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U.S. 10-Y Treasury Yield — Weekly Structural Observation 25 October 2026 Introduction The U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield has returned within its established Resistance Zone. In Week 41, the yield was positioned above Resistance; the Week 43 observation places it back inside the same zone. The structural levels remain unchanged. The focus is on how price behaves within Resistance and whether acceptance develops beyond it. Structure Range Structure Structural Phase Recovery Market Context Current Position: Within Resistance Structural Area: Resis

US 10Y Treasury Yield: Elliott Wave Wave 3 Impulse & Macro Conve Idea Overview The technical structure on the US 10-Year Treasury Yield ( TVC:US10Y ) suggests that a secular bull wave in yields—which began in March 2020—has officially transitioned into its powerful Wave 3 impulse. Following a complete ABC corrective phase that concluded on February 2, 2026, a strong monthly breakout above the prior Wave 1 peak confirms trend resumption with accelerated momentum. Elliott Wave Technical Breakdown * Wave 1 (March 2020 – October 2, 2023): * The initial impuls

by Mr_digeshpatel

Can momentum sustain in US30Y? Given the reduction in the rate hike probability in October FOMC due to labor market data as well as less than market expected earnings for the hyperscalers, who are borrowing heavily in longer tenor and in turn adding pressure on US yields, boded well for the US longer yields in the recent times. Currently, US30Y is trading near resistance turned support levels, 61.8% Fibonacci as well as 55 DEMA. Any breach of 5.37% on closing basis, can lead to further rally in the yields towards 5.28% levels

by jayaprakash99

Is the Bond Rout Over? US10Y Prints Textbook Exhaustion Wicks Did the US 10-Year Treasury Yield finally just hit a brick wall? 🧱📉 After a relentless parabolic run from the ~3.95% lows earlier this year all the way up past 5.35%, the US10Y weekly chart is flashing its strongest exhaustion signal in months. If you are trading equities, gold, FX, or bonds, this is the most important chart to watch right now. 🔍 What the Technicals Are Telling Us (1W Timeframe): Double Weekly Topping Tails: We are looking at two consecutive prominent upper wicks (topp

US 10-Year Treasury Yield — Week 41 Structural Analysis US 10-Year Treasury Yield — Week 41 Structural Analysis | Yield Above Resistance LTP/CMP: 5.242% Introduction The US 10-Year Treasury Yield remains in a Range Structure, with recovery participation developing above its established Resistance Zone. The latest displayed yield is above the upper boundary of the marked Resistance range. This is a meaningful positional condition within the current structural map. However, the interpretation should remain based on price acceptance and behaviour ra

US10Y Monthly/Weekly Update US10Y touched multi-decade high of 5.30% during the month, before closing at ~5.29%. 25bps hike by the FED along with hawkish commentary and atleast another 25bps hike for the CY26 caused the yields to close higher. Persistent higher crude oil prices due to ongoing US-Iran war, higher fiscal deficit concerns and ongoing AI capex by hyperscalers (majority debt issuance in longer tenor, which in turn pressurizing govt yields) are the major concerns for bond yields. Going forward, 5.20% can act as

by jayaprakash99

IGB 10Y Monthly/Weekly Update IGB 10Y closed ~24bps higher compared to the previous month(9 bps higher on Weekly basis) to settle slightly above 7.20%, for the first time in last two years. The rising long term global yields, especially across developed economies, due to the further rate hike expectations fueled by higher inflation numbers is the major contributor for the same. Further higher fiscal deficit across developed economies is also causing the concern. On the domestic front, Wednesday's MPC is the key event to wat

by jayaprakash99

US 10 YEAR BOND YIELD ANALYSIS & ITS IMPACT US 10-Year Yield is standing at a very crucial zone right now. If it breaks 5.25% and sustains above it even for 1–2 weeks then things can get really difficult for Asian & emerging markets. The reason is simple. When US government bonds themselves are giving 5%+ returns with very low risk then big institutions don’t need to take the same amount of risk in emerging markets. Money can move towards US bonds and global liquidity gets tighter. For India this can mean FII selling and pressure on the r

US 10Y YIELD #US10Y Perfect Rounding bottom in US10Y yields. Breakout over 5.1/5.2 will bring in a much higher picture. Let see how it goes and gow does the global financil markets react. Difficult days ahead??

by hiteshhbafna

BOND YIELDS ARE RISING. BUT DOES GOLD HAVE TO FALL?XAUUSD: Rising Bond Yields Do Not Necessarily Mean Gold Will Fall Traders are often familiar with a simple formula: Rising bond yields → Gold falls. Falling bond yields → Gold rises. Because bonds pay interest, while gold does not. But the market is not always that simple. What Are Yields? Let’s use a simple example. You buy a house for approximately $670,000 and rent it out for approximately $1,025 per month. In one year, the income you receive is: $1,025 × 12 months = $12,300 per year

Why the Treasury's Bond Buyback Failed to Calm Bond Markets On August 19, 2026, the US Treasury made a surprising announcement: it would more than double its bond-buying operations to between 2 and 4 billion dollars each, with a focus on long-dated debt. Interest rates fell sharply in response to the news, with the 10-year Treasury down over 5 basis points and the 30-year down 9 basis points, while stock futures jumped. However, by the next day, most of the gains had been erased, with the 30-year yield climbing back towards its 19-year peak. This artic

US 10Y Treasury Yield | Weekly Structural Analysis | 23-AUG-2026 INTRODUCTION The US 10Y Treasury Yield continues operating within a Range Structure while Recovery Participation develops above the Structural Pivot Zone. Compared with Week 31, there has been no significant structural change. Recovery participation has continued developing around the established structural references. STRUCTURE Structure: Range Structure Structural Phase: Recovery Behaviour: Recovery Participation MARKET CONTEXT US10Y remains above the Structural Pivot Zone while participati

Ending Diagonal in Japanese bond yields Everyone is waiting for the Japanese central bank to hike interest rates, and the Bond market is far ahead of the curve now. A sudden increase in interest rates can also lead to a decline in bond yields because the bond may be discounted. The chart shows a diagonal ending in the JP10Y contract. So a near-term top, at least in yields, can be possible. Whether it will coincide with JCB action remains to be seen.

US 10Y Analysis US 10Y closed above 4.70% for the first time since Jan'25, amid the geopolitical tensions and inflation concerns. 4.80% can be the near the near term target, considering the Jan'25 swing high levels. It has also formed flag and pole pattern on the charts, indicating a further possible rise in the yields towards 4.88% and 5.00%(Oct'23 high). Let me know your thoughts. DYOR

by jayaprakash99

US 10-Year Yield: The Number That Controls Everything Look at this for a second: one number moves by just 0.10%, and six different parts of the global economy react almost instantly: stocks sell off, borrowing costs rise, mortgage rates go up, the dollar strengthens, gold comes under pressure, and money starts leaving emerging markets. That's not an exaggeration. That's literally what happens, over and over, every time this number moves. Most traders never look at this number properly. They watch their favorite stock, check the news, maybe glance

10 Years Bond Yield has broken the Trendline US 10 year Bond yield has broken the Trend line TGT are clear so peoples will invest in bonds for long term than in Equity

by technicalRider

US 10 year Bond yield has broken the Trend line TGT are clear so US 10 year Bond yield has broken the Trend line TGT are clear so peoples will invest in bonds for long term than in Equity, so there will be fall in Nasdaq and US market if trend sustains

by technicalRider

IGB 10Y Weekly Update IGB 10Y closed 6bps higher for the last week amid the reignition of geopolitical tensions. The US CPI print came in lower than the market expectations, while Indian CPI inched higher to touch the 18-month high of 4.39%. Weak monsoon and crude oil prices will be the key parameters to focus on for the week, apart from the geopolitics. For the coming week, I expect yields to trade in the range of 6.84% (50EMA)-6.76% (200EMA). Let me know your thoughts. DYOR.

by jayaprakash99

IGB 10Y Monthly Update IGB 10Y has seen one of the biggest rallies in recent years, moving about 25 bps in May (around 39 bps from its recent high of 7.14%). MPC commentary and policy measures to attract foreign capital—such as concessional forex swaps for raising ECBs by PSUs and full hedging-cost benefits to AD banks for raising FCNR(B) deposits—have raised hopes of stronger foreign currency reserves (expected inflows of roughly $75 billion), and bond yields responded positively. In addition, tax benefits announced

by jayaprakash99

US10Y | MarketOmorph Week 23 | 07-JUN-2026 The U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield continues operating above structural pivot participation while the broader elevated structure remains intact. Despite rotational behaviour across risk assets during the period, yields remained within upper participation territory. Current activity reflects continued participation above pivot references rather than meaningful structural deterioration. WHAT CHANGED SINCE WEEK 21 • Participation remained above structural pivot (~3.9–4.3) • Upper participation rem

IGB 10Y Monthly/Weekly Update Similar to April Month, IGB 10Y yields traded in the range of 6.88%-7.15% during May month, closing flattish on MoM basis. 7.00% has been acting as a good resistance level in the recent times which I expect it to be continue, unless there are some positive developments wrt ongoing US-Iran War. RBI MPC outcome scheduled on June 5, and GDP release data on June 7 can act as a near term triggers for the market. High crude oil prices, and expectations of below normal monsoon aiding to the inflation c

by jayaprakash99

US 10Y Yield | MarketOmorph Week 21 | 24-MAY-2026 US10Y continues operating within upper participation while broader elevated structure remains intact. STRUCTURAL OBSERVATION • Rotation above structural pivot (~3.9–4.3) • Upper participation remains active • Elevated structure remains intact • Compression behaviour continues BEHAVIOUR OBSERVATION Current behaviour suggests sustained participation within elevated structural territory. POSSIBLE PATHWAYS 🟢 Participation Strengthens • Sustained participation within upper areas may support

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by SkyTradingZone

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by SkyTradingZone