FCPO Weekly Outlook — 28 Sep- 2 Oct 2026.Bias: Bearish in the near term, although the broader structure has not yet fully turned bearish.
Preferred Scenario:
Recovery toward 4,745–4,810 → rejection → retest of 4,650 → break below 4,650 confirms another bearish leg toward 4,600 and potentially 4,550–4,560.
The bearish continuation scenario becomes less convincing if FCPO can recover above 4,810 and sustain price above that level.
A stronger recovery above approximately 4,840–4,850 would suggest that sellers are losing control and that
East Malaysia Crude Palm Oil Futures
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In-depth trading ideas
FCPO — Weekly Outlook.Bias: Bullish, with the possibility of further downside early in the week before continuation higher.
The broader price structure remains bullish despite the recent rejection from the **5,049** area. The current decline is viewed as a corrective move within the larger bullish structure rather than the beginning of a confirmed bearish reversal.
For the early part of the week, price may continue retracing toward the **4,830–4,810 support area**. This zone is significant because **4,810** previo
Crude Palm Oil [FCPO] Analysis with EW Theory 5/9/2026Completed Wave:-
Major Wave: Wave (2) down (dark green)
Minor Wave: Wave (iv) down (blue)
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Current Wave in Progress:-
Major Wave: Wave (v) up (blue)
Minor Wave: Not shown
Possible Patterns for current wave:-
Major Wave: Impulsive up
Minor Wave: -
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Invalidation:-
Major & Minor Wave: RM4,370
Disclaimer:
This analysis is only for study purposes only. It's not recommended to buy or sell based on this analysis.
Palm Oil: Breaking Out of Consolidation — Uptrend BeginsCrude palm oil may be entering an important new phase.
After the extraordinary 2020–2022 bull market, palm oil peaked above MYR 7,000 before falling sharply and spending the following years consolidating.
What interests me now is that the technical structure appears to be changing.
Breaking Away From Consolidation
Looking at the weekly chart, palm oil has spent roughly the past three years building a broad consolidation structure.
There are now several technical developments worth watching.
Is Palm Oil About to Explode? The Last Commodity Yet to Catch UpIs Palm Oil About to Explode?
One thing I've learned over the years is that markets rarely move in isolation. When several related markets start telling the same story, it's worth paying attention.
Over the past few weeks, I've been monitoring four commodities on the weekly chart: crude oil, heating oil, soybean oil, and palm oil.
What's interesting is that crude oil broke above its long-term downtrend first. Heating oil followed. Then soybean oil started trending higher as well.
Unlike the
FCPO: Sticking to bearish idea.Overall still thinking that price is bearish. A current push up is still internal within the range of top at 4918.
To keep bearish going price needs to break the 4588 level. A close below here will probably move price towards the low of 4372.
However if price continue to push higher and break 4786 then the next target probably 4918. Price closing above 4918 will break the range and will also invalidate the bearish view.
Happy trading! 💰
MARKET DALAM KENAIKANLast week, the market broke above the bearish resistance, confirming a shift in market structure and starting a bullish move. As a result, the market moved higher instead of continuing the bearish trend as previously expected.
At the moment, FCPO remains in a bullish bias, with 4,691 acting as the support level and 4,786 as the resistance level. If price manages to break above the current resistance, it could form a new Break of Structure (BOS) and confirm the continuation of the uptrend.
Poss
Bias Bearish Masih KekalThis week, the market moved into the previously marked pullback zone before consolidating for a while and eventually continuing its bearish move, aligning with the previous outlook.
At the moment, FCPO is still trading within a bearish market structure . Price is currently attempting to break below the 4,560 support level to establish a new Break of Structure (BOS) and confirm further downside momentum.
Looking ahead to next week, I see three possible scenarios :
1. Preferred Scenari
FCPO: Bearish bias.Price is still within range between 4715 and 4370.
4H structure shown that overall price is moving lower.
Next week the target is for price to move lower towards 4520, 4438 and 4370.
If price can close below 4370 (maybe not next week) then the overall target would be the imbalances within the 4100 area.
If price defended the 4370 then we are going back into the range.
Happy trading 💰!
FCPO: Long or Short?MYX:FCPO1! Price stuck in range. If you like trading ranges then this is your market.
So where is next?
If price can break 4689 and close above it then we are breaking higher.
If price instead move lower and break Support #2 then it will be a long way down. Perhaps towards below 4000.
Since price failed to break any structure to go long last week, 4575 seems to be the resistance for now.
Happy trading 💰!
FCPO: Bullish?MYX:FCPO1! stuck in range between 4370 to 4687. If you plot the area you can probably see an ascending triangle developing. Top of the triangle is a horizontal line connecting two swing high at 4687. If price break and close higher then price would probably going bullish.
Right now price is more or less within the lower range of the triangle. If price close above 4533, I'm expecting it to bounce higher and if it can break 4595 then the eventual target for this long position is 4687.
Happy tra
(FCPO 15m) 🧠 Trade Ideas (Based on Structure)
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Higher Probability)
Rejection around:
4,540 – 4,560 area
Target:
First: 4,470 zone
Then: 4,440
Break → continuation to 4,340 zone
✅ Confluence:
Downtrend
Lower highs forming
Supply above
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Invalidation)
Bullish ONLY if:
Strong breakout above 4,560
Followed by hold/retest
Targets:
4,584
4,620
👉 Without breakout, bullish trades are risky (counter-trend).
⚠️ Key Signals to Watch
Rejection candles near 4,550 →
fcpoFCPO Technical Analysis: Bearish Quasimodo AlignmentExecution: SELLRationale: The FCPO chart has formed a structural Quasimodo pattern (Over-and-Under structure). Price successfully created a Higher High followed by a Lower Low, breaking the minor market structure. Selling on the return to the Left Shoulder level for a high-probability risk-to-reward setup.
FCPO: Looking for SHORT.MYX:FCPO1! Price is still trapped within the range between 4687 and 4370. Overall bias still favors the bearish side.
There are three parameters to consider:
Parameter 1:
If price breaks 4518 and closes below it, bearish continuation is likely, initially toward 4445, then potentially toward 4370.
Parameter 2:
If price breaks 4575 and continues higher toward the 4600 area, the overall outlook remains bearish. Therefore, I will still be looking for short opportunities.
Parameter 3:
If p
FCPO: Bearish continuation...So FCPO had successfully making a retracement higher. This open up an opportunity to look for a new SHORT position. A close below 4510 would open up a move lower to 4370. However if price persisting higher and break above 4635 then probably stand aside because it would mean that bearish is weakening and probability of bullish increasing. So bearish view for now unless proven otherwise.
Happy trading ✌🏽💰🚀!
FCPO: Bearish update...Price retraced to the expected area. It then turns lower after and broke the previous higher high. Further than that it also continued lower and broke the support level. Right now expecting price to continue lower with first target is 4485 and eventually also targetiing the lower of the 4H support at 4410.
Happy trading ✌🏽💰!
FCPO: BEARISH in the making?Price still within 1W range of high at 5200 and low at 3640. 1D however showing signs that a bullish trend might be ending. However there is no confirmation yet on 4H. Next week expecting price to go higher to around 4700 area before giving any indication that bullish is ending.
Happy trading.
FCPO: Long or Short?Price is in range. It didn't breakthrough lower as expected last week. Instead it continues to be in range. For next week:
Option 1: if price breakthrough 4500 and stay above it then there is likely we will see a bullish movement.
Option 2: If price retraced towards 4475 and defend the level then we might see price to move lower.
Based on previous price action, Option 2 is preferred.
Happy trading. MYX:FCPO1!






















