When Markets Hit Records, Should You Still Be Buying?The Nasdaq NASDAQ:IXIC is back at record highs . The S&P 500 SPCFD:SPX and Dow TVC:DJI have recently been there too. AI stocks are running again, AMD NASDAQ:AMD has crossed the $1 trillion mark while traders stare at their screens and ask:
Should I buy at the top?
It's one of the most n
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Nasdaq: Is a Correction Coming? Distribution at the Highs?# Nasdaq at the Highs: Price Is Strong, but the Internals Are Sending a Warning
The Nasdaq remains near its highs, but the current structure is beginning to show signs that deserve attention.
This is not a prediction of an immediate market crash, nor is it an attempt to call the exact top.
The qu
What the Market Is Trading Now: AI Selectivity, Not AI EuphoriaMarkets barely moved at the index level this week — but that calm is misleading. The tape is telling a sharper story: capital is no longer paying for the AI theme as a bloc. It is paying for proof. Execution, demand visibility, and monetization timeline are the only things being rewarded, and everyt
Nasdaq composite breakout is clearNasdaq composite corrected 10% and then quickly broke out of its channel that began from its previous high. It is a clear strong volume breakout. Expect a little retest and then as long as it bounces off the channel, it is a clear breakout run to new highs. QQQ long, NQ long.
Will we put in new ATHs before the year is out?I was asked in my community if we would put in new ATHs before the year is out.
My standard answer is always:
I don't know. It's really above my pay grade. I only react to the shifts. (which this is true)
But I also provided some context and I wanted to share it here with you too:
Looking at t
The Nasdaq feels the Fed hardest. Which way today?Not every chart feels the Fed the same. Watch a rate decision drop across a few charts at once and you notice it. They all move, but the Nasdaq moves like it heard the news louder. I keep it (TVC:IXIC) front and center on Fed days for that reason: when the Fed talks, this is the ticker that flinches
NASDAQ: SUPER BULLISHThe Nasdaq is currently advancing through Wave 3 of a larger supercycle. Although the market has recently gone through a correction, I expect another powerful liquidity-driven rally to begin in August.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, the Nasdaq has developed a nested 1-2, 1-2 setup. If this struc
Analyzing Market Trends Using the Kalman Filter-Optimized RSI
"The Kalman Filter-Optimized RSI used in this analysis was developed by myself and has been published to the TradingView public community. Interested readers can visit my profile and head to the 'Scripts' tab to find it and add it to your favorites for free."
The application of the Kalman F
Why Traders Sell Winners Too Early and Hold Losers Too LongHere's an academic read to pull you away from the AI trade noise for five minutes.
At some point, almost every trader notices a pattern in their own history that makes for uncomfortable reading.
The winning trades are small. Closed too soon, before the move played out, because the profit felt goo
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