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Government bonds

DE 10Y — Selling the Bullish ExtremeGermany 10Y Government Bond Yield is displaying strong bullish momentum, with buyers maintaining firm control and driving the market higher. Despite this aggressive buying pressure, my analysis is positioned for a potential bearish reversal from the current extreme area. I am taking a selling view while the market remains strongly bullish. This decision is not based on assuming that the rally is weak; instead, it comes from the specific conditions identified through my trading method. When the
TVC:DE10YShort
by asgharphulpoto
DE 15Y — Selling Into ATHGermany 15Y Government Bond Yield has maintained a strong bullish trend, with buyers pushing price firmly higher toward the all-time high area. Despite the strength of the buying pressure, my outlook is focused on a potential bearish reversal from this major zone. Strong buying does not automatically mean the upside must continue indefinitely. My analysis is built around the reaction I expect from the all-time high and the specific market structure identified by my method. This is where I am lo
TVC:DE15YShort
by asgharphulpoto
DE 20Y — ATH Sell SetupGermany 20Y Government Bond Yield has made a powerful upside expansion and is now approaching the all-time high area, where I am anticipating a potential downside reversal. The recent rally has been strong, but my approach is not to follow the crowd after an extended move. Instead, I am focusing on the reaction around the all-time high and the bearish structure identified through my analysis. The setup is built around the expectation that buyers may begin losing control from this major area. M
TVC:DE20YShort
by asgharphulpoto
Germany 30Y — ATH ReversalGermany 30Y Government Bond Yield has moved aggressively higher and is now trading around its all-time high area, where my analysis is focused on a potential bearish reversal. After such a strong upside move, I am looking for price to reverse from the all-time high zone and move toward the downside target. The market has shown significant bullish strength, but I am not allowing the aggressive move to change my analysis or push me into chasing price. My focus remains on the reversal setup identi
TVC:DE30YShort
by asgharphulpoto
GB 5Y — Buy the Dip, Target the UpsideGB 5Y Bonds are showing a constructive setup, with the broader outlook favoring buyers. However, before the expected upside move develops, price may experience a short-term decline as part of the current price structure. The trade idea is focused on allowing this initial downside move to develop rather than entering prematurely. Once price reaches the anticipated area and the bullish reaction confirms, the focus shifts toward the buy-side move and projected higher target. From a technical pers
TVC:GB05YLong
by asgharphulpoto
US 10Y Yield: Bullish Momentum Building — Buy Side OpportunityUS Government Bonds 10Y Yield is showing signs of renewed bullish momentum, with buyers gaining strength and supporting the upside structure. Price action suggests continued demand as the market maintains a bullish bias and attempts to push toward higher levels. The current structure favors the buy side, with bullish momentum remaining intact and buyers defending key areas. A sustained move higher could open the door toward the next major upside targets. Trade Bias: BUY 🟢 | Bullish 📈 Watching
TVC:US10YLong
by asgharphulpoto
US 10Y Yield #1: Four Markets Since the August 2021 Yield LowThe chart I put the US 10 year Treasury yield on the same chart with the dollar index, gold, the S&P 500 and bitcoin. I set the chart to percent, starting from the August 2021 low in the US 10 year Treasury yield, so every market is rebased to that same date and every line shows how far each market has come from it. The channel On the US 10 year Treasury yield I fitted a regression channel from the October 2023 high, and the number on the chart is Pearson's R, 0.13. That number is low and
TVC:US10Y
by KazimKarabacak
US Yields: Inflation Signals vs Technical Structure 2Yr 10YrWith incoming inflation prints coming in cooler than expected, macro narratives suggest yields should drop. However, the charts tell a much more nuanced story across timeframes. Let’s break down what the technical is actually signaling on the 2 and 10 Year yield. Bullish Juice 1. RSI Trendline Breakouts Across both the daily and weekly timeframes, RSI has decisively broken out of its long-term downtrend lines and reset into the key 50–58 equilibrium zone. Rather than crashing below the 50 mid
TVC:US02Y
by ROW_Partners
US 10-Year Yield: The Number That Controls EverythingLook at this for a second: one number moves by just 0.10%, and six different parts of the global economy react almost instantly: stocks sell off, borrowing costs rise, mortgage rates go up, the dollar strengthens, gold comes under pressure, and money starts leaving emerging markets. That's not an exaggeration. That's literally what happens, over and over, every time this number moves. Most traders never look at this number properly. They watch their favorite stock, check the news, maybe glance
TVC:US10YEducation
by VertexQore
30 Year Yield CRACK! King Dollar?Core inflation is slowing, but the interest rate on 30-year U.S. government debt is still climbing toward levels not seen in years. Investors are demanding more interest because lending to the government for 30 years now carries greater risk. Washington keeps borrowing, Treasury keeps issuing more bonds, and future deficits look increasingly difficult to control. Normally, higher U.S. rates attract foreign money and strengthen the dollar. Instead, the dollar has already CRACKED! & is on the ve
TVC:US30Y
by RealMacro
2
US10Y- The Most Important Chart Is Sending a Warning for StocksThe most important chart in the market right now is the US 10-Year Treasury Yield. And the chart looks BULLISH. Extremely BULLISH. Which is a problem. A BIG problem for stocks, especially growth stocks and the Nasdaq in particular. The US10Y yield is the market’s benchmark risk-free rate, representing the return investors can earn by lending money to the US government for 10 years. Because almost every asset is priced relative to this rate, a rise in the 10-Year yield increases the discount ra
TVC:US10Y
by Arthursh
1
US 10Y Treasury Yield | Weekly Structural Analysis | 02-AUG-2026Compared with the previous weekly assessment (Week 26), the broader structural framework remains largely unchanged. During the past five weeks, the US 10Y Treasury Yield has continued evolving within its established structural zones, with the most notable development occurring through improving recovery participation rather than structural transition. The yield continues to operate within a Range Structure, while Recovery Participation remains the dominant market behaviour. Current price action
TVC:US10Y
by kacraj
1
Next Financial Crisis is comingThe united states government have been smashing buttons, pulling levers, and disrespecting long term market allies with complete disregard to the vast complexities. The market is likely to punish them in a manner which comes from left field. Looks like it will find it's way to the bond market in a big way - anticipating the surprise to rear its head come October or November. Government will turn to the money printer, event likely to be a large catalyst for waking up many and pushing people towa
TVC:US10YLong
by RelaxedAnon
Why I Watch the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Yield Before the S&P 500Many investors spend their days analyzing stocks but overlook a chart that influences virtually every market: the 30-Year U.S. Treasury yield (TVC:US30Y on TradingView). In my view, it is one of the best barometers of the long-term cost of capital. When yields rise, companies face higher financing costs, valuations become more demanding, and growth-sensitive sectors such as technology, real estate, and utilities are generally the first to come under pressure. Conversely, a lasting decline in y
TVC:US30Y
by DL_INVEST
US 30-Year Yield to 6.5% - Three resistance tests - July 2026SYMBOL: TVC:US30Y | DIRECTION: YIELD HIGHER | TIMEFRAME: 1-Month Published: July 2026 Three times the 30-year yield approached the 5.0-5.2% resistance band. Three times it was turned back. Three times the subsequent pullback was shallower than the one before it. A market that keeps returning to a level with less and less willingness to retreat from it is not a market that wants to go lower. It is a market building pressure for a move through. Note: this idea is long the yield. Higher yiel
TVC:US30YLong
by without_worries
4
Yield Curve Twist: Why Short Rates Drop While Long Rates Surge1. Front End: Tied directly to Fed expectations The 3 and 6 month yields are dropping because the ultra short end is anchored almost entirely to near term Fed policy. The sharp drop on the 3 month chart shows the market aggressively pricing in Fed rate cuts or a pause in rate hikes over the immediate quarter or two. I know, CRAZY! When traders expect short term official policy rates to come down or stay anchored, T bill yields plunge first. 2. Intermediate: The transition zone The 1 and 2 Yea
TVC:US02Y
by ROW_Partners
US10Y: The Macro Breakdown and Big Picture RoadmapThe daily chart shows losing momentum, but zooming out to the weekly and monthly timeframes paints a much bigger picture. Higher timeframes always control the trend, and the larger structure remains heavily slanted to the upside. Daily Momentum Lag Daily RSI shows a classic bearish divergence, signaling that the immediate momentum is cooling off. However, momentum loss does not equal an automatic trend reversal. It can resolve through sideways consolidation rather than a sharp selloff while the
TVC:US10Y
by ROW_Partners
10Y vs 2Y Yields: Momentum Is Fading at the TopTreasury yields have pushed back toward their summer highs, but the underlying technical momentum tells a very different story. Both the 2 Year and 10 Year yields are showing clear signs of momentum exhaustion. 2 Year: Price Action Yields recently pushed up to a new high, topping the May peak. The Problem The RSI and TTM Squeeze histogram failed to follow. While yields made a higher high, RSI did not push and TTM momentum printed lower. Takeaway This classic bearish divergence shows the push
TVC:US10Y
by ROW_Partners
Why Stocks Fall When Rates, Oil, and $DXY DropWhen you see a session where Rates, Oil, and DXY drop together, standard mechanical rules say stocks should rally because financial conditions are easing. When equities fall anyway, the driver has shifted from monetary tightening to growth fears and earnings execution. ------- 1. Mega Cap Earnings and AI Capex Fatigue After heavy volatility following mega cap tech reports like NASDAQ:TSLA and NASDAQ:GOOGL , the hangover is spilling over into broader market sentiment. Lower yields are not b
TVC:US10Y
by ROW_Partners
3
US10Y: Technical Roadmap Above 4.80% Pt 1We’ve already covered the core macroeconomic drivers many times. Now let's map out the technical footprint on the high timeframe. As TVC:TNX presses into breakout territory, here are the key technical levels to watch: 4.80%: The immediate line in the sand currently being tested. 5.2% (Cyan Line): While 5.00% served as a temporary psychological hurdle recently, 5.2% is the true structural barrier. This level marks the multi-year ceiling holding since the pre-GFC highs. 5.50% (Yellow Line): A
TVC:US10Y
by ROW_Partners
US10Y Fake Break:Is a New Bond Yield Rally About to Shake MarketToday, I want to analyze the U.S. 10-Year Government Bond Yield ( TVC:US10 ), as it is one of the key financial market indices that can show us the broader market direction for various assets like Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ), Silver ( OANDA:XAGUSD ), U.S. stock indices (including the S&P 500 ( FOREXCOM:SPX500 )), and especially Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) in the crypto market. Stay with me. On the daily timeframe, the U.S. 10-Year Government Bond Yield is currently moving near a support zone (4.
TVC:US10YLong
by pejman_zwin
5