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Government bonds

10YR Bond Yields: Panic on LTF, Calm on HTF📉 10YR Bond Yields: Panic on LTF, Calm on HTF Yes, the recent spike in the 10-Year Yield is causing some short-term panic. But if you zoom out to the monthly timeframe, the bigger picture looks far more constructive. 🔍 Here’s what the chart says: The MACD and RSI on the monthly are both pointing down. Yields touched 4.5%, historically a key recession threshold. We’re now seeing a MACD bearish crossover and a clear bearish divergence—classic signs of a trend reversal. 💡 What does this mean?
TVC:US10YShort
by CryptoNikkoid
PPI Misses Across the Board — Rate Cut Setup StrengthensFresh inflation data just gave the market a clear signal: the Fed has room to cut sooner than expected. PPI Snapshot (Actual vs. Forecast): PPI MoM: -0.4% vs. 0.2% ✅ Core PPI MoM: -0.1% vs. 0.3% ✅ PPI YoY: 2.7% vs. 3.3% ✅ Core PPI YoY: 3.3% vs. 3.6% ✅ PPI ex Food/Energy/Trade YoY: 3.4% vs. 3.5% ✅ 🧠 Prices aren’t just slowing — they’re contracting. Combined with soft CPI, this disinflation confirms a Fed-friendly trend and clears the way for policy easing. 🧨 The Twist: 10-Year Yield Spiked De
TVC:US10YLong
by Papi_Jammin
Double top in equities in 2025 as per 2006-2007 fractal1. This fractal follows the 2006-2007 cycle using US10Y (leading indicator). 2. The orange lines denote a peak in SPY. In this case, a second top in equities this cycle is expected in late Q4 2025, or early 2026 (latest). 3. The bottom in equities appear to be circa Q4 2026, or Q1 2027. Qualitatively, this could point to the house flipping blue. 4. Interestingly, this chart expects a short-term spike in US10Y before its eventual descent to just under 3% by 2027. We may have already seeing thi
TVC:US10Y
by noelis_sg
1
US yeilds in a corrective rebound In analysis from a few weeks back, we talked about bearish USD and presented a bearish outlook. Since then dollar fall nicely and one of the reason are also lower US yields. Looking at US yeilds I see bearish impulsive price action down from 4.8%, which could keep the US dollar in a downtrend. What we’ve seen so far is a strong rebound from 3.8%, as shown on the updated 4-hour chart. This rebound suggests that yields are stepping into a correction now, which could unfold as an A-B-C structure.
TVC:US10Y
by ew-forecast
It’s the bond market that's putting Trump in his placeIt’s the bond market that's putting Trump in his place. Normally, when stocks fall, investors flock to U.S. Treasuries. But this week, long-term yields have risen sharply over the first three days. That means Treasuries aren’t being bought — they’re being sold. With America’s massive national debt, higher interest rates make debt servicing more expensive. Sure, they could fire up the printing press, but an abundance of dollars just fuels inflation. At the same time, the dollar has weakened agai
TVC:US10Y
by scorpiris
US10Y This break-out will be massive.The U.S. Government Bonds 10YR Yield (US10Y) is trading within a 2-year Triangle pattern and following this week's trade events, got back on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). A potential break-out either way from this long-term pattern will be massive. We do believe though that there are higher probabilities for a bearish break-out as the 1W MA50 is about to cross below the 1W MA100 and form the first 1W MA50/100 Bearish Cross since July 22 2019. Interestingly enough, that was following the last T
TVC:US10Y
by TradingShot
4
Danger: Recession could be on the way - Yield Curve observationsThis chart shows the monthly yield curve, being the 10 year US Treasury yield - the 2 year bond curve. In my previous charts, I had pointed out that 2 weeks after the yield curve curve uninverts that recessions are typically either just started or about to start. This is shown on the charts by the white dotted line. While looking at the charts, i noticed that the RSI has a tendency to go above 70 when there is a big crash in the markets - pointed out the previous 3 on the chart as the dot c
TVC:US10Y
by DiscosCryptos
1
WHY EVERYTHING IS GOING DOWN? ANSWER IS HERE!Understanding the Simultaneous Decline in EVERYTHING! 1. The Influence of U.S. Treasury Yields and Interest Rates The U.S. 10-year Treasury bond yield is a major benchmark in global finance. When yields rise, it signifies that bonds are becoming more attractive relative to riskier assets. Rising yields typically occur when: Investor Demand Shifts: Investors move from risky assets (like equities or crypto) to safer, higher-yielding government bonds. Inflation Expectations: Higher inflation exp
TVC:US10Y
by UmutTrades
US 10Y TREASURY: the Bad, the Good and TariffsAt the first look at the 10Y US benchmark chart, one might say that it looks pretty scary as of the end of last week. However, historically, it happens. Trade tariff war has started, which triggered a massive market uncertainty and a sell-off on financial markets. Naturally, the first idea in investors' perspectives for the future period is a recession on a world's scale and in the US and this was reflected in the US yields. It started at the beginning of the week, where yields from the 4,35% to
TVC:US10Y
by XBTFX
US10Y: This pattern has been extremely bullish for stocks.The U.S. Government Bonds 10 YR Yield is heavily bearish on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 36.788, MACD = -0.034, ADX = 32.176) and that has historically been favorable for stocks. More specifically, when the Yields have been trending down inside a Channel Up since 2010, the S&P500 was on an uptrend. Going into more detail on the US10Y RSI on the 1W timeframe, it is almost on the 34.20 trendline, which is a key level as every time it hit that (see the dashed vertical lines), the S&P500 bottomed
TVC:US10Y
by InvestingScope
1
The global markets have spoken: The trade war is on. Hello traders This chart layout is not new. See my original Idea from February 23rd. The wrecking ball is not gaining momentum. It reached supersonic speed yesterday and shattered the illusion that all is well on the blue planet. The United States of America has upended the Global order that took 80 years to establish after WWII and financial markets that are still dealing with the Covid-19 pandemic on some levels. And all of this to soothe the ego of the Narcissist in Chief. If you ha
TVC:US10Y
by jvrfxalerts
2
Are longer term bonds really that bad of a buy?So many people I follow on X are very bearish the longer term bond cycle...claiming that the years of declining rates are over and that we are now in a new cycle of rising rates over the next 40-50 years. Even I have been a proponent of that language; writing up an idea on 3/31/2022 when rates were 2.326 and rising. But now it seems everyone is on that side of the boat which makes the contrarian view worth a look. Are longer term bonds really that bad of a buy right now? I decided to look at
TVC:US10Y
by Vixtine