Cotton: possible double bottom, longCotton has been falling since the 93.74 top in late August. The first low came at 77.05 on October 2, the bounce stalled at 82.25, and the second leg down made a marginally lower low at 76.47 on November 4. That new low didn’t hold for even a day: price reversed straight back above 77.05, so the breakdown failed and trapped the late shorts.
That gives a possible double bottom, with the 82.25 October high as the neckline. I’m taking it early, on a break of the reversal bar’s high, with a tight s
In-depth trading ideas
Cotton: higher low at 79.23, long above 81.81The September slide in cotton ended at 77.05 on October 2, just above the 75.25 to 74.76 double level (daily 1/4 of the range and quarterly ATL/H 3/4). The rebound reached 81.81, the pullback held at 79.23 on October 9 for a higher low, and price is back pressing the October 6 high. A break of 81.81 completes a higher high, and the daily swing chart turns up.
Plan
Entry: buy stop at 81.81, above the October 6 swing high. No trade unless it triggers.
Stop: 79.19, below the 79.23 higher low.
Fir
Cotton: failed at 84.18, short below 80.66Cotton topped at 93.74 at the end of August after a 54% rally from the February low. The top came with a weekly key reversal, and the daily swing chart has been stepping down since: a sharp drop, a lower high near 89 below the 88.70 level (3/8 of the range), then a slide to the 80.80 swing low on September 22.
The bounce from there stalled exactly at 84.18, the old breakout level from August, and price is rolling over again. Price has also lost 82.89, the quarterly HRC 5/8 level, so resistance
Are Hidden Water Costs Driving Global Cotton Futures?Investors often misunderstand the true volatility of global cotton futures. They typically blame erratic weather patterns or sudden trade tariffs. A new Chatham House study, "The Water Footprints of Global Textiles Trade," points to a deeper catalyst. Every textile carries what researchers call a hidden water footprint, the water embedded in its production, trade, consumption, and eventual disposal. The global textile industry employs roughly 90 million people, more than half of them women. For
Will Global Supply Shocks Explode Cotton Prices?Cotton sits at a genuine inflection point, but the case for a durable bottom is more mixed than the headlines suggest. Prices have actually declined roughly 4% over the past month even as they ticked modestly higher into July, and the most recent independent analysis available called the bears still in control. The one unambiguous catalyst is policy, not speculation: India's textile ministry lifted its 11% cotton import duty from June 1 through October 30, the second such waiver in a year, givin
Cotton LONGBack at historic support and holding.
Hit its .886 Fib level.
Highest volume ever last month.
Rising oil prices may increase demand for cotton as costs for synthetics increase.
Commodity cycle is in full swing.
Enter now
3 take profits
You can access this trade by finding your regional cotton ETF/ETC.
Long Cotton📌 Cotton Futures: Seasonality, Market Drivers & How to Trade
For more than 7,000 years, cotton has been one of humanity’s most important raw materials. Once spun by hand and woven into basic cloth, today cotton is at the core of the global textile industry, used in apparel, home furnishings, industrial fabrics, and even specialized materials like fishnets and early forms of gunpowder.
Currently, cotton accounts for over 35% of all fiber consumed globally, making it a multibillion-dollar market
Clear Diversions = Time to enter### **Cotton No. 2 Futures (CT1!) - Bullish Divergence & Trade Setup**
(**Not Financial Advice**)
#### **📌 Key Observations:**
- **Bullish Divergence**: RSI is making higher lows while price is making lower lows → Indication of **potential reversal**.
- **Support & Resistance Levels**:
- **Support:** 🟢 **65.73** (Major Demand Zone)
- **Resistance Levels:**
- **67.29 - 67.44** (First Resistance Zone)
- **68.17 - 68.40** (Strong Resistance, possible reaction area)
- **84
Cotton Futures: Decoding the Matrix of Market ForcesCotton, a seemingly unassuming commodity, is quietly aligning for a significant bullish move. But remember—this is not a prompt for reckless action. The entry is reserved for those who wait for the Daily timeframe to confirm the trend change.
The Codes of the Cotton Conspiracy
Code #1: The Commercial COT Index
Commercials are not merely dabbling—they are at an extreme in positioning, maxed out over a 26-week lookback. Their hands are heavy with longs, signaling a brewing storm that only the wi
Cotton: Navigating the DeclineCOTTON, in a long-term decline since last February is currently stuck within a narrowing range, with a minimum break above 70 cents per pound needed to change the negative outlook.
However, it is worth noting managed money accounts have held a net short position for a record-breaking 39 weeks. In the week to 21 January it reached a near record short position of 48.4k contracts, potentially increasing the risk of short covering on a technical break to the upside
Smart Money Positioned to LONG Cotton - COT StrategyDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence.
COT Strategy
LONG
Cotton (CT)
My COT strategy has me on alert for long trades in CT if we get a confirmed bullish change of trend on the Daily timeframe.
COT Commercial Index: Buy Signal
Valuation: Undervalued vs Gold
Extreme Positioning: Commercials around max long of
Upside Ahead for Cotton - COT Strategy BuyDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence.
COT Strategy
LONG
Cotton (CT)
My COT strategy has me on alert for long trades in CT if we get a confirmed bullish change of trend on the Daily timeframe.
COT Commercial Index: Buy Signal
Extreme Positioning: Commercials more long than they've been in 3 years = bullish.
Cotton sowing minus in india 56% minuseAll india cotton sowing minus 56 % in india, so bullish cotton price target 75000 per candy.
Good future for cotton buyer
CLong























