6A: Conditional Pullback From RBA Resistance6A has a conditional short setup if the post-election risk bounce stalls. Spot AUD/USD is holding the 0.70 handle on broad Dollar weakness, gold and equities, but the rebound is running into the same zone where the dovish RBA hike and institutional bearish views should cap momentum unless buyers can
Peers for comparison
6A: RBA Repricing Turns Dips Into a Squeeze TestA conditional long 6A setup is still favoured if the next dip holds. Spot AUD/USD has absorbed weaker Asian equities while futures pricing has moved sharply toward a November RBA hike after hawkish inflation remarks, leaving shorts vulnerable rather than confirming a chase at current levels.
Where
Australian Dollar Futures: FOMC Trap Risk Around Aussie Stops6A remains a conditional short rather than a momentum chase.
Where the edge is
Market talk points to AU$1.3bn in spot expiries at 0.6935/40, with stop pockets above 0.6990 and below 0.6938. That structure can suppress conviction before the New York cut (10am ET), then leave the first post-event b
Aussie Dollar Braces for RBA Verdict as Fed Turns HawkishHawkish Crosscurrents: Fed Hike Meets RBA's Looming Test
The Aussie dollar heads into the final week of September caught between two central banks that have both turned more hawkish than markets expected just a month ago. On September 16, 2026, the Federal Reserve raised its benchmark rate by 25 b
𝗪𝗘𝗘𝗞𝗟𝗬 𝗔𝗡𝗔𝗟𝗬𝗦𝗜𝗦 | 𝗔𝗨𝗗 𝗙𝗨𝗧𝗨𝗥𝗘𝗦 |𝗪𝗘𝗘𝗞𝗟𝗬 𝗔𝗡𝗔𝗟𝗬𝗦𝗜𝗦 | 𝗔𝗨𝗗 𝗙𝗨𝗧𝗨𝗥𝗘𝗦 | 𝟯𝟭.𝟬𝟴. – 𝟬𝟰.𝟬𝟵.𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲
As mentioned in my last post, the 𝗨𝗦𝗗 𝗿𝗲𝗺𝗮𝗶𝗻𝘀 𝗯𝘂𝗹𝗹𝗶𝘀𝗵.
Looking at the 𝗔𝗨𝗗 𝗙𝘂𝘁𝘂𝗿𝗲𝘀, this creates an interesting potential 𝗦𝗛𝗢𝗥𝗧 𝗦𝗖𝗘𝗡𝗔𝗥𝗜𝗢 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗔𝗨𝗗/𝗨𝗦𝗗.
But why am I looking for shorts?
First, let’s look at the 𝗙𝗨𝗡𝗗𝗔𝗠𝗘𝗡𝗧𝗔𝗟 𝗣𝗜𝗖𝗧𝗨𝗥𝗘.
𝟭. 𝗦𝗘𝗔𝗦𝗢𝗡𝗔𝗟𝗜𝗧𝗬
𝗪𝗘𝗘𝗞𝗟𝗬 𝗔𝗡𝗔𝗟𝗬𝗦𝗜𝗦 — 𝟲𝗔𝟭! 𝗔𝗨𝗗 𝗙𝗨𝗧𝗨𝗥𝗘𝗦𝗪𝗘𝗘𝗞𝗟𝗬 𝗔𝗡𝗔𝗟𝗬𝗦𝗜𝗦 — 𝟲𝗔𝟭! 𝗔𝗨𝗗 𝗙𝗨𝗧𝗨𝗥𝗘𝗦
📅 𝟮𝟰.𝟬𝟴. – 𝟮𝟴.𝟬𝟴.𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲
The 𝗔𝗨𝗗 𝗙𝘂𝘁𝘂𝗿𝗲𝘀 has had an impressive run, with 𝟴 𝗰𝗼𝗻𝘀𝗲𝗰𝘂𝘁𝗶𝘃𝗲 𝗯𝘂𝗹𝗹𝗶𝘀𝗵 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸𝘀.
Price is now approaching an 𝗼𝗹𝗱 𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵 from May 29th.
This level is located within a 𝗗𝟭 𝗙𝗩𝗚, with a 𝗪𝟭 𝗢𝗿𝗱𝗲𝗿 𝗕𝗹𝗼𝗰𝗸 just above it.
So what do the 𝗳𝘂𝗻𝗱𝗮𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗮𝗹 𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗮 te
Long trade
📊 6A1! AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR FUTURES — UPDATED POC READ
Direction: 🟢 Buyside
Entry: 0.71140
Stop: 0.71120
Target: 0.71300
RR: 8R
POC / Value Map
Developing VA High: ~0.7120
Developing POC: ~0.7117
Developing VA Low: ~0.7116
Entry: 0.71140
Current price: ~0.7128
Target: 0.71300
Value Narrative
The se
𝗔𝗨𝗗 𝗙𝘂𝘁𝘂𝗿𝗲𝘀 (𝟲𝗔𝟭!) 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸𝗹𝘆 𝗢𝘂𝘁𝗹𝗼𝗼𝗸 𝗔𝗨𝗗 𝗙𝘂𝘁𝘂𝗿𝗲𝘀 (𝟲𝗔𝟭!) 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸𝗹𝘆 𝗢𝘂𝘁𝗹𝗼𝗼𝗸 | 𝗔𝘂𝗴𝘂𝘀𝘁 𝟭𝟬–𝟭𝟰, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲
Similar to almost all major currencies against the USD, **AUD Futures have been bullish against the USD over the past two weeks**.
From the recent low, price has moved approximately **200 pips higher**.
Price has now slightly touched a **bear
AUDUSD Short Trade Using Supply and DemandAUD Analysis:
Technicals:
- Price inside daily supply.
Sentiment/Fundamentals:
- COT adding into shorts + closing longs.
- Recent Manufactuing + Services have been good + Unemployment stayed same.
- AUD Inflation data coming out Tuesday.
OVerall:
- Still short from the 1hr supply created mentione
US CPI Can Release Compressed Volatility6A offers an active volatility trade rather than a directional call. Neutral momentum, divided positioning and conflicting macro forces leave the break's direction unresolved, but US CPI provides a credible catalyst for the compressed range to expand.
Where the edge is
Recent range compression ha
See all ideas
A representation of what an asset is worth today and what the market thinks it will be worth in the future.
Displays a symbol's price movements over previous years to identify recurring trends.
Frequently asked questions
One way to gain exposure to 6AU2025 is through a broker that offers futures. Before trading, make sure you understand how the product works and the risks involved.
You can trade 6AU2025 directly from TradingView:
– Choose a broker: Explore our supported trading partners and pick one that fits your needs
– Compare options: View available brokers side by side to evaluate fees and features
– Connect your account: Open Supercharts, click "Trade", select your broker, and log in
– Start trading: Place orders directly from the chart
Tip: If you're new to trading, try paper trading first — it lets you practice strategies in real market conditions without risking funds.
You can trade 6AU2025 directly from TradingView:
– Choose a broker: Explore our supported trading partners and pick one that fits your needs
– Compare options: View available brokers side by side to evaluate fees and features
– Connect your account: Open Supercharts, click "Trade", select your broker, and log in
– Start trading: Place orders directly from the chart
Tip: If you're new to trading, try paper trading first — it lets you practice strategies in real market conditions without risking funds.
The nearest expiration date for 6AU2025 is Sep 15, 2025.
Futures contracts expire on predetermined dates. As expiration approaches, many traders roll positions into the next contract to maintain exposure to the market.
Key metrics to watch near expiration:
• Volume and liquidity: Trading activity often shifts to the next contract month
• Open interest: Falling open interest may signal positions being closed or rolled forward
• Forward curve: Differences between contract prices can help identify market structure, including contango and backwardation
Explore the 6AU2025 chart to monitor active contracts and contract-month activity.
Futures contracts expire on predetermined dates. As expiration approaches, many traders roll positions into the next contract to maintain exposure to the market.
Key metrics to watch near expiration:
• Volume and liquidity: Trading activity often shifts to the next contract month
• Open interest: Falling open interest may signal positions being closed or rolled forward
• Forward curve: Differences between contract prices can help identify market structure, including contango and backwardation
Explore the 6AU2025 chart to monitor active contracts and contract-month activity.









