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Silver Update Well, looks like I was right, it did fill the gap. I figured it would go down after it filled, so I did not place a long bet on it. Looks to me like it's gonna go down until MFI hits oversold then bounce again. It's probably gonna trade in this range for a while since gold appears to be stuck around $4k.

by hungry_hippo

Silver Update 16JUL2026: Final Wave Down This is the remastered chart as market shows itself clearly over time Corrective structure of wave B transformed into ABCDE triangle It was completed at the end of May Large wave C is about to finish soon as it has 4 out of 5 waves completed Although wave 4 still might build some complex structure RSI confirmed wave 3 with Bullish Divergence Wave 5 of C should at least revisit the bottom of wave 3 of C at $55.8 Next downside target area is in the pink box starting with 61.8% Fibonacci ratio of wave A in wave C at $43.7 The bottom of current cycle at $27.5 is the next hard support

SI Update I figured SI would bounce up since the whole market went oversold. Dumped my puts while it was in teh red, should've done it on open. Anyways, gonna wait until Monday to short again.

by hungry_hippo

Silver Update Silver and gold gapped up like index futures, the gap needs to fill. Looks like silver is already headed that way. Fed meeting Wed.

by hungry_hippo

Short Term Gold Rally over?RSI and TTM are looking better while price continues to sag. This is a classic bullish divergence in a strong down trend. In other words, selling momentum is slowing down—the bears are running out of aggressive velocity. But price requires capital inflows to actually turn. Until price breaks above that daily white descending trendline on Gold, momentum is just an early warning system, not a buy signal. Do Interest Rates Have an Effect? Opportunity Cost: Neither Gold nor Silver pays a yield or dividend. When the 10 year Treasury yields climb toward 4.80% and potentially target 5.20%, institutional capital gets guaranteed nominal returns in Treasuries. The "Real Rate" Clamp: If nominal bond yields rise faster than inflation expectations, real yields rise. High real yields make holding non yielding metals expensive to hold on balance sheets, triggering fund outflows out of Gold and Silver. The Double Whammy: When both TVC:DXY $ and TVC:TNX break out simultaneously (as we mapped out on previous high timeframe charts), precious metals face a double barreled headwind: 1) A stronger dollar makes metals more expensive for foreign buyers. 2) Higher yields raise the opportunity cost of holding metals over cash/bonds. The Takeaway If TVC:DXY pushes cleanly above 101 and $ TVC:TNX breaks out above 4.80% toward 5.20%, precious metals will likely break down through these support zones, regardless of how nice the daily RSI divergence looks. For the momentum divergence to turn into a real price bottom, we need to see either rates or the dollar hit their overhead macro resistance and turn lower. Until then, the trendline and macro headwinds remain in control.

by ROW_Partners

SI Update Geez I wish I had shorted this yesterday when it hit oversold. Looks like it was just a gap fill trade and not a rally. RSI headed to oversold then you'll see a bounce. Expecting market to bounce today

by hungry_hippo

Mcx SILVER forecast MCX Silver (1D): Price Action View ### 🔥 Market Structure * **Primary trend:** Bearish. * **Current structure:** Relief rally within a downtrend. * This is **not a confirmed trend reversal yet**. ### 📍 Critical Observation The rally has **just reclaimed the 78.6% Fibonacci level (₹222,730)**. This level is now the **line in the sand**. * Above it = bulls retain short-term control. * Below it = today's breakout becomes a bull trap. ### 📉 Channel Analysis The price is still trading **inside the descending blue channel**. Until a **daily close above the channel** occurs, every rally should be treated as a **counter-trend bounce**, not a new bull market. ### 📊 Candle Psychology Today's candle shows: * Strong buying after multiple indecisive sessions. * Buyers absorbed supply around ₹220k. * No long upper wick → sellers haven't shown aggression yet. What matters now is **follow-through**, not today's candle alone. ### 🎯 Resistance Map 1. **₹224,100** – Immediate hurdle. 2. **₹231,640** – Swing resistance. 3. **₹240,337 (61.8% Fib)** – Decision zone. * Expect heavy profit booking here. * A rejection would keep the larger downtrend intact. 4. **₹252,703** – Trend reversal confirmation only above this level. ### 🛡️ Support Map * ₹222,730 (must hold) * ₹219,500–220,000 (demand) * ₹215,000 * ₹200,300 (major swing low) ### 📈 Bullish Trigger I would turn aggressively bullish only if: * Daily close above **₹231,640**, **and** * Breakout from the descending channel with rising volume. Targets: * ₹240,300 * ₹252,700 * ₹265,000 ### 📉 Bearish Trigger If price fails near ₹224k–232k and closes back below ₹222,730: * It becomes a classic **false breakout**. * Likely targets: * ₹219,000 * ₹215,000 * ₹200,300 ## 📌 Trader's Verdict * **Short-term bias:** Bullish while above **₹222,730**. * **Intermediate trend:** Still bearish. * **Best trade:** Buy dips above ₹222,730; avoid chasing strength into ₹231,640–240,337 unless the channel breaks. * **Trend reversal:** Not confirmed until a decisive daily close above **₹252,703**. ### ⭐ Probability * Bullish continuation to **₹231,640:** **70%** * Break to **₹240,337:** **55–60%** * Full trend reversal above **₹252,703:** **30–35%** **One thing I'd add:** If the next daily candle opens above today's high and closes strong with above-average volume, it would increase confidence that this is the start of a larger recovery rather than just a technical bounce.

by ktra_commodities

Silver Update Almost overbought on RSI, but there's an open gap that needs to be filled. I was wondering what this pump was bout until I saw the gap. Don't short it until it fills the gap. Quite frankly, I think silver and other metals will just go bounce sideways for a while. The next drop probably doesn't happen until chip stocks drop and this AI bubble bursts.

by hungry_hippo

Silver Update MFI almost overbought, and RSI hit the same level as the previous 2 selloffs. If it doesn;t bounce back this afternoon, we'll probably see a gap down tomorrow.

by hungry_hippo

Silver Watch SI is oversold on RSI and MFI, but indicators can go lower just like the last dump. If it breaks support, it definitely will. Got SLV Aug puts I bought last week and next week's puts that I bought Tuesday. Gonna just sit on that and see what happens. Not really sure I'd recommend shorting it with indicators oversold, but I think it's gonna drop.

by hungry_hippo

Silver Mega MCX Fut Intraday Technical Analysis for 14 July, 26 MCX:SILVER1! Silver Futures (MCX) | Intraday Structure | July 14, 2026 Silver is trading around 217,419, sliding underneath the 217,718 Zero Line after an intense distribution phase that rejected higher expansion zones. The contract is currently accelerating into a high-momentum corrective leg as sellers aggressively flush weak hands out of the intermediate support clusters. Price action enters the session locked in a steep liquidation phase below the central pivot line. Institutional participants are pushing to see if demand steps in at the lower target thresholds or if distribution intensifies. Wait for a high-volume 15-minute candle breakout from the immediate cluster to confirm directional stabilization before putting capital to work. Bullish Triggers Long Entry: Above 219,746 (requires sustained acceptance above the 219,275 Add Long Pos. band). Targets: 220,187 - 221,713 Risk Control: Structure weakens below 219,275. Hard exit below 218,414. Bearish Triggers Short Entry: Below 218,803 (strongly validated if the 217,718 Zero Line floor solidifies as a strict supply ceiling). Targets: 215,249 - 213,723 Risk Control: Cover immediately above 220,135. Bias remains structurally protected below 221,272. No-Trade Chop Zone: 218,414 - 219,746 Expect highly rotational, volatile price action inside this wide structure block as industrial participants and commercial desks match order flows. Avoid over-trading early morning whipsaws; let a clean 15-minute structural candle provide execution validation. Execution Rule: Structure first, confirmation next. Zero anticipation. Hit Boost and drop your view in the comments if you're tracking these levels today. #Silver

Silver 4H Long: FVG Retest + VWAP Reclaim Setup Hello guys, Silver is sitting in an interesting decision zone. After printing a double bottom around 55.65, price started to regain momentum to the upside. That low is important because sellers had multiple chances to continue lower, but price stopped accepting below that zone. Now we are seeing a cleaner structure. Price bounced from the lows, then came back to retest the previous FVG zone formed during the reversal leg. For me, that retest is important. I don’t want to chase the first bounce. I want to see if the market can come back into the imbalance, hold it, and start building continuation from there. There is also extra context from market profile. We have a 1D NPOC nearby and single prints from the TPO chart, which makes this area a real decision zone instead of a random support level. The key confirmation now is the VWAP cluster. Price still needs to break and hold above the WTD VWAP and MTD VWAP, which are sitting close together. When multiple VWAPs cluster in the same area, that zone often becomes a major decision level. A reclaim above that cluster would show buyers gaining control and strengthen the long setup. The trade idea: Entry: 60.32 Stop: 58.43 Target: 68.25 RR: 4.2R Target around 68.25 is the bigger confluence zone, where we have the Daily 50 EMA, Daily 200 EMA, and delta profile imbalances. The setup is simple: Double bottom at 55.65 Momentum shift to the upside Retest of previous FVG 1D NPOC + TPO single prints nearby WTD + MTD VWAP cluster as confirmation Targeting the 68.25 confluence zone Invalidation is below the FVG at 58.43. All the best,

by Turttle_Trader

Silver price forecast (mcx)This is a **4-hour MCX Silver Futures** chart with a **falling channel (bearish trend)** and **Fibonacci retracement levels**. Here's what it suggests: ### 1. Overall Trend: Bearish * Price is trading inside a **descending channel**, making lower highs and lower lows. * Until the price breaks above the upper channel line, the primary trend remains **bearish**. ### 2. Current Price * **Current Price:** **223,200** * This is sitting almost exactly at the **78.6% Fibonacci retracement level (222,376)**. * This zone is a **very important support**. ### 3. Important Levels **Support** * **222,376** (78.6% Fib) – Immediate support. * **219,500–220,000** – Minor support. * **199,806** (100% Fib) – Strong long-term support if selling intensifies. **Resistance** * **229,700–230,000** – First resistance. * **234,901** (61.8% Fib) – Strong resistance. * **252,540** (50% Fib) – Major breakout level. ### 4. What the Chart Indicates There are **two possible scenarios**: #### Bullish Scenario (Higher Probability if Support Holds) * If **222,376** holds and buyers step in, * Silver could rebound toward: * **230,000** * **235,000** * **240,000** * Later **252,500** This matches the upward dashed arrow shown on the chart. #### Bearish Scenario * If **222,376** breaks decisively, * Price may quickly fall toward: * **215,000** * **210,000** * **200,000** That would keep the downtrend intact. ### 5. Trading Strategy **For Bulls** * Watch for bullish candles or higher lows near **222,300–223,000**. * A close above **230,000** would strengthen the recovery. * A break above the channel and **235,000** would be a strong bullish confirmation. **For Bears** * If 222,376 is broken with strong volume, selling pressure may increase. * The next downside target becomes **210,000–200,000**. ### My Technical View At the moment, **223,200 is sitting at a make-or-break support**. Since this level coincides with the **78.6% Fibonacci retracement**, it has a good chance of producing a short-term bounce. However, **the trend remains bearish until the price breaks out of the descending channel and closes above 235,000**. For **KTRA Commodities**, I would summarize it as: > **MCX Silver is testing a crucial support at ₹2,22,376 (78.6% Fibonacci). Holding above this level could trigger a recovery toward ₹2.30–2.35 lakh. A breakdown below ₹2.22 lakh may accelerate selling toward ₹2.10–2.00 lakh. Traders should closely watch price action around this support before taking fresh positions.**

by ktra_commodities

SI update It didn't tank but it is cycling on the RSI indicator. Will short it again when RSI hits overbought. It may be doing some range bound trading before the next drop.

by hungry_hippo

Silver Mini MCX Fut Intraday Technical Anlaysis for 9 July, 26 MCX:SILVERM1! Silver Mini Futures (MCX) | Intraday Structure | July 9, 2026 Silver Mini is trading around 225,860, sliding just below the 226,331 Zero Line after a steep, high-momentum liquidation cycle that dragged prices down from the 238,000 baseline. The contract is currently attempting a weak structural stabilization attempt following the deep downside expansion flush. Price action enters the session heavily compressed underneath its central inflection point. Sellers are trying to establish persistent distribution beneath the zero block to trigger another structural breakdown leg. Wait for a high-volume 15-minute candle breakout away from this cluster before executing. Bullish Triggers Long Entry: Above 229,559 (requires sustained acceptance above the 228,326 Add Long Pos. band). Targets: 232,789 - 236,781 Risk Control: Structure weakens below 228,326. Hard exit below 226,076. Bearish Triggers Short Entry: Below 227,093 (strongly validated if the 226,331 Zero Line acts as a hard distribution ceiling). Targets: 219,873 - 215,881 Risk Control: Cover immediately above 230,576. Bias protected below 233,551. No-Trade Chop Zone: 226,076 - 229,559 Expect highly volatile, rotational price action within this wide block as commercial desks and bullion participants square off risk. Avoid chasing early morning whipsaws; let a clean 15-minute structural candle breakout provide confirmation. Execution Rule: Structure first, confirmation next. Zero anticipation. Hit Boost and drop your view in the comments if you're tracking these levels today. #SilverMini

Technical Spotlight: Keltner Channels Keltner Channels are a volatility-based technical analysis indicator consisting of three bands plotted on a price chart. Created by grain trader Chester Keltner in the 1960s and later refined by legendary trader Linda Raschke, the indicator helps traders identify trends, overextended market conditions, and potential breakouts. The tool is structurally similar to Bollinger Bands, but it relies on an Average True Range (ATR) multiplier rather than a standard deviation to determine channel width. This results in smoother bands that are less prone to erratic expansion and contraction during minor price spikes. The Structural Blueprint A standard Keltner Channel setup uses three core lines: The Center Line: A 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of the asset's closing price. This acts as the baseline trend and equilibrium level. The Upper Band: Positioned 2 ATRs above the Center Line. It acts as dynamic resistance. The Lower Band: Positioned 2 ATRs below the Center Line. It acts as dynamic support. How Retail Traders Can Use Keltner Channels Because the outer bands represent a statistically significant distance away from the moving average, prices typically fluctuate inside the channel. When price aggressively breaks outside the bands, it signals an institutional shift in momentum. Retail traders generally utilize Keltner Channels via three primary trading strategies: 1. The Trend-Following "Channel Ride" In a strong, trending market, price does not simply mean-revert. Instead, strong momentum will cause the price to hug or push past the outer bands. 2. The Keltner Price Compression Breakout When a market consolidates into a tight range, the Keltner Channels narrow significantly because the ATR drops. This indicates that a volatile breakout is imminent. *CME Group futures are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of loss. Copyright © 2023 CME Group Inc. **All examples in this report are hypothetical interpretations of situations and are used for explanation purposes only. The views in this report reflect solely those of the author and not necessarily those of CME Group or its affiliated institutions. This report and the information herein should not be considered investment advice or the results of actual market experience.

Silver Mini MCX Fut - Intraday Technical Analysis - 8 July, 26 MCX:SILVERM1! Silver Mini Futures (MCX) | Intraday Structure | July 8, 2026 Silver Mini is trading around 233,380, hovering right below the 233,470 Zero Line after experiencing a heavy corrective sell-off from higher distribution blocks. The price has settled into a tight, rotational consolidation base just beneath its central pivot line as sellers look to lock in control. The structure is heavily compressed at the lower range boundary. Institutional market participants are evaluating the strength of this localized floor before forcing the next leg. Wait for a high-volume 15-minute candle breakout to confirm the definitive intraday trend. Bullish Triggers Long Entry: Above 235,478 (strongly validated upon reclaiming footing above the 234,912 Add Long Pos. line). Targets: 236,434 | 238,266 Risk Control: Weakens below 234,912. Hard exit below 233,879. Bearish Triggers Short Entry: Below 234,346 (especially if the 233,470 Zero Line persistently caps recovery attempts as an active supply ceiling). Targets: 230,506 | 228,674 Risk Control: Cover immediately above 235,945. Bias remains protected below 237,310. No-Trade Chop Zone: 233,879 – 235,478 Expect highly rotational and choppy price action within this range as industrial participants and option desks match orders. Avoid over-trading early morning whipsaws; let a clean 15-minute structural candle breakout provide execution confirmation. Execution Rule: Structure first, confirmation next. Zero anticipation. Hit Boost and drop your view in the comments if you're tracking these levels today. #SilverMini

Silver July Forecast — Lower Reset After June Breakdown Silver’s July AI structure has reset sharply lower. June equilibrium was **78.7–80.2**. July equilibrium is now **64.5–66.8**. That is not a normal continuation setup. It shows a clear downgrade from bullish expansion to repair mode. The real-world backdrop matches this shift. Silver is still unwinding from the January squeeze/rally, has underperformed gold, and remains sensitive to rate expectations and risk appetite. Reuters recently noted that silver had lost roughly half its value from the January peak and had fallen more than a third versus gold. Short term, silver has bounced after weak U.S. jobs data and a softer dollar, but the larger monthly structure is still damaged. Trading Economics showed silver near **$62.4** on July 3, up on the day, but still down about **15.5% over the past month**. ## Key Zone: 64.5–66.8 For July, **64.5–66.8 is the reclaim zone**, not support. Below this band, rallies can still face supply. Above **66.8**, buyers start to repair the structure. ## Bullish Repair Case If silver accepts above **66.8**, upside opens toward **73.6**. Above **73.6**, the next major rail is **78.2**. Only above **78.2** does silver start to challenge the broken June structure again. **Path:** 66.8 reclaim → 73.6 → 78.2 ## Failure Case If silver fails below **64.5–66.8**, the July structure remains weak. The next downside rail is **55.5**. Below **55.5**, risk expands toward **50.9**, then **41.8** if selling accelerates. **Path:** Below 64.5 → 55.5 → 50.9 → 41.8 ## Final Read Silver has moved from **bullish continuation** to **damage repair**. Above **66.8**, bulls regain some control. Above **78.2**, the bigger recovery trade opens. Below **64.5**, rallies remain vulnerable. Below **55.5**, July shifts back into breakdown risk. The long-term deficit story still supports silver, but the July chart first needs to repair the damage.

by NeuralMarkets

SILVER - CVD Pressure Aura Weather Report SILVER On the 20-minute timeframe, the upper red flood stretched 6+ ATRs from the 200 SMA (gravity building). Watch the chaotic lightning field ignite above the envelope — sellers at exhaustion. Then the clamps release and the green surge returns. This is what saturation + reversion looks like as weather.

SI(lver) Update Well, they did it again, I mentioned yesterday that they might pump and dump one more day. I got smart about it this time since the intraday chart appears to be repeating. I dumped all my July and August puts on open, waited for the pump and entered into next week's puts. Plan to close it out at EOD, then buy some ATM Friday puts. If SI goes down Monday then I make money, if they do the morning pump again I'm gonna triple up on the positions on the pump. We'll see if they do the same stupid thing 4 days in a row. RSI and MFI are not overbought yet, so they might. Computers are repetitive. It did briefly go over the previous support and failed, so there's a chance this might be the last pump. We'll see Monday. The safe approach though would be to just wait until it breaks the previous support then go big on puts. This may whipsaw for a couple more weeks.

by hungry_hippo

SI(lver) Update Figured they'd do the same thing 2 days in a row. Pump and dump on open. Added some August puts this morning. I think it resumes the selloff next week, looks like a bear flag, and it retested the support line I drew before the last drop. If they do another morning pump tomorrow, I'm adding even more puts. Keep in mind Asia and Europe trade on the 4th. That's why I'm buying puts before the long weekend.

by hungry_hippo

The coffee market is trading Bullishly June 30th I spent a lot of time on Bitcoin because a lot of people are making decisions about the markets looking at Bitcoin and while it looks bearish this could be a setup for a large move higher and what concerns me is that Vanguard has a very high position in Bitcoin and I think I heard he has one of the biggest positions in Bitcoin I think his first name is Larry I always forget his name but when somebody with tremendous effect on the markets because of the size of positions that he can take and if you look at the three or so large positions like Vanguard and two others that I can't name right now they're into almost everything of significance they have so much position in major companies throughout the world.... I believe this could be a sign of changes in the currencies whether you trade Bitcoin or not.... It's just a thought

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by ScottBogatin

TrendPredator Open Box Update Execute Better with Time Rotations The latest TrendPredator Open Box update is now live. In this video I introduce the new features and explain how they fit into the overall Open Box execution framework. The biggest addition is Time Rotation Markers & Alerts. Over the past months, timing has become one of the most important filters in my own trading. Rather than monitoring the market continuously, I focus on a small number of predefined execution windows where liquidity, volatility and trapped positioning are most likely to align. This update brings that workflow directly into the indicator. New features include: Configurable M15, M30 & H1 Time Rotation Markers Session-specific settings for Asia, London & New York Upcoming Time Rotation display Time Rotation Alerts Minimal Mode for cleaner charts In this video you'll learn: The philosophy behind the Open Box framework Why timing has become a critical part of my execution How to configure the new Time Rotation features How I combine Time Rotations with Open Box, VWAP and session structure A practical chart example showing the framework in action The goal of TrendPredator Open Box is not to generate trading signals. It is to help traders focus on the highest-probability execution windows by combining session structure, timing and price behaviour into one objective framework. The indicator is completely free. I hope you enjoy the update and, as always, I appreciate your feedback.

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