𝐅𝐑𝐎𝐙𝐄𝐍 𝐎𝐑𝐀𝐍𝐆𝐄 𝐉𝐔𝐈𝐂𝐄 𝐖𝐞𝐞𝐤𝐥𝐲 𝐀𝐧𝐚𝐥𝐲𝐬𝐢𝐅𝐑𝐎𝐙𝐄𝐍 𝐎𝐑𝐀𝐍𝐆𝐄 𝐉𝐔𝐈𝐂𝐄 𝐖𝐞𝐞𝐤𝐥𝐲 𝐀𝐧𝐚𝐥𝐲𝐬𝐢𝐬 | 𝐎𝐜𝐭𝐨𝐛𝐞𝐫 𝟓–𝟗, 𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟔
▸ 𝐃𝐮𝐤𝐞 & 𝐃𝐮𝐤𝐞 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐛𝐚𝐜𝐤
In the spirit of **Duke & Duke — Mortimer and Randolph — and of course Billy Ray Valentine and Louis Winthorpe III**, I decided to take a look at one of the most important markets in the world:
𝐅𝐫𝐨𝐳𝐞𝐧 𝐎𝐫𝐚𝐧𝐠𝐞 𝐉𝐮𝐢𝐜𝐞. 🍊
Because apparently, this is what serious traders do when the regular markets are not entertaining enough.
▸ 𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐂𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐭
Looking at the D1 chart, it does not really look like a clean, steady downtrend.
In-depth trading ideas
Orange JuiceThe biggest producers of orange juice are: Brazil, US, European Union, China and Mexico. 85 percent of the world market is divided between Florida and São Paulo. While Brazil exports 99 percent of its production, 90 percent of Florida’s production is consumed in the US. Orange juice is traded in the form of frozen concentrated orange juice to reduce the volume used.
Orange Juice Futures (ICE) – Long Trade SetupDirection: Long Bias
Contract: Frozen Concentrated Orange Juice (OJ / ICE US)
Current Price: ~268.95
🔍 Technical Setup
Price has found strong support around the 240–260 zone, aligning with long-term trendline support.
EMA20 is stabilizing, hinting at a potential shift in momentum after a sharp correction.
Structure suggests a rebound move with upside toward the 350–400 zone (previous support-turned-resistance).
Risk is clearly defined with support just below the recent lows.
📊 Fundamentals
OJ - Frozen Orange Juice Long SetupThe Medianline se aka Fork, is a pullback Fork.
So what we want to see is a reversion to the mean after this drop.
The sideways action from Mar. to Jul. is a "loading" period, where Commercials load their boat.
If we break the resistance, it's usual that there will be a pullback to the prior resistance - now support. Or even into the loading zone.
Entries will be on a intraday basis.
Stalker mode on 88-)
Orange JuiceThe holding of support, represented by the bullish equilibrium orbit at 206.00, encouraged the return of positive currents.
Resistance at 278.64 to be monitored, which in the event of a break would project prices towards the target placed at 351.06 to be realised by 11 August 2025.
OLong
Why Your Orange Juice Costs More?The price of orange juice is surging, impacting consumers and the broader economy. This increase stems from a complex interplay of geopolitical tensions, macroeconomic pressures, and severe environmental challenges. Understanding these multifaceted drivers reveals a volatile global commodity market. Investors and consumers must recognize the interconnected factors that now influence everyday staples, such as orange juice.
Geopolitical shifts significantly contribute to the rising prices of oran
Orange Juice Long BiasFundamentals:
Valuation:
Undervalued on
10d - 13d - 30d
Seasonality:
Showing rally until end 27/05/25
on 5y - 10y
HOWEVER -- 10y isn't aligned..
COT:
The main thing is Users & Producers,
They turned bullish sharply in the past
few weeks
Non-commercials are not yet bullish
on the pair, however, it is natural, as
they buy into strength and sell into
weakness in all markets.
Technicals:
We have a clear (already mitigated) Demand zone on the weekly. With a great Leg out (empolsive mo
OJ | Orange Juice | SHORT ICEUS:OJ1!
It's time to short orange juice. I expect it to return to its 2022–2023 price range. I have no idea why the price rose 500% in just three years, but this month it has already declined by almost 50% from the all-time high. Here are my targets:
TP1: $260
TP2: $200
TP3: $140
Timeframe: 2025
Orange Juice Futures SHORT OPPPennant Breakout resulting in a Bull Flag w/ a Double Top
Looking for the gap to fill below 402.00 which also confirms the Double Top and the Bearish Breakdown of the Bull Flag Structure, Conservative Measured move (Patterns Measured Move * Percentage Meeting Target) puts it close to the Demand Line from Feb . 23 2023, marking a 5th touch point.
Longer Term lookout
** NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE OR TELLING ANYONE TO MAKE ANY TRADES BASED ON MY OWN ANALYSIS, USE YOUR OWN JUDGEMENT **
The Orange Juice Crisis: A Climate-Induced Market ShiftOrange juice prices have hit record highs due to a confluence of climate-related challenges, including extreme weather events, rising temperatures, and altered rainfall patterns. These factors have decimated citrus crops, particularly in key production areas like Florida, leading to significant supply shortages and driving up prices. This crisis underscores the fragility of our food supply and highlights the urgent need for innovative solutions and international cooperation.
The orange juice in
Orange Juice Crisis Prompts Search for Alternative FruitsThe global orange juice industry faces an unprecedented crisis due to bad weather and disease in Brazil, the world's largest orange exporter. Orange juice futures have surged to record highs, nearly doubling in price over the past year. This situation has led manufacturers to explore alternative fruits like mandarins for juice production.
Key Points:
- Record High Prices: Orange juice futures hit $4.92 a pound, reflecting concerns over supply shortages.
- Natural Disasters: A hurricane an
OJ - Frozen Orange Juice Is DoneIn my YT Video Analysis I talked about, how OJ is at the Apex and has a high chance to fall down to the Center-Line.
On the daily chart (see the zoomed Screenshot), you see how price is struggling to get above the U-MLH.
Great signs of weakness.
But beware, OJ is super illiquid. This means that this market can get pushed in any direction, in any magnitude.
However, it's very cool to observe, how even such over-pumped markets react to my super tools, the Andrews Pitchfork aka. Medianlines.
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