed them wasn't a single 15-minute move. It was hours or days of positioning by traders across the globe.
That makes HTF zones heavier. They carry more institutional attention, more liquidity, more meaning. When price returns to one, the reaction tends to be more decisive — because more market participants are watching the same level.
Lower-timeframe zones are useful too, but they carry less weight on their own. They react faster, but they also fail faster. A zone on the 5-minute chart might last a few hours before it stops mattering. A zone on the daily chart can stay relevant for weeks.
🔵 WHY LTF ENTRIES ARE PRECISE
Here's the tradeoff with HTF zones: they're wide. A 4-hour bullish order block might span $200 of price on Bitcoin. If you enter blindly at the top of that zone with a stop below it, you're risking the full $200 — and your risk-to-reward gets crushed before you even start.
Lower-timeframe charts solve that. When price arrives at the HTF zone, dropping down to a 5-minute or 15-minute chart lets you see exactly how price is behaving inside it — where the reaction is starting, where the structure is shifting, where the entry candle actually forms.
You get the HTF zone's strength combined with the LTF chart's precision. Same trade idea, dramatically tighter risk.
🔵 HOW TO COMBINE THEM IN PRACTICE
The workflow is straightforward once you build the habit:
- Start on the higher timeframe (4H or daily). Mark the significant order blocks you want to watch
- Wait. Don't force the trade. Let price come to one of those zones naturally
- Once price enters the HTF zone, drop to a lower timeframe (5m, 15m, or 1H depending on your style)
- On the lower timeframe, look for entry signals: rejection candles, a shift in short-term market structure, a smaller order block forming inside the bigger one
- Enter based on the LTF signal, but manage the trade based on the HTF zone — your stop lives outside the HTF boundary, and your target is set by HTF structure
The key mental shift: the HTF zone tells you where. The LTF chart tells you when.
🔵 COMMON MISTAKES TO AVOID
- Using two timeframes that are too close together (4H and 1H isn't enough separation — try 4H and 15m, or daily and 1H)
- Ignoring the HTF zone once you've dropped to the LTF chart — the LTF is for timing, not for changing your bias
- Chasing every small LTF signal that appears — the HTF zone has to be the anchor, not just a distant idea
- Placing your stop based on the LTF chart alone — a tight LTF stop inside a HTF zone gets picked off by normal noise
🐳 PRO TIPS
- Higher-strength HTF zones (rated High or Strong) tend to give the cleanest LTF entries, because the reaction they produce is usually strong enough to show up clearly on the smaller chart
- If the LTF isn't giving you a clear signal even when price is in the HTF zone, that's information — sometimes the best trade is no trade
- When multiple HTF zones stack near each other on the higher chart, the LTF entry becomes even more valuable — you want to know which of those zones is actually being defended, not just enter blindly at the first one
- Practice this in a market you already know well before trying it on new assets — the timeframe rhythm is different for every market
Do you already use multiple timeframes when trading zones, or is this new to you? Drop your setup below 🐳
Market Concepts — All Lessons
Lesson 01 — What Order Blocks Are
Lesson 02 — Zone Strength Isn't About Size
Lesson 03 — Entering Trades With Order Blocks
Lesson 04 — Old Order Blocks As New S/R
Lesson 05 — Breaker Blocks
Best Regards, BigBeluga 🐳
HERE IS BTC/USDT POSIBLE BULLISHHERE IS BTCUSDT POSIBLE BULLISH
Bitcoin is developing a constructive recovery structure after finding strong demand near the 58,000–60,000 region. Since the July low, price has been forming higher lows along a rising trendline, while gradually reclaiming higher levels. This indicates that buyers are building momentum and attempting to reverse the previous bearish phase.
Price is currently consolidating beneath the Ichimoku Cloud, making the cloud a key decision zone. A confirmed daily breakout above the cloud would provide stronger bullish confirmation and could accelerate the recovery toward the 69,000 resistance, followed by the 72,000 resistance zone. As long as BTC continues to respect the rising trendline and the 61,000 support area, the bullish structure remains valid.
If the Bullish Structure Holds
🟢 1st Resistance: 69,000.00
🟢 2nd Resistance: 72,000.00
🔴 Primary Support: 61,000.00
🔴 Major Support: 60,000.00
Market Structure Insight
The formation of higher lows above the ascending trendline suggests improving buying pressure. A sustained breakout above the Ichimoku Cloud could confirm a broader bullish continuation and open the path toward the higher resistance levels.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always wait for confirmation before entering a trade and apply proper risk management in all market conditions.
BTC Breaks Above Descending Trendline – Is 65,7K the Next Aim?Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook based on the current BTCUSDT (1H) chart structure. BTCUSDT previously broke above the long-term descending trendline before entering a recovery phase. After consolidating inside a range, price formed a rising channel and continues to respect its ascending support line, showing that buyers remain in control. Currently, BTCUSDT is trading above the 64,200 Buyer Zone while remaining below the 65,700 Seller Zone. The latest rebound from support suggests bullish momentum is building as price continues to hold above the previous breakout level. As long as BTCUSDT stays above the 64,200 Buyer Zone and respects the channel support, the bullish scenario remains valid. A continuation higher could push price toward the 65,700 Seller Zone (TP1). However, a break below 64,200 would weaken the bullish outlook and increase the risk of a deeper pullback. Please share this idea with your friends and click "Boost" 🚀
A Recurring Pattern May Be Defining the Next Major BTC MovePattern recognition remains one of the most powerful tools in technical analysis. While history never repeats exactly, recurring market structures often reveal high probability paths as the market unfolds.
This analysis focuses on Bitcoin's higher timeframe structure and presents a conditional roadmap for the current corrective cycle rather than an immediate price forecast.
Bitcoin is currently trading within a weekly falling wedge, but the corrective structure appears incomplete. From a pattern recognition perspective, price may first retest the Immediate Demand Zone before breaking out of the wedge. A successful defence of this level would strengthen the probability of a rally towards the High Timeframe (HTF) Supply Zone around 100,596.
However, the move into HTF Supply may represent the next phase of the correction rather than the beginning of a new impulsive trend. A rejection from this region could initiate the final leg of an extended ABC corrective structure, with Wave C potentially targeting the High Probability Demand Zone around 30,937, completing the broader corrective cycle before the next major bullish expansion begins.
As always, this roadmap remains conditional. Price confirmation at each key demand and supply zone will determine whether the structure continues to unfold as anticipated.
Do you believe Bitcoin still has one final corrective leg ahead, or has the market already completed its higher-timeframe correction?
WESLAD Research
Probability Over Prediction.
Bitcoin rejected momentum downside Pressure Bitcoin is currently trading inside a strong resistance zone after a solid recovery from recent lows. Buyers have pushed the price higher, but the market is now struggling to break above the 65K area, where heavy selling pressure has returned. This suggests that bulls are losing momentum while sellers are becoming more active.
The current price reaction is driven by a combination of technical resistance, profit-taking by short-term traders, and cautious market sentiment. Many investors are waiting for fresh economic or crypto-related catalysts before opening new positions. At the same time, a stronger US Dollar or risk-off sentiment across financial markets can also limit Bitcoin's upside and encourage sellers to step in.
Resistance: 65,200 / 65,500
Support 1: 63,600 / 62,400
As long as Bitcoin remains below the 65.2K / 65.5K resistance zone, the market favors a pullback or consolidation. However, if buyers manage to break above this resistance with strong volume, the bearish setup would weaken and the next bullish leg could begin.
Bitcoin - Bullish Breakout Setup | $67.5K → $69K NEXT?Bitcoin is showing a strong technical structure on the 4H chart, with price breaking above the descending trendline and holding above the key support area. The recent BOS/CHoCH market-structure shift suggests buyers are gaining control, while the rising trendline continues to support the bullish setup. BINANCE:BTCUSDT
If BTC continues to hold above the breakout area and maintains bullish momentum, the next liquidity/Key Zone around $67.5K could become the first major upside objective, followed by the $69K resistance zone.
Invalidation: A strong breakdown below the $62.1K–$62.8K Key Zone would weaken the bullish structure and could signal a deeper correction.
What do you think — BTC $69K next, or will sellers defend the upper zone?
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Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only.
BTCUSDT: Sellers Step In — 63,800 Support Zone Becomes TP1Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current BTCUSDT setup.
Market Analysis
BTCUSDT previously traded inside a broad range before breaking higher and entering a descending channel. Price has repeatedly faced rejection near the 65,400 Resistance Zone, while the 63,800 Support Zone continues to act as a key downside level.
Currently, BTCUSDT is trading below the 65,400 Resistance Zone while holding above the 63,800 Support Zone. The latest rejection near resistance suggests that sellers are attempting to regain control.
My Scenario & Strategy
As long as BTCUSDT remains below the 65,400 Resistance Zone and respects the descending channel, the bearish scenario remains valid. A rejection from current levels could push price toward the 63,800 Support Zone (TP1).
However, a breakout above the 65,400 Resistance Zone would weaken the bearish outlook and increase the risk of a move toward higher levels.
That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
BTCUSDT Holding Demand, 64.6K in FocusHI!
BTC reacted well from the demand zone and buyers stepped in again after the retest. Price is now holding above the 100 SMA, with the previous engulfed level acting as support. As long as this structure remains intact, the path toward 64.6K looks open. Losing the demand zone would invalidate the setup and shift momentum back to the sellers.
BITCOIN: Price accumulated successfully! Strong Distribution! Bitcoin/USDT is showing signs of a developing bullish recovery after buyers successfully defended the key $60,000–$62,000 demand zone.
The price has regained $64,000 and is currently consolidating beneath the immediate $65,500–$65,800 resistance zone. This structure suggests buyers are gradually absorbing available supply while sellers struggle to sustain a breakdown.
Overall, the bias is bullish.
Technical Structure:
Bitcoin reached a significant low near $57,500 before recovering above the psychological $60,000 level. Subsequent pullbacks have consistently attracted demand around $60,000–$62,000. The latest reaction formed a higher low near $62,600, indicating weakening selling pressure.
BTCUSDT has since reclaimed the $64,000 area and is testing the upper boundary of its short-term consolidation. A confirmed breakout above $65,800 would establish a new four-hour higher high and strengthen the case for continued recovery.
Reasons for the Strengthening Bullish Setup:
- Buyers continue to defend the $60,000–$62,000 demand zone.
- The latest pullback produced a potential higher low.
- The price has reclaimed the important $64,000 level.
- Recent retracements have remained relatively controlled.
- Bitcoin is consolidating directly beneath resistance.
- Repeated tests of $65,500 could weaken remaining supply.
- A breakout above $65,800 would confirm bullish continuation.
Important Resistance Levels:
- $65,500–$65,800: Immediate breakout zone.
• $67,000: First major upside objective.
Resistance and Support Levels:
* $68,500–$69,500: Higher-timeframe resistance and moving-average region.
* $72,000: Major continuation target.
* $78,000: Extended bullish recovery objective.
Important Support Levels:
* $64,500–$64,000: Immediate demand and breakout support.
* $62,600–$62,000: Major higher-low region.
* $60,000: Psychological and structural support.
* $57,500: Broader bullish invalidation region.
Bullish Targets:
* TP1: $65,800
* TP2: $67,000
* TP3: $68,500
* TP4: $69,500
* Extended targets: $72,000 and $78,000
Bullish Trading Scenario:
The preferred bullish scenario is a confirmed four-hour close above $65,800 followed by a successful retest of the breakout area.
If former resistance becomes support, buyers could target $67,000 before extending the recovery towards the crucial $68,500–$69,500 region.
A daily close above $69,500 would signify a stronger structural breakout, potentially generating sufficient momentum for an advance towards $72,000. Continued acceptance above that level would focus attention on the extended $78,000 objective.
Alternatively, a controlled pullback into $64,500–$64,000 could offer another bullish continuation structure if price produces a clear rejection candle or forms a higher low.
Fundamental Bullish Case:
The fundamental bullish case hinges on several key factors.
The latest US employment report revealed a decline in nonfarm payrolls by 23,000, with previous months’ figures revised downwards. This deterioration in employment growth could dampen expectations for further Federal Reserve tightening.
A less restrictive interest-rate outlook generally supports market liquidity and risk-sensitive assets like Bitcoin.
Despite geopolitical uncertainty and negative market headlines, Bitcoin has demonstrated resilience, maintaining a price around $64,000–$65,000. This suggests that significant selling pressure may have already been absorbed.
The next key catalyst is the US Consumer Price Index release. Softer inflation could further reduce expectations for tighter monetary policy, potentially propelling BTCUSDT above resistance.
Risk and Invalidation
A daily close below $62,000 would weaken the current bullish structure, indicating buyers are losing control of the recent higher-low region.
A sustained breakdown below $60,000 would invalidate the primary bullish recovery thesis, exposing the broader $57,500 support level.
The bullish outlook remains valid as long as BTCUSDT maintains acceptance above the $62,000–$60,000 support structure.
Conclusion
BTCUSDT is transitioning from accumulation to a bullish recovery.
The repeated defence of $60,000–$62,000, potential formation of a higher low and recovery above $64,000 collectively support a bullish bias.
The most crucial confirmation would be a four-hour close above $65,800. Such a breakout could pave the way for $67,000, followed by the major $68,500–$69,500 target region.
Bias: Bullish
Immediate support: $64,500–$64,000
Bullish confirmation: Above $65,800
Primary target: $69,500
Extended targets: $72,000 and $78,000
Short-term invalidation: Below $62,000
Major invalidation: Below $60,000
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EURUSD: Rejection From Resistance Signals Potential PullbackHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current BTCUSDT setup.
Market Analysis
BTCUSDT recently traded inside an upward channel before facing rejection near the 64,500 Resistance Zone. Price has since lost the channel support and is now consolidating below resistance, suggesting that short-term bullish momentum is weakening.
Currently, BTCUSDT is trading below the 64,500 Resistance Zone while holding above the 63,000 Support Zone. The rejection from resistance increases the risk of a deeper pullback toward the lower support area.
My Scenario & Strategy
As long as BTCUSDT remains below the 64,500 Resistance Zone and continues respecting the descending triangle resistance, the bearish scenario remains valid. A rejection from current levels could push price toward the 63,000 Support Zone (TP1).
However, if BTCUSDT breaks and closes above the 64,500 Resistance Zone, the bearish outlook would weaken, opening the door for a continuation toward higher levels.
That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Bitcoin this week will pump above 67K or strong dump will cookThis week, Bitcoin will either pump above 67K or experience a strong dump. The reason is that 67K is a major resistance zone and also aligns with the neckline of an inverse Head and Shoulders pattern. If this resistance holds, the market may range or dump. If a breakout to the upside occurs and the right shoulder completes, a rally toward 80K is expected.
Let’s break down what is happening on the Bitcoin chart this week. Price is approaching a critical level at 67K, and how it reacts here will determine the next major move.
Learn this: 67K is not just a random number. It is a strong resistance zone that has rejected price multiple times in the past. It is also the neckline of an inverse Head and Shoulders pattern that is currently forming. When a key resistance level aligns with a pattern neckline, that zone becomes even more significant. A break or rejection there will likely lead to a strong move.
If price fails to break above 67K and gets rejected, the market could enter a boring range or even dump lower. That means the resistance remains valid, and sellers are still in control.
However, if Bitcoin manages to break above 67K with strong volume, that would complete the inverse Head and Shoulders pattern. The right shoulder would be confirmed, and the measured move from the pattern would project price toward 80K.
Learn this : An inverse Head and Shoulders is a bullish reversal pattern. When price breaks above the neckline, it signals that the downtrend is over and a new uptrend is beginning. The target is calculated by measuring the distance from the head to the neckline and projecting that same distance upward from the breakout point.
Bitcoin Tests Critical Support, Reversal Forming ?Bitcoin is undergoing a healthy corrective move on the daily timeframe, with price now approaching a major high-timeframe support zone that could determine the next directional move.
This region is backed by several important technical confluences, including the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, the VWAP, and a key high-timeframe support level. When multiple indicators align at the same price area, it often creates a strong reaction zone that traders closely monitor for signs of accumulation.
At the moment, Bitcoin needs to continue holding this support to maintain the broader bullish outlook. While further consolidation is possible throughout the week, especially as buyers and sellers battle for control, the technical structure remains constructive as long as this region is defended. A sustained hold above support would increase the probability of buyers stepping back into the market and initiating a stronger recovery.
If bullish momentum begins to build from this confluence zone, Bitcoin could rotate toward the next major daily resistance around $23,000. Reaching this level would confirm that the recent pullback was simply a correction within a larger bullish trend rather than the start of a deeper decline.
This support region remains the most important level to watch in the short term. Holding above it keeps the probability of a higher-timeframe rally intact, while losing it would increase the risk of a deeper correction before buyers regain control.
BTCUSDT – Bearish Breakdown Setup Below 63,7K, Eyes on 58.5KBitcoin is printing strong buy volume to start the week, sweeping shorts on the way up with no pullback so far.
Why This Level Matters:
Monday moves this aggressive rarely hold and usually snap back. On the bigger picture, we expect the 62,300 neckline zone to break, which opens the path down toward the 58,300–58,600 demand zone.
Gameplan / Primary Scenario:
This is a short setup, but timing is everything. Wait for the volume inflow to cool and price to lose momentum before entering. Two zones are in play: a smaller setup on the first rejection near 63,700, and the major short once the 62,300 neckline breaks down. Once the breakdown confirms, ride the continuation lower toward 58,500.
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