USOIL at 90$ last pump to 98-103$ before going lower. TVC:USOIL To me it's trading inside a daily bear flag, we are near the support of the bear flag, we bounce right off the 50ema day at 89$ today 22 september 2026. Daily there's 2 gap's from 98-100$, then on the 12hr a fair value gap at 103$ish. So that'S why I'm bullish and see it go up to 98-103$ before a possible move down. If breaks the white line and near resistance red trend line at 105$ and stay above for like 2-4 day's it should continue much higher. If not should go back down, note that
In-depth trading ideas
CL1! – The Bigger Opportunity May Be LowerWTI is still trading within a broader rising structure, but at current prices I am not interested in chasing the market higher. After the strong advance toward 105, oil is going through a deeper correction, and the area I am watching for the next meaningful buying opportunity is around 83.
That level matters because it sits much closer to the rising trendline that has supported the broader move since the first half of the year. A decline toward 83 would therefore not automatically change my l
CRUDE OIL 1000-DAY AVERAGEWhy should we look at a 1000-day average? Because people are talking about inflation from crude oil prices and that it is a terrible thing that is destroying consumer confidence, destroying consumer purchasing power and it is in the headlines continuously.
So let's look at it and see what it shows. Objectively the average price at the end of a President's term is the "average price that people experienced during that term".
So in January 2021, the 4-year average (approximate 250 trading days
Crude Oil Buy AnalysisCrude Oil MTF Long Idea
Technicals:
Price inside daily demand + 30minute confirmation.
Fundamentals/Sentiment:
- COT reports leaning bullish
- Recently weaker fundamentals with the Middle East pipeline back up and running, good talks with the US-Iran, possible talks with Ukraine-Russia, but claims of Trump's fake news about a diesel export ban + also might have a trade deal with China-US.
Overall:
- Yes, its long, but too expensive for me. Maybe looking at the bottom 50% entry of the zone in
CL1! - Potential Inverse Cup and HandlePotential inverse cup and handle forming on CL1!, with a similar pattern also forming on BZ1!. We may have already experienced the breakdown today (9/28/26) had Trump accepted Iran's deal over the weekend, but now we are in the wait and see period for price action. Will update analysis as data changes.
Can Oil Futures Reshape Global Power?Macroeconomics and Economic Trends
Oil futures dictate global economic health today. United States crude inventories surged by three million barrels in the week ending September 18. The build exceeded the smaller gain the American Petroleum Institute had reported a day earlier. Elevated oil prices weigh heavily on global stock markets. India currently faces a massive surge in crude import costs. Its crude import bill rose 48 percent to $74.8 billion between April and August. Import volumes stay
Crude Oil (CL) Analysis, Key-Zones, Setup for Fri (Sep 25)Bias: The November crude contract settled Thursday at 94.61, up 2.45 points or 2.66 percent, the second consecutive higher settle after five lower closes that followed the 09/15 settle of 100.75. The completed session ran 96.78 to 91.23, a 5.55 point band, and the settle finished at 60.9 percent of that range. Those extremes are the completed-session inputs behind the published pivot ladder rather than an independently read bar, and they reconcile with the provider's own published daily record.
USOIL is setting a Trap?USOIL has staged an impressive recovery from the $68–72 weekly demand zone, reaching approximately $101.70. However, despite the bullish momentum, I am not interested in buying at current prices.
The market is now trading directly below a major resistance cluster:
• Weekly descending trendline
• Previous swing highs
• Supply between $104 and $106
This is an area where I expect increased volatility and a possible liquidity grab before the market reveals its next directional move.
📈 COT position
Crude Oil (CL) Analysis, Key-Zones, Setup for Mon (Sep 28)Bias: Crude reopened higher on Sunday after the weekend rejection of Iran's plan. The November contract settled Friday at 92.41, down 2.33 percent, on hopes that talks would reopen the Strait of Hormuz; after the close, per press reports carried on the news feed, the President rejected an Iran ceasefire, and on Saturday the news feed quoted him saying he rejects Iran's proposal. The contract opened Sunday at 93.58, 1.17 points above the settle, and was quoted at 93.49, up 1.17 percent, at 09:50
CL Daily_about -2,945 ticks away from Fibonacci TargetCL Daily time frame is in a down trend. The market
is making lower lows and lower highs. There is a
down Fibonacci with an extension price point 63.18
about -2,945 ticks below the market. As long as the
market does not take out the one boundary price
point 110.93 it is expected the market to fall towards
the Fibonacci target.
Entry: Counter trend line break bearish in the sell zone.
STOP: 113.05
LIMIT: 63.18
Another entry idea: If the risk is too large off the daily
time frame. It will be
WTI Crude Ponders Potential BounceOn Tuesday 15 September, I warned that without a fresh catalyst, I was suspicious of crude oil breakouts. While WTI closed the day higher by the day’s close and at a 4-month high, it was short lived. And only marginally above the 105.21 high. And since then, we have clearly seen the bearish mean-reversion I sought.
But now I suspect the pullback has gone too far. Note the tweezer bottom on the daily chart around the 50-day EMA, and with both of those candles with above-average volume – it sugge
Crude Oil (CL) Analysis, Key-Zones, Setup for Wed (Sep 23)Bias: The November crude contract settled Tuesday at 90.52, down 1.85 points or 2.00 percent, and the five-session decline from the 09/15 settle of 100.75 now totals 10.23 points or 10.15 percent. Tuesday's completed session ran 93.84 to 88.67, a 5.17 point band, and the settle finished at 35.8 percent of that range. Those extremes are the completed-session inputs behind the published pivot ladder rather than an independently read bar, and they reconcile with the provider's own published daily






















