HANG SENG about to register a crash similar to 2018 and 2021.Since our last warning of a potential Bull Cycle Top on Hang Seng (HSI1!) and an imminent start of a new Bear Cycle, the index has already broken into Bear territory as after getting rejected on the Lower Highs trend-line (that started on the January 29 2018 High), it already made a massive Bearish Leg below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and even approached the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). Notice how this 8-year Resistance has initiated the market's strongest corrections during that time and th
In-depth trading ideas
Hang Seng: In For Another Leg Down! Primary Scenario
Currently, we see HSI in a three-part correction. We believe the index is in the midst of a corrective rally, which should peak below resistance at 26,862 points. After this, we expect a renewed move to the downside. We anticipate the low of this move will occur within the green Target Zone (19,794–16,147 points). Following that, we expect to see significant gains.
Alternative Scenario
If HSI breaks above resistance at 28,172 points in the near term, we would assume the re
China (HSI) UpdateChinese markets have been pumping the last couple of weeks, I think this rebound is about to come to an end. Went overbought on MFI and RSI on the 3 hr and MFI is laos overbought on teh daily.
If China drops, commodities and cryptos will drop as well overnight. Chip stocks seem to depend more on Taiwan and Korea.
Go where the money is .......Full stop!From time to time, when I read about influencers promoting their views on certain markets, I have to force myself not to be led in but take a double steps back and look at the FACTS !
A 10 year chart will suffice since people will argue times are different now and so on and so forth. Compare the returns yourself before you want to launch into a debate. Even if you win, more importantly, revisit your objectives of investment. Is in not to make consistent returns year after year ?
How many 10 y
Head and Shoulders on HKG50 / Hang Seng IndexSimple chart pattern spotted on HSI. If this neckline breaks, we need a 1H close below the neckline, combined with a bearish retest of the neckline.
The pattern itself is clean, but the reason why caution is needed is because of this earnings week. If AI proves to be solid in the US markets, HSI could see some run-on bullishness.
Technically we also have a bullish trendline break, and supportive market gap that could provide a fakeout of this pattern.
Either way - downside targets are towards
Hang Seng Eyes Rebound as China Signals Taiwan Strategy ShiftHang Seng futures are entering a technically and geopolitically sensitive phase, where price structure and macro narrative are beginning to align. The recent outreach from President Xi Jinping to Taiwan’s opposition is not an isolated diplomatic gesture — it fits into a decades-long pattern of calibrated pressure, dialogue, and signaling that markets have historically struggled to price correctly.
To understand the current setup, we need to step back. The roots of China–Taiwan tensions trace ba
War will END soon??Thesis observation
The recent sell-off appears oversold relative to the Sep–Feb range
A bottoming structure is forming near the long-term horizontal support (~24,800–25,200)
If geopolitical tensions ease as anticipated, risk sentiment could shift sharply positive, driving capital back into HK-listed equities
A word of caution — I'm not a financial advisor, and market outcomes depend on many unpredictable variables beyond geopolitics. Always manage risk accordingly.
HSI at bottom of range. Buy now and use stop-loss?In this video I'll walk you through the current range HSI:HSI is forming. I'm going to show you how to look for setups from a traders perspective and why using a stop loss can be smart.
As you can tell in the video I'm talking about buying at the bottom of the range while setting a stop-loss invalidation.
A stop-loss is not meant to reduce risk in situations where you are not convinced on the direction and when a clear invalidation is logically possible. I'll explain in this video that the
Can Hang Seng Index breaks above 27404 level once more ?From the weekly chart, we can see that it attempts to break above this price level since Sept 2025. We also see strong support at 25, 309 price level as well.
Based on historic pattern, it is possible that it could come down a little more and then rebound. However, with the uncertainty and risk off mode due to the US-Iran war ongoing, what affects the US stock market will have an impact on the Asia market and thus affecting the HSI as well.
The worst it could fall will be 23,304 price level w
What's up with Hang Seng Index ?We can see from the yellow line that buyers are getting fatigue from pushing the prices up higher. Several of the spikes up do not last , only to come tumbling down later..........
This consolidation may takes a while till some form of positive news or stimulus emerge, imo. Of course, if more funds are rotating out of US markets, then HSI may be one of the beneficiary.
Not trusting this rally yet Yes there’s a bit VCP going on now. However from these few years of hang seng trend, it usually bounces in the most depressing time. Now it’s just loooking too obvious and good. I would rather wait for a more depress time to buy upside. Now rather position a two week put spread. Wait for HSI to move back and rebound up






















