Sugar: bounce failed at 19.80, short againI closed my last sugar short near 19.72 on the bounce. That bounce is now done: it stalled at 19.80, well below the 20.33 level in my long term S/R model that capped the market in October, and is rolling over into a lower high. The daily swing chart is turning back down, in line with the bigger move
Peers for comparison
Contract highlights
Sugar: fake breakout at 21.29, shortSugar’s rally from 18.02 ran into a double top. The first high was 21.24 on October 7; the second, on October 14, poked to 21.29 and failed the same week, closing back below the first high. That was a breakout with no follow through, and the daily swing chart has turned down from it.
Price is now s
Sugar: Extreme Commercial Shorts vs. a Potential Supply SqueezeSugar is pulling back after a sharp rally into the $21.50–$21.60 area. The chart maps a potential gap fill around $17.70–$18.00, with the Volume Profile POC near $14.80 as a secondary downside target.
📊 QUANT & FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT (OCT. 16–23, 2026)
- Commercial positioning: Commercial Supplementa
SILVER/SUGAR Ratio: History & Forecast (1966–2040)Greetings, gentlemen ⚫️ | comrades 🔴 | colleagues 🔵
Welcome to everyone who has learned to filter out the white noise of mainstream financial narrative and prefers to rely on hard mathematics rather than fairy tales from the headlines. We continue to systematically dissect the deep macroeconomic s
Sugar: 20.30 S/R reclaimed, longSugar has turned hard. From the 17.10 September low it ran to 21.24 in two weeks, a 24% move and a new yearly high, and on the way it broke through 20.30, a major level in my long term sugar S/R model (clustered swing pivots going back to 1969). That level had been resistance; the question was wheth
#SUGAR 2027–2029: The Sweet Life Has Ended! Part IIGreetings, gentlemen ⚫️ | comrades 🔴 | colleagues 🔵
Welcome to all newcomers and long-time residents of my virtual den, where we dissect global financial markets without slobbery optimism, rose-colored glasses, or any of the other BS daily spoon-fed to us by sold-out media and mainstream influence
Sugar: short below the 17.10 double bottomSugar ran from the 14.37 July low to 18.88 on September 10, about 31% in six weeks. Since that high the daily swing chart has turned down. Price fell back into the August congestion range, made a lower high near 17.90 on September 25, and is trading at 17.37 today.
The level that matters is 17.10.
Ascending Trendline Breakdown & Buyer Trap (Short Setup)SUGAR RAW (OCT 2026) 1H:
1. Market Context
On the 1H chart, Sugar Raw (Oct 2026) has been advancing along a major green ascending trendline from the 16.300 base up to the 18.700 peak. After forming a lower-high rejection peak near 18.438, price is now pressing down directly against the key trendlin
The second most crowded speculative reading in twenty yearsSugar has just produced one of the most extreme positioning readings in its recorded history, and the sequence that got it there is more interesting than the reading itself.
Managed money net position, from the CFTC weekly file:
28 July: net short 112,413
4 August: net short 77,814
11 August: net
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A representation of what an asset is worth today and what the market thinks it will be worth in the future.
Displays a symbol's price movements over previous years to identify recurring trends.
Frequently asked questions
One way to gain exposure to SBH2025 is through a broker that offers futures. Before trading, make sure you understand how the product works and the risks involved.
You can trade SBH2025 directly from TradingView:
– Choose a broker: Explore our supported trading partners and pick one that fits your needs
– Compare options: View available brokers side by side to evaluate fees and features
– Connect your account: Open Supercharts, click "Trade", select your broker, and log in
– Start trading: Place orders directly from the chart
Tip: If you're new to trading, try paper trading first — it lets you practice strategies in real market conditions without risking funds.
You can trade SBH2025 directly from TradingView:
– Choose a broker: Explore our supported trading partners and pick one that fits your needs
– Compare options: View available brokers side by side to evaluate fees and features
– Connect your account: Open Supercharts, click "Trade", select your broker, and log in
– Start trading: Place orders directly from the chart
Tip: If you're new to trading, try paper trading first — it lets you practice strategies in real market conditions without risking funds.
The nearest expiration date for SBH2025 is Feb 28, 2025.
Futures contracts expire on predetermined dates. As expiration approaches, many traders roll positions into the next contract to maintain exposure to the market.
Key metrics to watch near expiration:
• Volume and liquidity: Trading activity often shifts to the next contract month
• Open interest: Falling open interest may signal positions being closed or rolled forward
• Forward curve: Differences between contract prices can help identify market structure, including contango and backwardation
Explore the SBH2025 chart to monitor active contracts and contract-month activity.
Futures contracts expire on predetermined dates. As expiration approaches, many traders roll positions into the next contract to maintain exposure to the market.
Key metrics to watch near expiration:
• Volume and liquidity: Trading activity often shifts to the next contract month
• Open interest: Falling open interest may signal positions being closed or rolled forward
• Forward curve: Differences between contract prices can help identify market structure, including contango and backwardation
Explore the SBH2025 chart to monitor active contracts and contract-month activity.









