OJ reversal at previous lowAbove this previous range price action is bullish for me, target previous high.
LongIn-depth trading ideas
Long
Great OJ opportunity at 135If OJ hit's 135, it's a good opportunity to buy! OJ is currently following the all commodity downtrend.
Good luck!
Long
Orange JuiceThe biggest producers of orange juice are: Brazil, US, European Union, China and Mexico. 85 percent of the world market is divided between Florida and São Paulo. While Brazil exports 99 percent of its production, 90 percent of Florida’s production is consumed in the US. Orange juice is traded in the form of frozen concentrated orange juice to reduce the volume used.
Long
Orange Juice Futures (ICE) – Long Trade SetupDirection: Long Bias
Contract: Frozen Concentrated Orange Juice (OJ / ICE US)
Current Price: ~268.95
🔍 Technical Setup
Price has found strong support around the 240–260 zone, aligning with long-term trendline support.
EMA20 is stabilizing, hinting at a potential shift in momentum after a sharp correction.
Structure suggests a rebound move with upside toward the 350–400 zone (previous support-turned-resistance).
Risk is clearly defined with support just below the recent lows.
📊 Fundamentals & Sentiment
Supply shock remains in play:
Brazil’s citrus belt is under severe strain from citrus greening disease (HLB), with nearly half of orchards infected.
2024/25 production fell to multi-decade lows, leaving Brazilian OJ stocks near “technical zero.”
Demand resilience: While high prices have pressured some consumers, global demand for NFC and premium juice has stayed firm.
Weather risk: Brazil’s 2025/26 crop outlook is uncertain — drought and heat remain threats.
🧾 COT Positioning
Speculators: Net long positioning indicates a bullish tilt, reflecting continued interest in upside exposure.
Commercials: Hedgers are active on the short side, but this is typical for producers locking in higher prices.
Interpretation: With speculators holding long exposure and commercials hedging into strength, the structure supports a bullish bias from a positioning standpoint.
🎯 Trade Plan
Strategy Stats: My long setups have a 70% win rate and average +11% gain.
Entry Zone: Current levels (~265–270) on confirmation of support holding.
Target 1: 350
Target 2: 400+ (if momentum extends)
⚠️ Risks
Strong rebound in Brazilian production (2025/26 season) could ease supply stress.
Demand destruction if consumers continue to balk at higher prices.
Large speculator long unwinds could trigger a sharp correction.
✅ Conclusion
With supply tightness, disease risk, and speculators maintaining long exposure, the Orange Juice market is primed for a bullish rebound from strong support. My system favors a long entry here, targeting 350–400, with a 70% historical profitability rate on similar setups.
Long
OJ - Frozen Orange Juice Long SetupThe Medianline se aka Fork, is a pullback Fork.
So what we want to see is a reversion to the mean after this drop.
The sideways action from Mar. to Jul. is a "loading" period, where Commercials load their boat.
If we break the resistance, it's usual that there will be a pullback to the prior resistance - now support. Or even into the loading zone.
Entries will be on a intraday basis.
Stalker mode on 88-)
Long
Orange Juice Trend UpMost of orange juice consumpted in the usa is most from brazil and due to political situation and tariffs the trend for orange juice is up....
Long
Orange JuiceThe holding of support, represented by the bullish equilibrium orbit at 206.00, encouraged the return of positive currents.
Resistance at 278.64 to be monitored, which in the event of a break would project prices towards the target placed at 351.06 to be realised by 11 August 2025.
OLong
Why Your Orange Juice Costs More?The price of orange juice is surging, impacting consumers and the broader economy. This increase stems from a complex interplay of geopolitical tensions, macroeconomic pressures, and severe environmental challenges. Understanding these multifaceted drivers reveals a volatile global commodity market. Investors and consumers must recognize the interconnected factors that now influence everyday staples, such as orange juice.
Geopolitical shifts significantly contribute to the rising prices of orange juice. The United States recently announced a 50% tariff on all Brazilian imports, effective August 1, 2025. This politically charged move targets Brazil's stance on former President Jair Bolsonaro's prosecution and its growing alignment with BRICS nations. Brazil dominates the global orange juice supply, providing over 80% of the world's trade share and 81% of U.S. orange juice imports between October 2023 and January 2024. The new tariff directly increases import costs, squeezing margins for U.S. importers and creating potential supply shortages.
Beyond tariffs, a convergence of macroeconomic forces and adverse weather conditions amplify price pressures. Higher import costs fuel inflation, potentially compelling central banks to maintain tighter monetary policies. This broader inflationary environment impacts consumer purchasing power. Simultaneously, orange production faces severe threats. Citrus greening disease has devastated groves in both Florida and Brazil. Extreme weather events, including hurricanes and droughts, further reduce global orange yields. These environmental setbacks, coupled with geopolitical tariffs, create a robust bullish outlook for orange juice futures, suggesting continued price appreciation in the near term.
Long
Long
OJ ShortOJ is not net short on the regression break.
The roll on this commodity (-1.2%) in the short direction.
I am not taking this trade.
Short
Orange Juice Futures Long, Perfect Demand Set-upWow, where do I start, Good structure, very cheap price based on Fib Ret. Retailers very long (very bearish). Strong Demand zone. Trade inspired by my mentor. Let's see how it goes.
Long
OJ Futures LongOJ1! Futures Long is now net long on the regression break.
I am taking trades in the current market. (Waiting and Watching)
Long
Orange Juice Long BiasFundamentals:
Valuation:
Undervalued on
10d - 13d - 30d
Seasonality:
Showing rally until end 27/05/25
on 5y - 10y
HOWEVER -- 10y isn't aligned..
COT:
The main thing is Users & Producers,
They turned bullish sharply in the past
few weeks
Non-commercials are not yet bullish
on the pair, however, it is natural, as
they buy into strength and sell into
weakness in all markets.
Technicals:
We have a clear (already mitigated) Demand zone on the weekly. With a great Leg out (empolsive move to the upside)
Long
Orange juice down more than 50%Orange juice futures down more than 50%. May be time to buy some. Could wait for more lower price.
Long
Orange juice long Orange juice is showing strong fundamentals and solid signals. Entering long from this demand zone. Stay tuned for more updates—don’t forget to tap the follow button!
Long
OJ | Orange Juice | SHORT ICEUS:OJ1!
It's time to short orange juice. I expect it to return to its 2022–2023 price range. I have no idea why the price rose 500% in just three years, but this month it has already declined by almost 50% from the all-time high. Here are my targets:
TP1: $260
TP2: $200
TP3: $140
Timeframe: 2025
Short
OJ Short of Regression BreakBuilding a higher low on OJ and nice rounding out of price action at the highs
There is +1.8% monthly roll longs, so the short position is not currently support the downside.
More structure is required - Let it build a little more.
Short
Orange Juice Futures SHORT OPPPennant Breakout resulting in a Bull Flag w/ a Double Top
Looking for the gap to fill below 402.00 which also confirms the Double Top and the Bearish Breakdown of the Bull Flag Structure, Conservative Measured move (Patterns Measured Move * Percentage Meeting Target) puts it close to the Demand Line from Feb . 23 2023, marking a 5th touch point.
Longer Term lookout
** NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE OR TELLING ANYONE TO MAKE ANY TRADES BASED ON MY OWN ANALYSIS, USE YOUR OWN JUDGEMENT **
Short
The Orange Juice Crisis: A Climate-Induced Market ShiftOrange juice prices have hit record highs due to a confluence of climate-related challenges, including extreme weather events, rising temperatures, and altered rainfall patterns. These factors have decimated citrus crops, particularly in key production areas like Florida, leading to significant supply shortages and driving up prices. This crisis underscores the fragility of our food supply and highlights the urgent need for innovative solutions and international cooperation.
The orange juice industry faces a severe crisis driven by climate change, leading to soaring prices and dwindling supplies. Extreme weather events, rising temperatures, and altered rainfall patterns have devastated citrus crops, particularly in Florida, the heart of U.S. orange production. This has led to a bidding war for orange juice concentrate, exacerbated by inflationary pressures on fertilizers, pesticides, and labor costs.
Globally, major producers like Brazil, Mexico, and Spain also grapple with these climate-induced challenges, resulting in reduced yields and increased vulnerability. The economic toll extends beyond agriculture, affecting jobs and local economies.
Addressing climate change is crucial for the industry's future. Investing in research to combat diseases like citrus greening, improving water management practices, and adopting sustainable farming methods are essential steps. Diversifying crops and exploring alternative citrus products could also offer relief.
This crisis highlights the fragility of our food supply and the urgent need for global cooperation to ensure the long-term viability of the orange juice market. As climate change continues to impact agricultural production, innovative and sustainable solutions are imperative to stabilize prices and secure the future of this beloved beverage.
Long
Orange Juice Crisis Prompts Search for Alternative FruitsThe global orange juice industry faces an unprecedented crisis due to bad weather and disease in Brazil, the world's largest orange exporter. Orange juice futures have surged to record highs, nearly doubling in price over the past year. This situation has led manufacturers to explore alternative fruits like mandarins for juice production.
Key Points:
- Record High Prices: Orange juice futures hit $4.92 a pound, reflecting concerns over supply shortages.
- Natural Disasters: A hurricane and cold snap in Florida, along with citrus greening disease, have devastated US orange groves.
- Brazil's Struggles: Brazil's orange production has fallen by 25% this year due to adverse weather and disease.
- Mandarins as Alternatives: Industry leaders are considering mandarins, which are more resilient to climate change, as a viable alternative for juice production.
- Regulatory Challenges: The International Fruit and Vegetable Juice Association is exploring legislative changes to include other citrus fruits in the definition of orange juice.
The long-term outlook remains uncertain as the industry adapts to these challenges, potentially leading to higher prices and new juice flavors for consumers.
Long
Freshly Squeezed Orange JuiceMoving Averages set in place, demand rising, Key volume day involved in a pivot zone, this breakout could set in motion for future rising prices. I have reason to believe this soft could increase
Long
OJ - Frozen Orange Juice Is DoneIn my YT Video Analysis I talked about, how OJ is at the Apex and has a high chance to fall down to the Center-Line.
On the daily chart (see the zoomed Screenshot), you see how price is struggling to get above the U-MLH.
Great signs of weakness.
But beware, OJ is super illiquid. This means that this market can get pushed in any direction, in any magnitude.
However, it's very cool to observe, how even such over-pumped markets react to my super tools, the Andrews Pitchfork aka. Medianlines.
Let's observe how this plays out.
We can learn a lot, and use this knowledge in the future for our own trading.
As for the Medianline-Framework, price falls down to the Center-Line when traded outside the U-MLH, and then comes back into the Fork.
Observation Mode ON!
Peace4TheWorld
Short
Orang Juice (OJ) - Trend Fan Line breaksOrang Juice has been in a Parabolic Uptrend on the larger time frame.
Trend breaks can be highly pronounced when they occur and can provide short-term contra-trend trading opportunities .
It is important to be patient and wait for their occurrence, with targets and stop-loss levels placed at the next and previous resistance levels respectively
