Win Rate, Risk-Reward, and Expectancy: A Practical GuideYou’ve probably come across traders highlighting their win rate as proof of consistency and skill.
On the surface, it does feel like a reliable measure: more winning trades should mean better performance, right?
Not always.
Here’s where things become more insightful: win rate on its own doesn’t
Compare with Micro E-mini S&P 500 Index Futures (Mar 2022)
MES Extends the Repair — Can Buyers Hold the New Upper Shelf?MES Extends the Repair — Can Buyers Hold the New Upper Shelf?
🟡 Market regime: Improving repair / uneven confirmation
Macro backdrop: Elevated yields remain a headwind
Tuesday strengthened the recovery. MES moved above Monday’s 7,825–7,826.50 support decision and cleared the prior high area, exten
MES Oct. 2nd Analysis PreMarket New York Session Mark up MES check chart for setup ideas. MES has 2 gaps above that it could potentially go and test or fill. Currently the strength seems to be slowing. My current basis is more leaning to shorts. I will only look for longs to scalp inside the gap fills. Beside that I will keep my eye on Price breaking
ES Long Setup - Untested pdVAL + SP + Previous SupplyToday’s level of interest on ES is a potential long around 7794–7793.
This zone has a strong cluster of confluence, with the previous day Value Area Low at 7794 still untested, a single print around 7793, and the area also lining up with previous supply.
Should price rotate back into this zone dur
S&P 500 (ES) Analysis, Key-Zones, Setup for Wed (Oct 7)Bias: The December S&P 500 contract settled Tuesday at 7,874.00, up 47.75 points or 0.61 percent, after trading between 7,897.50 and 7,829.00, a 68.50 point daily range. The settle finished 65.7 percent of the way up from the low. Those extremes are the completed-session inputs behind the published
MESZ Oct 6: Bullish Breakout Confirmed — 7881 Next?MESZ has confirmed the higher-time-frame breakout after a 4-hour candle closed above 7,815.
Price is now trading around 7,863, and the first upside liquidity target sits around 7,880–7,881.
Below current price, the green fair value gap remains an important support and reaction zone. A pullback into
MES Technicals Small Timeframe Oct.7MES has reached back to the highs and filled our gaps that we had marked for the last week or so. Now will we get full rejection here?. Seller are weakening. IM STILL SEEING MULTIPLE sellers confirmation signals. Check chart for current confirmation I'm looking for next and where to enter.
This wou
ES Futures – Previous Day VAL + Anchored VWAP Long ZoneToday’s level of interest on ES Futures is a potential long zone around 7756–7752.
The main confluence here is the pdVAL, which remains untested, alongside the current uptrend aVWAP coming into the same area.
What makes the setup more interesting is the liquidity currently building beneath today’s
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A representation of what an asset is worth today and what the market thinks it will be worth in the future.
Displays a symbol's price movements over previous years to identify recurring trends.
Frequently asked questions
The nearest expiration date for Micro E-mini S&P 500 Index Futures (Mar 2022) is Mar 18, 2022.
Traders prefer to sell futures contracts when they've already made money on the investment, but still have plenty of time left before the expiration date. Thus, many consider it a good option to sell Micro E-mini S&P 500 Index Futures (Mar 2022) before Mar 18, 2022.









