British Pound / Euro
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EUR/GBP Short - Weekly timeframeHead and Shoulders pattern, break and retest off of a neck line, although, this trade is not ready yet, it will be ready probably within a week or even two, since I'm looking at chart on a weekly timeframe and we need to see some strong rejection pattern at the entry line.
EURGBP: Bearish Drop to 0.84540?FX:EURGBP is eyeing a bearish continuation on the 4-hour chart , with price testing resistance after recent recovery and forming lower highs along the downward trendline, converging with a potential entry zone that could trigger further downside momentum if sellers defend amid volatility. This setup suggests a solid pullback opportunity toward lower support levels with more than 1:2 risk-reward .🔥
Entry between 0.86100–0.86350 (entry from current price with proper risk management is recommended). Target at 0.84540 . Set a stop loss at a daily close above 0.86860 , yielding a risk-reward ratio of more than 1:2 . Monitor for confirmation via a bearish candle close below entry with rising volume, leveraging the pair’s weakness near resistance.🌟
Fundamentally , EURGBP is trading around 0.855 in late July 2026.
For the Euro, one of the most important releases this week (28 July – 2 August) is the Eurozone CPI Flash Estimate , where a softer-than-expected reading would increase ECB rate-cut expectations and weigh on EUR.
For the British Pound, the key focus is the UK GDP or BoE-related communications , where stronger growth data would support GBP and reinforce bearish pressure on EURGBP. 💡
📝 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry (Short):
0.86100 – 0.86350
(Entry from current price is acceptable with proper position sizing and disciplined risk management.)
🎯 Target:
0.84540
❌ Stop Loss:
• Daily candle close above 0.86860
📈 Risk-to-Reward:
More than 1:2
💡 Will sellers defend the 0.86100–0.86350 resistance zone and drive EURGBP toward 0.84540, or will buyers break above resistance and invalidate the bearish setup? 👇
EUR/GBP – 4H Technical Analysis | EUR/GBP – 4H
Hello everyone and welcome back, dear TradingView followers! 🌹📊
I hope you are all having a great trading journey and green trades. Today, let’s take a look at EUR/GBP on the 4-hour timeframe. 🔎
🏦 Fundamental Perspective
The EUR/GBP pair is highly sensitive to the monetary-policy divergence between the ECB and the Bank of England, as well as inflation, economic growth and market expectations regarding interest rates in the Eurozone and the UK. 🇪🇺🇬🇧
On the higher timeframes, the broader structure can still be considered bearish. However, something important is happening in the short term: buyers appear to have gained control of price action, leading to the formation of a new bullish structure on the 4H chart. 📈
📊 4H Technical Analysis
Looking at the current structure, price has recovered from a significant bearish move and started forming higher lows, creating a short-term bullish trend. 🟢
More importantly, price has now broken above the dynamic resistance highlighted on the chart. This could indicate increasing bullish momentum. However, I would still like to see how price reacts around the major white static resistance zone before considering the breakout fully confirmed. 🎯
If price manages to close and stabilize above the white resistance area, followed by a successful retest, the bullish scenario becomes considerably stronger. In that case, the setup could provide a more favorable opportunity for Long positions, with the possibility of further upside. 🚀📈
⚠️ Fake Breakout Scenario
But, as always, we need to keep the opposite scenario in mind. 👀
If the breakout of the dynamic resistance turns out to be a Fake Breakout and price falls back below the dynamic trendline, the situation could change quickly.
A subsequent break below the important 4H structural low/support would be a serious warning that the short-term bullish structure is losing strength and that another bearish wave could begin. 🔻
Therefore, at this stage, confirmation and consolidation are more important than simply chasing the breakout. Patience can help reduce unnecessary trading risk. ⚠️
🧠 Final Thoughts
For now, I see three possible scenarios:
🟢 Bullish: Break and consolidation above the white resistance + successful retest → higher probability of continuation to the upside.
🔴 Bearish: Fake breakout + break of the 4H structural low → higher probability of a new bearish move.
🟡 Current situation: Wait for confirmation. The short-term structure is bullish, but the higher-timeframe trend has not yet been completely reversed.
🗳️ What’s Your View?
Which scenario do you think EUR/GBP will choose? 🤔
🟢 Bullish continuation and resistance breakout
🔴 Fake breakout and bearish reversal
Let me know your view in the comments! 👇💬
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is provided for educational and technical-analysis purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Financial markets involve significant risk. Always conduct your own research and use appropriate risk management before making any trading decision.
#EURGBP #EUR #GBP #Euro #Pound #Forex #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #TradingView #ForexAnalysis #4H #Breakout #Retest #Support #Resistance #RiskManagement
Bullish momentum building?EUR/GBP is falling toward the support level, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8538
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8511
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.8574
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Bearish reversal setup?EUR/GBP has rejected the resistance level, which is an overlap resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8556
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 0.8581
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.8530
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURGBP Daily – Bearish BiasHello Trading Fam! 👋
The overall trend is bearish. Price is retracing into a key supply/resistance zone within the downtrend. Wait for bearish confirmation before looking for short opportunities targeting lower lows.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Potential bullish rise?EUR/GBP has reacted off the pivot and could rise towards the 1st resistance, which has been identified as a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 0.8572
1st Suport: 0.8549
1st Resistance: 0.8605
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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EURGBP Will Go Lower From Resistance! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURGBP.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 0.856.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 0.852 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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EUR/GBP Market UpdateEUR/GBP has recovered sharply from the 0.8490 demand zone, where buying interest emerged after the aggressive sell-off seen earlier this month. The recovery has been orderly, with higher lows beginning to develop, suggesting short-term momentum has shifted in favour of the bulls.
Price is now trading into a significant 0.8540–0.8600 supply zone. This area previously acted as support before breaking lower, making it a high-probability region for sellers to re-enter the market. The reaction here will likely determine the pair's next directional move.
A sustained close above 0.8600 would indicate that buyers have absorbed overhead supply, opening the path for further upside and signalling a broader bullish reversal. Until then, the current rally should be viewed as a recovery within a larger range rather than a confirmed trend change.
Conversely, failure to establish acceptance above current levels could trigger another rotation back toward 0.8500, where demand has proven resilient. A decisive break beneath that floor would invalidate the recent recovery and shift the short-term bias back to the downside.
From a macro perspective, traders will remain focused on evolving ECB and Bank of England policy expectations, incoming inflation data, and broader European growth sentiment, all of which are likely to influence relative strength between the euro and the pound.
Bias: Neutral to cautiously bullish while price remains above 0.8500, with confirmation only on a sustained break and close above 0.8600.
EUR/GBP Short Setup: Supply Zone + Valuation OverboughtEUR/GBP Short Setup: Supply Zone + Valuation Overbought
The Setup
Above the current price sits a supply zone between 0.8613 and 0.8640. This isn't just any resistance area — price left this zone with a strong, impulsive leg out. That matters. A forceful departure signals genuine selling pressure, not just a casual test. Zones formed by conviction moves tend to hold on the revisit.
The second piece of the puzzle is valuation. The logic is straightforward: a short from a quality supply zone becomes significantly higher-probability when the pair is already stretched to the upside.
Zone Quality
Leg-out Strong, impulsive
Arrival Strong (long candle required)
Rating B (S&D)
The Arrival Rule
This is the critical filter: price must arrive at the zone with strength — a long, impulsive candle that pushes into the 0.8613–0.8640 area with momentum. A slow grind into the zone doesn't cut it. Weak arrival = weak reaction. Wait for the conviction candle, then act.
Macro Context
My Macro Dashboard scores EUR/GBP at 0 — dead neutral. No tailwind, no headwind. This trade lives and dies on the technicals, which is exactly what you want: no macro noise to second-guess the setup.
Seasonal
No relevant seasonal patterns in the window. Ignored.
Trade Execution
Level Price
Entry Zone 0.8613–0.8632
Stop Loss (tight) > 0.8640
Take Profit (1R)
Entry: Start scaling in from 0.8613. The deeper into the zone you get filled, the better the risk/reward. Don't anticipate — wait for price to actually trade inside the zone.
Stop Loss — Two Approaches:
Tight (1R): Above 0.86396. Clean, mathematical, fixed risk. Best for traders who want defined RR and don't mind getting stopped on a wick.
Conservative: Above the pivot high that defines this supply zone. More breathing room, lower risk of a false breakout stop-hunt. Costs you RR but increases win rate. Your call.
Take Profit: 1R for the mechanical portion. If price breaks through with momentum, trail the stop and let the rest run — but bank the 1R as the base case.
Validity Checklist
- Price has entered the supply zone (0.8613)
- Valuation indicator reads expensive (> +75)
- Arrival candle is long and impulsive (not a slow drift)
- No conflicting macro catalyst on the calendar
If any of these four is missing, the setup is invalid. Move on.
Risk Note: A clean break above 0.8640 with a daily close voids the zone. Don't fight it.
EURGBP: Bearish Move From Key Level 🇪🇺🇬🇧
EURGBP looks overbought after the last bullish wave.
The price reached a key horizontal level.
A bearish imbalance candle on a 4H time frame indicates a strong selling pressure.
The price may retrace to 0.856 level.
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURGBP TRADETrade Plan & Execution Rules
1. Wait for Retest: Allow price to push into the green supply zone (0.85660 – 0.85704).
2. Confirmation Entry: Do not enter blindly. Wait for a clear bearish rejection on the 1H timeframe (e.g., Bearish Pin Bar, Engulfing Candle, or Shooting Star).
3. Risk Management:
Stop Loss (SL): Placed safely above the supply zone (around 0.85720+).
EURGBP Will Explode! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
EURGBP looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 0.8566 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
My Stop Loss - 0.8562
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 0.8573
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Can EUR/GBP Break Out of Its Tight Range?Macroeconomic Forces and Policy Divergence
The EUR/GBP currency pair remains locked in a critical technical range. The Bank of England maintains its benchmark interest rate at 3.75 percent. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank holds its deposit facility rate at 2.25 percent. This substantial 150 basis point interest rate differential supports the British pound. Inflation dynamics continue to dictate central bank monetary policy actions on both sides. Eurozone price pressures eased to 2.8 percent in June before rising again to 2.9 percent in July, driven largely by surging energy costs tied to the Middle East conflict. Consequently, traders now see a stronger case for another European Central Bank rate hike in September rather than a pause. Investors closely monitor economic data to gauge future rate moves.
Geopolitics and European Geostrategy
Geopolitical uncertainty heavily influences global foreign exchange markets today. Energy price volatility stemming from Middle East tensions affects European economies unevenly. The United Kingdom benefits from relative domestic political stability. Conversely, continental Europe faces lingering political fragmentation across key member states. Strategic energy trade flows dictate short-term capital allocations in FX markets. National security priorities increasingly intersect with international trade policies. These geopolitical headwinds prevent a sustained breakout in EUR/GBP exchange rates.
High-Tech Innovation and Patent Trends
Advanced technology reshapes how institutions trade the EUR/GBP currency pair. AI algorithms execute high-frequency arbitrage trades within milliseconds. European fintech firms lead in publishing foreign exchange execution patents. Automated execution tools reduce transaction costs for institutional treasury departments. Furthermore, quantum computing research accelerates cross-border payment security. Cryptographic patent filings protect proprietary trading algorithms across major financial centers. These technological breakthroughs enhance liquidity and narrow bid-ask spreads significantly.
Cybersecurity and Financial Infrastructure
Cybersecurity remains a top priority for European central banks and institutions. Banking networks rely on secure cross-border payment rails like TARGET2 and CHAPS. Financial institutions deploy zero-trust architecture to protect sovereign currency transactions. Threat actors frequently target interbank settlement systems and digital FX infrastructure. Strong cybersecurity protocols prevent market manipulation and maintain market integrity. Systemic resilience ensures uninterrupted liquidity during times of geopolitical crisis.
Pharmaceutical Supply Chains and Business Models
The pharmaceutical industry generates massive cross-border trade between the UK and Europe. Major biopharma leaders require robust currency hedging business models. Multinational pharmaceutical companies protect profit margins from sharp EUR/GBP swings. Supply chain integration demands seamless cross-currency payment settlement mechanisms. Scientific drug discovery partnerships depend on stable long-term foreign exchange pricing. Corporate treasurers actively manage EUR/GBP exposure to maintain dividend stability.
Corporate Culture and Leadership Dynamics
Central bank leadership profoundly influences market sentiment and currency performance. Communications from Christine Lagarde and Andrew Bailey shape investor expectations. Effective monetary policy management requires clear, forward-looking guidance. Meanwhile, corporate leadership teams adapt culture toward agile risk management. Treasury executives prioritize proactive currency hedging strategies over passive exposure. Strong corporate governance ensures financial resilience amid persistent currency volatility.
EURGBP trade A plus setup EUR/GBP – 1H Technical Outlook (Sell Setup)
Pair: EUR/GBP
Timeframe: 1 Hour (H1)
Bias: Bearish
The market has reacted from a well-defined supply / institutional resistance zone, where sellers stepped in aggressively. After printing a rejection, price started showing bearish momentum, indicating that buyers are losing strength. This setup offers a high-probability liquidity-based short opportunity if the bearish pressure continues.
Trade Levels
* Entry: 0.85695
* Stop Loss: 0.85740
* Take Profit: 0.85573
Why This Trade Makes Sense
* Price tapped into the institutional supply zone (blue highlighted area) and faced immediate rejection.
* The rejection candle suggests that liquidity above the recent highs has likely been swept before sellers entered.
* The market is now trading below the supply zone, increasing the probability of further downside.
* Risk is tightly controlled with the stop loss placed above the recent swing high and above the supply zone, allowing the trade room to breathe while protecting against a false breakout.
* The target is positioned at the next key support/liquidity area where buyers may attempt to react.
Key Technical Levels
* Supply / Resistance Zone: 0.85710 – 0.85718
* Entry Level: 0.85695
* Stop Loss: 0.85740
* Intermediate Support: 0.85656
* Final Take Profit: 0.85573
Trade Management
* If price breaks below 0.85656 with strong bearish momentum, the probability of reaching the take-profit level increases significantly.
* Once price moves at least 1R in profit, consider moving the stop loss to break-even to eliminate risk.
* Avoid adding to the position unless price provides another confirmed rejection from a key resistance or liquidity level.
Overall Outlook:
As long as price remains below the 0.85710–0.85718 supply zone, the bearish outlook remains valid. A sustained rejection from this area could trigger a continuation move toward 0.85573, making this a disciplined, liquidity-based A+ sell setup with a favourable risk-to-reward profile.
EURGBP - Wait for the Intersection!EURGBP has remained overall bearish, with price continuing to trade below the descending trendline, keeping sellers in control of the broader trend. 📉
Price is now approaching a high-confluence resistance area, formed by the intersection of:
The blue resistance zone.
The descending trendline.
📌 As EURGBP retests this confluence, we will be looking for trend-following short setups, expecting the broader bearish trend to resume.
As always, rather than selling blindly into resistance, we will wait for bearish confirmation before considering any short positions.
Will sellers defend this key resistance and continue the downtrend? 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
EURGBP, is an upward correction on the way ?Hello guys, hope you're doing well
Over the next few Days, I expect an upward correction on FX:EURGBP from the zone I've marked on chart
the EURO is over sold and the zone is a key zone, so let's see how it goes.
what do you think? leave your comment below this post.






















