KFin Technologies: Understanding a Descending Triangle & FiboApoorv Dubey | SEBI Registered Research Analyst
Let’s look at this chart as a simple story about price.
1. First came the rally 📈
KFin Technologies rose strongly from its marked swing low to its swing high. A swing low is an important low point on the chart, while a swing high is an important high point.
2. Then came a pause and a pullback
After reaching its high, price started falling and moving sideways. It did not fall in a straight line: it bounced several times, but the later highs were
Fibonacci Retracement
XAUUSD — Wave 5 Toward 4,260
From Kelly’s view, gold is building a strong bullish recovery after reversing from the 3,890–3,900 area. Price is currently trading around 4,128, and the latest impulsive move has already pushed into the first major resistance near 4,146.
The key idea is simple: the bullish structure may remain valid while gold holds above the 4,050–4,060 buy zone. A controlled Wave (4) pullback could create the base for the next Wave (5) expansion toward 4,177, 4,198, and eventually the 4,250–4,260 target zon
XAUUSD: Can $3,873 Hold After the Failed Rebound?
Gold's recovery has stalled beneath a critical Fibonacci resistance zone, bringing sellers back into focus. But after another rejection, could the next decline challenge the previous low and expose a deeper support area?
Market Structure — Sellers Defend the Lower High
Following the rejection from the October highs, XAUUSD developed a sustained bearish sequence characterized by lower highs and lower lows.
The latest decline extended from 4,082.495 toward 3,872.889, reinforcing the prevailing
My Price Action Framework: Fibonacci, a Slanted CT & My ConceptsApoorv Dubey | SEBI Registered Research Analyst
This monthly chart of Ramkrishna Forgings illustrates how I combine familiar price action tools with my own way of drawing and interpreting a structure.
Here’s a step-by-step guide you can practise on your own charts:
1. Start by zooming out
Open the monthly timeframe and identify a meaningful swing low and swing high. This helps you understand the larger move before studying the correction within it.
2. Add Fibonacci retracement
On an upward m
PREMIER ENERGIES - Forming Inverted head and shoulderPremier Energies is showing a potential bullish Head and Shoulders reversal structure near the ₹840–₹850 support zone.
Bullish Confluence:
61.8% Fibonacci Retracement: Golden-ratio support near ₹845.
Previous Resistance: The ₹840–₹850 zone may now act as support.
Price Structure: Potential inverse Head and Shoulders formation suggests a possible trend reversal.
Confirmation Trigger: A decisive breakout above the neckline would strengthen the bullish case, with ₹920–₹955 as potential resistance
XAUUSD: Gold's Next Wave Faces Three Fibonacci TestsGold is climbing along a rising trendline, but the next Elliott Wave move may face a critical challenge. Is this the beginning of a stronger bullish impulse, or another corrective rally approaching Fibonacci resistance?
Elliott Wave — A Developing Bullish Structure?
Following the sharp decline and subsequent recovery in mid-October, XAUUSD has developed a short-term ascending structure.
The current advance could represent a developing bullish wave sequence, with a corrective pullback potentia
How I Find Swing Trading Stocks Myself: 10 Filters Apoorv Dubey | SEBI Registered Research Analyst
Learn how to read stocks yourself using price action, market structure and candlestick patterns, then confirm with volume, Fibonacci levels, confluence zones and multi-timeframe analysis.
Build a complete swing trading checklist, step by step, with no tips needed.
Disclaimer: This video is strictly for educational purposes and is not a buy, sell or hold recommendation. Stocks or charts shown are examples only to explain the screening process an
XAUUSD: Gold's 4,142 Fibonacci Test — New Impulse or Wave B Trap
Gold has staged a sharp recovery from 4,074, but the broader bearish structure remains unresolved. Is this the beginning of a new bullish sequence, or simply another corrective rally before the next decline?
Elliott Wave Perspective
Following the decline from 4,217.158 to 4,073.983, Gold rebounded toward 4,161.936.
One possible interpretation is that the decline completed a larger corrective sequence, with the rebound representing the first leg of a developing bullish recovery.
Under this s
Gold's H4 Rebound: Wave B Trap or Bullish Reversal?
Gold is recovering, but the larger Elliott Wave structure still raises a difficult question: Is this the beginning of a new bullish cycle, or just another corrective rally within the downtrend?
The answer may depend on how price reacts around the next Fibonacci resistance levels.
Elliott Wave — The Bigger Picture
Following the decline from 4,696.900 toward 4,066.132, XAUUSD has developed a broad bearish structure.
The recent recovery could represent an upward A-B-C correction within that de
XAUUSD · H1 Elliott Wave + Fibonacci October 14, 2026 ·
1. Market Overview — Gold at a Critical Decision Zone
Gold is approaching a significant technical area around the 50% Fibonacci level at 4,142.218, following a decline from the recent high at 4,217.735.
The key question is whether the current decline represents the final stage of an A-B-C correction or the beginning of a more extensive bearish structure.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, both scenarios remain possible. The market must provide further structural confirmation before either interp
XAUUSD — 4,100 Is the Last Buyer Test
Gold is trading in a sensitive area again, and this chart is giving a very clear message: buyers are trying to defend the bottom, but the recovery still looks weak.
After the strong rejection from the upper area near 4,220, price failed to continue higher and quickly returned back into the lower range. That rejection is important because it shows that the market did not accept higher prices.
The move above the previous structure looked more like a liquidity grab than a clean bullish breakout
H1 Liquidity Sweep Toward 4,207
Fundamental Analysis
Gold is recovering strongly today, supported by a softer U.S. dollar and easing oil prices. Spot Gold recently gained around 1.4%, while Treasury yields pulled back from their recent highs. Markets still see only about a 19% chance of another Fed hike in October, but December tightening expectations remain elevated around 84%, keeping volatility high. Reuters
The next important catalyst is U.S. consumer sentiment and inflation expectations, which could influence USD and Tre
H1 Support Rebound Toward 4,220 Liquidity
Fundamental
Gold remains under pressure from a stronger U.S. dollar and elevated Treasury yields after the latest Fed minutes reinforced expectations for another rate hike later this year. Markets are currently pricing a low probability of an October hike but around an 85% chance of a December increase. Fed Governor Christopher Waller also said further hikes may be needed, although the timing can remain flexible. Reuters
This keeps the short-term macro backdrop challenging for Gold, while geopo
Cummins India – Watching the Wave 4 ReboundThe current decline appears to be progressing through a five-wave structure, with Wave (3) producing the strongest part of the move lower.
Price has now bounced into the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement near ₹4,858, with 0.5 around ₹4,894 acting as the next reference. This rebound could represent Wave (4) before the final Wave (5) decline.
A rejection from the ₹4,858–₹4,894 region would strengthen the bearish count and keep the Wave (5) scenario in play.
Profit With Fibonacci — An Investor’s Guide to Better Entry PricIn investing, Fibonacci should not be used to answer the question:
“At exactly what level should I buy?”
A more useful question is:
“After a strong rally, is the current price still attractive enough to keep accumulating, or am I simply buying because of FOMO?”
For investors, Fibonacci can be useful as a tool for measuring corrections and planning potential price zones , but it cannot replace an assessment of the long-term trend, valuation, fundamentals, or macroeconomic context.
1. Fibon
XAUUSD — 4,240 Supply or 4,160 Retest?
Gold is trading around 4,200 after recovering strongly from the 4,110–4,125 demand base.
The H1 structure is still bearish, but buyers are building a short-term recovery channel.
Macro News
Fed expectations have eased after John Williams said there is no urgency for another rate hike. However, Treasury yields remain elevated and today’s PCE data could quickly change the USD and rate outlook.
The simple read
The key upside zone is 4,225–4,242.
If Gold reaches this premium supply area and r
H1 Bearish Expansion at SSL
Market Context
Gold remains under heavy pressure as higher oil prices, a firmer U.S. dollar and elevated Treasury yields continue to weigh on bullion. On September 28, Brent moved back above $106 as the U.S.-Iran standoff increased energy-supply concerns, while the Dollar Index held near 101.15. The Fed also raised its policy rate to 3.75%–4.00% earlier this month, keeping rate expectations restrictive. MarketScreener
The market is now heading into a data-heavy week, with JOLTS on September 29,
Jay Bharat Maruti – Bullish ViewThe stock has seen a sharp advance followed by a pullback into the marked support zone.
The primary count suggests this could be Wave 4, with scope for a Wave 5 advance if support holds.
There is also an alternate ABC count marked on the chart , so I would treat the current zone as an area to watch rather than assume the bullish count is confirmed.
A sustained break below support would weaken the primary view.
Educational analysis only. Not investment advice.
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook — Breakout Needs a Retest
Gold is sitting around 4,378 after breaking the H4 descending trendline.
The structure is improving, but price is now testing the 4,385–4,405 immediate resistance area.
The simple read
A pullback toward 4,290–4,320 would be the cleaner test for buyers.
If this zone holds, Gold may recover toward 4,400 first, followed by the major 4,485–4,510 resistance.
A clean break above 4,510 could later expose the H4 resistance around 4,630.
If 4,290 fails, the major swing support near 4,235 becomes i
One Chart, Multiple Patterns : Are You Seeing the Full StructureA chart rarely contains just one pattern, one trendline, or one important level.
The real skill is learning how these structures interact.
This historical chart begins with a clear Swing Low and Swing High, allowing us to map the larger move using Fibonacci retracement. I am Using Older than 3 Months chart .
Once plotted, an interesting area appears.
The 50%–61.8% retracement region, highlighted in white, creates an important Fibonacci confluence zone. Remember, 61.8% is a Fibonacci ratio, w
XAUUSD — Breakout Is Done, Can 4,317 Hold?
Gold is trading around 4,337 after a strong M30 recovery from the 4,278 area.
Price has pushed back above the previous short-term structure and is now holding above the breakout zone near 4,317.
The recovery is encouraging, but the market is approaching an important Fed decision.
Rate expectations remain elevated, Treasury yields are still near 5%, and the U.S. dollar remains firm. Gold has still managed to recover, showing that buyers are not completely giving up control.
But a breakout ca
The Breakdown Was a Trap : Fibonacci Explains WhyA breakdown does not always mean the structure has failed.
Sometimes, where the breakdown happens matters more than the breakdown itself.
This historical Tata Chemicals chart is a good example.
After a strong expansion, Fibonacci retracement is drawn across the larger move. This highlights an important retracement area between the 50% and 61.8% levels — marked by the white zone on the chart.
This area is often watched as a Fibonacci retracement confluence zone, with 61.8% being the classic Fi
The Breakout That Cost 70%: Why Location Beats MomentumThis post is educational and observational in nature based on historical price action on the monthly timeframe. It is not a forecast or a trading recommendation.
The Double Top
Over a span of 1000 days, this stock formed a double top pattern on the monthly timeframe, two comparable highs separated by a pullback in between, a classic reversal structure when it eventually fails to hold.
The All Time High Breakout That Failed
What followed was a horizontal breakout at the all time high, the
Flipping the Fibonacci ( Concept and Price action ) This post is educational and observational in nature based on historical price action. It is not a forecast or a trading recommendation.
The Reverse Fibonacci Approach
In a typical Fibonacci retracement, the swing low is anchored as the zero point and the swing high as the one point, measuring a retracement within an upward move. In this chart, that logic has been reversed. Since this stock is in a downtrend, the swing high has been anchored as the zero point and the swing low as the one poi























